The 2024 United States presidential election in Alabama took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Alabama chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Alabama has nine electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.
Alabama voted for the Republican nominee, Donald Trump, by a comfortable margin in the election, with him winning the state by 30.47%. This was the largest Republican win in the state since 1972, against the backdrop of Richard Nixon's 49-state landslide re-election. Prior to the election, all major news organizations marked Alabama a safe red state.
Turnout noticeably fell, with Harris receiving over 70,000 fewer votes than Biden, while Trump increased his raw vote total by over 20,000. Harris had the lowest vote share of any Democratic nominee in Alabama since 1972, slightly less than Hillary Clinton’s 34.36% in 2016.
Trump's best performance was in ancestrally Republican Winston County, while Harris's strongest performance was in Macon County, a rural, sparsely populated Black Belt county. Trump only flipped Marengo County, another Black Belt county that had not voted for a Republican since George W. Bush in 2004.
Primary elections Democratic primary
The Alabama Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Republican primary
The Alabama Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
General election On April 9, 2024, Alabama Secretary of State Wes Allen informed the Democratic National Committee that state law would not permit certification in time to include President Biden on the November ballot, as the 2024 Democratic National Convention (DNC) was to take place days after the state deadline of August 15. The following month, legislation was approved extending the deadline to August 23, one day after the conclusion of the DNC, allowing Biden to appear on the ballot. In early August, after Vice President Kamala Harris replaced Biden in the race, Democrats held a virtual convention to nominate Harris, a process then formalized at the DNC convention. The day after the convention's conclusion, the Alabama Democratic Party filed paperwork to ensure Harris's inclusion on the Alabama ballot in November.
Voting laws A study by the Center for Election Innovation & Research in July 2024 found that Alabama is one of only three remaining states (along with Mississippi and New Hampshire) to offer no early in-person voting option for the 2024 general election. The state also requires an eligible reason to vote by mail.
In August 2024, Alabama Secretary of State Wes Allen announced a process for purging 3,251 registered Alabama voters and referred them to the state attorney general’s office for criminal prosecution. In September 2024, the Department of Justice sued Alabama for violating the National Voter Registration Act. In October 2024, district judge Anna Manasco ruled in favor of the Department of Justice, ordering the state to restore the voter registrations. Alabama secretary of state’s chief of staff Clay Helms testified that 2,000 of the purged voters were legally registered citizens.
Predictions SourceRankingAs of Cook Political Report December 19, 2023 Inside Elections April 26, 2023 Sabato's Crystal Ball June 29, 2023 Decision Desk HQ/The Hill December 14, 2023 CNalysis December 30, 2023 CNN January 14, 2024 The Economist June 12, 2024538 June 11, 2024RCP June 26, 2024 NBC News October 6, 2024
Polling Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error DonaldTrump JoeBiden Other /Undecided July 21, 2024 Joe Biden withdraws from the race.John Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024513 (LV)–60%32%8%Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic UniversityFebruary 29 – March 3, 2024191 (RV)–56%37%7%179 (LV)57%38%5%WPA Intelligence (R)August 23–24 & 26, 2023500 (RV)± 4.4%57%32%12% Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error DonaldTrump RobertKennedy Jr. Other /UndecidedJohn Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024513 (LV)–56%31%13%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error RobertKennedy Jr. JoeBiden Other /UndecidedJohn Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024513 (LV)–56%30%14%
Early voting A study by the Center for Election Innovation & Research in July 2024 found that Alabama is one of only three remaining states (along with Mississippi and New Hampshire) to offer no early in-person voting option for the 2024 general election. The state also requires an eligible reason to vote by mail.
Results
By county CountyDonald TrumpRepublicanKamala HarrisDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Autauga20,48472.43%7,43926.30%3581.27%13,04546.13%28,281Baldwin95,79878.36%24,93420.40%1,5171.24%70,86457.97%122,249Barbour5,60656.88%4,15842.19%910.92%1,44814.69%9,855Bibb7,57281.80%1,61917.49%660.71%5,95364.31%9,257Blount25,35490.03%2,5769.15%2330.83%22,77880.88%28,163Bullock1,10126.78%2,98372.56%270.66%-1,882-45.78%4,111Butler5,17260.99%3,25138.34%570.67%1,92122.65%8,480Calhoun34,91271.76%13,19427.12%5471.12%21,71844.64%48,653Chambers8,71161.15%5,40537.94%1290.91%3,30623.21%14,245Cherokee11,35887.33%1,55311.94%950.73%9,80575.39%13,006Chilton16,92085.61%2,69813.65%1450.73%14,22271.96%19,763Choctaw4,10361.64%2,51537.79%380.57%1,58823.86%6,656Clarke6,96558.25%4,92741.20%660.55%2,03817.04%11,958Clay5,73484.73%99314.67%400.59%4,74170.06%6,767Cleburne6,98891.33%6057.91%580.76%6,38383.43%7,651Coffee17,49578.39%4,60120.61%2231.00%12,89457.77%22,319Colbert19,71472.58%7,13726.28%3091.14%12,57746.31%27,160Conecuh3,42356.57%2,58042.64%480.79%84313.93%6,051Coosa3,75871.34%1,47828.06%320.61%2,28043.28%5,268Covington14,67785.86%2,31413.54%1040.61%12,36372.32%17,095Crenshaw5,00077.09%1,45722.46%290.45%3,54354.63%6,486Cullman38,70489.70%4,0399.36%4030.93%34,66580.34%43,146Dale14,47675.64%4,48423.43%1790.94%9,99252.21%19,139Dallas5,19033.38%10,23665.84%1210.78%-5,046-32.46%15,547DeKalb25,63386.42%3,75812.67%2690.91%21,87573.75%29,660Elmore31,37475.37%9,77423.48%4761.14%21,60051.89%41,624Escambia10,88472.77%3,96426.50%1090.73%6,92046.27%14,957Etowah35,65377.28%10,02721.73%4570.99%25,62655.54%46,137Fayette7,15885.53%1,14213.65%690.82%6,01671.88%8,369Franklin10,41786.11%1,56812.96%1120.93%8,84973.15%12,097Geneva10,92988.13%1,39111.22%810.65%9,53876.91%12,401Greene88521.91%3,13377.57%210.52%-2,248-55.66%4,039Hale3,36946.12%3,86852.95%680.93%-499-6.83%7,305Henry6,98974.99%2,26324.28%680.73%4,72650.71%9,320Houston32,46973.21%11,35225.60%5281.19%21,11747.62%44,349Jackson20,07385.21%3,27613.91%2070.88%16,79771.31%23,556Jefferson131,12343.90%162,11254.27%5,4691.83%-30,989-10.37%298,704Lamar6,03387.56%80611.70%510.74%5,22775.86%6,890Lauderdale32,70874.95%10,32623.66%6031.38%22,38251.29%43,637Lawrence13,02480.78%2,98318.50%1150.71%10,04162.28%16,122Lee46,02062.93%25,79835.28%1,3091.79%20,22227.65%73,127Limestone37,88771.04%14,58127.34%8641.62%23,30643.70%53,332Lowndes1,75831.09%3,86768.38%300.53%-2,109-37.29%5,655Macon1,68221.47%6,08477.66%680.87%-4,402-56.19%7,834Madison105,43053.35%87,82444.44%4,3632.21%17,6068.91%197,617Marengo4,99551.59%4,63147.83%560.58%3643.76%9,682Marion12,24590.42%1,1978.84%1010.75%11,04881.58%13,543Marshall34,43485.26%5,55313.75%4010.99%28,88171.51%40,388Mobile100,75957.52%72,05541.14%2,3501.34%28,70416.39%175,164Monroe6,00761.20%3,74038.10%680.69%2,26723.10%9,815Montgomery30,47733.94%57,94664.53%1,3751.53%-27,469-30.59%89,798Morgan40,44975.54%12,39223.14%7021.31%28,05752.40%53,543Perry1,26928.42%3,17471.09%220.49%-1,905-42.67%4,465Pickens5,46561.32%3,38838.02%590.66%2,07723.31%8,912Pike8,22462.14%4,89937.02%1110.84%3,32525.12%13,234Randolph9,10282.07%1,92017.31%690.62%7,18264.76%11,091Russell10,07848.64%10,42250.30%2181.05%-344-1.66%20,718Shelby79,66669.46%33,08728.85%1,9451.70%46,57940.61%114,698St. Clair35,50181.56%7,64017.55%3850.88%27,86164.01%43,526Sumter1,54229.06%3,72570.19%400.75%-2,183-41.13%5,307Talladega22,10066.47%10,89832.78%2520.76%11,20233.69%33,250Tallapoosa14,88474.33%4,97524.85%1640.82%9,90949.49%20,023Tuscaloosa50,72459.50%33,39939.17%1,1331.33%17,32520.32%85,256Walker25,46485.49%4,10213.77%2200.74%21,36271.72%29,786Washington6,53477.41%1,86322.07%440.52%4,67155.34%8,441Wilcox1,79334.07%3,44965.53%210.40%-1,656-31.46%5,263Winston10,19191.41%8847.93%740.66%9,30783.48%11,149Totals1,462,61664.57%772,41234.10%30,0621.33%690,20430.47%2,265,090
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Marengo (largest city: Demopolis)
By congressional district Trump won five of seven congressional districts. District Trump Harris Representative76.96%21.97%Jerry Carl (118th Congress)Barry Moore (119th Congress)45.32%53.39%Barry Moore (118th Congress)Shomari Figures (119th Congress) 72.21% 26.19%Mike Rogers 82.65% 16.34%Robert Aderholt 63.59% 34.61%Dale Strong 68.64% 29.70%Gary Palmer 37.37% 61.34%Terri Sewell
Analysis A Deep Southern state in the Bible Belt, Alabama is one of the most socially conservative states in the nation and is considered to be deeply red, not having voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since it supported Jimmy Carter of neighboring Georgia in 1976. Since then, the state has been competitive at this level in three elections: 1980 (when Carter narrowly lost Alabama while decisively losing re-election nationwide); 1992, and 1996 (when Southerner Bill Clinton lost the state by just under 7 points in both of his victories). In addition, Republicans hold supermajorities in both chambers of the state legislature, and the only Democrat to win a statewide election in Alabama since 2008 is former U.S. Senator Doug Jones, who narrowly won a 2017 special election but was commandingly defeated in 2020.
Donald Trump was able to increase his support and gain ground in every county. He narrowly flipped majority-Black Marengo County into the Republican column for the first time in a presidential race since George W. Bush did so by a similar margin in 2004. Kamala Harris only narrowly held onto Huntsville's urban core by 3.4%, a decline from Biden's 6% margin four years earlier. Though she kept her margin of defeat in the encompassing Madison County within the single digits, it was still a slight drop from Biden's.
See also United States presidential elections in Alabama 2024 United States presidential election 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries 2024 United States elections
Notes
Partisan clients
References