The 2024 United States presidential election in Connecticut was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Connecticut voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Connecticut has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

Like most of New England, Connecticut is considered solidly Democratic, having voted for Joe Biden in 2020 by more than 20%. The state last voted for a Republican presidential candidate in George H. W. Bush's landslide victory in the 1988 election.

Harris comfortably won the state by 14.5 points, performing worse than Biden in 2020, but slightly better than Clinton in 2016. Meanwhile, Trump secured 41.9% of the vote to record the best Republican performance in Connecticut since 2004. With this election being the first under the state's new Council of Government system, Harris won 6 and Trump won 3 of the 9 county-equivalents.

Primary elections Republican primary

The Connecticut Republican primary was held on April 2, 2024, alongside the New York primary.

Democratic primary

The Connecticut Democratic primary was held on April 2, 2024.

Libertarian primary The Libertarian Party of Connecticut held a ranked-choice straw poll on April 2, 2024. 2024 Connecticut Libertarian straw poll Candidate Round 1 Round 2 Round 3 Round 4 Round 5 Round 6 Round 7 Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % 37 34.9% +1 38 35.8% 38 37.6% +3 41 41.0% +1 42 42.4% +2 44 44.4% +5 49 51.0% 12 11.3% 12 11.3% +1 13 12.9% +1 14 14.0% +2 16 16.2% +4 20 20.2% +4 24 25.0% 14 14.6% 14 13.2% 14 13.9% 14 14.0% +2 16 16.2% +2 18 18.2% +5 23 24.0% 10 9.4% +1 11 10.4% 11 10.9% 11 11.0% +2 13 13.1% +4 17 17.2% –17 Eliminated 9 8.5% 9 8.5% 9 8.9% +1 10 10.0% +2 12 12.1% –12 Eliminated 7 6.6% +1 8 7.5% 8 7.9% +2 10 10.0% –10 Eliminated 7 6.6% +1 8 7.5% 8 7.9% –8 Eliminated None of the above 6 5.7% 6 5.7% –6 Eliminated 4 3.8% –4 Eliminated Active ballots 106 –5 101 –1 100 –1 99 –3 96

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of Cook Political Report December 19, 2023 Inside Elections April 26, 2023 Sabato's Crystal Ball June 29, 2023 Decision Desk HQ/The Hill December 14, 2023 CNalysis December 30, 2023 CNN January 14, 2024 The Economist August 28, 2024538 August 23, 2024RCP June 26, 2024 NBC News October 6, 2024

Polling Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error KamalaHarris DonaldTrump RobertKennedy Jr. Other /UndecidedMassINC Polling GroupSeptember 12–18, 2024800 (LV)± 3.7%52%37%3%8%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden DonaldTrump Other /Undecided July 21, 2024 Joe Biden withdraws from the race.John Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024411 (LV)–55%38%7%Emerson CollegeOctober 19–21, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%40%11%Emerson CollegeSeptember 7–9, 20221,000 (LV)± 3.0%49%36%15%McLaughlin & Associates (R)July 26–27, 2022500 (LV)± 4.4%52%39%9%Emerson CollegeMay 10–11, 20221,000 (RV)± 3.0%51%38%11%

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden Robert F.Kennedy Jr. Other /UndecidedJohn Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024411 (LV)–49%41%10%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error Robert F.Kennedy Jr. DonaldTrump Other /UndecidedJohn Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024411 (LV)–50%33%17%

Results

By county County Kamala HarrisDemocratic Donald TrumpRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total # % # % # % # %Fairfield 267,019 59.04% 178,263 39.41% 7,021 1.55% 88,756 19.63% 452,303Hartford 259,366 60.41% 162,572 37.87% 7,387 1.72% 96,794 22.54% 429,325Litchfield 47,940 45.24% 56,452 53.27% 1,577 1.49% -8,512 -8.03%105,969Middlesex 54,173 55.55% 41,654 42.71% 1,692 1.74% 12,519 12.84% 97,519New Haven 218,981 55.02% 171,435 43.08% 7,571 1.90% 47,546 11.94% 397,987New London 76,190 55.41% 58,858 42.81% 2,452 1.78% 17,332 12.60% 137,500Tolland 43,311 53.13% 36,773 45.11% 1,436 1.76% 6,538 8.02% 81,520Windham 25,073 44.08% 30,911 54.34% 903 1.59% -5,838 -10.26% 56,887Totals992,05356.40%736,91841.89%30,0391.71%255,13514.51%1,759,010

By Council of Government

Council of Government Kamala HarrisDemocratic Donald TrumpRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total # % # % # % # %Capitol Planning Region 285,105 60.09% 181,038 38.16% 8,302 1.75% 104,067 21.93% 474,445Greater Bridgeport 83,461 60.90% 51,519 37.59% 2,068 1.51% 31,942 23.31% 137,048Lower Connecticut River Valley 58,360 55.84% 44,318 42.41% 1,826 1.75% 14,042 13.44% 104,504Naugatuck Valley 99,237 45.61% 115,290 52.99% 3,060 1.41% -16,053 -7.38% 217,587Northeastern Connecticut 21,165 41.52% 29,028 56.95% 777 1.52% -7,863 -15.43% 50,970Northwest Hills 31,137 48.58% 31,944 49.84% 1,009 1.57% -807 -1.26% 64,090South Central Connecticut 156,248 58.96% 103,087 38.90% 5,673 2.14% 53,161 20.06% 265,008Southeastern Connecticut 76,146 55.58% 58,392 42.62% 2,456 1.79% 17,754 12.96% 136,994Western Connecticut 181,194 58.76% 122,302 39.66% 4,868 1.58% 58,892 19.10% 308,364Totals992,05356.40%736,91841.89%30,0391.71%255,13514.51%1,759,010

By congressional district Harris won all five congressional districts.

District Harris Trump Representative60.61%37.73%John B. Larson53.03%45.30%Joe Courtney56.07%42.01%Rosa DeLauro60.90%37.54%Jim Himes52.01%46.42%Jahana Hayes

Analysis Harris won all five congressional districts, performing best in the fourth district, matching Biden's strongest result there in 2020. However, she ceded ground by 1.71% to 3.93% across districts compared to 2020, despite a uniform victory. Such a result was also consistent with her underperformance in comparison to Democratic nominees for the election to the House of Representatives.

Conversely, Trump outran Republican nominees in four out of five districts, earning a poorer result in the fifth district. He still improved on his 2020 performance in all five districts, gaining 2.01% to 3.71% more votes.

Fourteen towns that voted for Biden in 2020 voted for Trump in 2024: Andover, Bristol, Brookfield, Burlington, Derby, Durham, Haddam, Hampton, Montville, New Milford, North Canaan, Suffield, Willington, and Woodstock. One town (Warren) that voted for Trump in 2020 voted for Harris in 2024.

See also United States presidential elections in Connecticut 2024 United States presidential election 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries 2024 United States elections

Notes

Partisan clients

References