The 2024 United States presidential election in Hawaii took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Hawaii voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Hawaii has four electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.

Hawaii is a Pacific island state with its culture distinct from that of the U.S. mainland and its population has an Asian American plurality, unique among the 50 states. Hawaii has only voted Republican in two presidential elections since gaining statehood, in 1972 and 1984; nevertheless, its support for the Democratic Party has gradually declined after reaching a peak in 2008.

Although Harris won the state comfortably, Donald Trump received the highest vote percentage for a Republican since 2004, narrowing the margin by over 6% compared to 2020.

Hawaii is just 23% White, and has the highest percentage of Asian Americans of any state, highlighting the swing of Asian voters towards Republicans in this election, though Harris still won Asian voters overall. This was also the first time since 2004 that the Democratic candidate failed to receive 60% of the vote in all of Hawaii's counties.

Primary elections Democratic caucuses

The Hawaii Democratic caucuses were held on March 6, 2024.

Republican caucuses

The Hawaii Republican caucuses was held on March 12, 2024, alongside primaries in Idaho, Mississippi, Missouri, and Washington.

General election The Democratic Party of Hawaii attempted to disqualify the "ballot access petition" for Kennedy's newly created party, the We the People Party, on the November ballot, though the attempt was unsuccessful.

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report December 19, 2023 Inside Elections April 26, 2023 Sabato's Crystal Ball June 29, 2023 Decision Desk HQ/The Hill December 14, 2023 CNalysis December 30, 2023 CNN January 14, 2024 The Economist June 12, 2024538 June 11, 2024RCP June 26, 2024 NBC News October 6, 2024

Polling <noinclude>

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden DonaldTrump Other /UndecidedThe Bullfinch GroupApril 16–23, 2024250 (RV)± 6.2%57%38%5%John Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024301 (LV)–55%34%11%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden DonaldTrump Robert F.Kennedy Jr. CornelWest JillStein Other /UndecidedThe Bullfinch GroupApril 16–23, 2024250 (RV)± 6.2%42%34%8%3%0%13%

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden Robert F.Kennedy Jr. Other /UndecidedJohn Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024301 (LV)–42%48%10%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error Robert F.Kennedy Jr. DonaldTrump Other /UndecidedJohn Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024301 (LV)–50%27%23%

Results

By county County Kamala HarrisDemocratic Donald TrumpRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total # % # % # % # % Hawaii 52,163 62.98% 28,748 34.71% 1,912 2.31% 23,415 28.27% 82,823 Honolulu 204,301 59.93% 130,489 38.28% 6,131 1.79% 73,812 21.65% 340,921 Kalawao 15 83.33% 3 16.67% 0 0.00% 12 66.66% 18 Kauaʻi 17,675 58.79% 11,803 39.26% 586 1.95% 5,872 19.53% 30,064 Maui 38,890 61.85% 22,618 35.97% 1,367 2.17% 16,272 25.89% 62,875Totals313,04460.59%193,66137.48%9,9961.93%119,38323.11%516,701

By congressional district Harris won both congressional districts. DistrictHarrisTrumpRepresentative 61.50% 36.77%Ed Case 59.73% 38.14%Jill Tokuda

Analysis Hawaii has historically been one of the most liberal states in the country. In the 2024 election, despite an overwhelming majority for the Democratic candidate, votes in Hawaii shifted noticeably to the right, with every county swinging by over 5%. Trump's margin was the best out of his three runs, having increased in every consecutive election. Trump's increased success in Hawaii was attributed by local political scientists to the state's extremely high cost of living, with former blue-collar plantation households in Western Oahu responsible for some of Trump's strongest gains in the state. Republican gains were also attributed to Hawaii's reluctance to embrace progressivism; and the local populace has been described by academics and political analysts as being significantly less progressive than other blue states.

As the only state with a plurality of Asian ethnicity, Hawaii was affected by a large national shift to the right among Asian-American voters, especially Filipino Americans, who represent one of the largest Asian groups in Hawaii. Filipino Americans shifted to Trump in part because of concern over China's Navy being close to the Philippines in the South China Sea and a perception of Biden and the Democratic Party as ineffective against China's aggression.

See also United States presidential elections in Hawaii 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries 2024 United States elections

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Partisan clients

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