The 2024 United States presidential election in Alaska took place on November 5, 2024, as part of the broader 2024 United States presidential election. Former President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee, defeated Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris to secure Alaska's three votes in the Electoral College. This was the first presidential election following the state's adoption of ranked-choice voting for all statewide general elections, though a second round was not triggered because Trump secured a majority of the vote outright.
Analysts widely viewed Trump as the favorite to carry Alaska – which has not backed a Democrat for president since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964 – in the lead-up to Election Day. Trump ultimately won the state by 13 points, a three-point improvement over his margin of victory in 2020. He flipped three county-equivalents from the prior election in the process: Lake and Peninsula and Northwest Arctic boroughs, as well as Dillingham Census Area.
Primary elections Republican caucus
The Alaska Republican caucuses were held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.
Democratic caucus The Alaska Democratic caucus was held on April 13, 2024. Joe Biden was the only person on the ballot and won the caucus via voice vote with 15 pledged delegates.
General election Candidates The following candidates qualified for the general election: Kamala Harris / Tim Walz — Democratic Robert F. Kennedy Jr. / Nicole Shanahan — Independent Chase Oliver / Mike ter Maat — Libertarian Peter Sonski / Lauren Onak — American Solidarity Party Jill Stein / Butch Ware — Independent (national Green nominee) Randall Terry / Stephen Broden — Constitution Donald Trump / JD Vance — Republican Cornel West / Melina Abdullah — Aurora Voters did not have the option to write in candidates for president and vice president. This was the first presidential election in Alaska to use ranked choice (instant runoff) voting.
Independent candidate Cornel West appeared on the ballot as the nominee of the Aurora Party, a party that only exists in Alaska and only has ballot access for presidential elections.
Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report December 19, 2023 Inside Elections April 26, 2023 Sabato's Crystal Ball June 13, 2024 Decision Desk HQ/The Hill August 26, 2024 CNalysis September 15, 2024 CNN January 14, 2024 The Economist November 3, 2024538 June 11, 2024 NBC News October 6, 2024 YouGov November 1, 2024 Split Ticket November 1, 2024
Polling Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error DonaldTrump KamalaHarris Other /UndecidedAlaska Survey ResearchOctober 20–22, 20241,703 (LV)± 2.4%55%45%–Alaska Survey ResearchOctober 8–9, 20241,254 (LV)± 2.9%54%46%–Cygnal (R)August 30 – September 1, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%53%43%4%
Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error DonaldTrump KamalaHarris Robert F.Kennedy Jr. Other /UndecidedAlaska Survey ResearchOctober 20–22, 20241,703 (LV)± 2.4%51%43%7%–Alaska Survey ResearchOctober 8–9, 20241,254 (LV)± 2.9%50%43%7%–Alaska Survey ResearchSeptember 27–29, 20241,182 (LV)± 2.9%52%43%6%–Alaska Survey ResearchSeptember 11–12, 20241,254 (LV)–47%42%5%6%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error DonaldTrump JoeBiden Other /Undecided July 21, 2024 Joe Biden withdraws from the race.John Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024248 (LV)–50%43%7%Data for Progress (D)February 23 – March 2, 20241,120 (LV)± 3.0%53%41%6%Alaska Survey ResearchOctober 13–18, 20231,375 (LV)–45%37%19%Alaska Survey ResearchJuly 18–21, 20231,336 (LV)–43%36%21%
Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error DonaldTrump JoeBiden Robert F.Kennedy Jr. Other /Undecided July 21, 2024 Joe Biden withdraws from the race.Alaska Survey ResearchOctober 13–18, 20231,375 (LV)–37%29%17%17% Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error DonaldTrump Robert F.Kennedy Jr. Other /UndecidedJohn Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024248 (LV)–48%41%11%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error Robert F.Kennedy Jr. JoeBiden Other /UndecidedJohn Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024248 (LV)–50%37%13%
Electoral slates The following individuals were nominated as presidential electors: Kamala Harris and Tim WalzDemocratic PartyDonald Trump and JD VanceRepublican PartyChase Oliver and Mike ter MaatLibertarian PartyPeter Sonski and Lauren OnakAmerican SolidarityCornel West and Melina AbdullahAurora PartyRandall Terry and Stephen BrodenConstitution PartyJill Stein and Butch WareIndependentRobert F. Kennedy Jr. and Nicole ShanahanIndependent
Results 2024 United States presidential election in Alaska Party Candidate Votes % ±% Republican JD Vance 184,458 54.54% +1.71% Democratic Tim Walz 140,026 41.41% -1.36% Independent (withdrawn)Nicole Shanahan (withdrawn) 5,670 1.68% N/A Libertarian Mike ter Maat 3,040 0.90% -2.38% Independent Butch Ware 2,342 0.69% N/A Aurora Melina Abdullah 1,127 0.33% N/A Constitution Stephen Broden 812 0.24% -0.07% American Solidarity Lauren Onak 702 0.21% N/A Total votes 338,177 100.00%
By State House district Unlike every other U.S. state, Alaska is not divided into counties or parishes. Rather, it is administratively divided into 20 boroughs: 19 organized and 1 unorganized, which act as county equivalents. The Unorganized Borough lacks a borough government structure and itself is divided into eleven census areas. Contrary to election results in most states, official results by borough are not available – rather, they are estimates based on precinct-level data. However, the Alaska Division of Elections does release official results by State House district, which are listed in the table below. Trump won 24 districts to Harris's 16.
State House District Donald TrumpRepublican Kamala HarrisDemocraticAll Others MarginTotal votes Votes % Votes % Votes%Votes %14,86156.6%3,36739.2%3564.2%1,49417.4%8,58424,53447.4%4,57147.8%4584.9%370.1%9,56334,49640.5%6,13055.2%4814.4%1,63414.7%11,10742,69129.0%6,16166.5%4184.5%3,47037.5%9,27054,35154.3%3,32841.5%2594.2%1,02313.8%7,93866,70555.9%4,77339.8%5224.3%1,93216.1%12,00076,77770.5%2,51326.2%3192.6%4,26444.3%9,60987,95073.6%2,57623.8%2792.6%5,37449.8%10,80595,58147.2%5,84949.4%4063.5%2682.2%11,836104,35749.7%4,07046.4%3363.9%2873.3%8,763114,86449.4%4,63347.1%3433.5%2312.3%9,840124,05947.7%4,16949.0%2873.3%1101.3%8,515133,58947.4%3,68248.6%3064.0%931.2%7,577142,76837.3%4,34658.5%3124.2%1,57821.2%7,426154,59449.4%4,36447.0%3353.7%6302.4%9,293163,92940.6%4,34455.3%3964.1%1,41514.7%8,669172,40731.2%4,99064.7%3214.1%2,58333.5%7,718182,68655.8%1,92840.0%2024.1%75815.8%4,816191,97139.2%2,82556.2%2294.6%85417.0%5,025203,04141.8%3,92454.0%3024.2%88312.2%7,267213,98444.1%4,71152.1%3483.9%7278.0%9,043222,59447.5%2,66048.7%2093.8%661.2%5,463236,10157.1%4,11638.5%4684.4%1,98518.6%10,685246,48264.1%3,23432.0%4024.0%3,24832.1%10,118256,89165.9%3,17230.3%3973.9%3,71935.6%10,460267,14375.6%2,01321.3%2923.0%5,13054.3%9,448276,78576.6%1,80720.4%2683.0%4,97856.2%8,860286,71372.3%2,21323.8%3533.7%4,50049.5%9,279297,41870.6%2,70825.8%3743.6%4,71044.8%10,500307,31270.9%2,70126.2%2932.8%4,61144.7%10,306313,47549.6%3,24046.3%2884.1%2353.3%7,003323,74263.8%1,88332.1%2394.2%1,85931.7%5,864336,54873.9%2,01622.8%2953.4%4,53251.1%8,859345,83658.3%3,75937.5%4174.2%2,07720.8%10,012354,39545.2%4,88550.2%4524.5%4905.0%9,73236 5,63358.7%3,53836.9%4274.6%2,09521.8%9,598372,20850.8%1,92144.2%2215.1%2976.6%4,350381,55839.0%2,02850.8%40810.2%47011.8%3,994391,69040.2%2,18051.8%3368.0%49011.6%4,206401,68851.3%1,36241.4%2437.4%3269.9%3,293Total184,45854.5%140,02641.4%13,6934.0%44,43213.1%338,177
By borough and census area (estimates) Borough / census area Donald TrumpRepublican Kamala HarrisDemocratic All Others Margin Total votes Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %Aleutians East Borough 288 66.67% 125 28.94% 19 4.40% 163 37.73% 432Aleutians West Census Area 469 48.30% 474 48.82% 28 2.88% -5 -0.51% 971Anchorage Municipality 62,925 47.35% 64,781 48.74% 5,193 3.91% -1,856 -1.40% 132,899Bethel Census Area 1,622 37.99% 2,181 51.09% 466 10.92% -559 -13.09% 4,269Bristol Bay Borough 254 61.65% 139 33.74% 19 4.61% 115 27.91% 412Chugach Census Area 1,807 56.70% 1,246 39.10% 134 4.20% 561 17.60% 3,187Copper River Census Area 995 69.63% 359 25.12% 75 5.25% 636 44.51% 1,429Denali Borough 754 58.40% 484 37.49% 53 4.11% 270 20.91% 1,291Dillingham Census Area 763 50.70% 670 44.52% 72 4.78% 93 6.18% 1,505Fairbanks North Star Borough 24,857 56.90% 17,037 39.00% 1,791 4.10% 7,820 17.90% 43,685Haines Borough 791 44.09% 908 50.61% 95 5.30% -117 -6.52% 1,794Hoonah-Angoon Census Area 548 36.17% 876 57.82% 91 6.01% -328 -21.65% 1,515Juneau City and Borough 5,942 35.00% 10,305 60.70% 730 4.30% -4,363 -25.70% 16,977Kenai Peninsula Borough 21,861 65.50% 10,347 31.00% 1,168 3.50% 11,514 34.50% 33,376Ketchikan Gateway Borough 3,738 57.50% 2,496 38.39% 267 4.11% 1,242 19.10% 6,501Kodiak Island Borough 3,547 56.61% 2,469 39.40% 250 3.99% 1,078 17.20% 6,266Kusilvak Census Area 579 36.88% 820 52.23% 171 10.89% -241 -15.35% 1,570Lake and Peninsula Borough 230 52.04% 175 39.59% 37 8.37% 55 12.44% 442Matanuska-Susitna Borough 40,140 72.50% 13,343 24.10% 1,882 3.40% 26,797 48.40% 55,365Nome Census Area 1,167 41.78% 1,424 50.98% 202 7.23% -257 -9.20% 2,793North Slope Borough 939 54.28% 690 39.88% 101 5.84% 249 14.39% 1,730Northwest Arctic Borough 713 47.50% 648 43.17% 140 9.33% 65 4.33% 1,501Petersburg Borough 970 57.13% 640 37.69% 88 5.18% 330 19.43% 1,698Prince of Wales-Hyder Census Area 1,735 49.70% 1,588 45.49% 168 4.81% 147 4.21% 3,491Sitka City and Borough 1,659 42.92% 2,057 53.22% 149 3.86% -398 -10.30% 3,865Skagway Municipality 265 25.63% 717 69.34% 52 5.03% -452 -43.71% 1,034Southeast Fairbanks Census Area 2,846 81.90% 528 15.19% 101 2.91% 2,318 66.71% 3,475Wrangell City and Borough 745 65.58% 359 31.60% 32 2.82% 386 33.98% 1,136Yakutat City and Borough 179 38.00% 271 57.54% 21 4.46% -92 -19.53% 471Yukon-Koyukuk Census Area 851 35.80% 1,386 58.31% 140 5.89% -535 -22.51% 2,377
Boroughs and census areas that flipped from Democratic to Republican Dillingham Census Area (largest city: Dillingham) Lake and Peninsula Borough (largest city: Port Alsworth) Northwest Arctic Borough (largest city: Kotzebue)
By congressional district Due to the state's low population, only one congressional district is allocated. This district, an at-large district because it covers the entire state, is thus equivalent to the statewide election results.
District Trump Harris RepresentativeAt-large54.54%41.41%Mary Peltola
Analysis Since Alaska started voting in presidential elections in 1960, the only time its electoral votes have not gone to the Republican nominee was when incumbent Democrat Lyndon Johnson won in a landslide in 1964. Alaska is the only Republican-leaning state on the West Coast of the United States. In 2024 Donald Trump carried Alaska by 13 percentage points, similar to Mitt Romney's 14-point margin in 2012.
Compared to his 2020 electoral performance, in which he carried the state by 10 percentage points, Trump improved in virtually all of the state, particularly areas in the north and west with large Alaska Native populations. Harris managed to narrowly retain Anchorage for the Democrats; Trump became the first Republican to win the White House without winning the city since Alaskan statehood. Key to Trump's victory in the state was landslide margins to his favor in the Kenai Peninsula and Matanuska-Susitna Valley. He even managed to obtain over 80% of the vote in the sparsely populated Southeast Fairbanks Census Area. Harris's best area was Juneau, the state capital. This was the first election since 2008 in which Republicans carried a majority of boroughs and census areas.
See also