The 2024 United States presidential election in Massachusetts was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections. Massachusetts voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. Eleven members of the Electoral College came from Massachusetts.

A New England state, Massachusetts has been a Democratic leaning state since 1928, and a Democratic stronghold since 1960, and is considered a deeply blue state today. Democrats have consistently defeated Republicans by large margins in Massachusetts since 1992. In 2020, Joe Biden won the state by more than 33%, the largest margin since Lyndon B. Johnson in 1964.

Kamala Harris won Massachusetts along with every county in the state. She defeated Donald Trump by 25 points. This was an eight-point shift toward the Republican Party from 2020, and Harris's margin was smaller than that for Hillary Clinton in 2016. Despite Harris winning over 60% of the vote in the state and every county there, Massachusetts had one of the largest swings of any state, swinging by more than the national swing of about 6%. This was part of a trend of blue states, such as New York, New Jersey, California (Harris's home state), and Illinois, which all swung significantly towards Republicans.

Primary elections Democratic primary

The Massachusetts Democratic primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Republican primary

The Massachusetts Republican primary was held on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.

Libertarian primary

The Massachusetts Libertarian primary was held on March 5, 2024.

+ Massachusetts Libertarian primary, March 5, 2024 Candidate Votes Percentage No Preference 3,982 36.45% Chase Oliver 1,453 13.30% Jacob Hornberger 1,089 9.97% Michael Rectenwald 546 5.00% Lars Mapstead 399 3.65% Mike ter Maat 314 2.87% All Others 2,161 19.78% Blank ballots 980 8.97% Total: 10,924 100.00% Source:

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report December 19, 2023 Inside Elections April 26, 2023 Sabato's Crystal Ball June 29, 2023 Decision Desk HQ/The Hill December 14, 2023 CNalysis December 30, 2023 CNN January 14, 2024 The Economist June 12, 2024538 June 11, 2024RCP June 26, 2024 NBC News October 6, 2024

Polling Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error KamalaHarris DonaldTrump Other /UndecidedActiVoteOctober 2–30, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%66%34%–Emerson CollegeOctober 24–26, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.0%59%36%5%60%37%3%ActiVoteSeptember 6 – October 16, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%67%33%–MassINC Polling GroupSeptember 12–18, 2024800 (LV)± 4.1%63%35%2%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error KamalaHarris DonaldTrump CornelWest JillStein ChaseOliver Other /UndecidedUniversity of New HampshireOctober 29 – November 2, 2024744 (LV)± 3.6%60%34%–2%1%3%YouGovOctober 3–10, 2024700 (A)± 4.8%56%30%–2%1%11%Suffolk UniversityOctober 1–4, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%61%32%–1%0%6%University of New HampshireSeptember 12–16, 2024546 (LV)± 4.1%62%31%–2%0%5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error KamalaHarris DonaldTrump RobertKennedy Jr CornelWest JillStein ChaseOliver Other /UndecidedMassINC Polling GroupOctober 29 – November 1, 2024582 (LV)± 4.9%61%31%2%0%1%0%5%MassINC Polling GroupSeptember 12–18, 2024800 (LV)± 4.1%60%32%3%0%1%0%4%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden DonaldTrump Other /UndecidedSuffolk UniversityJuly 16–18, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%47%29%24%University of New HampshireMay 16–20, 2024526 (LV)± 4.3%68%32%–John Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024534 (LV)–55%36%9%Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic UniversityFebruary 29 – March 3, 2024271 (RV)–58%34%8%263 (LV)59%34%7%University of Massachusetts LowellOctober 18–25, 20221,000 (LV)± 4.1%58%32%10%Emerson CollegeSeptember 7–8, 2022708 (LV)± 3.6%54%34%12%University of Massachusetts LowellJune 7–15, 20221,000 (LV)± 4.0%60%31%9%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden DonaldTrump RobertKennedy Jr CornelWest JillStein Other /UndecidedUniversity of New HampshireMay 16–20, 2024526 (LV)± 4.3%55%26%10%1%2%6%MassINC Polling GroupMarch 21–29, 20241,002 (RV)± 3.4%44%26%7%2%–21%46%28%9%2%–15%

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden DonaldTrump Robert F.Kennedy Jr. Other /UndecidedYouGovMay 17–30, 2024700 (A)± 4.4%48%27%9%16%Suffolk UniversityApril 16–20, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%52%22%8%18%Suffolk UniversityFebruary 2–5, 20241,000 (LV)± 3.1%45%26%9%21%YouGovOctober 13–20, 2023700 (V)± 5.1%43%21%17%19%

Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden Robert F.Kennedy Jr. Other /UndecidedJohn Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024534 (LV)–48%42%10%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error Robert F.Kennedy Jr. DonaldTrump Other /UndecidedJohn Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024534 (LV)–46%33%21%

Results

By county County Kamala HarrisDemocratic Donald TrumpRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total # % # % # % # % Barnstable 88,129 59.23% 57,451 38.61% 3,205 2.15% 30,678 20.62% 148,785 Berkshire 47,094 68.58% 19,805 28.84% 1,775 2.58% 27,289 39.74% 68,674 Bristol 137,786 49.56% 134,196 48.27% 6,035 2.17% 3,590 1.29% 278,017 Dukes 9,137 74.84% 2,745 22.48% 327 2.68% 6,392 52.36% 12,209 Essex 236,624 58.88% 155,336 38.66% 9,891 2.46% 81,288 20.22% 401,851 Franklin 28,305 67.00% 12,428 29.42% 1,515 3.59% 15,877 37.58% 42,248 Hampden 110,937 53.18% 92,474 44.33% 5,193 2.49% 18,463 8.85% 208,604 Hampshire 58,617 69.19% 23,256 27.45% 2,847 3.36% 35,361 41.74% 84,720 Middlesex 554,471 68.05% 235,118 28.85% 25,243 3.10% 319,353 39.20% 814,832 Nantucket 4,784 67.21% 2,171 30.50% 163 2.29% 2,613 36.71% 7,118 Norfolk 242,712 62.81% 132,497 34.29% 11,238 2.91% 110,215 28.52% 386,447 Plymouth 159,962 53.30% 133,544 44.50% 6,623 2.21% 26,418 8.80% 300,129 Suffolk 222,280 74.29% 66,480 22.22% 10,433 3.49% 155,800 52.07% 299,193 Worcester 225,680 53.63% 183,802 43.67% 11,359 2.70% 41,878 9.96% 420,841Totals2,126,51861.22%1,251,30336.02%95,8472.76%875,21525.20%3,473,668

Athol Barre Fall River Florida Hanover Hardwick Lynnfield Millbury Northbridge Orange Pembroke Plympton Rockland Rutland Salisbury Saugus Seekonk Somerset Sutton Townsend Uxbridge Webster West Brookfield Westfield Westminster Westport Whitman

By congressional district Harris won all nine congressional districts. District Harris Trump Representative 55.53% 41.97% Richard Neal 60.26% 36.71% Jim McGovern 58.13% 39.25% Lori Trahan 58.44% 38.85% Jake Auchincloss 70.85% 25.97% Katherine Clark 59.04% 38.47% Seth Moulton 79.43% 16.77% Ayanna Pressley 61.72% 35.49% Stephen Lynch 54.29% 43.58% Bill Keating

Analysis Harris's 25.20% margin was similar to those of other 21st century Democratic nominees, albeit below Hillary Clinton's 27.20% margin in 2016 and Joe Biden's 33.46% margin in 2020, and she won every county in the state like all Democratic nominees from 1992 onward. However, despite remaining strongly Democratic, Massachusetts shifted significantly rightward in this election, with all of its counties shifting rightward. It had one of the largest swings of any state, swinging by 8%, which was more than the national swing of 6%. This was despite the state being one of the most liberal.

This was the first time that a Democrat won less than 50% of the vote in Bristol County since 1992, the closest a Republican had come to winning a county in Massachusetts since 1988, and the first time a Republican candidate won Fall River since 1924. Trump was initially ahead in Bristol County on election night before it narrowly stayed blue as more votes were counted. In addition, it was the first time a Republican candidate won Somerset since 1956, and the first time a Republican candidate won Westport and Seekonk (all in Bristol County) since 1984. Of the 351 municipalities in Massachusetts, Trump flipped 26, while Harris flipped none. A total of 339 municipalities shifted towards Trump, while only 12 shifted towards Harris. Harris's largest gain was in Gosnold, where she improved on Biden's margin of victory by 12.2%, while Trump's largest gain was in Lawrence, where he cut his margin of defeat by 31%. Despite losing the city to Harris by a wide margin, Trump managed to win two precincts in Boston, the first time in his three runs that he managed to win any.

Trump's gains were powered significantly by Hispanic Americans, which make up a significant percentage of the population of Massachusetts and shifted heavily to the right in 2024. Lawrence, a heavily Dominican American city in northern Massachusetts, gave Trump 43% of the vote, a gain of over 30% from 2020. The six most Hispanic cities in Massachusetts (namely Lawrence, Lynn, Everett, Chelsea, Holyoke, and Springfield) saw Harris' margin of victory drop a combined 18% from 2020.

Per the Fox News exit poll, Harris did better among voters making over $100,000 a year in Massachusetts (66–32%) than all other groups making less than $100,000 a year. Relatedly, Harris won voters with graduate degrees in Massachusetts in a landslide (75–22%), better than all other educational groups.

See also United States presidential elections in Massachusetts 2024 United States presidential election 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries 2024 United States elections

Notes

Partisan clients

References