The 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon took place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oregon voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Oregon has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat.
Democrats have won Oregon in every presidential election starting in 1988, and have consistently done so by double digits starting in 2008. A blue state, although not as strongly as neighboring California and Washington, Oregon is part of the Democratic-leaning West Coast, and was predicted to go comfortably for Democrat Kamala Harris (from neighboring California) in 2024.
Harris carried Oregon by a 14.3% margin, which was slightly closer than in 2020. Oregon shifted to the right by a much smaller margin than the majority of states in this election, as Joe Biden had won Oregon by 16.1% in 2020. This can also be said about neighboring Washington, which also largely resisted the national red wave. Oregon was one of the few states to have many counties shift leftward. Democrats also gained a U.S. House seat in Oregon in the concurrent U.S. House elections in Oregon.
Oregon and Washington shifted rightwards by less than 2%, much less than the national shift of about 6 percentage points, including the trend of Harris significantly underperforming Biden in many blue states, such as her home state of California. Trump's vote share in Oregon in this election marked the highest for a Republican candidate in a presidential election since Mitt Romney in 2012.
Harris also recorded the strongest Democratic presidential performance in Multnomah County in modern history.
Primary elections Republican primary
The Oregon Republican primary was held on May 21, 2024, the same date as the Kentucky caucuses.
Democratic primary
The Oregon Democratic primary was held on May 21, 2024, the same date as the Kentucky primary.
Minor parties Minor parties in Oregon nominate by nominating delegates to their national conventions, or for the We the People and Independent parties, holding a nominating convention. They are allowed to self-finance a primary, but no party chose to do so. The following candidates' nominations were accepted by Oregon's secretary of state:
+ Minor party nominations in Oregon Party Candidate Libertarian Chase Oliver We The People Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Progressive Party Cornel West Pacific Green Jill Stein Constitution Party Randall Terry
The Republican Party issued a legal challenge to Libertarian party ballot access that was rejected by the secretary of state.
General election Oregon is considered solidly Democratic, and Donald Trump did not pay the $3,500 required for a candidate statement in the ballot handbook, although candidate statements were provided by the Democratic, We the People, Libertarian, and Pacific Green candidates. Notably, Oregon's third-largest party, the Independent Party of Oregon, did not nominate a candidate, although it had cross-nominated Joe Biden in 2020.
In the early hours of October 28, an incendiary device was placed in a ballot drop box in Portland. A total of 3 ballots were damaged, while the rest were unharmed due to the ballot box's fire suppression system.
Predictions SourceRankingAs of Cook Political Report December 19, 2023 Inside Elections April 26, 2023 Sabato's Crystal Ball June 29, 2023 Decision Desk HQ/The Hill August 26, 2024 CNalysis December 30, 2023 The Economist September 12, 2024538 October 23, 2024 NBC News October 6, 2024 YouGov October 16, 2024 Split Ticket November 1, 2024
Polling Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error KamalaHarris DonaldTrump Other /UndecidedPublic Policy Polling (D)October 16–17, 2024716 (LV)± 3.7%53%41%6%Hoffman ResearchJuly 24–26, 2024700 (LV)± 3.7%49%44%7% Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error KamalaHarris DonaldTrump RobertKennedy Jr JillStein Other /UndecidedHoffman ResearchJuly 24–26, 2024700 (LV)± 3.7%45%40%7%1%7%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden DonaldTrump Other /UndecidedThe Bullfinch GroupApril 16–23, 2024250 (RV)± 6.2%52%40%8%John Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024419 (LV)–47%44%9%Emerson CollegeOctober 31 – November 1, 2022975 (LV)± 3.1%51%35%14%Emerson CollegeSeptember 30 – October 1, 2022796 (LV)± 3.4%50%41%9%
Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden DonaldTrump RobertKennedy Jr CornelWest JillStein Other /UndecidedThe Bullfinch GroupApril 16–23, 2024250 (RV)± 6.2%40%29%19%1%3%8% Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JoeBiden Robert F.Kennedy Jr. Other /UndecidedJohn Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024419 (LV)–40%49%11%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Donald Trump Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error Robert F.Kennedy Jr. DonaldTrump Other /UndecidedJohn Zogby StrategiesApril 13–21, 2024419 (LV)–42%39%19%
Results
By county County Kamala HarrisDemocratic Donald TrumpRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total # % # % # % # % Baker2,34324.17%7,06072.83%2913.00%-4,717-48.66%9,694 Benton33,90967.50%14,18728.24%2,1364.25%19,72239.26%50,232 Clackamas130,58053.03%106,38743.20%9,2733.77%24,1939.82%246,240 Clatsop12,53353.81%9,91342.56%8443.62%2,62011.25%23,290 Columbia12,89541.15%17,22754.98%1,2123.87%-4,332-13.83%31,334 Coos13,73138.42%20,84958.34%1,1553.23%-7,118-19.92%35,735 Crook3,83623.54%12,01273.71%4492.76%-8,176-50.17%16,297 Curry5,73740.40%8,00056.34%4633.26%-2,263-15.94%14,200 Deschutes68,10853.47%54,85043.06%4,4173.47%13,25810.41%127,375 Douglas18,38629.75%41,56167.24%1,8603.01%-23,175-37.50%61,807 Gilliam29125.66%80570.99%383.35%-514-45.33%1,134 Grant81618.31%3,49078.32%1503.37%-2,674-60.01%4,456 Harney79718.73%3,30777.72%1513.55%-2,510-58.99%4,255 Hood River8,36465.82%3,85430.33%4893.85%4,51035.49%12,707 Jackson54,06545.22%61,74351.64%3,7643.15%-7,678-6.42%119,572 Jefferson3,94133.54%7,45463.44%3553.02%-3,513-29.90%11,750 Josephine16,92834.11%31,12962.72%1,5713.17%-14,201-28.61%49,628 Klamath9,85627.75%24,67569.48%9842.77%-14,819-41.73%35,515 Lake68116.16%3,42181.20%1112.63%-2,740-65.04%4,213 Lane125,77559.53%77,37636.62%8,1343.85%48,39922.91%211,285 Lincoln17,11257.42%11,64539.07%1,0473.51%5,46718.34%29,804 Linn25,74936.05%43,07860.31%2,6023.64%-17,329-24.26%71,429 Malheur2,88426.35%7,71070.44%3513.21%-4,826-44.09%10,945 Marion73,97047.21%77,08949.20%5,6323.59%-3,119-1.99%156,691 Morrow1,13824.05%3,40872.02%1863.93%-2,270-47.97%4,732 Multnomah325,92778.68%70,75917.08%17,5644.24%255,16861.60%414,250 Polk22,03446.30%23,76849.94%1,7913.76%-1,734-3.64%47,593 Sherman23320.03%89076.53%403.44%-657-56.49%1,163 Tillamook7,74747.67%7,97149.05%5343.29%-224-1.38%16,252 Umatilla9,25129.63%20,97367.17%1,0013.21%-11,722-37.54%31,225 Union4,10728.18%9,94268.22%5253.60%-5,835-40.04%14,574 Wallowa1,57330.79%3,36665.90%1693.31%-1,793-35.10%5,108 Wasco6,06945.32%6,83751.06%4853.62%-768-5.74%13,391 Washington193,01364.78%92,59031.08%12,3464.14%100,42333.70%297,949 Wheeler21024.19%61871.20%404.61%-408-47.00%868 Yamhill26,01145.00%29,53651.10%2,2533.90%-3,525-6.10%57,800Totals1,240,60055.27%919,48040.97%84,4133.76%321,12014.31%2,244,493 County that flipped from Democratic to Republican Marion (largest city: Salem)
By congressional district Harris won five of six congressional districts. District Harris Trump Representative 66.71% 29.20%Suzanne Bonamici 34.93% 61.93%Cliff Bentz70.74%25.11%Earl Blumenauer (118th Congress)Maxine Dexter (119th Congress) 54.14% 42.16%Val Hoyle52.39%43.90%Lori Chavez-DeRemer (118th Congress)Janelle Bynum (119th Congress) 53.75% 42.45%Andrea Salinas
Analysis Trump flipped back Marion County, after losing it in 2020 but winning it in 2016.
Trump also became the first Republican to win the White House without winning Deschutes County since it was created in 1916. Deschutes County shifted leftward by about 2%, with Harris winning the highest vote share in the county since 1964.
See also United States presidential elections in Oregon 2024 United States presidential election 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries 2024 United States elections
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