2020 United States presidential election in Louisiana

The 2020 United States presidential election in Louisiana was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Louisiana voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Louisiana has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.

Trump won Louisiana on the day of the election 58.5% to 39.9%, a margin of 18.6%, down from 19.4% in 2016. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, his strength in Louisiana came from White born-again/Evangelical Christians as well as conservative Roman Catholics who have a high population in Louisiana, who supported Trump with 91% and 80% of their vote. On the issue of abortion, 57% of voters believed abortion should be illegal in most or all cases. As is the case in most southern states, there was a stark racial divide in voting for this election: Whites supported Trump by 77%–22% while African Americans supported Biden by 88%–10%.

Primary elections The primary elections were originally scheduled for April 4, 2020. On March 13, they were moved to June 20 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic. Then on April 14, they were further pushed back to July 11.

Republican primary Incumbent President Donald Trump was essentially uncontested in the Republican primary. The state has 46 delegates to the 2020 Republican National Convention.

Democratic primary

General election

Predictions SourceRankingAs ofThe Cook Political ReportSeptember 10, 2020Inside ElectionsSeptember 4, 2020Sabato's Crystal BallJuly 14, 2020PoliticoSeptember 8, 2020RCPAugust 3, 2020Niskanen2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions , Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.July 26, 2020CNNAugust 3, 2020The EconomistSeptember 23, 2020CBS NewsAugust 16, 2020270towinAugust 2, 2020ABC NewsJuly 31, 2020NPRAugust 3, 2020NBC NewsAugust 6, 2020538November 2, 2020

Polling

Aggregate polls +Source of pollaggregationDates administeredDates updatedJoeBiden DonaldTrumpOther/UndecidedMargin270 to WinOctober 14–27, 2020November 3, 202036.0%56.5%7.5%Trump +20.5FiveThirtyEightuntil November 2, 2020November 3, 202037.1%57.6%5.3%Trump +20.6Average36.6%57.1%6.4%Trump +20.5

Polls Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrumpJoeBidenJoJorgensenHowieHawkinsOtherUndecidedSurveyMonkey/AxiosOct 20 – Nov 2, 20201,556 (LV)± 3.5%62%36% – – – –SwayableOct 23 – Nov 1, 2020378 (LV)± 6.7%57%39%4% – – –SurveyMonkey/AxiosOct 1–28, 20202,633 (LV) –60%38% – – – –University of New OrleansOct 22, 2020755 (LV)± 3.6%59%36% – –4%1%Trafalgar GroupOct 4–6, 20201,048 (LV)± 2.95%54%36%3% –1%6%SurveyMonkey/AxiosSep 1–30, 20202,475 (LV) –60%38% – – –2%Tyson Group/Consumer Energy AllianceSep 2–5, 2020 600 (LV) ± 4%48%42% 2% – No voters7%SurveyMonkey/AxiosAug 1–31, 20202,587 (LV) –59%38% – – –2%Trafalgar Group Aug 13–17, 2020 1,002 (LV) ± 2.99%54% 38% 3% – 1% 4%ALG Research/Perkins for LA Aug 6–12, 2020 800 (LV) ± 3.5%50% 43% – – – 7%SurveyMonkey/AxiosJul 1–31, 20202,998 (LV) –60%39% – – –2%SurveyMonkey/AxiosJun 8–30, 20201,134 (LV) –60%37% – – –3%with Donald Trump and Generic Opponent Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) GenericOpponent Other UndecidedMulti-Quest International/The Hay Ride Jul 19–21, 2019 601 (RV) ± 4%50% 39% 1% 10%Market Research Insight Apr 9–11, 2019 600 (LV) ± 4.1%54% 37% – 10%

with Generic Republican and Generic Democrat Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin GenericRepublican GenericDemocratFabrizio, Lee & Associates/LaPolitics Aug 6–12, 2020 600 (RV) ± 3.5%47% 43%

Results

By parish ParishDonald TrumpRepublicanJoe BidenDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Acadia22,59679.49%5,44319.15%3861.36%17,15360.34%28,425Allen7,57477.21%2,10821.49%1281.30%5,46655.72%9,810Ascension40,68765.28%20,39932.73%1,2391.99%20,28832.55%62,325Assumption7,27164.72%3,83334.12%1311.16%3,43830.60%11,235Avoyelles12,02869.56%4,97928.79%2851.65%7,04940.77%17,292Beauregard13,57582.99%2,54215.54%2401.47%11,03367.45%16,357Bienville3,89155.19%3,06743.50%921.31%82411.69%7,050Bossier38,07469.66%15,66228.66%9191.68%22,41241.00%54,655Caddo48,02145.77%55,11052.53%1,7811.70%-7,089-6.76%104,912Calcasieu55,06666.62%25,98231.43%1,6151.95%29,08435.19%82,663Caldwell3,97683.49%74515.64%410.87%3,23167.85%4,762Cameron3,67190.89%3248.02%441.09%3,34782.87%4,039Catahoula3,54172.89%1,26926.12%480.99%2,27246.77%4,858Claiborne3,77057.29%2,73141.50%791.21%1,03915.79%6,580Concordia5,55062.87%3,17735.99%1011.14%2,37326.88%8,828DeSoto9,11261.83%5,45737.03%1671.14%3,65524.80%14,736East Baton Rouge88,42042.47%115,57755.52%4,1852.01%-27,157-13.05%208,182East Carroll1,08035.57%1,90062.58%561.85%-820-27.01%3,036East Feliciana6,06457.70%4,28040.73%1651.57%1,78416.97%10,509Evangeline11,05371.72%4,15826.98%2011.30%6,89544.74%15,412Franklin6,97071.71%2,65827.35%920.94%4,31244.36%9,720Grant8,11786.42%1,15712.32%1181.26%6,96074.10%9,392Iberia21,25164.96%11,02733.71%4351.33%10,22431.25%32,713Iberville7,89347.21%8,51450.92%3121.87%-621-3.71%16,719Jackson5,39470.68%2,14328.08%951.24%3,25142.60%7,632Jefferson105,94954.69%84,47743.60%3,3071.71%21,47211.09%193,733Jefferson Davis11,42376.97%3,20821.62%2101.41%8,21555.35%14,841Lafayette72,51963.32%39,68534.65%2,3172.03%32,83428.67%114,521Lafourche36,02479.37%8,67219.11%6921.52%27,35260.26%45,388LaSalle6,37890.12%6389.02%610.86%5,74081.10%7,077Lincoln11,31158.68%7,55939.22%4052.10%3,75219.46%19,275Livingston54,87784.13%9,24914.18%1,1041.69%45,62869.95%65,230Madison1,93041.33%2,65456.83%861.84%-724-15.50%4,670Morehouse6,51056.25%4,94642.73%1181.02%1,56413.52%11,574Natchitoches9,35856.53%6,89641.66%3001.81%2,46214.87%16,554Orleans26,66415.00%147,85483.15%3,3011.85%-121,190-68.15%177,819Ouachita42,25561.09%25,91337.46%9981.45%16,34223.63%69,166Plaquemines7,41267.30%3,41431.00%1881.70%3,99836.30%11,014Pointe Coupee7,50360.65%4,68337.85%1851.50%2,82022.80%12,371Rapides38,34765.14%19,47533.08%1,0431.78%18,87232.06%58,865Red River2,41358.40%1,64439.79%751.81%76918.61%4,132Richland6,60766.47%3,22532.44%1081.09%3,38234.03%9,940Sabine8,77682.82%1,73116.34%890.84%7,04566.48%10,596St. Bernard11,17963.34%6,15134.85%3201.81%5,02828.49%17,650St. Charles18,23363.94%9,80034.37%4841.69%7,43329.57%28,517St. Helena2,71444.07%3,34654.34%981.59%-632-10.27%6,158St. James5,95447.29%6,51051.71%1261.00%-556-4.42%12,590St. John the Baptist7,53835.17%13,58263.37%3121.46%-6,044-28.20%21,432St. Landry23,17156.30%17,37242.21%6111.49%5,79914.09%41,154St. Martin18,20367.32%8,43931.21%3961.47%9,76436.11%27,038St. Mary14,81163.88%8,05534.74%3201.38%6,76629.14%23,186St. Tammany99,66671.13%37,74626.94%2,6981.93%61,92044.19%140,110Tangipahoa37,80665.57%18,88732.76%9681.67%18,91932.81%57,661Tensas1,19746.87%1,32952.04%281.09%-132-5.17%2,554Terrebonne34,33974.26%11,19824.22%7031.52%23,14150.04%46,240Union8,40775.06%2,65423.69%1401.25%5,75351.37%11,201Vermilion21,93080.26%5,00918.33%3851.41%16,92161.93%27,324Vernon14,10781.69%2,89816.78%2631.53%11,20964.91%17,268Washington13,30768.20%5,97030.59%2361.21%7,33737.61%19,513Webster11,83064.94%6,17233.88%2141.18%5,65831.06%18,216West Baton Rouge7,68454.51%6,20043.98%2131.51%1,48410.53%14,097West Carroll4,31785.45%71014.05%250.50%3,60771.40%5,052West Feliciana3,86361.63%2,29836.66%1071.71%1,56524.97%6,268Winn4,61974.20%1,54324.79%631.01%3,07649.41%6,225Totals1,255,77658.46%856,03439.85%36,2521.69%399,74218.61%2,148,062

By congressional district Trump won five of the six congressional districts in Louisiana. District Trump Biden Representative 68% 30%Steve Scalise 23% 76%Cedric Richmond 68% 30%Clay Higgins 61% 37%Mike Johnson 64% 34%Ralph Abraham 65% 33%Garret Graves

Notes

Partisan clients

See also United States presidential elections in Louisiana Presidency of Joe Biden 2020 Louisiana elections 2020 United States presidential election 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries 2020 United States elections

References

Further reading

External links

(State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)

. (Guidance to help voters get to the polls; addresses transport, childcare, work, information challenges)