2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma

The 2020 United States presidential election in Oklahoma was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oklahoma voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, incumbent President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Oklahoma has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.

Trump easily carried Oklahoma on Election Day by a margin of 33.08%, down from 36.39 points in 2016. Oklahoma was one of two states where Trump won every county (though Oklahoma County was won by a plurality of votes, compared to the absolute majorities achieved across the state), the other being West Virginia. This also signaled the fifth consecutive election in which the Republican candidate carried every county in the state, including those counties encompassed by Native American reservations. In this election, Trump also became the first presidential candidate ever to win more than a million votes in Oklahoma. Biden, however, came within 3,326 votes of winning Oklahoma's most populous county Oklahoma County, and won more than 40% of the vote in Oklahoma's second-most populous county Tulsa. No Democratic presidential candidate has won Oklahoma County since Lyndon B. Johnson in his 1964 landslide, or Tulsa County since Franklin D. Roosevelt in his 1936 landslide. This is the first election since 2000 in which not every county voted in the majority for the Republican, as Oklahoma County was won by Republicans with a 49.21% plurality. However, these gains in urban Oklahoma were partly offset by continued falloff in southeast Oklahoma, where Biden even underperformed Hillary Clinton's performance four years earlier in most counties.

Primary elections The primary elections were held on Super Tuesday, March 3, 2020.

Republican primary Donald Trump and Bill Weld were among the declared Republican candidates.

Democratic primary Bernie Sanders, Elizabeth Warren, and former Vice President Joe Biden were the major declared Democratic candidates.

Libertarian nominee

Jo Jorgensen, Psychology senior lecturer at Clemson University

Independent candidates Three unaffiliated candidates filed to be on the Oklahoma presidential ballot, all by paying a $35,000 fee. Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins filed a lawsuit challenging the amount of the filing fee.

Brock Pierce, cryptocurrency entrepreneur and former child actor Jade Simmons, concert artist, speaker, and author Kanye West, musician

Ballot order Oklahoma determines ballot order by lot, with unaffiliated candidates listed below candidates of recognized parties. The drawing was held on July 16, with the resulting order for political parties being Republican, Libertarian, Democrat. The unaffiliated candidates for president were listed in this order: Jade Simmons, Kanye West, Brock Pierce.

General election

Predictions SourceRankingAs ofThe Cook Political ReportSeptember 10, 2020Inside ElectionsSeptember 4, 2020Sabato's Crystal BallJuly 14, 2020PoliticoSeptember 8, 2020RCPAugust 3, 2020Niskanen2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions , Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.July 26, 2020CNNAugust 3, 2020The EconomistSeptember 2, 2020CBS NewsAugust 16, 2020270towinAugust 2, 2020ABC NewsJuly 31, 2020NPRAugust 3, 2020NBC NewsAugust 6, 2020538September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

Aggregate polls +Source of pollaggregationDates administeredDates updatedJoeBiden DonaldTrumpOther/UndecidedMargin270 to Win270 to WinOctober 17–21, 2020November 3, 202038.5%58.5%3.0%Trump +20.0FiveThirtyEightFiveThirtyEightuntil November 2, 2020November 3, 202036.2%59.2%4.6%Trump +23.0Average37.4%58.9%3.7%Trump +21.5

Polls Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrumpJoeBidenJoJorgensenOtherUndecided SurveyMonkey/AxiosSurveyMonkey/AxiosOct 20 – Nov 2, 20201,902 (LV)± 3%65%35% –SurveyMonkey/AxiosOct 1–28, 20203,191 (LV) –59%40% – – –SoonerPoll/News 9/News on 6SoonerPoll/News 9/News on 6Oct 15–20, 20205,466 (LV)± 1.33%59%37% 1%2%2%SurveyMonkey/AxiosSep 1–30, 20201,174 (LV) –63%35% – –2%Amber IntegratedAmber IntegratedSep 17–20, 2020500 (LV)± 4.38%55%33% 1%5%6%SoonerPoll/News9SoonerPoll/News9Sep 2–8, 2020486 (LV)± 4.45%60%35% –1%4%SoonerPollSoonerPollAug 13–31, 2020379 (LV)± 5.03%60%35% –2%4%SurveyMonkey/AxiosAug 1–31, 20201,009 (LV) –64%35% – –2%SurveyMonkey/AxiosJul 1–31, 20201,410 (LV) –64%34% – –4%DFM Research/Abby Broyles for US SenateDFM Research/Abby Broyles for US SenateJul 29–30, 2020572 (LV)± 4.1%56%36% –5%3%SurveyMonkey/AxiosJun 8–30, 2020591 (LV) –61%37% – –1%Amber IntegratedAmber IntegratedJun 3–4, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%55%36% –4%5%Amber IntegratedAmber IntegratedMar 5–8, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4%57%33% –4%5%Cole Hargrave Snodgrass& Associates/OK SoonerCole Hargrave Snodgrass& Associates/OK SoonerFeb 10–13, 2020500 (RV)± 4.3%62%34% – –4%

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) BernieSanders (D) Other UndecidedAmber IntegratedMar 5–8, 2020500 (LV)± 4.4 %59%30%5%5%Cole Hargrave Snodgrass& Associates/OK SoonerFeb 10–13, 2020500 (RV)± 4.3%63%34% –3%

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) PeteButtigieg (D) Other UndecidedCole Hargrave Snodgrass& Associates/OK SoonerFeb 10–13, 2020500 (RV)± 4.3%61%35% –3% Donald Trump vs. Generic Democrat Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrump (R) GenericDemocrat (D) Independent UndecidedAmber IntegratedAmber Integrated Dec. 4-6, 2019500 (RV)4.38%54%27%8%10%

Results

By county CountyDonald TrumpRepublicanJoe BidenDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Adair5,58578.57%1,38719.51%1361.92%4,19859.06%7,108Alfalfa1,97887.44%23210.26%522.30%1,74677.18%2,262Atoka4,55784.56%76514.20%671.24%3,79270.36%5,389Beaver1,96890.36%1908.72%200.92%1,77881.64%2,178Beckham6,76785.14%1,04813.19%1331.67%5,71971.95%7,948Blaine3,13680.39%68817.64%771.97%2,44862.75%3,901Bryan12,34477.27%3,32320.80%3091.93%9,02156.47%15,976Caddo7,01371.13%2,67027.08%1761.79%4,34344.05%9,859Canadian43,55070.31%16,74227.03%1,6482.66%26,80843.28%61,940Carter14,69975.46%4,47022.95%3101.59%10,22952.51%19,479Cherokee11,22363.36%6,02734.02%4642.62%5,19629.34%17,714Choctaw4,69880.56%1,08218.55%520.89%3,61662.01%5,832Cimarron97092.03%706.64%141.43%90085.39%1,054Cleveland66,67755.67%49,82741.60%3,2742.73%16,85014.07%119,778Coal2,09182.84%37414.82%592.34%1,71768.02%2,524Comanche20,90558.67%13,74738.58%9792.75%7,15820.09%35,631Cotton2,11782.31%39315.28%622.41%1,72467.03%2,572Craig4,68677.69%1,21720.18%1292.13%3,46957.51%6,032Creek23,29476.36%6,57721.56%6342.08%16,71754.80%30,505Custer8,06075.39%2,36922.16%2622.45%5,69153.23%10,691Delaware13,55778.61%3,47220.13%2161.26%10,08558.48%17,245Dewey2,12490.04%2149.07%210.89%1,91080.97%2,359Ellis1,68890.12%1628.65%231.23%1,52681.47%1,873Garfield16,97075.66%4,91921.93%5412.41%12,05153.73%22,430Garvin8,87881.29%1,86517.08%1791.63%7,01364.21%10,922Grady18,53880.25%4,14417.94%4191.81%14,39462.31%23,101Grant1,91686.07%28012.58%301.35%1,63673.49%2,226Greer1,60581.35%32816.62%402.03%1,27764.73%1,973Harmon74780.06%17718.97%90.97%57061.09%933Harper1,32789.24%1369.15%241.61%1,19180.09%1,487Haskell4,16583.07%78315.62%661.51%3,38267.45%5,014Hughes3,87579.78%91918.92%631.30%2,95660.86%4,857Jackson6,39277.75%1,64620.02%1832.23%4,74657.73%8,221Jefferson2,02684.95%31913.38%401.67%1,70771.57%2,385Johnston3,44180.95%73817.36%721.69%2,70363.59%4,251Kay12,83474.40%4,04023.42%3752.18%8,79450.98%17,249Kingfisher5,52185.40%85413.21%901.39%4,66772.19%6,465Kiowa2,67378.00%69920.40%551.60%1,97457.60%3,427Latimer3,43780.89%76217.93%501.18%2,67562.96%4,249LeFlore15,21380.90%3,29917.54%2931.56%11,91463.36%18,805Lincoln12,01380.69%2,60917.52%2661.79%9,40463.17%14,888Logan15,60872.35%5,45525.29%5112.36%10,15347.06%21,574Love3,30581.08%71117.44%601.48%2,59463.64%4,076McClain15,29579.51%3,58218.62%3591.87%11,71360.89%19,236McCurtain9,48582.72%1,85816.20%1241.08%7,62766.52%11,467McIntosh6,17274.05%2,03124.37%1321.58%4,14149.68%8,335Major3,08488.95%3209.23%631.82%2,76479.72%3,467Marshall4,89180.66%1,10018.14%731.20%3,79162.52%6,064Mayes12,74976.68%3,58121.54%2961.78%9,16855.14%16,626Murray4,61278.25%1,15619.61%1262.14%3,45658.64%5,894Muskogee16,52665.89%8,02732.00%5282.11%8,49933.89%25,081Noble3,82177.38%1,00320.31%1142.31%2,81857.07%4,938Nowata3,61082.21%71216.21%691.58%2,89866.00%4,391Okfuskee3,05875.73%89622.19%842.08%2,06253.54%4,038Oklahoma145,05049.21%141,72448.08%7,9662.71%3,3261.13%294,740Okmulgee9,66867.55%4,35730.44%2882.01%5,31137.11%14,313Osage14,12168.76%6,00229.22%4152.02%8,11939.54%20,538Ottawa8,54574.71%2,68623.48%2071.81%5,85951.23%11,438Pawnee5,26777.62%1,36320.09%1562.29%3,90457.53%6,786Payne17,81360.09%10,90436.78%9263.13%6,90923.31%29,643Pittsburg13,85177.28%3,76821.02%3051.70%10,08356.26%17,924Pontotoc10,80570.53%4,11726.87%3982.60%6,68843.66%15,320Pottawatomie20,24071.81%7,27525.81%6702.38%12,96546.00%28,185Pushmataha4,01684.74%66814.10%551.16%3,34870.64%4,739Roger Mills1,62988.82%1689.16%372.02%1,46179.66%1,834Rogers34,03176.38%9,58921.52%9332.10%24,44254.86%44,553Seminole6,01172.10%2,15025.79%1762.11%3,86146.31%8,337Sequoyah12,11378.73%3,03519.73%2381.54%9,07859.00%15,386Stephens15,56081.65%3,15416.55%3431.80%12,40465.10%19,057Texas4,50581.60%89416.19%1222.21%3,61165.41%5,521Tillman2,07676.66%59722.05%351.29%1,47954.61%2,708Tulsa150,57456.46%108,99640.87%7,1082.67%41,57815.59%266,678Wagoner26,16574.04%8,46423.95%7092.01%17,70150.09%35,338Washington17,07672.66%5,79024.64%6352.70%11,28648.02%23,501Washita4,08685.53%59812.52%931.95%3,48873.01%4,777Woods2,99381.38%59116.07%942.55%2,40265.31%3,678Woodward6,61184.92%1,00512.91%1692.17%5,60672.01%7,785Totals1,020,28065.37%503,89032.29%36,5292.34%516,39033.08%1,560,699

By congressional district Trump won all five congressional districts. District Trump Biden Representative 60% 37%Kevin Hern 76% 22%Markwayne Mullin 75% 23%Frank Lucas 65% 32%Tom Cole51%46%Kendra Horn (116th Congress)Stephanie Bice (117th Congress)

Electors Republican Party electors Ronda Vuillemont-Smith, Lonnie Lu Anderson, Chris Martin, Steve Fair, Linda Huggard, A. J. Ferate, Carolyn McLarty

Libertarian Party electors Erin Adams, Danny Chabino, Drew Cook, Kevin Hobbie, Rex Lawhorn, Jay Norton, Victoria Whitfield

Democratic Party electors Judy Eason McIntyre, Eric Proctor, Jeff Berrong, Christine Byrd, Demetrios Bereolos, Pamela Iron, Shevonda Steward

Electors for Jade Simmons Shanda Carter, Terrence Stephens, Hope Stephens, Elizabeth Stephens, Dakota Hooks, Phalanda Boyd, Quincy Boyd

Electors for Kanye West April Anderson, Craig Alan Weygandt, Will Flanagan, Tom Krup, Megan Krup, Gretchen Schrupp, David Schrupp

Electors for Brock Pierce Robert Murphy, Susan Darlene Murphy, Richard Prawdzienski, Jessy Artman, David Selinger, Shane Wayne Howell, Angela McCaslin

Analysis Oklahoma, a majority-White, mainly-rural state sandwiched between the South and the Midwest, has long been a Republican stronghold at the presidential level, although Democrats did well in state-level elections until the 2000s. Four of five congressional seats are considered non-competitive for Democrats, and it has not voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson carried it in 1964, against the backdrop of his nationwide landslide victory. Oklahoma was last competitive at the presidential level in 1996.