2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Michigan were held on November 8, 2022, to elect representatives for the thirteen seats in Michigan (reduced from 14 in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 United States census). The deadline for candidates to file for the August 2 primary was April 19. The congressional makeup prior to the election was seven Democrats and seven Republicans. However, after the 2020 census, Michigan lost one congressional seat. Democrats won a majority of seats in the state for the first time since 2008. This can be partly attributed to the decrease in the number of districts, which resulted in two Republican incumbents – Bill Huizenga and Fred Upton – in the new 4th district. Redistricting also played a part in shifting partisan lean of the districts which favored the Democrats overall, including in the 3rd district, which Democrats were able to flip with a margin of victory of 13 points. That was made possible by a non-partisan citizens' commission drawing the new political boundaries instead of the Michigan legislature after a 2018 ballot proposal was approved.

District 1

The 1st district covers the Upper Peninsula and the northern part of the Lower Peninsula, including Traverse City. The incumbent was Republican Jack Bergman, who was re-elected with 61.6% of the vote in 2020. The winner was Jack Bergman.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee Jack Bergman, incumbent U.S. representative

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee Bob Lorinser, physician

Results

General election

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report December 28, 2021 Inside Elections January 13, 2022 Sabato's Crystal Ball January 4, 2022PoliticoApril 5, 2022RCPJune 9, 2022Fox News July 11, 2022DDHQJuly 20, 2022538June 30, 2022The Economist September 28, 2022

Endorsements

Results

District 2

The 2nd district runs along the eastern shoreline of Lake Michigan from Manistee to northern Muskegon County, includes parts of the Grand Rapids suburbs in Kent county, and parts of Central Michigan, including Mount Pleasant and western Midland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican John Moolenaar of the 4th congressional district, who was re-elected with 65.0% of the vote in 2020. The winner was John Moolenaar.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee John Moolenaar, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary Tom Norton, veteran

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee Jerry Hilliard, nominee for Michigan's 4th congressional district in 2020

Results

General election

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report December 28, 2021 Inside Elections January 13, 2022 Sabato's Crystal Ball January 4, 2022PoliticoApril 5, 2022RCPJune 9, 2022Fox News July 11, 2022DDHQJuly 20, 2022538June 30, 2022The Economist September 28, 2022

Results

District 3

The 3rd district is based in western Michigan, and includes Grand Rapids, Muskegon, and parts of Ottawa County. The incumbent was Republican Peter Meijer, who was elected with 53.0% of the vote in 2020, but lost in the primary to pro-Trump candidate John Gibbs on August 2, 2022; as he was one of ten House Republicans who voted to impeach Donald Trump after the January 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol.

In the final days of the primary, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee bought $425,000 in TV ads that ostensibly attacked Gibbs (identifying him as "too conservative for West Michigan" and linking him to Trump) but were in fact designed to boost Gibbs' standing among pro-Trump Republican primary voters. The strategy—controversial within the Democratic Party—was based on the idea that Gibbs would be the weaker opponent in the general election, giving the Democrats an opportunity to win the 3rd district seat,Sarah Ferris and Ally Mutnick, House Dems berate campaign arm over 'very dangerous' GOP primary scheme, Politico (July 27, 2022).Jonathan Weisman, Democrats Aid Far-Right Candidate Against Republican Who Backed Impeachment, New York Times (July 26, 2022). which following the 2020 redistricting cycle had shifted from a Republican-leaning district to a swing district. Democrat Hillary Scholten flipped the district, winning by 12.93%. In flipping the district to the Democratic side, Scholten became the first Democratic member of Congress from the area since 1977.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee John Gibbs, former Assistant Secretary of Housing and Urban Development for Community Planning and Development and software engineer

Eliminated in primary Peter Meijer, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JohnGibbs AudraLemons-Johnson GabriellaManolache PeterMeijer UndecidedImpact Research (D)Impact Research (D)January 11–13, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%13%4%2%26%55%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee Hillary Scholten, attorney and nominee for Michigan's 3rd congressional district in 2020

Results

General election

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report August 5, 2022 Inside Elections October 21, 2022 Sabato's Crystal Ball September 7, 2022Politico August 12, 2022RCP August 3, 2022Fox News October 11, 2022DDHQNovember 1, 2022538October 20, 2022The Economist September 28, 2022

Endorsements

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error JohnGibbs (R) HillaryScholten (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling (D)May 25–26, 2022676 (V)± 3.8%35%44%21%

Peter Meijer vs. Hillary Scholten Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error PeterMeijer (R) HillaryScholten (D) UndecidedPublic Policy Polling (D)May 25–26, 2022676 (V)± 3.8%37%39%24%

Results

District 4

The 4th district is based in southwestern Michigan, and includes the cities of Kalamazoo and Holland. Due to redistricting, there were two incumbents in this district – Republican Bill Huizenga of the 2nd congressional district, who was re-elected with 59.2% of the vote in 2020, and Republican Fred Upton of the 6th congressional district, who was re-elected with 55.8% of the vote in 2020. Upton announced that he would be retiring at the end of his term. The winner was Bill Huizenga.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee Bill Huizenga, incumbent U.S. representative

Withdrawn Steve Carra, state representative (running for re-election, endorsed Huizenga)

Declined Fred Upton, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee Joseph Alfonso, member of the Michigan State Plumbing Board, non-profit treasurer, and U.S. Marine Corps veteran

Withdrawn Chris Glasser

Endorsements

Results

General election

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report June 15, 2022 Inside Elections June 15, 2022 Sabato's Crystal Ball June 15, 2022Politico June 14, 2022RCP June 9, 2022Fox News July 11, 2022DDHQJuly 20, 2022538June 30, 2022The Economist September 28, 2022

Results

District 5

The 5th district runs along Michigan's entire southern border with Indiana and Ohio and includes the cities of Three Rivers, Jackson, and Monroe. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Republican Tim Walberg of the 7th congressional district, who was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2020. The winner was Tim Walberg.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee Tim Walberg, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary Sherry O'Donnell, osteopathic physician

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee Bart Goldberg, attorney

Results

General election Endorsements

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report December 28, 2021 Inside Elections January 13, 2022 Sabato's Crystal Ball January 4, 2022PoliticoApril 5, 2022RCPJune 9, 2022Fox News July 11, 2022DDHQJuly 20, 2022538June 30, 2022The Economist September 28, 2022

Results

District 6

The 6th district is based in southeastern Michigan, taking in Washtenaw County, parts of Wayne and Oakland counties, including the cities of Ann Arbor, Canton, Novi, and Ypsilanti. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Debbie Dingell of the 12th congressional district, who was re-elected with 66.4% of the vote in 2020. The winner was Debbie Dingell.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee Debbie Dingell, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee Whittney Williams, auto show product specialist and candidate for Michigan's 11th congressional district in 2020

Eliminated in primary Hima Kolanagireddy, businesswoman

Results

General election

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report December 28, 2021 Inside Elections January 13, 2022 Sabato's Crystal Ball January 4, 2022PoliticoApril 5, 2022RCPJune 9, 2022Fox News July 11, 2022DDHQJuly 20, 2022538June 30, 2022The Economist September 28, 2022

Results

District 7

The 7th district is based around the Lansing–East Lansing metropolitan area, but also includes Livingston County and a small part of Oakland County. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Elissa Slotkin of the 8th congressional district, who was re-elected with 50.9% of the vote in 2020.

In 2018, total campaign spending for the seat won by Slotkin drew the highest amount for a U.S. House seat in Michigan's history. In October 2022, the Slotkin–Barrett race was the most expensive House race nationwide. The winner was Elissa Slotkin.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee Elissa Slotkin, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee Tom Barrett, state senator from the 24th district

Declined John James, businessman, former U.S. Army captain and Republican nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2018 and 2020 (running in Michigan's 10th congressional district) Paul Junge, former news anchor for FOX 47 News, former external affairs director at ICE, and nominee for Michigan's 8th congressional district in 2020 (running in Michigan's 8th congressional district)

Endorsements

Results

General election

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report June 15, 2022 Inside Elections June 15, 2022 Sabato's Crystal Ball November 7, 2022Politico June 14, 2022RCP June 9, 2022Fox News July 11, 2022Decision Desk HQNovember 4, 2022538October 20, 2022The Economist November 8, 2022

Post-primary endorsements

Polling Aggregate polls Source of pollaggregationDatesadministeredDatesupdated ElissaSlotkin (D) TomBarrett (R) UndecidedMarginFiveThirtyEightFiveThirtyEightApril 10 – November 2, 2022November 3, 202247.7%44.3%8.0%Slotkin +3.4

Graphical summary

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error ElissaSlotkin (D) TomBarrett (R) Other UndecidedMitchell ResearchMitchell ResearchNovember 2, 2022402 (LV)± 4.9%48%48%–4%The Glengariff Group, Inc.The Glengariff Group, Inc.October 18–20, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%47%41%4%8%Target InsyghtTarget InsyghtSeptember 12–14, 2022500 (LV)± 4.5%56%38%–6%Cygnal (R)Cygnal (R)June 14–16, 2022400 (LV)± 4.7%44%46%–10%Slingshot Strategies (D)Slingshot Strategies (D)April 10–15, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%40%34%4%19%

Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error GenericDemocrat GenericRepublican Other UndecidedCygnal (R)June 14–16, 2022400 (LV)± 4.7%39%50%–10%Slingshot Strategies (D)April 10–15, 2022600 (RV)± 4.0%39%39%4%16%Cygnal (R)Cygnal (R)November 17–18, 2021414 (LV)± 4.8%41%51%–8%

Results

District 8

The 8th district centers around the Saginaw Bay and includes the cities of Flint, Saginaw, Bay City, and Midland. Due to redistricting, the incumbent was Democrat Dan Kildee of the 5th congressional district, who was re-elected with 54.5% of the vote in 2020. The winner was Dan Kildee.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee Dan Kildee, incumbent U.S. representative

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee