2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana were held on November 8, 2022, to elect two U.S. Representatives from Montana, one from each of its congressional districts. Prior to this election cycle, Montana had one at-large district, represented by Republican Matt Rosendale. However, during the 2020 redistricting cycle, Montana regained the that it lost in 1993.

As a result, Montana became the first state relegated from multi-district to at-large status that reclaimed a second representative in the House of Representatives, in which Rosendale ran for re-election.

Overview District DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % 123,102 49.65% 115,265 46.49% 9,593 3.87% 247,960 100.00% Republican gain 121,979 56.56% 43,480 20.16% 50,213 23.28% 215,672 100.00% Republican holdTotal 245,081 52.86% 158,745 34.24% 59,806 12.90% 463,632 100.00%

District 1

The 1st district is based in mountainous Western Montana, including the cities of Missoula, Bozeman and Butte. Prior to redistricting in 2021, it was represented along with the rest of the state by representative Matt Rosendale. Since Rosendale ran for re-election in the 2nd district, this district was an open seat.

Republican primary Candidates Nominee Ryan Zinke, former U.S. Secretary of the Interior and former U.S. Representative from

Eliminated in primary Mitch Heuer Matt Jette, teacher and perennial candidate Albert Olszewski, former state senator, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and for Governor of Montana in 2020 Mary Todd, pastor

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary Candidates Nominee Monica Tranel, former Olympian and nominee for District 4 of the Montana Public Service Commission in 2020

Eliminated in primary Cora Neumann, public health expert, founder of the Global First Ladies Alliance and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 Tom Winter, former state representative and candidate for in 2020

Withdrew Laurie Bishop, state representative

Declined Kimberly Dudik, former state representative and candidate for Montana Attorney General in 2020 Shane Morigeau, state senator and nominee for Montana State Auditor in 2020 (ran for re-election) Whitney Williams, businesswoman, daughter of former U.S. Representative Pat Williams, and candidate for Governor of Montana in 2020

Endorsements

Results

Libertarian primary Candidates Nominee John Lamb, farmer and business owner

General election Debate + 2022 Montana's 1st congressional district debate Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic LibertarianKey: Participant Absent Not invited Invited Withdrawn Ryan Zinke Monica Tranel John Lamb1 Oct. 1, 2022 KTVQ Donna KellyYouTube

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report October 19, 2022 Inside Elections October 7, 2022 Sabato's Crystal Ball October 19, 2022Politico April 5, 2022RCPJune 9, 2022Fox News October 18, 2022DDHQSeptember 29, 2022538November 8, 2022The Economist September 28, 2022

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error RyanZinke (R) MonicaTranel (D) JohnLamb (L) UndecidedMSU BillingsMSU BillingsOctober 3–14, 2022<343 (V)± 5.9%34%25%17%20%Victoria Research (D)Victoria Research (D)September 14–19, 2022400 (LV)± 3.4%41%40%8%11%Impact Research (D)Impact Research (D)September 14–19, 2022400 (LV)± 4.9%45%43%3%9%

Results

By county County Ryan ZinkeRepublican Monica TranelDemocratic John LambLibertarian Margin Total Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % VotesBeaverhead3,00466.36%1,33029.38%1934.26%1,67436.98%4,527Deer Lodge1,51037.96%2,25656.71%2125.33%-746-18.75%3,978Flathead29,29061.37%16,57134.72%1,8643.91%12,71926.65%47,725Gallatin22,28842.18%28,74754.40%1,8103.43%-6,459-12.22%52,845Glacier1,21339.49%1,74856.90%1113.61%-535-17.42%3,072Granite1,14964.48%53329.91%1005.61%61634.57%1,782Lake7,38955.48%5,38840.46%5414.06%2,00115.02%13,318Lincoln6,68771.65%2,20023.57%4464.78%4,48748.08%9,333Madison3,29065.39%1,48329.48%2585.13%1,80735.92%5,031Mineral1,45866.76%58026.56%1466.68%87840.20%2,184Missoula18,84633.33%35,99163.66%1,7033.01%-17,145-30.32%56,540Pondera (part)46164.57%22731.79%263.64%23432.77%714Powell1,76268.48%63924.83%1726.68%1,12343.65%2,573Ravalli15,15864.32%7,52331.92%8863.76%7,63532.40%23,567Sanders4,54968.67%1,61524.38%4606.94%2,93444.29%6,624Silver Bow5,04835.68%8,43459.62%6654.70%-3,386-23.93%14,147Totals123,10249.65%115,26546.49%9,5933.87%7,8373.16%247,960

District 2

The 2nd district encompasses much of the state east of the Continental Divide, including the cities of Billings, Great Falls and Helena. Incumbent Matt Rosendale, a Republican who was elected in the with 56.4% of the vote in 2020, sought re-election in this district.

This was the first U.S. congressional election where the Democratic nominee finished third since the 2018 Maine Senate race.

Republican primary

Nominee Matt Rosendale, incumbent U.S. Representative from

Eliminated in primary Kyle Austin, healthcare company owner James Boyette, sales manager Charles Walking Child, activist

Declined Russell Fagg, former Yellowstone County district judge, former state representative, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 Tim Fox, former Montana Attorney General and candidate for Governor of Montana in 2020 Brad Johnson, chair of the Montana Public Service Commission and former Montana Secretary of State

Endorsements

Results

Democratic primary Nominee Penny Ronning, former Billings city councilor

Eliminated in primary Skylar Williams, student

Deceased Mark Sweeney, state senator (died May 6, 2022; remained on ballot)

Withdrawn Jack Ballard, outdoor writer and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020

Declined Steve Bullock, former governor of Montana, candidate for President of the United States in 2020, and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020 Mike Cooney, former lieutenant governor of Montana and nominee for Governor of Montana in 2020

Endorsements

Results

Libertarian primary Nominee Sam Rankin, lawyer, real estate broker, and perennial candidate

Eliminated in primary Roger Roots, nominee for U.S. Senate in 2014 Samuel Thomas

Results

Independents Declared Gary Buchanan, financial advisor and former director of the Montana Department of Commerce

Disqualified Curt Zygmond, beer brewing intern

Endorsements

General election Debate + 2022 Montana's 2nd congressional district debate Date Host Moderator Link Republican Democratic Libertarian IndependentKey: Participant Absent Not invited Invited Withdrawn Matt Rosendale Penny Ronning Sam Rankin Gary Buchanan1 Oct. 1, 2022 KTVQ YouTube

Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report November 16, 2021 Inside Elections November 19, 2021 Sabato's Crystal Ball November 17, 2021Politico April 5, 2022RCPJune 9, 2022Fox News July 11, 2022DDHQJuly 20, 2022538June 30, 2022The Economist September 28, 2022

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error MattRosendale (R) PennyRonning (D) GaryBuchanan (I) SamRankin (L) UndecidedMSU BillingsOctober 3–14, 2022<343 (V)± 5.9%35%17%21%5%17%

Results

By county County Matt RosendaleRepublican Penny RonningDemocratic Gary BuchananIndependent Sam RankinLibertarian Margin Total Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % VotesBig Horn1,47645.47%1,21437.40%50515.56%511.57%2628.07%3,246Blaine1,04056.06%58731.64%20811.21%201.08%45324.42%1,855Broadwater2,41770.47%39911.63%55916.30%551.60%1,85854.17%3,430Carbon3,29456.47%1,03017.66%1,42024.34%891.53%1,87432.13%5,833Carter66387.35%374.87%466.06%131.71%61781.29%759Cascade15,63453.76%6,63822.83%6,39722.00%4101.41%8,99630.94%29,079Chouteau1,46363.89%39517.25%39017.03%421.83%1,06846.64%2,290Custer2,95964.88%84818.59%68415.00%701.53%2,11146.28%4,561Daniels60178.98%8010.51%688.94%121.58%52168.46%761Dawson2,58372.68%52414.74%42511.96%220.62%2,05957.93%3,554Fallon1,05384.85%947.57%877.01%70.56%95977.28%1,241Fergus3,80870.19%61911.41%92717.09%711.31%2,88153.11%5,425Garfield58689.06%182.74%466.99%81.22%54082.07%658Golden Valley34878.03%378.30%5311.88%81.79%29566.14%446Hill2,70352.58%1,46328.46%87116.94%1042.02%1,24024.12%5,141Jefferson3,75257.91%1,03115.91%1,61524.93%811.25%2,13732.98%6,479Judith Basin78471.66%12711.61%17015.54%131.19%61456.12%1,094Lewis and Clark14,23742.72%7,42222.27%11,20133.61%4631.39%3,0369.11%33,323Liberty66071.97%11712.76%13414.61%60.65%52657.36%917McCone77083.06%929.92%596.36%60.65%67873.14%927Meagher62868.78%899.75%17619.28%202.19%45249.51%913Musselshell1,79379.37%1838.10%25611.33%271.20%1,53768.04%2,259Park4,23646.98%2,48727.58%2,14623.80%1481.64%1,74919.40%9,017Petroleum23581.31%134.50%3913.49%20.69%19667.82%289Phillips1,37678.40%20311.57%1599.06%170.97%1,17366.84%1,755Pondera (part)1,08167.31%21513.39%28217.56%281.74%79949.75%1,606Powder River72480.53%626.90%10812.01%50.56%61668.52%899Prairie46776.68%7211.82%6210.18%81.31%39564.86%609Richland2,94178.34%53014.12%2346.23%491.31%2,41164.22%3,754Roosevelt1,39654.15%96937.59%1666.44%471.82%42716.56%2,578Rosebud1,74764.56%51619.07%41315.26%301.11%1,23145.49%2,706Sheridan1,09768.09%35321.91%1308.07%311.92%74446.18%1,611Stillwater3,21470.98%48810.78%76816.96%581.28%2,44654.02%4,528Sweet Grass1,27668.57%20511.02%36219.45%180.97%91449.11%1,861Teton1,91765.88%47916.46%48516.67%291.00%1,43249.21%2,910Toole1,21273.14%19411.71%22213.40%291.75%99059.75%1,657Treasure30772.75%225.21%9121.56%20.47%21651.18%422Valley2,21768.85%51215.90%42913.32%621.93%1,70552.95%3,220Wheatland57668.49%849.99%16819.98%131.55%40848.51%841Wibaux35781.32%337.52%4510.25%40.91%31271.07%439Yellowstone32,35153.23%12,99921.39%14,58924.00%8401.38%17,76229.22%60,779Totals121,97956.56%43,48020.16%47,19521.88%3,0181.40%74,78434.67%215,672

2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

Bron en licentie