The Mihintale Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Anuradhapura Electoral District, in the North Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Mihintale has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Mihintale is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections. Year Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mihinthale and the Anuradhapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mihinthale and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2019 SLPP SLPP 1.34% SLPP 5.23% 2015 UPFA UPFA 0.86% NDF 5.00% 2010 UPFA UPFA 1.09% UPFA 7.12% 2005 UPFA UPFA 1.20% UPFA 5.95% 1999 PA PA 1.68% PA 1.12% 1994 PA PA 0.32% PA 1.96% 1988 UNP SLFP 6.04% UNP 2.62% 1982 UNP UNP 2.45% UNP 5.98% Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 6/8 1.87% 8/8 4.37%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % SLPP 30,815 57.36% 342,223 58.97% 6,924,255 52.25% NDF 19,320 35.96% 202,348 34.87% 5,564,239 41.99% NMPP 2,245 4.18% 22,879 3.94% 418,553 3.16% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,343 2.50% 12,896 2.22% 345,452 2.61% Valid Votes 53,723 99.15% 580,346 99.16% 13,252,499 98.99% Rejected Votes 461 0.85% 4,916 0.84% 135,452 1.01% Total Polled 54,184 83.60% 585,262 85.76% 13,387,951 83.71% Registered Electors 64,810 682,450 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 26,032 52.71% 281,161 53.59% 5,768,090 47.58% NDF 22,860 46.28% 238,407 45.44% 6,217,162 51.28% Other Parties (with < 1%) 498 1.01% 5,065 0.97% 138,200 1.14% Valid Votes 49,390 99.18% 524,633 99.15% 12,123,452 98.85% Rejected Votes 406 0.82% 4,500 0.85% 140,925 1.15% Total Polled 49,796 76.87% 529,133 77.71% 12,264,377 78.69% Registered Electors 64,778 680,877 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 27,619 65.09% 298,448 66.32% 6,015,934 57.88% NDF 13,928 32.83% 143,761 31.94% 4,173,185 40.15% Other Parties (with < 1%) 882 2.08% 7,829 1.74% 204,494 1.97% Valid Votes 42,429 99.16% 450,038 99.17% 10,393,613 99.03% Rejected Votes 358 0.84% 3,785 0.83% 101,838 0.97% Total Polled 42,787 72.35% 453,823 73.65% 10,495,451 66.70% Registered Electors 59,137 616,186 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 22,454 56.24% 231,040 55.08% 4,887,152 50.29% UNP 16,897 42.32% 182,956 43.62% 4,706,366 48.43% Other Parties (with < 1%) 574 1.44% 5,438 1.30% 123,521 1.27% Valid Votes 39,925 98.94% 419,434 98.92% 9,717,039 98.88% Rejected Votes 429 1.06% 4,563 1.08% 109,869 1.12% Total Polled 40,354 73.97% 423,997 75.41% 9,826,908 69.51% Registered Electors 54,554 562,259 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 18,131 52.26% 189,073 54.14% 4,312,157 51.12% UNP 14,393 41.49% 139,180 39.86% 3,602,748 42.71% JVP 1,508 4.35% 14,612 4.18% 343,927 4.08% Other Parties (with < 1%) 661 1.91% 6,336 1.81% 176,679 2.09% Valid Votes 34,693 97.90% 349,201 98.05% 8,435,754 97.69% Rejected Votes 743 2.10% 6,949 1.95% 199,536 2.31% Total Polled 35,436 75.77% 356,150 75.63% 8,635,290 72.17% Registered Electors 46,770 470,907 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 19,935 64.32% 200,146 63.99% 4,709,205 62.28% UNP 10,541 34.01% 107,342 34.32% 2,715,283 35.91% Other Parties (with < 1%) 516 1.66% 5,309 1.70% 137,040 1.81% Valid Votes 30,992 98.16% 312,797 98.05% 7,561,526 98.03% Rejected Votes 581 1.84% 6,205 1.95% 151,706 1.97% Total Polled 31,573 76.84% 319,002 76.16% 7,713,232 69.12% Registered Electors 41,088 418,857 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 4,027 49.21% 56,951 42.94% 2,569,199 50.43% SLFP 4,018 49.10% 73,154 55.15% 2,289,857 44.95% SLMP 138 1.69% 2,529 1.91% 235,701 4.63% Valid Votes 8,183 97.49% 132,634 98.36% 5,094,754 98.24% Rejected Votes 211 2.51% 2,207 1.64% 91,499 1.76% Total Polled 8,394 24.94% 134,841 40.18% 5,186,256 55.87% Registered Electors 33,651 335,551 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 11,300 46.46% 117,873 49.84% 3,450,815 52.93% SLFP 10,965 45.08% 102,973 43.54% 2,546,348 39.05% JVP 1,813 7.45% 13,911 5.88% 273,428 4.19% Other Parties (with < 1%) 244 1.00% 1,766 0.75% 249,460 3.83% Valid Votes 24,322 98.99% 236,523 99.04% 6,520,156 98.78% Rejected Votes 249 1.01% 2,294 0.96% 80,470 1.22% Total Polled 24,571 85.43% 238,817 84.68% 6,600,626 80.15% Registered Electors 28,761 282,018 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Mihintale has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Mihintale is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections. Year Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mihinthale and the Anuradhapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Mihinthale and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2015 UPFA UPFA 0.59% UNP 3.55% 2010 UPFA UPFA 3.30% UPFA 8.32% 2004 UPFA UPFA 0.62% UPFA 6.63% 2001 UNP UNP 0.92% UNP 2.24% 2000 PA PA 0.69% PA 1.30% 1994 PA PA 0.55% PA 3.84% 1989 UNP UNP 5.32% UNP 2.80% Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 1.71% 7/7 4.10%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 21,495 48.86% 229,856 48.39% 4,732,664 42.48% UNP 19,395 44.09% 213,072 44.85% 5,098,916 45.77% JVP 2,746 6.24% 28,701 6.04% 544,154 4.88% Other Parties (with < 1%) 357 0.81% 3,418 0.72% 80,543 0.72% Valid Votes 43,993 93.89% 475,047 94.28% 11,140,333 95.35% Rejected Votes 2,837 6.05% 28,462 5.65% 516,926 4.42% Total Polled 46,857 72.33% 503,845 79.13% 11,684,111 77.66% Registered Electors 64,778 636,733 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 21,291 70.56% 221,204 66.52% 4,846,388 60.38% UNP 6,645 22.02% 80,360 24.17% 2,357,057 29.37% DNA 1,752 5.81% 18,129 5.45% 441,251 5.50% SMBP 377 1.25% 11,445 3.44% 12,166 0.15% Other Parties (with < 1%) 110 0.36% 1,400 0.42% 18,658 0.23% Valid Votes 30,175 92.72% 332,538 93.55% 8,026,322 96.03% Rejected Votes 2,370 7.28% 22,930 6.45% 581,465 6.96% Total Polled 32,545 55.03% 355,468 57.35% 8,358,246 59.29% Registered Electors 59,137 619,845 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 21,008 58.07% 212,943 57.22% 4,223,126 45.70% UNP 14,336 39.63% 148,612 39.94% 3,486,792 37.73% JHU 602 1.66% 8,034 2.16% 552,723 5.98% Other Parties (with < 1%) 232 0.64% 2,536 0.68% 51,070 0.55% Valid Votes 36,178 94.14% 372,125 94.59% 9,241,931 94.52% Rejected Votes 2,253 5.86% 21,281 5.41% 534,452 5.47% Total Polled 38,431 72.83% 393,406 76.52% 9,777,821 75.74% Registered Electors 52,770 514,149 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 15,669 44.70% 165,055 45.93% 4,086,026 45.62% PA 14,429 41.17% 149,393 41.57% 3,330,815 37.19% JVP 4,488 12.80% 40,005 11.13% 815,353 9.10% Other Parties (with < 1%) 465 1.33% 4,891 1.36% 108,710 1.21% Valid Votes 35,051 94.07% 359,344 94.78% 8,955,844 94.77% Rejected Votes 2,211 5.93% 19,796 5.22% 494,009 5.23% Total Polled 37,262 74.34% 379,140 77.41% 9,449,878 76.03% Registered Electors 50,126 489,776 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 16,577 47.97% 169,424 48.30% 3,899,329 45.33% UNP 13,850 40.08% 144,662 41.24% 3,451,765 40.12% JVP 2,208 6.39% 21,274 6.06% 518,725 6.03% NUA 1,375 3.98% 9,369 2.67% 185,593 2.16% Other Parties (with < 1%) 544 1.57% 6,042 1.72% 245,927 2.86% Valid Votes 34,554 N/A 350,771 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 17,881 55.77% 180,454 55.19% 3,887,805 48.94% UNP 13,762 42.93% 142,084 43.45% 3,498,370 44.04% Other Parties (with < 1%) 417 1.30% 4,446 1.36% 158,616 2.00% Valid Votes 32,060 95.04% 326,984 95.72% 7,943,688 95.20% Rejected Votes 1,673 4.96% 14,620 4.28% 400,395 4.80% Total Polled 33,733 82.10% 341,604 81.54% 8,344,095 74.75% Registered Electors 41,088 418,959 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Mihintale Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 4,961 48.63% 92,726 56.39% 2,838,005 50.71% SLFP 3,786 37.11% 64,010 38.92% 1,785,369 31.90% IND 1,217 11.93% 4,057 2.47% 12,285 0.22% Other Parties (with < 1%) 126 1.24% 1,928 1.17% 158,203 2.83% USA 112 1.10% 1,724 1.05% 141,983 2.54% Valid Votes 10,202 89.18% 164,445 92.03% 5,596,468 93.87% Rejected Votes 1,238 10.82% 14,245 7.97% 365,563 6.13% Total Polled 11,440 34.37% 178,690 53.49% 5,962,031 63.60% Registered Electors 33,289 334,073 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Mihintale Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (91.7%) . In comparison, the Anuradhapura Electoral District (which contains the Mihintale Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.0%)

Religion

The Mihintale Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (90.2%) . In comparison, the Anuradhapura Electoral District (which contains the Mihintale Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (90.1%)

References