The Minneriya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Polonnaruwa Electoral District, in the North Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Minneriya has matched the final country result 8 out of 8 times. Hence, Minneriya is a Perfect Bellwether for Presidential Elections. Year Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Minneriya and the Polonnaruwa Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Minneriya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2019 SLPP SLPP 5.49% SLPP 6.61% 2015 NDF NDF 7.45% NDF 1.07% 2010 UPFA UPFA 4.51% UPFA 11.19% 2005 UPFA UPFA 3.31% UPFA 5.53% 1999 PA PA 1.19% PA 1.65% 1994 PA PA 3.00% PA 0.26% 1988 UNP UNP 3.22% UNP 1.05% 1982 UNP UNP 3.30% UNP 1.22% Matches/Mean MAE 8/8 8/8 3.93% 8/8 3.57%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % SLPP 41,151 58.65% 147,340 53.01% 6,924,255 52.25% NDF 24,076 34.31% 112,473 40.47% 5,564,239 41.99% NMPP 3,271 4.66% 12,284 4.42% 418,553 3.16% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,666 2.37% 5,827 2.10% 345,452 2.61% Valid Votes 70,164 99.21% 277,924 99.09% 13,252,499 98.99% Rejected Votes 561 0.79% 2,563 0.91% 135,452 1.01% Total Polled 70,725 84.90% 280,487 85.92% 13,387,951 83.71% Registered Electors 83,307 326,443 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % NDF 32,744 50.22% 147,974 57.80% 6,217,162 51.28% UPFA 31,747 48.69% 105,640 41.27% 5,768,090 47.58% Other Parties (with < 1%) 707 1.08% 2,382 0.93% 138,200 1.14% Valid Votes 65,198 99.25% 255,996 99.31% 12,123,452 98.85% Rejected Votes 491 0.75% 1,790 0.69% 140,925 1.15% Total Polled 65,689 78.77% 257,786 80.22% 12,264,377 78.69% Registered Electors 83,395 321,338 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 39,587 69.46% 144,889 64.92% 6,015,934 57.88% NDF 16,517 28.98% 75,026 33.62% 4,173,185 40.15% Other Parties (with < 1%) 886 1.55% 3,260 1.46% 204,494 1.97% Valid Votes 56,990 99.39% 223,175 99.34% 10,393,613 99.03% Rejected Votes 350 0.61% 1,472 0.66% 101,838 0.97% Total Polled 57,340 74.39% 224,647 76.26% 10,495,451 66.70% Registered Electors 77,084 294,583 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 31,081 55.91% 110,499 52.61% 4,887,152 50.29% UNP 23,819 42.85% 97,142 46.25% 4,706,366 48.43% Other Parties (with < 1%) 687 1.24% 2,389 1.14% 123,521 1.27% Valid Votes 55,587 99.04% 210,030 99.06% 9,717,039 98.88% Rejected Votes 536 0.96% 2,002 0.94% 109,869 1.12% Total Polled 56,123 77.49% 212,032 78.07% 9,826,908 69.51% Registered Electors 72,430 271,609 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 24,141 52.05% 88,663 51.55% 4,312,157 51.12% UNP 18,627 40.17% 72,598 42.21% 3,602,748 42.71% JVP 2,849 6.14% 8,020 4.66% 343,927 4.08% Other Parties (with < 1%) 759 1.64% 2,726 1.58% 176,679 2.09% Valid Votes 46,376 98.18% 172,007 98.20% 8,435,754 97.69% Rejected Votes 859 1.82% 3,151 1.80% 199,536 2.31% Total Polled 47,235 76.43% 175,158 78.11% 8,635,290 72.17% Registered Electors 61,803 224,239 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 25,779 62.11% 88,907 59.08% 4,709,205 62.28% UNP 15,079 36.33% 59,287 39.40% 2,715,283 35.91% Other Parties (with < 1%) 646 1.56% 2,281 1.52% 137,040 1.81% Valid Votes 41,504 97.18% 150,475 97.43% 7,561,526 98.03% Rejected Votes 1,204 2.82% 3,966 2.57% 151,706 1.97% Total Polled 42,708 74.41% 154,441 75.73% 7,713,232 69.12% Registered Electors 57,393 203,940 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 2,433 51.98% 26,392 55.54% 2,569,199 50.43% SLFP 2,123 45.35% 20,173 42.45% 2,289,857 44.95% SLMP 125 2.67% 957 2.01% 235,701 4.63% Valid Votes 4,681 99.07% 47,522 97.62% 5,094,754 98.24% Rejected Votes 44 0.93% 1,157 2.38% 91,499 1.76% Total Polled 4,725 9.43% 48,679 29.64% 5,186,256 55.87% Registered Electors 50,128 164,213 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 17,728 52.16% 59,414 56.26% 3,450,815 52.93% SLFP 12,818 37.71% 37,243 35.26% 2,546,348 39.05% JVP 3,181 9.36% 8,138 7.71% 273,428 4.19% Other Parties (with < 1%) 262 0.77% 820 0.78% 249,460 3.83% Valid Votes 33,989 99.08% 105,615 99.00% 6,520,156 98.78% Rejected Votes 315 0.92% 1,064 1.00% 80,470 1.22% Total Polled 34,304 85.06% 106,679 82.81% 6,600,626 80.15% Registered Electors 40,329 128,822 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Minneriya has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Minneriya is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections. Year Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Minneriya and the Polonnaruwa Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Minneriya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2020 SLPFA SLPFA SLPFA 2015 UPFA UNP 5.89% UNP 3.98% 2010 UPFA UPFA 3.68% UPFA 9.61% 2004 UPFA UPFA 4.73% UPFA 8.43% 2001 UNP UNP 2.12% UNP 2.13% 2000 UNP UNP 1.09% PA 3.75% 1994 PA PA 2.85% PA 2.56% 1989 UNP UNP 6.69% UNP 3.87% Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 3.86% 7/7 4.90%

2020 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % SLPFA 46,632 77.07% 180,847 73.66% 6,853,693 59.09% SJB 9,463 15.64% 47,281 19.46% 2,771,984 23.09% NPP 1,948 3.22% 6,792 2.77% 445,958 3.84% UNP 1,577 2.61% 6525 2.66% 249,435 2.15% Other Parties (with < 1%) 887 1.46% 3574 1.45% 1,27,866 11.02% Valid Votes 60,507 72.02% 245,519 93.87% 11,598,929 93.97% Rejected Votes 4,035 4.8% 16,020 6.13% 744,373 6.03% Total Polled 64,532 76.82% 261,539 78.99% 12,343,302 75.89% Registered Electors 84,019 331,109 16,263,885

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 29,090 49.10% 103,172 43.67% 4,732,664 42.48% UNP 25,748 43.46% 118,845 50.30% 5,098,916 45.77% JVP 4,175 7.05% 13,497 5.71% 544,154 4.88% Other Parties (with < 1%) 230 0.39% 765 0.32% 44,633 0.40% Valid Votes 59,243 96.25% 236,279 96.39% 11,140,333 95.35% Rejected Votes 2,274 3.69% 8,654 3.53% 516,926 4.42% Total Polled 61,553 73.81% 245,116 79.81% 11,684,111 77.66% Registered Electors 83,395 307,125 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 29,597 72.60% 118,694 69.25% 4,846,388 60.38% UNP 8,890 21.81% 45,732 26.68% 2,357,057 29.37% DNA 2,166 5.31% 6,457 3.77% 441,251 5.50% Other Parties (with < 1%) 113 0.28% 515 0.30% 53,515 0.67% Valid Votes 40,766 91.76% 171,398 92.02% 8,026,322 96.03% Rejected Votes 3,643 8.20% 14,798 7.94% 581,465 6.96% Total Polled 44,428 57.64% 186,269 63.10% 8,358,246 59.29% Registered Electors 77,084 295,186 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 30,342 61.99% 106,243 57.36% 4,223,126 45.70% UNP 17,522 35.80% 75,664 40.85% 3,486,792 37.73% JHU 850 1.74% 2,413 1.30% 552,723 5.98% Other Parties (with < 1%) 230 0.47% 890 0.48% 54,340 0.59% Valid Votes 48,944 92.85% 185,210 93.57% 9,241,931 94.52% Rejected Votes 3,746 7.11% 12,673 6.40% 534,452 5.47% Total Polled 52,711 74.97% 197,934 77.91% 9,777,821 75.74% Registered Electors 70,308 254,061 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 21,436 44.44% 86,786 47.82% 4,086,026 45.62% PA 19,423 40.27% 73,679 40.60% 3,330,815 37.19% JVP 6,749 13.99% 18,956 10.44% 815,353 9.10% Other Parties (with < 1%) 623 1.29% 2,076 1.14% 118,404 1.32% Valid Votes 48,231 93.43% 181,497 93.87% 8,955,844 94.77% Rejected Votes 3,393 6.57% 11,854 6.13% 494,009 5.23% Total Polled 51,624 77.46% 193,351 80.41% 9,449,878 76.03% Registered Electors 66,645 240,444 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 22,693 47.13% 82,399 46.33% 3,451,765 40.12% PA 21,014 43.64% 80,023 44.99% 3,899,329 45.33% JVP 3,811 7.91% 11,161 6.27% 518,725 6.03% Other Parties (with < 1%) 636 1.32% 4,288 2.41% 424,915 4.94% Valid Votes 48,154 N/A 177,871 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 24,660 53.78% 82,438 51.18% 3,887,805 48.94% UNP 20,379 44.45% 76,706 47.62% 3,498,370 44.04% SLPF 811 1.77% 1,934 1.20% 90,078 1.13% Valid Votes 45,850 96.31% 161,078 96.16% 7,943,688 95.20% Rejected Votes 1,758 3.69% 6,434 3.84% 400,395 4.80% Total Polled 47,608 82.95% 167,512 82.06% 8,344,095 74.75% Registered Electors 57,393 204,138 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Minneriya Polonnaruwa Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 10,576 54.28% 43,473 62.33% 2,838,005 50.71% SLFP 7,431 38.14% 23,221 33.29% 1,785,369 31.90% USA 765 3.93% 1,117 1.60% 141,983 2.54% ELJP 711 3.65% 1,933 2.77% 67,723 1.21% Valid Votes 19,483 91.26% 69,744 92.98% 5,596,468 93.87% Rejected Votes 1,866 8.74% 5,266 7.02% 365,563 6.13% Total Polled 21,349 42.96% 75,010 45.81% 5,962,031 63.60% Registered Electors 49,700 163,745 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Minneriya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (99.0%) . In comparison, the Polonnaruwa Electoral District (which contains the Minneriya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (90.7%)

Religion

The Minneriya Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (97.8%) . In comparison, the Polonnaruwa Electoral District (which contains the Minneriya Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (89.7%)

References