The Nattandiya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Puttalam Electoral District, in the North Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Nattandiya has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Nattandiya is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections. Year Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nattandiya and the Puttalam Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nattandiya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2019 SLPP SLPP 7.00% SLPP 5.40% 2015 UPFA NDF 3.01% NDF 4.30% 2010 UPFA UPFA 2.00% UPFA 2.69% 2005 UPFA UNP 3.79% UPFA 1.60% 1999 PA PA 3.71% PA 3.25% 1994 PA PA 0.89% PA 0.68% 1988 UNP UNP 2.44% UNP 1.71% 1982 UNP UNP 2.38% UNP 2.72% Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 7/8 3.15% 8/8 2.79%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % SLPP 38,832 58.02% 230,760 50.83% 6,924,255 52.25% NDF 24,308 36.32% 199,356 43.91% 5,564,239 41.99% NMPP 2,190 3.27% 12,912 2.84% 418,553 3.16% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,601 2.39% 10,948 2.41% 345,452 2.61% Valid Votes 66,931 99.01% 453,976 99.02% 13,252,499 98.99% Rejected Votes 668 0.99% 4,478 0.98% 135,452 1.01% Total Polled 67,599 71.87% 458,454 76.53% 13,387,951 83.71% Registered Electors 94,055 599,042 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 33,119 52.12% 197,751 48.97% 5,768,090 47.58% NDF 29,934 47.11% 202,073 50.04% 6,217,162 51.28% Other Parties (with < 1%) 486 0.76% 4,026 1.00% 138,200 1.14% Valid Votes 63,539 99.13% 403,850 98.95% 12,123,452 98.85% Rejected Votes 558 0.87% 4,300 1.05% 140,925 1.15% Total Polled 64,097 71.24% 408,150 72.50% 12,264,377 78.69% Registered Electors 89,975 562,984 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 34,799 60.92% 201,981 58.70% 6,015,934 57.88% NDF 21,612 37.83% 136,233 39.59% 4,173,185 40.15% Other Parties (with < 1%) 713 1.25% 5,899 1.71% 204,494 1.97% Valid Votes 57,124 99.38% 344,113 99.17% 10,393,613 99.03% Rejected Votes 355 0.62% 2,886 0.83% 101,838 0.97% Total Polled 57,479 69.07% 346,999 68.97% 10,495,451 66.70% Registered Electors 83,218 503,106 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 29,227 52.05% 160,686 48.14% 4,887,152 50.29% UNP 26,367 46.96% 169,264 50.71% 4,706,366 48.43% Other Parties (with < 1%) 556 0.99% 3,833 1.15% 123,521 1.27% Valid Votes 56,150 99.21% 333,783 98.95% 9,717,039 98.88% Rejected Votes 445 0.79% 3,536 1.05% 109,869 1.12% Total Polled 56,595 71.07% 337,319 70.56% 9,826,908 69.51% Registered Electors 79,631 478,032 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 26,152 55.53% 141,725 51.47% 4,312,157 51.12% UNP 19,079 40.51% 121,615 44.17% 3,602,748 42.71% JVP 1,285 2.73% 7,876 2.86% 343,927 4.08% Other Parties (with < 1%) 576 1.22% 4,123 1.50% 176,679 2.09% Valid Votes 47,092 98.24% 275,339 97.94% 8,435,754 97.69% Rejected Votes 846 1.76% 5,778 2.06% 199,536 2.31% Total Polled 47,938 69.86% 281,117 68.85% 8,635,290 72.17% Registered Electors 68,620 408,331 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 27,856 61.91% 165,795 62.65% 4,709,205 62.28% UNP 16,721 37.16% 95,211 35.98% 2,715,283 35.91% Other Parties (with < 1%) 417 0.93% 3,629 1.37% 137,040 1.81% Valid Votes 44,994 98.74% 264,635 98.26% 7,561,526 98.03% Rejected Votes 576 1.26% 4,689 1.74% 151,706 1.97% Total Polled 45,570 70.71% 269,324 69.80% 7,713,232 69.12% Registered Electors 64,449 385,854 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 22,194 53.31% 125,339 55.89% 2,569,199 50.43% SLFP 18,585 44.64% 94,823 42.28% 2,289,857 44.95% SLMP 851 2.04% 4,093 1.83% 235,701 4.63% Valid Votes 41,630 99.08% 224,255 98.70% 5,094,754 98.24% Rejected Votes 388 0.92% 2,965 1.30% 91,499 1.76% Total Polled 42,018 73.04% 227,220 70.70% 5,186,256 55.87% Registered Electors 57,526 321,387 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 23,324 57.14% 128,877 59.12% 3,450,815 52.93% SLFP 16,299 39.93% 80,006 36.70% 2,546,348 39.05% JVP 1,016 2.49% 7,001 3.21% 273,428 4.19% Other Parties (with < 1%) 179 0.44% 2,096 0.96% 249,460 3.83% Valid Votes 40,818 99.13% 217,980 99.09% 6,520,156 98.78% Rejected Votes 357 0.87% 1,995 0.91% 80,470 1.22% Total Polled 41,175 82.95% 219,975 81.41% 6,600,626 80.15% Registered Electors 49,638 270,207 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Nattandiya has matched the final country result 7 out of 7 times. Hence, Nattandiya is a Perfect Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections. Year Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nattandiya and the Puttalam Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Nattandiya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2015 UNP UNP 3.17% UNP 3.10% 2010 UPFA UPFA 0.89% UPFA 2.52% 2004 UPFA UPFA 3.53% UPFA 4.67% 2001 UNP UNP 3.62% UNP 3.61% 2000 PA PA 2.02% PA 3.09% 1994 PA PA 1.30% PA 2.98% 1989 UNP UNP 3.66% UNP 4.79% Matches/Mean MAE 7/7 7/7 2.60% 7/7 3.54%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 27,427 48.27% 180,185 51.81% 5,098,916 45.77% UPFA 26,714 47.02% 153,130 44.03% 4,732,664 42.48% JVP 2,393 4.21% 12,211 3.51% 544,154 4.88% Other Parties (with < 1%) 286 0.50% 2,263 0.65% 82,383 0.74% Valid Votes 56,820 95.10% 347,789 91.37% 11,140,333 95.35% Rejected Votes 2,897 4.85% 23,124 6.08% 516,926 4.42% Total Polled 59,748 66.41% 380,632 68.83% 11,684,111 77.66% Registered Electors 89,975 553,009 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 27,518 64.21% 167,769 64.84% 4,846,388 60.38% UNP 12,864 30.02% 81,152 31.36% 2,357,057 29.37% DNA 2,246 5.24% 8,792 3.40% 441,251 5.50% Other Parties (with < 1%) 228 0.53% 1,028 0.40% 33,372 0.42% Valid Votes 42,856 93.12% 258,741 92.29% 8,026,322 96.03% Rejected Votes 3,159 6.86% 21,562 7.69% 581,465 6.96% Total Polled 46,023 55.30% 280,354 55.67% 8,358,246 59.29% Registered Electors 83,218 503,635 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 25,270 52.10% 142,784 49.31% 4,223,126 45.70% UNP 20,461 42.19% 135,152 46.67% 3,486,792 37.73% JHU 2,466 5.08% 10,000 3.45% 552,723 5.98% Other Parties (with < 1%) 302 0.62% 1,652 0.57% 62,157 0.67% Valid Votes 48,499 94.21% 289,588 93.06% 9,241,931 94.52% Rejected Votes 2,953 5.74% 21,431 6.89% 534,452 5.47% Total Polled 51,477 67.65% 311,194 69.15% 9,777,821 75.74% Registered Electors 76,097 450,057 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 22,915 46.47% 146,873 50.61% 4,086,026 45.62% PA 22,323 45.27% 120,981 41.69% 3,330,815 37.19% JVP 3,345 6.78% 18,095 6.24% 815,353 9.10% Other Parties (with < 1%) 724 1.47% 4,260 1.47% 116,969 1.31% Valid Votes 49,307 96.39% 290,209 95.20% 8,955,844 94.77% Rejected Votes 1,848 3.61% 14,638 4.80% 494,009 5.23% Total Polled 51,155 70.90% 304,847 71.53% 9,449,878 76.03% Registered Electors 72,155 426,193 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 25,646 51.58% 138,747 48.40% 3,899,329 45.33% UNP 20,078 40.38% 118,566 41.36% 3,451,765 40.12% JVP 1,909 3.84% 11,256 3.93% 518,725 6.03% NUA 1,308 2.63% 12,317 4.30% 185,593 2.16% Other Parties (with < 1%) 778 1.56% 5,809 2.03% 236,331 2.75% Valid Votes 49,719 N/A 286,695 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 26,286 54.93% 150,587 53.64% 3,887,805 48.94% UNP 21,120 44.14% 127,671 45.48% 3,498,370 44.04% Other Parties (with < 1%) 446 0.93% 2,453 0.87% 158,616 2.00% Valid Votes 47,852 96.37% 280,711 95.52% 7,943,688 95.20% Rejected Votes 1,804 3.63% 13,144 4.47% 400,395 4.80% Total Polled 49,656 77.05% 293,873 76.19% 8,344,095 74.75% Registered Electors 64,449 385,690 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Nattandiya Puttalam Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 22,957 58.21% 139,309 62.62% 2,838,005 50.71% SLFP 13,763 34.90% 71,687 32.22% 1,785,369 31.90% SLMC 1,276 3.24% 6,253 2.81% 202,016 3.61% USA 1,136 2.88% 3,398 1.53% 141,983 2.54% Other Parties (with < 1%) 308 0.78% 1,828 0.82% 69,193 1.24% Valid Votes 39,440 94.63% 222,475 94.40% 5,596,468 93.87% Rejected Votes 2,236 5.37% 13,205 5.60% 365,563 6.13% Total Polled 41,676 73.38% 235,680 73.94% 5,962,031 63.60% Registered Electors 56,794 318,755 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Nattandiya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (91.4%) . In comparison, the Puttalam Electoral District (which contains the Nattandiya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (73.6%) and a significant Moor population (19.4%)

Religion

The Nattandiya Polling Division has a Roman Catholic plurality (45.6%) and a significant Buddhist population (45.4%) . In comparison, the Puttalam Electoral District (which contains the Nattandiya Polling Division) has a Buddhist plurality (43.2%), a significant Roman Catholic population (31.5%) and a significant Muslim population (19.7%)

References