The Uva Paranagama Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Badulla Electoral District, in the Uva Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Uva Paranagama has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Uva Paranagama is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections. Year Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Uva Paranagama and the Badulla Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Uva Paranagama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2019 SLPP SLPP 1.74% SLPP 1.07% 2015 UPFA NDF 2.48% NDF 4.30% 2010 UPFA UPFA 2.51% UPFA 1.94% 2005 UNP UNP 3.07% UPFA 1.75% 1999 UNP UNP 0.25% PA 4.56% 1994 PA PA 0.71% PA 7.31% 1988 UNP UNP 15.39% UNP 23.35% 1982 UNP UNP 3.02% UNP 7.00% Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 6/8 3.65% 8/8 6.41%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % SLPP 27,028 51.23% 276,211 49.29% 6,924,255 52.25% NDF 22,787 43.19% 251,706 44.92% 5,564,239 41.99% Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,735 3.29% 17,622 3.14% 345,452 2.61% NMPP 1,207 2.29% 14,806 2.64% 418,553 3.16% Valid Votes 52,757 99.05% 560,345 98.77% 13,252,499 98.99% Rejected Votes 506 0.95% 6,978 1.23% 135,452 1.01% Total Polled 53,263 86.41% 567,323 86.25% 13,387,951 83.71% Registered Electors 61,637 657,766 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 25,337 51.74% 249,243 49.15% 5,768,090 47.58% NDF 22,894 46.75% 249,524 49.21% 6,217,162 51.28% Other Parties (with < 1%) 735 1.50% 8,303 1.64% 138,200 1.14% Valid Votes 48,966 98.75% 507,070 98.47% 12,123,452 98.85% Rejected Votes 621 1.25% 7,871 1.53% 140,925 1.15% Total Polled 49,587 79.10% 514,941 79.51% 12,264,377 78.69% Registered Electors 62,689 647,628 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 24,831 55.85% 237,579 53.23% 6,015,934 57.88% NDF 18,696 42.05% 198,835 44.55% 4,173,185 40.15% Other Parties (with < 1%) 932 2.10% 9,880 2.21% 204,494 1.97% Valid Votes 44,459 99.05% 446,294 98.66% 10,393,613 99.03% Rejected Votes 425 0.95% 6,083 1.34% 101,838 0.97% Total Polled 44,884 75.47% 452,377 75.62% 10,495,451 66.70% Registered Electors 59,472 598,190 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 22,127 50.04% 226,582 53.11% 4,706,366 48.43% UPFA 21,387 48.37% 192,734 45.18% 4,887,152 50.29% Other Parties (with < 1%) 704 1.59% 7,283 1.71% 123,521 1.27% Valid Votes 44,218 98.69% 426,599 98.43% 9,717,039 98.88% Rejected Votes 588 1.31% 6,825 1.57% 109,869 1.12% Total Polled 44,806 80.51% 433,424 78.67% 9,826,908 69.51% Registered Electors 55,655 550,926 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 18,969 48.08% 172,884 47.97% 3,602,748 42.71% PA 18,433 46.72% 167,000 46.33% 4,312,157 51.12% JVP 1,401 3.55% 12,025 3.34% 343,927 4.08% Other Parties (with < 1%) 647 1.64% 8,512 2.36% 176,679 2.09% Valid Votes 39,450 97.62% 360,421 97.04% 8,435,754 97.69% Rejected Votes 960 2.38% 10,979 2.96% 199,536 2.31% Total Polled 40,410 81.54% 371,400 78.25% 8,635,290 72.17% Registered Electors 49,560 474,610 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 20,307 54.77% 182,810 55.27% 4,709,205 62.28% UNP 16,031 43.24% 139,611 42.21% 2,715,283 35.91% Other Parties (with < 1%) 739 1.99% 8,351 2.52% 137,040 1.81% Valid Votes 37,077 96.70% 330,772 95.91% 7,561,526 98.03% Rejected Votes 1,267 3.30% 14,093 4.09% 151,706 1.97% Total Polled 38,344 81.36% 344,865 77.47% 7,713,232 69.12% Registered Electors 47,127 445,146 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 3,255 76.35% 80,779 60.09% 2,569,199 50.43% SLFP 956 22.43% 50,223 37.36% 2,289,857 44.95% SLMP 52 1.22% 3,422 2.55% 235,701 4.63% Valid Votes 4,263 97.04% 134,424 97.62% 5,094,754 98.24% Rejected Votes 130 2.96% 3,276 2.38% 91,499 1.76% Total Polled 4,393 11.40% 137,700 44.21% 5,186,256 55.87% Registered Electors 38,520 311,473 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 17,564 60.58% 141,062 58.67% 3,450,815 52.93% SLFP 9,251 31.91% 88,462 36.79% 2,546,348 39.05% JVP 1,851 6.38% 7,713 3.21% 273,428 4.19% Other Parties (with < 1%) 327 1.13% 3,203 1.33% 249,460 3.83% Valid Votes 28,993 98.86% 240,440 98.77% 6,520,156 98.78% Rejected Votes 335 1.14% 2,982 1.23% 80,470 1.22% Total Polled 29,328 87.10% 243,422 85.47% 6,600,626 80.15% Registered Electors 33,670 284,801 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Uva Paranagama has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Uva Paranagama is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections. Year Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Uva Paranagama and the Badulla Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % Sri Lanka MAEThe mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Uva Paranagama and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions. % 2015 UNP UNP 0.47% UNP 5.58% 2010 UPFA UPFA 1.68% UPFA 0.94% 2004 UPFA UNP 2.83% UPFA 6.32% 2001 UNP UNP 2.71% UNP 4.28% 2000 PA UNP 2.33% PA 3.02% 1994 UNP UNP 1.86% PA 5.34% 1989 UNP UNP 1.17% UNP 6.31% Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 4/7 1.86% 7/7 4.54%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 24,636 54.65% 258,844 54.82% 5,098,916 45.77% UPFA 17,564 38.96% 179,459 38.01% 4,732,664 42.48% JVP 2,048 4.54% 21,445 4.54% 544,154 4.88% CWC 653 1.45% 10,259 2.17% 17,107 0.15% Other Parties (with < 1%) 177 0.39% 2,159 0.46% 76,945 0.69% Valid Votes 45,078 95.19% 472,166 95.03% 11,140,333 95.35% Rejected Votes 2,234 4.72% 24,167 4.86% 516,926 4.42% Total Polled 47,357 75.54% 496,849 80.07% 11,684,111 77.66% Registered Electors 62,689 620,486 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 21,537 60.71% 203,689 58.25% 4,846,388 60.38% UNP 11,253 31.72% 112,886 32.28% 2,357,057 29.37% DNA 1,696 4.78% 15,768 4.51% 441,251 5.50% UPF 625 1.76% 11,481 3.28% 24,670 0.31% Other Parties (with < 1%) 363 1.02% 5,854 1.67% 28,670 0.36% Valid Votes 35,474 93.47% 349,678 93.54% 8,026,322 96.03% Rejected Votes 2,478 6.53% 24,169 6.46% 581,465 6.96% Total Polled 37,952 63.81% 373,847 62.46% 8,358,246 59.29% Registered Electors 59,472 598,521 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UPFA 19,946 51.54% 178,634 48.26% 4,223,126 45.70% UNP 18,030 46.59% 181,705 49.09% 3,486,792 37.73% Other Parties (with < 1%) 723 1.87% 9,839 2.66% 610,312 6.60% Valid Votes 38,699 92.20% 370,178 92.47% 9,241,931 94.52% Rejected Votes 3,275 7.80% 30,159 7.53% 534,452 5.47% Total Polled 41,974 78.18% 400,337 78.33% 9,777,821 75.74% Registered Electors 53,690 511,115 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 20,496 51.52% 201,173 53.81% 4,086,026 45.62% PA 16,287 40.94% 138,443 37.03% 3,330,815 37.19% JVP 2,772 6.97% 26,820 7.17% 815,353 9.10% Other Parties (with < 1%) 226 0.57% 7,401 1.98% 79,391 0.89% Valid Votes 39,781 93.69% 373,837 93.35% 8,955,844 94.77% Rejected Votes 2,681 6.31% 26,626 6.65% 494,009 5.23% Total Polled 42,462 82.03% 400,463 81.51% 9,449,878 76.03% Registered Electors 51,763 491,288 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % PA 18,162 46.96% 154,172 42.71% 3,899,329 45.33% UNP 17,582 45.46% 167,351 46.36% 3,451,765 40.12% JVP 1,815 4.69% 16,414 4.55% 518,725 6.03% Other Parties (with < 1%) 720 1.86% 10,987 3.04% 431,432 5.02% CWC 394 1.02% 12,092 3.35% 22,985 0.27% Valid Votes 38,673 N/A 361,016 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 19,310 52.05% 182,131 54.04% 3,498,370 44.04% PA 16,792 45.26% 146,546 43.48% 3,887,805 48.94% SLPF 520 1.40% 3,555 1.05% 90,078 1.13% Other Parties (with < 1%) 480 1.29% 4,827 1.43% 133,427 1.68% Valid Votes 37,102 92.30% 337,059 92.19% 7,943,688 95.20% Rejected Votes 3,095 7.70% 28,540 7.81% 400,395 4.80% Total Polled 40,197 85.30% 365,599 82.23% 8,344,095 74.75% Registered Electors 47,127 444,632 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Uva Paranagama Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka Votes % Votes % Votes % UNP 15,835 59.92% 135,089 58.97% 2,838,005 50.71% SLFP 9,739 36.85% 81,011 35.36% 1,785,369 31.90% ELJP 344 1.30% 5,589 2.44% 67,723 1.21% MEP 337 1.28% 1,693 0.74% 90,480 1.62% Other Parties (with < 1%) 171 0.65% 5,712 2.49% 141,983 2.54% Valid Votes 26,426 88.51% 229,094 92.08% 5,596,468 93.87% Rejected Votes 3,429 11.49% 19,704 7.92% 365,563 6.13% Total Polled 29,855 78.02% 248,798 75.55% 5,962,031 63.60% Registered Electors 38,268 329,321 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Uva Paranagama Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (83.8%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (11.2%) . In comparison, the Badulla Electoral District (which contains the Uva Paranagama Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (73.0%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (18.5%)

Religion

The Uva Paranagama Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (83.8%) and a significant Hindu population (12.3%) . In comparison, the Badulla Electoral District (which contains the Uva Paranagama Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (72.6%) and a significant Hindu population (19.3%)

References