The 2020 United States presidential election in Oregon was held on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Oregon voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, President Donald Trump, and running mate Vice President Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Vice President Joe Biden, and his running mate California Senator Kamala Harris. Oregon has seven electoral votes in the Electoral College.
Prior to the election, Oregon was considered to be a state Biden would win or a safe blue state. Biden won 56.45% of the vote to 40.37% for Trump. Biden received Oregon's seven electoral votes in the Electoral College. The state certified its election results on December 3.
Biden won Oregon by 16.09%, an increase from Hillary Clinton's 11% victory margin in 2016. No Republican presidential candidate has won Oregon since Ronald Reagan of neighboring California in 1984. Biden flipped two counties Trump won in 2016: Marion County, home to the state capital of Salem; and Deschutes County, anchored by fast-growing Bend. This marked the first time since 1964 that a Democrat won an outright majority in Deschutes County, although Democratic presidential nominees in 1976 and 1992 had carried the county with pluralities.
Biden was the first Democrat since Woodrow Wilson in 1916 to win the presidency without carrying Columbia County and Tillamook County. Tillamook and Columbia counties were among a fraction of the more than 3,000 counties in the U.S. to vote twice for Barack Obama (in 2008 and 2012) and twice for Trump (in 2016 and 2020). Biden also made history as the highest vote earner in Oregon history, with 1,340,383 votes, and Biden was able to achieve stronger swings leftward in 28 of Oregon's 36 counties than Hillary Clinton in 2016. Per exit polls by the Associated Press, 33% of voters were secular and supported Biden by 80%.
Primary elections The Oregon primary elections were held on Tuesday, May 19, 2020.
Republican primary Donald Trump ran unopposed in Oregon, receiving the state's 28 delegates to the Republican National Convention
Democratic primary Though all Democrats but Joe Biden had withdrawn from the national race by the Oregon primary, four remained on the ballot. Biden won just under two-thirds of the vote. Bernie Sanders received just over 20% of the vote. Oregon's 71 delegates were allocated with 46 to Biden and 15 to Sanders.
Independent Party of Oregon primary The Independent Party of Oregon cross-nominated Joe Biden after an online nonpartisan blanket primary. CandidateVotes%Joe Biden1,66146.7Donald Trump1,38939.1Bernie Sanders1,22734.5Total4,277100.00 CandidateVotes%Joe Biden39255.13Donald Trump28039.38
Pacific Green Party primary Howie Hawkins won the Oregon Green Party primary.
General election Final predictions SourceRankingThe Cook Political ReportInside ElectionsSabato's Crystal BallPoliticoRCPNiskanen2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions , Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020.CNNThe EconomistCBS News270towinABC NewsNPRNBC News538
Polling
Polls Aggregate polls +Source of pollaggregationDates administeredDates updatedJoeBiden DonaldTrumpOther/UndecidedMargin270 to Win270 to WinSeptember 26 – October 17, 2020October 20, 202058.0%38.5%3.5%Biden +19.5FiveThirtyEightFiveThirtyEightuntil November 2, 2020November 3, 202058.7%37.4%3.9%Biden +21.3Average58.4%38.0%3.7%Biden +20.4
Polls
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Margin DonaldTrumpJoeBidenJoJorgensenHowieHawkinsOtherUndecidedSurveyMonkey/AxiosSurveyMonkey/AxiosOct 20 – Nov 2, 20203,543 (LV)± 2.5%39%59% – – – –SwayableSwayable Oct 23 – Nov 1, 2020324 (LV)± 7.3%37%60%1%1% – –SurveyMonkey/AxiosOct 1–28, 20205,422 (LV) –38%61% – – – –SurveyMonkey/AxiosSep 1–30, 20202,109 (LV) –38%61% – – –2%Civiqs/Daily KosCiviqs/Daily Kos Sep 26–29, 2020 944 (LV) ± 3.5% 39%56% – – 3% 2%DHM ResearchDHM Research Sep 3–8, 2020 502 (LV) ± 4% 39%51% – – 6% 4%SurveyMonkey/AxiosAug 1–31, 20201,648 (LV) –38%60% – – –2%SurveyMonkey/AxiosJul 1–31, 20201,890 (LV) –38%61% – – –1%SurveyMonkey/AxiosJun 8–30, 2020872 (LV) –39%59% – – –2%
Results
By county County Joe BidenDemocratic Donald TrumpRepublican Various candidatesOther parties Margin Total votes cast # % # % # % # % Baker 2,346 23.62% 7,352 74.02% 234 2.36% -5,006 -50.40% 9,932 Benton 35,827 67.86% 14,878 28.18% 2,094 3.97% 20,949 39.68% 52,799 Clackamas 139,043 53.96% 110,509 42.89% 8,127 3.15% 28,534 11.07% 257,679 Clatsop 12,916 54.02% 10,218 42.74% 776 3.25% 2,698 11.28% 23,910 Columbia 13,835 42.94% 17,150 53.23% 1,236 3.84% -3,315 -10.29% 32,221 Coos 14,243 38.42% 21,829 58.88% 1,003 2.71% -7,586 -20.46% 37,075 Crook 3,801 24.61% 11,287 73.06% 360 2.33% -7,486 -48.46% 15,448 Curry 6,058 40.59% 8,484 56.84% 383 2.57% -2,426 -16.25% 14,925 Deschutes 65,962 52.67% 55,646 44.43% 3,626 2.90% 10,316 8.24% 125,234 Douglas 19,160 29.78% 43,298 67.29% 1,891 2.94% -24,138 -37.51% 64,349 Gilliam 324 27.50% 834 70.80% 20 1.70% -510 -43.29% 1,178 Grant 929 20.21% 3,545 77.13% 122 2.65% -2,616 -56.92% 4,596 Harney 894 19.95% 3,475 77.55% 112 2.50% -2,581 -57.60% 4,481 Hood River 8,764 66.95% 3,955 30.21% 371 2.83% 4,809 36.74% 13,090 Jackson 59,478 46.77% 63,869 50.23% 3,818 3.00% -4,391 -3.45% 127,165 Jefferson 4,393 36.88% 7,189 60.35% 331 2.78% -2,796 -23.47% 11,913 Josephine 18,451 35.73% 31,751 61.48% 1,439 2.79% -13,300 -25.75% 51,641 Klamath 10,388 28.29% 25,308 68.91% 1,030 2.80% -14,920 -40.63% 36,726 Lake 792 18.15% 3,470 79.53% 101 2.31% -2,678 -61.38% 4,363 Lane 134,366 60.46% 80,336 36.15% 7,551 3.40% 54,030 24.31% 222,253 Lincoln 17,385 56.58% 12,460 40.55% 881 2.87% 4,925 16.03% 30,726 Linn 26,512 36.50% 43,486 59.87% 2,642 3.64% -16,974 -23.37% 72,640 Malheur 3,260 27.62% 8,187 69.36% 357 3.02% -4,927 -41.74% 11,804 Marion 80,872 48.86% 79,002 47.73% 5,660 3.42% 1,870 1.13% 165,534 Morrow 1,371 26.79% 3,586 70.07% 161 3.15% -2,215 -43.28% 5,118 Multnomah 367,249 79.21% 82,995 17.90% 13,415 2.89% 284,254 61.31% 463,659 Polk 22,917 47.46% 23,732 49.14% 1,642 3.40% -815 -1.69% 48,291 Sherman 260 21.52% 921 76.24% 27 2.24% -661 -54.72% 1,208 Tillamook 8,066 47.76% 8,354 49.47% 468 2.77% -288 -1.71% 16,888 Umatilla 10,707 32.41% 21,270 64.38% 1,061 3.21% -10,563 -31.97% 33,038 Union 4,254 28.47% 10,298 68.91% 392 2.62% -6,044 -40.44% 14,944 Wallowa 1,625 31.56% 3,404 66.11% 120 2.33% -1,779 -34.55% 5,149 Wasco 6,604 46.74% 7,035 49.79% 491 3.47% -431 -3.05% 14,130 Washington 209,940 65.54% 99,073 30.93% 11,313 3.53% 110,867 34.61% 320,326 Wheeler 217 22.49% 711 73.68% 37 3.83% -494 -51.19% 965 Yamhill 27,174 46.12% 29,551 50.15% 2,198 3.73% -2,377 -4.03% 58,923Totals1,340,38356.45%958,44840.37%75,4903.18%381,93516.09%2,374,321
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic Deschutes (largest city: Bend) Marion (largest city: Salem)
By congressional district Biden won four out of five congressional districts in Oregon. District Trump Biden Representative 33.8% 62.7%Suzanne Bonamici 55.3% 41.8%Cliff Bentz 23.3% 73.8%Earl Blumenauer 46.4% 50.3%Peter DeFazio 43.6% 53.2%Kurt Schrader
Analysis
Edison exit polls 2020 presidential election in Oregon by demographic subgroup (Edison exit polling)Demographic subgroupBidenTrump% of total voteTotal vote56.4540.37100IdeologyLiberals96433Moderates663037Conservatives89230PartyDemocrats98236Republicans79324Independents524341GenderMen514550Women633550Race/ethnicityWhite583985Non-white––15Age18–29 years old––1730–44 years old62342445–64 years old52483565 and older544424Sexual orientationLGBT––8Not LGBT554292EducationHigh school or less386224Some college education573734Associate degree574112Bachelor's degree673017Postgraduate degree781813RegionMultnomah County––20Portland suburbs633526Willamette/Northwest514529East/South395725Area typeUrban752332Suburban524450Rural375818Family's financial situation todayBetter than four years ago277141Worse than four years ago84917About the same732442
See also United States presidential elections in Oregon Presidency of Joe Biden 2020 United States presidential election 2020 Democratic Party presidential primaries 2020 Republican Party presidential primaries 2020 United States elections
Notes
References
External links
(State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)