2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota

The 2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota took place on November 6, 2018, to elect a United States senator from Minnesota. Incumbent Democratic–Farmer–Labor U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar was reelected in a landslide, defeating Republican state House of Representatives member Jim Newberger. This election was held alongside a special election for Minnesota's other Senate seat, which was held by Al Franken until he resigned in January 2018. U.S. House elections, a gubernatorial election, State House elections, and other elections were also held.

The candidate filing deadline was June 5, 2018, and the primary election was held on August 14, 2018. This is the last time that a Democratic candidate won a majority of Minnesota's counties in a statewide election.

Democratic-Farmer-Labor primary Candidates Nominated Amy Klobuchar, incumbent U.S. senator

Eliminated in primary Steve Carlson Stephen A. Emery David R. Groves Leonard J. Richards

Endorsements

Results

Republican primary Candidates Nominated Jim Newberger, state representative (Minnesota GOP convention endorsed)

Eliminated in primary Merrill Anderson, past candidate for mayor of Minneapolis, past candidate for governor of Minnesota Rae Hart Anderson Rocky De La Fuente, 2016 Reform Party presidential nominee and perennial candidate

Declined Tim Pawlenty, former governor of Minnesota (ran for governor)

Endorsements

Results

Minor parties and independents

Candidates Paula M. Overby (Green Party) Dennis Schuller (Legal Marijuana Now Party)

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs ofThe Cook Political Report October 26, 2018Inside Elections November 1, 2018Sabato's Crystal Ball November 5, 2018Fox News July 9, 2018CNN July 12, 2018RealClearPolitics November 5, 2018

Debates On August 24, MPR News hosted a debate between Amy Klobuchar and Jim Newberger at the Minnesota State Fair.

Fundraising Campaign finance reports as of October 17, 2018Candidate (party)Total receiptsTotal disbursementsCash on handAmy Klobuchar (DFL)$10,139,499$7,700,359$5,086,325Jim Newberger (R)$210,846$191,815$19,030Source: Federal Election Commission

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error AmyKlobuchar (DFL) JimNewberger (R) PaulaOverby (G) DennisSchuller (LMN) Other UndecidedChange ResearchChange Research November 2–4, 2018 953 – 55% 40% 2% 3% – –Research Co.Research Co. November 1–3, 2018 450 ± 4.6% 53% 33% – – 2% 12%SurveyUSASurveyUSA October 29–31, 2018 600 ± 5.3% 57% 34% – – 1% 7%St. Cloud State UniversitySt. Cloud State University October 15–30, 2018 420 – 54% 28% – – –Mason-DixonMason-Dixon October 15–17, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 56% 33% 2% 2% – 8%Change ResearchChange Research October 12–13, 2018 1,413 – 50% 41% 2% 5% – 2%Marist CollegeMarist College September 30 – October 4, 2018 637 LV ± 4.9% 60% 32% 4% – <1% 4% 63% 33% – – <1% 4% 860 RV ± 4.2% 59% 32% 5% – <1% 5% 62% 33% – – <1% 5%Mason-DixonMason-Dixon September 10–12, 2018 800 ± 3.5% 60% 30% 1% 3% – 6%SurveyUSASurveyUSA September 6–8, 2018 574 ± 4.9% 53% 38% – – 2% 8%Suffolk UniversitySuffolk University August 17–20, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 54% 34% 1% 1% – 11%Emerson CollegeEmerson College August 8–11, 2018 500 ± 4.6% 50% 26% – – – 24%BK StrategiesBK Strategies June 24–25, 2018 1,574 ± 2.5% 57% 37% – – – 6%

Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error GenericDemocrat GenericRepublican UndecidedBK Strategies (R)BK Strategies (R) June 24–25, 2018 1,574 ± 2.5% 49% 42% 9%

Results Klobuchar won the election by a margin of 24.10%. She carried a clear majority of the state's 87 counties, won every congressional district, and had the biggest statewide margin of any statewide candidate in Minnesota in 2018. Klobuchar ran up huge margins in the state's population centers and trounced Newberger in the counties encompassing the Minneapolis-St. Paul area. As in her 2012 victory, she also won many rural counties. Klobuchar was sworn in for a third term on January 3, 2019.

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Morrison (largest city: Little Falls) Todd (largest city: Long Prairie) Jackson (largest city: Jackson) Faribault (largest city: Blue Earth) Nobles (largest city: Worthington) Martin (largest city: Fairmont) Cottonwood (largest city: Windom) Dodge (largest city: Kasson) Murray (largest city: Slayton) Lincoln (largest city: Tyler) Redwood (largest city: Redwood Falls) Brown (largest city: New Ulm) McLeod (largest city: Hutchinson) Meeker (largest city: Litchfield) Wright (largest city: Otsego) Sibley (largest city: Gaylord) Benton (largest city: Sauk Rapids) Sherburne (largest city: Elk River) Isanti (largest city: Cambridge) Chisago (largest city: North Branch) Mille Lacs (largest city: Princeton) Kanabec (largest city: Mora) Marshall (largest city: Warren) Lake of the Woods (largest city: Baudette) Roseau (largest city: Roseau) Clearwater (largest city: Bagley) Polk (largest city: East Grand Forks) Becker (largest city: Detroit Lakes) Douglas (largest city: Alexandria) Otter Tail (largest city: Fergus Falls) Cass (largest city: Lake Shore) Crow Wing (largest city: Brainerd) Hubbard (largest city: Park Rapids) Wadena (largest city: Wadena)

By congressional district Klobuchar won all eight congressional districts, including three that elected Republicans. District Klobuchar Newberger Representative1st54%42%Tim Walz (115th Congress)Jim Hagedorn (116th Congress)2nd59%38%Jason Lewis (115th Congress)Angie Craig (116th Congress)3rd63%35%Erik Paulsen (115th Congress)Dean Phillips (116th Congress)4th71%25%Betty McCollum5th81%15%Keith Ellison (115th Congress)Ilhan Omar (116th Congress)6th48.3%48.2%Tom Emmer7th48.4%48.3%Collin Peterson8th54%43%Rick Nolan (115th Congress)Pete Stauber (116th Congress)

Voter demographics +Edison Research exit poll Demographic subgroup Klobuchar Newberger Noanswer % ofvoters Gender Men 54 45 1 46 Women 67 32 1 54 Age 18–24 years old 79 19 2 6 25–29 years old 60 39 1 5 30–39 years old 63 35 2 12 40–49 years old 57 42 1 13 50–64 years old 61 38 1 29 65 and older 60 39 1 35 Race White 59 40 1 89 Black 86 12 2 5 Latino N/A N/A N/A 3 Asian N/A N/A N/A 2 Other N/A N/A N/A 2 Race by gender White men 52 47 1 40 White women 65 34 1 49 Black men N/A N/A N/A 3 Black women N/A N/A N/A 2 Latino men N/A N/A N/A 1 Latino women N/A N/A N/A 1 Others N/A N/A N/A 4 Education High school or less 59 40 1 17 Some college education 55 43 2 23 Associate degree 54 44 2 17 Bachelor's degree 66 34 N/A 26 Advanced degree 75 25 N/A 16 Education and race White college graduates 68 31 1 38 White no college degree 53 46 1 51 Non-white college graduates 79 20 1 4 Non-white no college degree 82 17 1 7 Whites by education and gender White women with college degrees 74 25 1 21 White women without college degrees 59 40 1 28 White men with college degrees 61 39 N/A 17 White men without college degrees 46 53 1 23 Non-whites 80 18 2 11Income Under $30,000 67 28 5 14 $30,000–49,999 63 35 2 20 $50,000–99,999 55 44 1 36 $100,000–199,999 64 36 N/A 23 Over $200,000 N/A N/A N/A 7 Party ID Democrats 98 2 N/A 39 Republicans 18 81 1 32Independents 62 36 2 29 Party by gender Democratic men 96 4 N/A 14 Democratic women 99 1 N/A 25 Republican men 16 84 N/A 15 Republican women 20 78 2 17 Independent men 56 42 2 16 Independent women 69 29 2 13 IdeologyLiberals 96 3 1 27 Moderates 76 23 1 39 Conservatives 17 82 1 33 Marital status Married 55 44 1 67 Unmarried 69 28 3 33 Gender by marital status Married men 51 47 2 31 Married women 58 42 N/A 36 Unmarried men 59 38 3 15 Unmarried women 79 19 2 18 First-time midterm election voter Yes 59 40 1 13 No 64 35 1 87 Most important issue facing the countryHealth care 78 20 2 50Immigration 29 70 1 22Economy 37 62 1 18Gun policy N/A N/A N/A 7Area typeUrban7326140Suburban5841132Rural4949228Source: CNN

2018 United States Senate election in Minnesota

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