The 2018 United States Senate election in Mississippi took place on November 6, 2018, in order to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Mississippi. Incumbent Republican Roger Wicker was re-elected to a second full term, defeating his Democratic challenger, David Baria.
The candidate filing deadline was March 1, 2018, and the primary election was held on June 5, 2018, with a runoff on June 26 if a party's primary failed to produce a majority winner. The race took place on the same day as the nonpartisan jungle primary for the other U.S. Senate seat in Mississippi, which was vacated by Thad Cochran in the spring of 2018.
Republican primary
Candidates Declared Richard Boyanton, businessman Roger Wicker, incumbent U.S. senator
Withdrawn Chris McDaniel, state senator and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 (running for the Class 2 U.S. Senate seat)
Endorsements
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error RogerWicker ChrisMcDaniel TateReeves UndecidedTriumph CampaignsTriumph Campaigns April 10–11, 2018 446 – 66% 16% – 18%JMC AnalyticsJMC Analytics February 15–17, 2018 500 ± 4.4% 38% – 15% 47% 38% 20% – 42%Mason-DixonMason-Dixon December 13–15, 2017 400 ± 5.0% 49% 33% – 18%Public Opinion Strategies (R-Wicker)Public Opinion Strategies (R-Wicker) April 22–25, 2017 500 ± 4.2% 55% 30% – 14%
Results
Democratic primary Candidates Declared David Baria, Mississippi House of Representatives Minority Leader Jensen Bohren Jerone Garland Victor G. Maurice Jr. Omeria Scott, state representative Howard Sherman, businessman and husband of actress Sela Ward
Declined Jeramey Anderson, state representative (running for MS-4) Brandon Presley, chair of the Mississippi Public Service Commission
Endorsements
Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize DavidBaria JensenBohren OmeriaScott HowardSherman UndecidedTriumph Campaigns April 10–11, 2018 446 7% 4% 9% 2% 79%
Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error DavidBaria ChuckEspy JimHood BennieThompson UndecidedTriumph CampaignsTriumph Campaigns January 29, 2018 2,145 ± 1.8% – – 33% 47% 20% 10% 34% – – 56%
Results
Runoff results
Independents and third party candidates Libertarian Party Declared Danny Bedwell, candidate for MS-01 in 2012 and 2014
Reform Party Declared Shawn O'Hara, perennial candidate
General election Predictions SourceRankingAs ofThe Cook Political Report October 26, 2018Inside Elections November 1, 2018Sabato's Crystal Ball November 5, 2018Fox News July 9, 2018CNN July 12, 2018RealClearPolitics June 2018
Fundraising Campaign finance reports as of June 30, 2018CandidateTotal receiptsTotal disbursementsCash on handRoger Wicker (R)$5,349,028$3,831,418$3,138,044David Baria (D)$532,629$528,325$72,922Source: Federal Election Commission
Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error RogerWicker (R) DavidBaria (D) DannyBedwell (L) Other UndecidedChange ResearchChange Research November 2–4, 2018 1,003 – 48% 40% 5% 3%Shawn O'Hara (Reform) with 3% –Marist CollegeMarist College October 13–18, 2018 511 LV ± 6.1% 57% 31% 2% 2%Shawn O'Hara (Reform) with 1%, other with 1% 9% 60% 32% – 2% 7% 856 RV ± 4.7% 54% 30% 3% 2% 10% 57% 32% – 2% 9%SurveyMonkeySurveyMonkey September 9–24, 2018 985 ± 4.3% 43% 29% – – 27%Triumph CampaignsTriumph Campaigns July 30–31, 2018 2,100 ± 3.5% 53% 32% 1% 2%Shawn O'Hara (Reform) with 2% 12%Triumph Campaigns April 10–11, 2018 1,000 ± 3.0% 48% 31% – – 21%
Results
By county CountyRoger WickerRepublicanDavid BariaDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Adams4,48741.70%6,09756.66%1761.64%-1,610-14.96%10,760Alcorn8,16780.34%1,78017.51%2192.15%6,38762.83%10,166Amite3,24660.53%1,96636.66%1512.82%1,28023.87%5,363Attala3,72860.82%2,29137.37%1111.81%1,43723.44%6,130Benton1,64559.09%1,09139.19%481.72%55419.90%2,784Bolivar3,93837.11%6,46960.96%2051.93%-2,531-23.85%10,612Calhoun3,29671.67%1,23026.74%731.59%2,06644.92%4,599Carroll2,93669.28%1,21228.60%902.12%1,72440.68%4,238Chickasaw3,31755.97%2,51242.39%971.64%80513.58%5,926Choctaw2,10171.15%79126.79%612.07%1,31044.36%2,953Claiborne65320.15%2,46876.17%1193.67%-1,815-56.02%3,240Clarke3,94465.84%1,93332.27%1131.89%2,01133.57%5,990Clay3,41144.82%4,09153.76%1081.42%-680-8.94%7,610Coahoma2,17835.05%3,85862.09%1782.86%-1,680-27.04%6,214Copiah5,05249.63%4,86747.81%2612.56%1851.82%10,180Covington4,24262.49%2,38235.09%1642.42%1,86027.40%6,788DeSoto32,75064.37%16,85833.13%1,2712.50%15,89231.23%50,879Forrest12,53956.22%9,13440.95%6302.82%3,40515.27%22,303Franklin1,99963.56%1,05033.39%963.05%94930.17%3,145George6,06084.86%86612.13%2153.01%5,19472.73%7,141Greene2,92378.30%70318.83%1072.87%2,22059.47%3,733Grenada4,34856.87%3,17641.54%1211.58%1,17215.33%7,645Hancock9,98971.87%3,69226.56%2181.57%6,29745.31%13,899Harrison32,41462.67%18,39135.56%9181.77%14,02327.11%51,723Hinds21,64427.50%55,78070.87%1,2821.63%-34,136-43.37%78,706Holmes1,06819.87%4,22278.55%851.58%-3,154-58.68%5,375Humphreys96130.57%2,08266.22%1013.21%-1,121-35.66%3,144Issaquena25848.50%26149.06%132.44%-3-0.56%532Itawamba5,85886.22%78311.52%1532.25%5,07574.70%6,794Jackson26,54467.19%12,17930.83%7841.98%14,36536.36%39,507Jasper2,98847.68%3,14950.25%1302.07%-161-2.57%6,267Jefferson56218.37%2,39878.37%1003.27%-1,836-60.00%3,060Jefferson Davis1,95841.65%2,64056.16%1032.19%-682-14.51%4,701Jones14,85268.48%6,14328.33%6923.19%8,70940.16%21,687Kemper1,43241.74%1,95556.98%441.28%-523-15.24%3,431Lafayette9,25656.13%6,98142.33%2531.53%2,27513.80%16,490Lamar14,77774.97%4,43722.51%4972.52%10,34052.46%19,711Lauderdale14,21761.45%8,61037.21%3091.34%5,60724.23%23,136Lawrence3,19665.75%1,55832.05%1072.20%1,63833.70%4,861Leake3,66658.49%2,47039.41%1322.11%1,19619.08%6,268Lee17,41367.86%7,65429.83%5942.31%9,75938.03%25,661Leflore2,85034.07%5,35263.99%1621.94%-2,502-29.91%8,364Lincoln8,57670.16%3,45328.25%1941.59%5,12341.91%12,223Lowndes10,72054.57%8,63843.97%2881.47%2,08210.60%19,646Madison23,63258.27%16,28340.15%6381.57%7,34918.12%40,553Marion5,86766.66%2,73431.06%2002.27%3,13335.60%8,801Marshall5,41547.87%5,69250.31%2061.82%-277-2.45%11,313Monroe7,73966.17%3,80232.51%1541.32%3,93733.66%11,695Montgomery2,25458.70%1,52639.74%601.56%72818.96%3,840Neshoba5,86173.76%1,96124.68%1241.56%3,90049.08%7,946Newton4,96569.89%1,98627.96%1532.15%2,97941.93%7,104Noxubee1,08527.69%2,78871.14%461.17%-1,703-43.45%3,919Oktibbeha7,13450.17%6,79847.81%2872.02%3362.36%14,219Panola5,80451.80%5,21246.51%1891.69%5925.28%11,205Pearl River12,37378.79%2,89918.46%4322.75%9,47460.33%15,704Perry2,91375.39%85322.08%982.54%2,06053.31%3,864Pike6,50251.61%5,85746.49%2391.90%6455.12%12,598Pontotoc7,58879.10%1,69317.65%3123.25%5,89561.45%9,593Prentiss5,59778.03%1,45020.21%1261.76%4,14757.81%7,173Quitman87236.50%1,46061.11%572.39%-588-24.61%2,389Rankin37,91373.43%12,52324.26%1,1942.31%25,39049.18%51,630Scott4,60060.19%2,92638.29%1161.52%1,67421.91%7,642Sharkey59635.52%1,04662.34%362.15%-450-26.82%1,678Simpson5,69765.24%2,85532.69%1812.07%2,84232.54%8,733Smith4,39475.19%1,29822.21%1522.60%3,09652.98%5,844Stone4,05276.32%1,14221.51%1152.17%2,91054.81%5,309Sunflower2,45734.18%4,57963.69%1532.13%-2,122-29.52%7,189Tallahatchie1,95047.15%2,09550.65%912.20%-145-3.51%4,136Tate5,68066.58%2,63830.92%2132.50%3,04235.66%8,531Tippah5,53680.16%1,22917.80%1412.04%4,30762.37%6,906Tishomingo5,12584.49%78812.99%1532.52%4,33771.50%6,066Tunica77931.41%1,63065.73%712.86%-851-34.31%2,480Union6,77982.28%1,29715.74%1631.98%5,48266.54%8,239Walthall3,00859.71%1,91938.09%1112.20%1,08921.62%5,038Warren8,20654.04%6,70644.16%2731.80%1,5009.88%15,185Washington4,51933.27%8,89365.48%1701.25%-4,374-32.20%13,582Wayne4,37660.92%2,63836.73%1692.35%1,73824.20%7,183Webster3,11479.50%73318.71%701.79%2,38160.79%3,917Wilkinson95033.56%1,82364.39%582.05%-873-30.84%2,831Winston3,97656.95%2,90041.54%1051.50%1,07615.41%6,981Yalobusha2,57455.31%2,01143.21%691.48%56312.10%4,654Yazoo3,57851.41%3,25146.71%1311.88%3274.70%6,960Totals547,61958.49%369,56739.47%19,0292.03%178,05219.02%936,215
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Copiah (largest city: Hazlehurst) Panola (largest city: Batesville) Pike (largest city: McComb) Yazoo (largest city: Yazoo City)
By congressional district Wicker won three of four congressional districts. District Wicker Baria Representative 66% 32%Trent Kelly 38% 61%Bennie Thompson 62% 36%Michael Guest 68% 30%Steven Palazzo
References
External links Candidates at Vote Smart Candidates at Ballotpedia Campaign finance at FEC Campaign finance at OpenSecrets
Official campaign websites David Baria (D) for Senate Danny Bedwell (L) for Senate Roger Wicker (R) for Senate