The 2016 United States presidential election in Kentucky was held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Kentucky voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote, pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, and her running mate Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Kentucky has eight electoral votes in the Electoral College.
Although Kentucky was won twice by Southern Democrat Bill Clinton in 1992 and 1996, Trump easily carried the state with 62.52% of the vote to Hillary Clinton's 32.68%, a margin of 29.84%. Trump won Kentucky by the largest margin of any Republican up to that point, and he swept counties across the state. She carried only the state's two most urban and populous counties: Jefferson County, home to Louisville; and Fayette County, home to Lexington, both of which traditionally vote Democratic. Kentucky was also one of eleven states to have twice voted for Bill Clinton but against his wife Hillary in 2016.
Trump's victory in Kentucky made it his fifth-strongest state in the 2016 election after West Virginia, Wyoming, Oklahoma, and North Dakota. Most notably, Trump ended Elliott County's nearly 150-year tradition of voting Democratic in every presidential election, winning with 2,000 votes to Clinton's 740, or 70%–26%. Nevertheless, he became the first Republican since Warren G. Harding in 1920 to win the White House without carrying Fayette County.
Caucuses
Republican caucus
Delegates were awarded to candidates who got 5% or more of the vote proportionally.
In order to avoid a local law forbidding one candidate to run for two offices in the same primary, Rand Paul paid to have a presidential caucus, which took place on March 5. Paul dropped out prior to this.
Democratic primary
Four candidates appeared on the Democratic presidential primary ballot: Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders Rocky De La Fuente Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)
General election
Polling
Predictions The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Kentucky as of Election Day. SourceRankingAs ofLos Angeles TimesNovember 6, 2016CNNNovember 8, 2016Sabato's Crystal BallNovember 7, 2016NBCNovember 7, 2016RealClearPoliticsNovember 8, 2016Fox NewsNovember 7, 2016ABCNovember 7, 2016
Results
By county CountyDonald TrumpRepublicanHillary ClintonDemocraticVarious candidatesOther partiesMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Adair6,63780.61%1,32316.07%2733.32%5,31464.54%8,233Allen6,46679.87%1,34916.66%2813.47%5,11763.21%8,096Anderson8,24272.16%2,63423.06%5464.78%5,60849.10%11,422Ballard3,16177.08%81619.90%1243.02%2,34557.18%4,101Barren13,48372.93%4,27523.12%7303.95%9,20849.81%18,488Bath3,08267.19%1,36129.67%1443.14%1,72137.52%4,587Bell7,76479.89%1,72017.70%2342.41%6,04462.19%9,718Boone39,08267.83%15,02626.08%3,5106.09%24,05641.75%57,618Bourbon5,56963.26%2,79131.71%4435.03%2,77831.55%8,803Boyd13,59166.45%6,02129.44%8424.11%7,57037.01%20,454Boyle8,04062.10%4,28133.07%6254.83%3,75929.03%12,946Bracken2,71176.86%70519.99%1113.15%2,00656.87%3,527Breathitt3,99169.55%1,53726.79%2103.66%2,45442.76%5,738Breckinridge6,48473.90%1,96022.34%3303.76%4,52451.56%8,774Bullitt26,21072.67%8,25522.89%1,6044.44%17,95549.78%36,069Butler4,42879.41%94716.98%2013.61%3,48162.43%5,576Caldwell4,50775.43%1,26021.09%2083.48%3,24754.34%5,975Calloway10,36764.60%4,74929.59%9335.81%5,61835.01%16,049Campbell25,05058.93%14,65834.48%2,8026.59%10,39224.45%42,510Carlisle2,09480.51%43216.61%752.88%1,66263.90%2,601Carroll2,58867.13%1,10628.69%1614.18%1,48238.44%3,855Carter7,58773.82%2,27622.14%4154.04%5,31151.68%10,278Casey5,48285.14%76711.91%1902.95%4,71573.23%6,439Christian14,10863.89%7,18832.55%7873.56%6,92031.34%22,083Clark10,71066.09%4,70629.04%7894.87%6,00437.05%16,205Clay5,86186.61%75211.11%1542.28%5,10975.50%6,767Clinton3,80985.37%54712.26%1062.37%3,26273.11%4,462Crittenden3,29081.50%61715.28%1303.22%2,67366.22%4,037Cumberland2,50281.60%45914.97%1053.43%2,04366.63%3,066Daviess28,90763.11%14,16330.92%2,7375.97%14,74432.19%45,807Edmonson4,13578.85%97918.67%1302.48%3,15660.18%5,244Elliott2,00070.05%74025.92%1154.03%1,26044.13%2,855Estill4,23676.39%1,10819.98%2013.63%3,12856.41%5,545Fayette56,89441.74%69,77851.19%9,6437.07%-12,884-9.45%136,315Fleming4,72275.43%1,34821.53%1903.04%3,37453.90%6,260Floyd11,99372.51%4,01524.27%5323.22%7,97848.24%16,540Franklin11,81949.52%10,71744.91%1,3295.57%1,1024.61%23,865Fulton1,54965.03%77432.49%592.48%77532.54%2,382Gallatin2,44373.19%74922.44%1464.37%1,69450.75%3,338Garrard5,90477.45%1,45319.06%2663.49%4,45158.39%7,623Grant7,26876.03%1,91019.98%3813.99%5,35856.05%9,559Graves12,67176.30%3,30819.92%6273.78%9,36356.38%16,606Grayson8,21977.71%1,95918.52%3983.77%6,26059.19%10,576Green4,37281.98%83215.60%1292.42%3,54066.38%5,333Greenup11,54670.93%4,14625.47%5853.60%7,40045.46%16,277Hancock2,78864.91%1,24428.96%2636.13%1,54435.95%4,295Hardin26,97162.50%13,94432.31%2,2415.19%13,02730.19%43,156Harlan9,12984.87%1,37212.75%2562.38%7,75772.12%10,757Harrison5,43569.85%2,03126.10%3154.05%3,40443.75%7,781Hart5,32073.24%1,73023.82%2142.94%3,59049.42%7,264Henderson12,15961.69%6,70734.03%8444.28%5,45227.66%19,710Henry4,94469.16%1,82825.57%3775.27%3,11643.59%7,149Hickman1,65776.82%44920.82%512.36%1,20856.00%2,157Hopkins15,27775.09%4,31021.18%7583.73%10,96753.91%20,345Jackson4,88988.87%4828.76%1302.37%4,40780.11%5,501Jefferson143,76840.72%190,83654.05%18,4965.23%-47,068-13.33%353,100Jessamine15,47466.34%6,14426.34%1,7087.32%9,33040.00%23,326Johnson8,04384.03%1,25013.06%2792.91%6,79370.97%9,572Kenton42,95859.67%24,21433.63%4,8266.70%18,74426.04%71,998Knott4,35775.60%1,24521.60%1612.80%3,11254.00%5,763Knox9,88582.29%1,76114.66%3663.05%8,12467.63%12,012LaRue4,79975.37%1,27820.07%2904.56%3,52155.30%6,367Laurel20,59282.92%3,44013.85%8013.23%17,15269.07%24,833Lawrence4,81679.71%1,04517.30%1812.99%3,77162.41%6,042Lee2,15180.65%44416.65%722.70%1,70764.00%2,667Leslie4,01589.38%4008.90%741.72%3,61580.48%4,492Letcher7,29379.84%1,54216.88%2993.28%5,75162.96%9,134Lewis4,36382.35%78514.82%1502.83%3,57867.53%5,298Lincoln7,33876.75%1,86519.51%3583.74%5,47357.24%9,561Livingston3,57076.86%88719.10%1884.04%2,68357.76%4,645Logan7,77871.36%2,75525.28%3663.36%5,02346.08%10,899Lyon2,78970.39%1,04526.38%1283.23%1,74444.01%3,962McCracken20,77466.36%9,13429.18%1,3994.46%11,64037.18%31,307McCreary5,01286.77%66411.50%1001.73%4,34875.27%5,776McLean3,38174.05%98821.64%1974.31%2,39352.41%4,566Madison23,43162.70%11,79331.56%2,1475.74%11,63831.14%37,371Magoffin3,82474.75%1,17222.91%1202.34%2,65251.84%5,116Marion5,12263.15%2,67933.03%3103.82%2,44330.12%8,111Marshall12,32273.79%3,67221.99%7044.22%8,65051.80%16,698Martin3,50388.62%3639.18%872.20%3,14079.44%3,953Mason4,94468.49%1,97027.29%3054.22%2,97441.20%7,219Meade8,66070.80%3,02624.74%5454.46%5,63446.06%12,231Menifee2,01072.33%70025.19%692.48%1,31047.14%2,779Mercer7,74073.12%2,39522.63%4504.25%5,34550.49%10,585Metcalfe3,49175.56%97621.13%1533.31%2,51554.43%4,620Monroe4,27885.71%60112.04%1122.25%3,67773.67%4,991Montgomery7,85668.60%3,15827.58%4383.82%4,69841.02%11,452Morgan3,62875.98%1,00621.07%1412.95%2,62254.91%4,775Muhlenberg9,39371.92%3,27225.05%3953.03%6,12146.87%13,060Nelson13,43164.57%6,43430.93%9374.50%6,99733.64%20,802Nicholas1,95768.88%78727.70%973.42%1,17041.18%2,841Ohio7,94276.38%2,08020.00%3763.62%5,86256.38%10,398Oldham20,46962.30%10,26831.25%2,1166.45%10,20131.05%32,853Owen3,74574.89%1,06221.24%1943.87%2,68353.65%5,001Owsley1,47483.80%25614.55%291.65%1,21869.25%1,759Pendleton4,60476.64%1,16419.38%2393.98%3,44057.26%6,007Perry8,15877.17%2,13620.20%2782.63%6,02256.97%10,572Pike19,74780.06%4,28017.35%6382.59%15,46762.71%24,665Powell3,51370.87%1,27225.66%1723.47%2,24145.21%4,957Pulaski22,90281.67%4,20815.01%9313.32%18,69466.66%28,041Robertson75974.93%22221.92%323.15%53753.01%1,013Rockcastle5,60983.83%91513.68%1672.49%4,69470.15%6,691Rowan5,17458.48%3,29537.24%3794.28%1,87921.24%8,848Russell6,86383.96%1,09313.37%2182.67%5,77070.59%8,174Scott15,05262.20%7,71531.88%1,4335.92%7,33730.32%24,200Shelby13,19664.12%6,27630.50%1,1085.38%6,92033.62%20,580Simpson5,07767.41%2,14428.47%3104.12%2,93338.94%7,531Spencer7,19675.63%1,92120.19%3984.18%5,27555.44%9,515Taylor8,32073.59%2,55322.58%4333.83%5,76751.01%11,306Todd3,61275.58%1,04221.80%1252.62%2,57053.78%4,779Trigg4,93173.04%1,58723.51%2333.45%3,34449.53%6,751Trimble2,77172.96%87923.14%1483.90%1,89249.82%3,798Union4,70175.69%1,33121.43%1792.88%3,37054.26%6,211Warren28,67359.18%16,96635.01%2,8155.81%11,70724.17%48,454Washington4,01371.20%1,42025.20%2033.60%2,59346.00%5,636Wayne6,37179.72%1,43117.91%1902.37%4,94061.81%7,992Webster4,39775.75%1,24021.36%1682.89%3,15754.39%5,805Whitley11,31282.13%2,06715.01%3952.86%9,24567.12%13,774Wolfe1,80468.46%75328.58%782.96%1,05139.88%2,635Woodford7,69756.75%4,95836.56%9086.69%2,73920.19%13,563Totals1,202,97162.52%628,85432.68%92,3254.80%574,11729.84%1,924,150
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican Elliot (largest city: Sandy Hook) Franklin (largest city: Frankfort)
By congressional district Trump won five of six congressional districts. District Trump Clinton Representative72%24%Ed WhitfieldJames Comer 68% 28%Brett Guthrie 40% 55%John Yarmuth 65% 29%Thomas Massie 80% 17%Hal Rogers 55% 39%Andy Barr
See also Democratic Party presidential debates, 2016 Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016 Republican Party presidential debates, 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
Notes
References
External links RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Kentucky