Preferred prime minister opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election

In advance of the next United Kingdom general election various organisations continually conduct opinion polls asking voters which of the party leaders they would prefer as prime minister of the United Kingdom. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. The dates of the polls range from the previous general election, held on 4 July 2024, to the present. In the tables below, total figures may not add up to 100%, due to rounding.

Current party leaders Burnham against others Including hypothetical polls conducted prior to Andy Burnham's election as leader of the Labour Party on 17 July 2026 and subsequent appointment as Prime Minister. Burnham vs Badenoch

Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeAndy BurnhamKemi BadenochNoneDon'tknowLeadOpinium2,01041%20%27%12% 21Lord Ashcroft Polls5,03961%39%–– 22Lord Ashcroft Polls5,03945%27%–28% 18Opinium2,05040%19%27%14% 20Opinium2,05038%19%29%14% 19Opinium2,05038%20%28%15% 18Freshwater Strategy1,24951%33%12%4% 18Opinium2,05040%19%26%15% 22Lord Ashcroft Polls5,06362%38%–– 24Lord Ashcroft Polls5,06344%25%–31% 19Opinium2,00337%19%27%16% 18YouGov2,11442%26%5%27% 16Opinium2,05038%18%27%17% 20Freshwater Strategy1,24852%34%10%5% 18Opinium2,05040%18%25%17% 22Lord Ashcroft Polls5,30363%37%–– 26Lord Ashcroft Polls5,30344%25%–31% 19Opinium2,05039%19%24%18% 20YouGov2,11138%26%6%31% 12Andy Burnham is elected leader of the Labour Party and appointed Prime Minister three days laterOpinium2,05030%25%28%17% 5Opinium2,05028%24%32%16% 4Lord Ashcroft Polls5,06456%44%–– 12Lord Ashcroft Polls5,06437%29%–33% 8YouGov2,38132%28%6%34% 4More in Common2,99354%46%–– 8YouGov2,35331%18%9%43% 13

Burnham vs Farage

Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeAndy BurnhamNigel FarageNoneDon'tknowLeadOpinium2,01045%24%20%11% 21Lord Ashcroft Polls5,03968%32%–– 36Lord Ashcroft Polls5,03956%22%–22% 34Opinium2,05044%23%22%11% 21Opinium2,05043%24%23%10% 19Opinium2,05043%24%22%11% 19Freshwater Strategy1,24957%30%9%4% 28Opinium2,05046%23%21%10% 22Opinium2,00343%24%22%11% 19Lord Ashcroft Polls5,06366%34%–– 32Lord Ashcroft Polls5,06353%22%–25% 31YouGov2,11452%22%5%22% 30Opinium2,05045%23%22%11% 22Freshwater Strategy1,24857%32%8%3% 25Opinium2,05046%23%20%12% 23JL Partners2,04853%24%–23% 29Lord Ashcroft Polls5,30371%29%–– 42Lord Ashcroft Polls5,30357%19%–23% 38Opinium2,05045%23%21%12% 22YouGov2,11148%22%5%25% 26Andy Burnham is elected leader of the Labour Party and appointed Prime Minister three days laterOpinium2,05038%25%26%12% 13Opinium2,05035%25%29%11% 10Lord Ashcroft Polls5,06466%34%–– 32Lord Ashcroft Polls5,06451%25%–25% 26YouGov2,38143%23%6%29% 20More in Common2,99362%38%–– 24Ipsos1,11934%28%25%13% 6More in Common2,01635%30%–36% 5Ipsos1,13627%29%31%– 2Ipsos1,12433%29%27%– 4Opinium2,05023%32%31%14% 9YouGov2,35335%25%10%30% 10 Opinium2,05024%31%32%13% 7Ipsos2,27227%30%28%– 3

Burnham vs Davey Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeAndy BurnhamEd DaveyNoneDon'tknowLeadYouGov2,11444%9%5%42% 35YouGov2,11141%8%5%46% 33YouGov2,38132%11%7%51% 21

Burnham vs Polanski Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeAndy BurnhamZack PolanskiNoneDon'tknowLeadYouGov2,11450%8%5%37% 42YouGov2,11145%9%6%40% 36YouGov2,38138%11%6%45% 27

Burnham vs Badenoch vs Farage

Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeAndy BurnhamKemi BadenochNigel FarageOthersNoneDon'tknowLeadLord Ashcroft Polls5,03945%18%15%––22% 27Survation1,22437%21%21%––21% 16Ipsos1,03135%15%14%6%10%7% 20Survation2,04338%20%21%––21% 18Freshwater Strategy1,24945%21%21%–8%6% 23Lord Ashcroft Polls5,06344%17%15%––24% 27Ipsos1,033 36%13%15%7%20%9% 21Lord Ashcroft Polls5,30344%17%15%––25% 27Survation1,01234%19%22%––24% 12Survation1,02133%19%21%––27% 12Andy Burnham is elected leader of the Labour Party and appointed Prime Minister three days laterIpsos1,04530%13%16%8%24%8% 14Lord Ashcroft Polls5,06438%20%17%––26% 18Freshwater Strategy1,23729%27%27%–11%6% 2Lord Ashcroft Polls5,26332%19%17%––32% 13

Burnham vs Badenoch vs Farage vs Polanski Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeAndy BurnhamKemi BadenochNigel FarageZack PolanskiOthersNoneDon'tknowLeadBMG Research1,52112%17%23%16%4%13%15% 6

Burnham vs Badenoch vs Farage vs Davey vs Polanski Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeAndy BurnhamKemi BadenochNigel FarageEd DaveyZack PolanskiNoneDon'tknowLeadConvergent Opinion3,46441%14%15%4%3%13%11% 26YouGov2,10830%15%18%4%7%–27% 12Andy Burnham is elected leader of the Labour Party and appointed Prime Minister three days laterFind Out Now1,04915%11%15%5%10%25%18%TieMore in Common2,99319%18%18%7%7%31%– 1

Burnham vs Badenoch vs Farage vs Davey vs Polanski vs Lowe Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeAndy BurnhamKemi BadenochNigel FarageEd DaveyZack PolanskiRupert LoweOthersNoneDon'tknowLeadMore in Common2,03830%15%14% 5% 6% 7% – 22% – 15 More in Common2,03829%15%15% 5% 5% 6% – 25% – 14

Burnham vs Badenoch vs Farage vs Davey vs Polanski vs Lowe vs Corbyn Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeAndy BurnhamKemi BadenochNigel FarageEd DaveyZack PolanskiRupert LoweJeremy CorbynOthersNoneDon'tknowLeadFind Out Now2,15020%11%12%3%6%8%3%2%36%– 8

Other Badenoch Badenoch vs Farage

Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeKemi BadenochNigel FarageNoneDon'tknowLeadLord Ashcroft Polls5,03975%25%–– 50Freshwater Strategy1,24952%27%16%5% 25Lord Ashcroft Polls5,06373%27%–– 46YouGov2,11445%16%4%35% 29Freshwater Strategy1,24853%30%14%3% 22Lord Ashcroft Polls5,30374%26%–– 48YouGov2,11141%17%5%37% 24Freshwater Strategy1,24049%34%15%3% 15Lord Ashcroft Polls5,06473%27%–– 46YouGov2,38138%17%7%38% 21Lord Ashcroft Polls5,26373%27%–– 46Freshwater Strategy1,24347%35%14%4% 12Lord Ashcroft Polls5,09471%29%–– 42Freshwater Strategy1,25043%33%23% 10Lord Ashcroft Polls5,44769%31%–– 38Freshwater Strategy1,22146%34%16%4% 12Lord Ashcroft Polls5,57669%31%–– 38Ipsos1,11923%26%39%11% 3More in Common2,03564%36%–– 28Freshwater Strategy1,25043%35%18%4% 8Lord Ashcroft Polls5,44866%34%–– 32Opinium2,04720%25%41%13% 5Ipsos1,13622%24%42%– 2Freshwater Strategy1,25042%36%17%5% 6YouGov2,11131%21%6%41% 10Lord Ashcroft Polls5,19567%33%–– 34Ipsos1,12424%25%41%– 1Freshwater Strategy1,55840%36%19%5% 4Lord Ashcroft Polls5,17864%36%–– 28Freshwater Strategy1,25039%39%18%4% TieLord Ashcroft Polls5,03864%36%–– 28Opinium2,01519%27%42%12% 8Freshwater Strategy1,25137%41%19%3% 4Lord Ashcroft Polls5,08261%39%–– 22Freshwater Strategy1,25134%43%19%5% 9Lord Ashcroft Polls5,02961%39%–– 22YouGov2,21621%23%4%49% 2Freshwater Strategy1,25936%41%19%5% 5Ipsos1,15019%24%48%– 5Freshwater Strategy1,25933%39%23%6% 6Lord Ashcroft Polls5,01860%40%–– 20Freshwater Strategy1,26038%40%17%5% 2Lord Ashcroft Polls5,14760%40%–– 20YouGov2,21229%25%4%41% 4Lord Ashcroft Polls5,26364%36%–– 28Lord Ashcroft Polls5,11164%36%–– 28JL Partners2,01232%34%–34% 2Lord Ashcroft Polls5,09963%37%–– 26YouGov2,27522%22%11%46% TieLord Ashcroft Polls5,23164%36%–– 28 Ipsos1,13716%23%40%– 7

Badenoch vs Davey Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeKemi BadenochEd DaveyNoneDon'tknowLeadYouGov2,11433%24%5%38% 9YouGov2,11132%23%6%39% 9More in Common2,03560%40%–– 20YouGov2,11127%25%7%42% 2YouGov2,21618%26%8%48% 8YouGov2,21221%33%4%41% 12YouGov2,27517%26%11%46%9

Badenoch vs Polanski Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeKemi BadenochZack PolanskiNoneDon'tknowLeadYouGov2,11439%20%5%36% 19YouGov2,11136%20%6%38% 16More in Common2,03565%35%–– 30YouGov2,11128%22%7%43% 6

Other Farage Farage vs Davey Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeNigel FarageEd DaveyNoneDon'tknowLeadYouGov2,11424%38%4%34% 14YouGov2,11124%35%5%35% 11More in Common2,03549%51%–– 2YouGov2,11127%33%6%33% 6YouGov2,21627%31%8%35% 4YouGov2,21227%41%4%27% 14YouGov2,27525%30%9%36%5

Farage vs Polanski Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeNigel FarageZack PolanskiNoneDon'tknowLeadYouGov2,11427%31%5%37% 4YouGov2,11127%29%6%38% 2Ipsos1,11932%25%30%13% 7More in Common2,03554%46%–– 8Ipsos1,13631%21%34%– 10YouGov2,11127%28%7%38% 1Ipsos1,12431%23%32%– 8

Others Davey vs Polanski Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeEd DaveyZack PolanskiNoneDon'tknowLeadYouGov2,11428%14%5%53% 14YouGov2,11127%13%6%54% 14YouGov2,11120%15%8%57% 5

Former leaders Starmer vs Badenoch

Date(s)conductedPollsterSamplesizeKeir StarmerKemi BadenochNoneDon'tknowLeadFreshwater Strategy1,24032%48%17%3% 16Opinium2,05020%24%44%12% 4Opinium2,05021%22%46%11% 1More in Common2,99340%60%–– 20Opinium2,05022%23%44%12% 1Opinium2,05021%23%43%13% 2Freshwater Strategy1,23734%46%16%3% 12Lord Ashcroft Polls5,26347%53%–– 6Lord Ashcroft Polls5,26331%32%–37% 1Opinium2,05022%23%45%11% 1Freshwater Strategy1,24331%49%16%4% 18Opinium2,05022%23%44%11% 1Opinium2,05122%24%43%11% 2Lord Ashcroft Polls5,09449%51%–– 2Lord Ashcroft Polls5,09432%30%–37% 2Opinium2,05020%24%43%13% 4Opinium2,01423%21%43%14% 2Freshwater Strategy1,25033%40%27% 7Lord Ashcroft Polls5,44751%49%–– 2Lord Ashcroft Polls5,44732%29%–39% 3Opinium2,05023%20%45%12% 3Opinium2,05021%20%45%14% 1Freshwater Strategy1,22134%41%20%4% 7Opinium2,05020%22%45%13% 2Lord Ashcroft Polls5,57648%52%–– 4Lord Ashcroft Polls5,57632%33%–35% 1Ipsos1,11927%27%35%12% TieMore in Common2,03538%62%–– 24Opinium2,05422%19%46%13% 3Freshwater Strategy1,25031%42%25%3% 11Opinium2,05022%20%45%13% 2Lord Ashcroft Polls5,44848%52%–– 4Lord Ashcroft Polls5,44829%29%–42%TieOpinium2,04720%18%49%14% 2Ipsos1,13626%25%38%– 1Freshwater Strategy1,25031%40%22%6% 9Opinium2,05021%20%48%11% 1YouGov2,11128%28%7%37%TieLord Ashcroft Polls5,19548%52%–– 4Lord Ashcroft Polls5,19530%28%–41% 2Opinium2,05322%20%45%13% 2Ipsos1,12425%26%37%– 1Freshwater Strategy1,55832%41%22%5% 9Opinium2,05021%19%48%11% 2Opinium2,05022%18%47%13% 4Lord Ashcroft Polls5,17849%51%–– 2Lord Ashcroft Polls5,17831%26%–43% 5Freshwater Strategy1,25033%40%23%5% 7Opinium2,05022%16%49%13% 6Opinium2,03022%15%51%13% 7Lord Ashcroft Polls5,03850%50%––TieLord Ashcroft Polls5,03830%26%–45% 4Ipsos1,14127%22%41%– 5Opinium2,01523%18%47%12% 5Freshwater Strategy1,25134%36%25%4% 2Opinium2,05023%14%51%13% 9YouGov2,35330%21%10%39% 9Opinium2,05024%14%50%13% 10Opinium2,05023%13%52%13% 10Lord Ashcroft Polls5,08250%50%––TieLord Ashcroft Polls5,08230%23%–47% 7Opinium2,01121%14%51%14% 7Ipsos2,27227%15%43%– 12Opinium2,05024%15%48%13% 9Freshwater Strategy1,25134%37%25%4% 3Opinium2,05023%15%49%14% 8Lord Ashcroft Polls5,02953%47%–– 6Lord Ashcroft Polls5,02931%21%–48% 10Opinium2,05024%14%50%11% 10YouGov2,21630%20%8%42% 10Freshwater Strategy1,25934%37%24%5% 3Ipsos1,15029%19%43%– 10Opinium2,05025%12%49%14% 13Opinium2,05223%14%49%14% 9Freshwater Strategy1,25936%36%23%5% TieLord Ashcroft Polls5,01855%45%–– 10Lord Ashcroft Polls5,01830%15%–55% 15Opinium2,05024%12%49%14% 12Ipsos1,13528%16%46%– 12Opinium2,05025%12%49%14% 13Freshwater Strategy1,26034%38%21%7% 4Lord Ashcroft Polls5,14756%44%–– 12Lord Ashcroft Polls5,14731%16%–53% 15Opinium2,05024%11%48%17% 13YouGov2,21236%25%4%35% 11Opinium2,05024%13%50%13% 11Freshwater Strategy1,25036%33%25%7% 3Opinium2,05025%14%45%15% 11Opinium2,05025%14%45%16% 11Lord Ashcroft Polls5,26355%45%–– 10Lord Ashcroft Polls5,26333%15%–52% 18Opinium2,05028%13%43%15% 15Freshwater Strategy1,25032%40%24%5% 8Opinium2,05026%13%45%16% 13Opinium2,07825%14%45%15% 11Ipsos1,13233%16%43%– 17Lord Ashcroft Polls5,11157%43%–– 14Lord Ashcroft Polls5,11134%14%–52% 20JL Partners2,01235%24%–40% 9Opinium2,05028%13%42%17% 15Freshwater Strategy1,21536%34%22%8% 2Opinium2,05025%15%45%15% 10JL Partners6,04935%30%–35% 5Redfield & Wilton Strategies1,50032%27%–41% 5Lord Ashcroft Polls5,09953%47%–– 6Lord Ashcroft Polls5,09929%17%–54% 12YouGov2,27531%20%10%39% 11Opinium2,05024%15%46%15% 9Freshwater Strategy1,20033%37%24%6% 4 Survation2,01034%31%–44% 3Lord Ashcroft Polls5,23152%48%–– 4Lord Ashcroft Polls5,23129%18%–53% 11JL Partners2,00729%26%–44% 3Opinium2,05026%16%42%16% 10Freshwater Strategy1,20734%38%21%7% 4Opinium2,01025%16%41%17% 9Ipsos1,13732%18%27%– 14Survation2,03035%30%–35% 5More in Common2,43228%23%49%– 5YouGov2,20327%22%4%47% 5Ipsos1,13930%19%38%– 11Kemi Badenoch is elected leader of the Conservative Party

Starmer vs Farage