Opinion polling for the 2020 Northern Territory general election

In the lead-up to the 2020 Northern Territory general election, a number of polling companies conducted opinion polls. These polls collected data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and individual electoral division results.

Voting intention Date Firm Samplesize Primary vote2PP vote 22 Aug 2020 2020 election 39.4% 31.3% 12.9% 4.5% 12.0% — 53.3% 46.7% 29 Jun 2020 uComms 699 33.9% 29.4% 10.7% 5.9% 7.4% 12.7% 50.8% 49.2% May–Jun 2020 MediaReach 4,000 36.2% 23% 26.8% 14% 18–24 Mar 2020 Disputed opposition leadership after Territory Alliance surpassed CLP in seat numbers 1 Feb 2020 Lia Finocchiaro becomes CLP leader and leader of the opposition Sep 2019 MediaReach 645 29% 39% 22% 31 Aug 2019 Terry Mills announces formation of Territory Alliance 6 Oct 2018 Unnamed — 53% 47% 25–27 Aug 2017 MediaReach 1,425 43% 38% 19% 50% 50% 27 Aug 2016 2016 election 42.2% 31.8% — 2.9% 23.1% — 57.5% 42.5%

Leadership approval Preferred chief minister Date Firm Samplesize Party leaders Net Gunner Higgins Mills Unsure Sep 2019 MediaReach 645 30% 20% 38% 12% 8% 6 Oct 2018 Unnamed — 12% 25–27 Aug 2017 MediaReach 1,425 34% 21% 45% 13%

Individual seat polling Araluen Date Firm Samplesize Primary vote2CP vote 22 Aug 2020 2020 election 29.2% 38.0% 18.1% 10.4% 4.2% — 50.5% 49.5% May–Jun 2020 MediaReach 200 37% 27% 20% 3% 13% 18 Mar 2020 Robyn Lambley joins Territory Alliance 27 Aug 2016 2016 election 38.9% 36.4% 24.7% — — — 58.2% 41.8%

Braitling Date Firm Samplesize Primary vote2CP vote 22 Aug 2020 2020 election 35.2% 22.6% 11.1% 8.6% 22.4% — 48.7% 51.3% May–Jun 2020 MediaReach 200 18% 30% 31% 3% 19% 27 Aug 2016 2016 election 42.8% 32.8% — 10.1% 14.4% — 50.3% 49.7%

Blain Date Firm Samplesize Primary vote2PP vote 22 Aug 2020 2020 election 41.4% 23.0% 35.6% — — 50.2% 49.8% — May–Jun 2020 MediaReach 200 25% 39% 23% 9% 4% 31 Aug 2019 Terry Mills announces formation of Territory Alliance 27 Aug 2016 2016 election 37.3% 31.3% 25.7% 5.6% — 48.6% — 51.4%

Johnston Date Firm Samplesize Primary vote2PP vote 22 Aug 2020 2020 election 45.3% 19.7% 17.2% 14.6% 3.2% — 66.5% 33.5% — May–Jun 2020 MediaReach 200 35% 12% 22% 14% 16% 29 Feb 2020 2020 by-election 29.9% 16.3% 17.2% 22.1% 14.5% — 52.6% — 47.4% 31 Jan 2020 Ken Vowles resigns as member for Johnston 27 Aug 2016 2016 election 51.4% 31.8% 17.2% — — — 64.7% 35.3% —

Mulka Date Firm Samplesize Primary vote2CP vote 22 Aug 2020 2020 election — — — — — 55.0% 45.0% May–Jun 2020 MediaReach 200 19% 31% 11% 9% 30% 27 Aug 2016 2016 election (Nhulunbuy) 44.4% 41.5% 13.1% 1.0% — 50.1% 49.9%

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