The following is the post-election pendulum for the 2023 New South Wales state election. It is based on notional margins calculated by psephologist Kevin Bonham.
Post-election pendulum This is the post-election pendulum, based on the results of the election. Labor seats (45) Seat Member Party MarginMarginalPenrithKaren McKeownALP1.6%East HillsKylie WilkinsonALP1.7%MonaroSteve WhanALP2.3% v NATCamdenSally QuinellALP3.0%RiverstoneWarren KirbyALP3.7%South CoastLiza ButlerALP3.8%Fairly safeThe EntranceDavid MehanALP7.8%LiverpoolCharishma KaliyandaALP8.4%ParramattaDonna DavisALP8.6%ProspectHugh McDermottALP8.7%LeppingtonNathan HagartyALP8.9%HeathcoteMaryanne StuartALP9.9%SafeBegaMichael HollandALP10.4%CabramattaTri VoALP11.8%CoogeeMarjorie O'NeillALP12.3%StrathfieldJason Yat-Sen LiALP13.1%LondonderryPrue CarALP13.7%LismoreJanelle SaffinALP 15.0% v NATRockdaleSteve KamperALP15.4%GosfordLiesl TeschALP15.4%SwanseaYasmin CatleyALP15.4%Summer HillJo HaylenALP 16.3% v GRNShellharbourAnna WatsonALP 17.1% v INDVery SafeKogarahChris MinnsALP 18.3%MaitlandJenny AitchisonALP 18.6%MaroubraMichael DaleyALP 18.7%Port StephensKate WashingtonALP 19.0%BlacktownStephen BaliALP 19.1%WyongDavid HarrisALP 19.8%Macquarie FieldsAnoulack ChanthivongALP 19.9%BankstownJihad DibALP 20.3%FairfieldDavid SalibaALP 20.9%CharlestownJodie HarrisonALP 21.1%GranvilleJulia FinnALP 21.5%Blue MountainsTrish DoyleALP 21.9%Mount DruittEdmond AtallaALP 22.4%NewcastleTim CrakanthorpALP 22.6%CampbelltownGreg WarrenALP 23.3%HeffronRon HoenigALP 23.3%CessnockClayton BarrALP 23.4% v ONPAuburnLynda VoltzALP 24.0%KeiraRyan ParkALP 24.2%WollongongPaul ScullyALP 24.3%CanterburySophie CotsisALP 25.8%WallsendSonia HorneryALP 31.8% Liberal/National seats (36) Seat Member Party Margin MarginalRydeJordan LaneLIB0.1%HolsworthyTina AyyadLIB0.4% PittwaterRory AmonLIB0.7% v INDOatleyMark CoureLIB0.8%TerrigalAdam CrouchLIB1.2% GoulburnWendy TuckermanLIB1.3% DrummoyneStephanie Di PasquaLIB1.3%Winston HillsMark TaylorLIB1.8%MirandaEleni PetinosLIB2.3%WilloughbyTim JamesLIB2.6% v INDTweedGeoff ProvestNAT3.6%Upper HunterDave LayzellNAT3.8%EppingDominic PerrottetLIB4.8%ManlyJames GriffinLIB4.8% v INDLane CoveAnthony RobertsLIB5.5%North ShoreFelicity WilsonLIB5.7% v IND Fairly safeHornsbyMatt KeanLIB8.0%HawkesburyRobyn PrestonLIB9.8% SafeBadgerys CreekTanya DaviesLIB10.5%WahroongaAlister HenskensLIB10.6%Port MacquarieLeslie WilliamsLIB10.8% v NATCastle HillMark HodgesLIB10.9%KellyvilleRay WilliamsLIB11.0%OxleyMichael KempNAT12.8%VaucluseKellie SloaneLIB12.9% v INDCoffs HarbourGurmesh SinghNAT13.2%CronullaMark SpeakmanLIB13.8%DavidsonMatt CrossLIB13.9%ClarenceRichie WilliamsonNAT14.3%TamworthKevin AndersonNAT15.8% v INDMyall LakesTanya ThompsonNAT15.8%AlburyJustin ClancyLIB16.3% Very safeDubboDugald SaundersNAT18.6% BathurstPaul TooleNAT23.6% CootamundraSteph CookeNAT32.1% Northern TablelandsAdam MarshallNAT33.8% Crossbench seats (12) Seat Member Party MarginMarginalKiamaGareth WardIND0.8% v ALPWollondillyJudy HannanIND1.5% v LIBBalmainKobi ShettyGRN1.8% v ALPWakehurstMichael ReganIND4.5% v LIBFairly safeBallinaTamara SmithGRN7.7% v NATSafeNewtownJenny LeongGRN12.1% v ALPSydneyAlex GreenwichIND15.6% v ALPBarwonRoy ButlerIND16.0% v NATMurrayHelen DaltonIND16.0% v NATVery safeOrangePhilip DonatoIND21.9% v NATWagga WaggaJoe McGirrIND22.4% v NATLake MacquarieGreg PiperIND24.1% v ALP
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