In the lead-up to the 2026 Victorian state election in November 2026, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and individual electoral district results.

Graphical summary Voting intention Legislative Assembly 2026

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Primary vote2PP vote ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND Others ALP L/NP ONP 24–28 Sep Freshwater Herald Sun 1,030 24%29% 14% 22% 11% 47% 53% 10–20 Sep DemosAU/Premier National1,02025%30%14%20% 11% 48% 52% RedBridge/Accent Australian Financial Review 2,371 24%29%15%25% 7% 44% 56% 53% 47%13 SepResolve The Age1,00025%28%12%23%13% 16 AugResolve The Age1,00025%27%12%23%13% 6–11 Aug DemosAU/Premier National1,00723%32%13%22% 10% 45% 55% 5 Aug–7 AugRoy Morgan rowspan="3" 2,08426%26%12.5%23.5%8%4%49%51% 56% 44% 63.5%36.5% 3 AugWarren Pickering becomes One Nation leader 31 Jul–3 Aug Freshwater Herald Sun 1,020 25%30% 14% 22% 9% 48% 52% RedBridge/Accent Australian Financial Review 1,014 23%30% 14% 22% 11% 43% 57% 28 July Ben Carroll becomes Labor leader and Premier 16 Jun – 10 July YouGov (MRP) 4,003 23%26% 13% 24% 14% 46.2% 53.8% 23–26 July Newspoll The Australian 1,035 28%31% 13% 19% 9% 48% 52% 14 JulyRedBridge/Accent Australian Financial Review6,50026%26%12%27% 8% 12 JulyResolve The Age1,00027%27%12%22%12% 17–28 JuneRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review5,51626%26%13%27%8%46%54%52%48%May – JunResolve The Age~1,00026%26%12%24%12% 7–11 Jun DemosAU/Premier National1,05621%30%15%23% 11% 45% 55% 5–8 Jun FreshwaterHerald Sun1,03423%27%14%25% 9% 47% 53% 2 May The Liberals retain Nepean in the 2026 Nepean state by-election22–24 AprilRoy Morgan rowspan="3" 1,70725.5%24%13.5%24.5%8.5%4%51%49% 53.5% 46.5% 59%41%Mar – AprResolve The Age1,04727%29%10%21%13% 19–23 Mar FreshwaterHerald Sun1,06227%30%14%20% 9% 48% 52% 18–27 Feb RedBridge/Accent rowspan="2" ; 2,165 25% 28% 13% 24% 10% 48% 52% 53% 47% 19–23 Feb Freshwater Herald Sun 1,030 28% 27% 13% 23% 9% 50% 50% 13–16 Feb Roy Morgan rowspan="3" 2,462 25.5% 21.5% 13.5%26.5% 9% 4% 52% 48% 52.5% 47.5% 56% 44% 12–16 Jan& 8–14 Feb Resolve The Age 1,100 28%30% 12% 11% 7% 11% 1–10 Feb DemosAU/Premier National 1,274 23%29% 15% 21% 12% 47% 53% 26 Nov 2022 2022 election 37.0% 34.5% 11.5% 0.3% 5.5% 11.6% 55% 45% —

2025

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Primary vote2PP vote ALP L/NP GRN IND Others ALP L/NP 24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent Australian Financial Review 1,021 31%40% 12% 6% 11% 50% 50% 7 Dec 2025 Resolve The Age 1,000 28%39% 12% 9% 11% 21–24 Nov 2025 Freshwater Herald Sun 1,220 30%37% 15% 18% 50% 50% 18–20 Nov 2025 Newspoll The Australian 1,030 28%36% 14% 22% 49% 51% 18 Nov 2025 Jess Wilson becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition 14–17 Nov 2025 Freshwater Herald Sun 1,217 30%37% 15% 18% 49% 51% DemosAU/Premier National 1,016 26%37% 15% 22% 49% 51% 8–14 Oct 2025 RedBridge/Accent Australian Financial Review 1,501 32%37% 13% 18%52% 48% 12 Oct 2025 Resolve The Age 1,000 30%33% 12% 10% 15% 3–11 Sep 2025 RedBridge/Accent Herald Sun 2005 32%37% 13% 18%52% 48% 2–9 Sep 2025 DemosAU/Premier National 1327 26%38% 15% 21% 49% 51% 17 Aug 2025 Resolve The Age 1000 32%33% 12% 9% 13% 23–30 Jun 2025 Newspoll The Australian 100035%35% 12% 18%53% 47% 19–30 Jun 2025 RedBridge/Accent Herald Sun 1183 33%38% 14% 15%51.5% 48.5% 24 Mar – 2 Apr 2025 RedBridge/Accent Herald Sun 2,013 29%41% 13% 17% 49%51% 30 Mar 2025 Resolve The Age 1000 24%41% 14% 14% 7% 17–21 Mar 2025 DemosAU/Premier National 1,006 25%39% 15% 21% 48%52% Dec 2024 – Jan 2025 Resolve The Age 1,124 22%42% 13% 17% 6% 26 Nov 2022 2022 election 37.0% 34.5% 11.5% 5.5% 11.6% 55% 45%

2024

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Primary vote2PP vote ALP L/NP GRN IND Others ALP L/NP Dec 2024 – Jan 2025 Resolve The Age 1,124 22%42% 13% 17% 6% 27 Dec 2024 Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition RedBridge/Accent Herald Sun 920 30%43% 14% 13% 49%51% 10 Nov 2024 Resolve The Age 1,000 28%38% 13% 14% 7% 26 Sep – 3 Oct 2024 RedBridge/Accent Herald Sun 1,516 30%40% 12% 18% 49%51% 18 Sep 2024 RedBridge/Accent Herald Sun 1,500 30%40% 12% 17% 50% 50% 7 Sep 2024 Resolve The Age 1,054 27%37% 14% 15% 7% 6–29 Aug 2024 Wolf & Smith 2,024 28%40% 14% 15% 3% 48%52% 5 Aug 2024 RedBridge/Accent Herald Sun 1,514 31%40% 12% 17% 50% 50% 14 Jul 2024 Resolve The Age 1,000 27%37% 15% 15% 6% 7 Jun 2024 RedBridge/Accent Herald Sun 1,000 35%38% 14% 13%55% 45% 19 May 2024 Resolve Herald Sun 1,000 28%37% 13% 16% 6% 23 April 2024 Ellen Sandell becomes Greens leader 24 Mar 2024 Resolve The Age 1,100 33%35% 13% 12% 7%54.6%45.4% 14–20 Mar 2024 RedBridge/Accent Herald Sun 1,559 36%38% 10% 16%54% 46%

2023

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Primary vote2PP vote Others RedBridge/Accent Herald Sun 2,00037% 36% 13% 14%55.9% 44.1% 3 Dec 2023 Resolve The Age 1,10037% 31% 11% 14% 6% Sep–Oct 2023 Resolve The Age 1,10039% 32% 12% 10% 7% 27 Sep 2023 Jacinta Allan becomes Labor leader and premier 31 Aug – 14 Sep 2023 RedBridge/Accent 3,00137% 34% 13% 16%56.5% 43.5% Jul–Aug 2023 Resolve The Age 1,10039% 28% 13% 13% 7% 19–20 Jul 2023 Roy Morgan 1,046 33% 35.5% 12.5% 10.5% 8.5%53%47% May–Jun 2023 Resolve The Age 1,00341% 23% 3% 15% 12% 6% 17–22 May 2023 Roy Morgan 2,09542% 28.5% 12.5% 9% 8%61.5%38.5% 19–22 Apr 2023 Resolve The Age 1,60942% 30% 10% 12% 5% 15–18 Feb 2023 Resolve The Age 82541% 30% 13% 13% 4% John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition 26 Nov 2022 2022 election 37.0% 34.5% 11.5% 5.5% 11.6% 55% 45%

Legislative Council

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Primary vote ALP L/NP GRN LCV DLP LBT SFF ONP FFP AJP VS Others DemosAU/Premier National 1,274 19% 28% 14% 5% 1% 1% 1% 20% 2% 4% 1% 4% 21–27 Oct 2025 DemosAU/Premier National 1,016 21% 30% 14% 2% 2% 4% 1% 11% 5% 3% 1% 6% 26 Nov 2022 2022 election 33.0% 29.4% 10.3% 4.1% 3.5% 2.6% 2.1% 2.0% 2.0% 1.5% 1.4% 8.0%

Three-party-preferred vote

Date Pollingfirm Client Samplesize 3PP vote ALP L/NP ONP 5–7 Aug 2026 Roy Morgan 2,084 43.5% 30% 26.5% 17–28 Jun 2026 RedBridge/Accent Australian Financial Review 5,516 39.9% 30.1% 29.9% 22–24 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan 1,707 44.5% 28% 27.5% 13–16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan 2,462 44.5% 26% 29.5%

Leadership polling Preferred premier Carroll vs Wilson vs Pickering

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Party leaders Net Carroll Wilson Pickering Don't know 24–28 Sep 2026Freshwater Herald Sun1,030 30%37%13%20%7%Resolve The Age 1,000 20%28% 8% 43%8%Resolve The Age ~1,000 20%26% 10% 43%6%5–7 Aug 2026Roy Morgan 2,08446.5% 35.5%16%2%11%RedBridge/Accent Australian Financial Review1,01419%32%49%13% 3 Aug 2026Warren Pickering becomes One Nation leader 28 Jul 2026Ben Carroll becomes Labor leader and premier

Allan vs Wilson

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Party leaders Net Allan Wilson Don't know23–26 Jul 2026Newspoll The Australian 1,03532%51%17%19%12 July 2026Resolve 1,000 24%43% 33%19%May–Jun 2026Resolve The Age ~1,000 20%39% 41%19%Freshwater Herald Sun 1,03425%49%26%24% 22–24 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan 1,707 42% 53% 5% 11%Mar–Apr 2026Resolve The Age 1,047 20%39% 41%19%Freshwater Herald Sun 1,06231%47%22%16%19–23 Feb 2026Freshwater Herald Sun 1,03030%46%24%16% 13–16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan 2,462 42.5% 51% 6.5% 8.5%Jan–Feb 2026Resolve The Age 1,100 20%39% 41%19% 1–10 Feb 2026 DemosAU/Premier National 1,274 31%40% 29%9%7 Dec 2025Resolve The Age 1,00024%41%35%17%21–24 Nov 2025Freshwater Herald Sun 1,22031%47%22%16%18–20 Nov 2025Newspoll The Australian 1,03033%47%20%14% 18 Nov 2025 Jess Wilson becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition

Allan vs Battin

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Party leaders Net Allan Battin Don't know Freshwater Herald Sun1,21734%45%21%11% 21–27 Oct 2025 DemosAU/Premier National 1,016 32% 40% 28%8% 12 Oct 2025 Resolve The Age 1,000 27% 33% 40%6% 2–9 Sep 2025 DemosAU/Premier National 1,327 32% 37% 31%5%23–30 Jun 2025Newspoll The Australian1,00036%41%23%5%30 Mar 2025Resolve The Age1,00023%36%41%13%17–21 Mar 2025DemosAU/Premier National 1,00630%43%27%13%Dec 2024 – Jan 2025Resolve The Age1,12427%36%37%9% 27 Dec 2024Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition

Allan vs Pesutto

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Party leaders Net Allan Pesutto Don't know 10 Nov 2024Resolve The Age1,00029%30%41%1%7 Sep 2024Resolve The Age1,05430%29%41%1%14 Jul 2024Resolve The Age1,00031%28%41%3%Resolve The Age1,00031%26%43%5%24 Mar 2024Resolve The Age1,10034%25%41%9%3 Dec 2023Resolve The Age1,10034%22%44%12%Sep–Oct 2023Resolve The Age1,10038%19%43%19% 27 Sep 2023Jacinta Allan becomes Labor leader and premier

Andrews vs Pesutto

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Party leaders Net Andrews Pesutto Don't know Jul–Aug 2023Resolve The Age1,100 41%32%27%9%19–20 Jul 2023Roy Morgan 1,04652.5%47.5%5%May un 2023Resolve The Age1,00349%26%25%23%17–22 May 2023Roy Morgan 2,09564%36%28%19–22 Apr 2023Resolve The Age1,60949%28%23%21%Resolve The Age82550%26%24%24% 8 Dec 2022 John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition

Leadership approval Carroll vs Wilson vs Pickering

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Carroll Wilson Pickering Pos. Neg. DK Net Pos. Neg. DK Net Pos. Neg. DK Net24 – 28 Sep 2026Freshwater Herald Sun1,030 −7% +19% DemosAU/Premier National 1,020 −14% +8% Resolve The Age1,000 −4% +18% – DemosAU/Premier National 1,00721% 37%42% −16% 35%24%41% +11%19% 38%43% −19%Roy Morgan 2,084 51%43%6% +8% 58.5%38.5%3% +20%35% 58.5%6.5% −23.5%31 Jul – 3 Aug 2026Freshwater Herald Sun1,02022% 29%49% −7%39%21%40% +18%28 Jul – 1 Aug 2026RedBridge/Accent Australian Financial Review1,01414% 29%57% −15%33%20%47% +13% 03 Aug 2026Warren Pickering becomes One Nation leader 28 Jul 2026 Ben Carroll becomes Labor leader and premier

Allan vs Wilson

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Allan Wilson Pos. Neg. DK Net Pos. Neg. DK Net 23–26 Jul 2026Newspoll The Australian1,03525% 71%4% −46%47%39%14% +8%RedBridge/Accent Australian Financial Review5,51617% 59%24% −42%31%18%51% +13% 7–11 Jun 2026 DemosAU/Premier National 1,056 18% 57% 25% −39% 32% 22% 46% +10%5–8 Jun 2026Freshwater Herald Sun1,034 −37% +15% 22–24 Apr 2026 Roy Morgan 1,707 32.5% 66.5% 1% −34% 48.5% 48.5% 3% –19–23 Mar 2026Freshwater Herald Sun 1,062 22% 55% 23% −33% 32% 14% 54% +18%19–23 Feb 2026Freshwater Herald Sun1,030 −33% +15% 13–16 Feb 2026 Roy Morgan 2,462 30.5% 67.5% 2% −37% 53% 42.5% 4.5% 10.5% 1–10 Feb 2026 DemosAU/Premier National 1,274 16% 53% 31% −37% 27% 24% 49% +3% 18–20 Nov 2025Newspoll The Australian1,00026% 68%6% −42%32%31%37% +1% 18 Nov 2025 Jess Wilson becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition

Allan vs Battin

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Allan Battin Pos. Neg. DK Net Pos. Neg. DK NetFreshwater Herald Sun1,217 −28% +15%23–30 Jun 2025 Newspoll The Australian 1,000 30% 61% 9% −31% 35%40% 25% −5%24 Mar – 2 Apr 2025RedBridge/Accent Herald Sun2,01316% 51%33% −35%27%16%57% +11% 12–13 Mar 2025JWS Research21% 54%25% −33% 27 Dec 2024Brad Battin becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition

Allan vs Pesutto

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Allan Pesutto Pos. Neg. DK Net Pos. Neg. DK Net RedBridge/Accent 2,000 24% 30% 46% −6% 16%29% 55% −13% 27 Sep 2023Jacinta Allan becomes Labor leader and premier

Andrews vs Pesutto

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Andrews Pesutto Pos. Neg. DK Net Pos. Neg. DK NetRoy Morgan1,04645% 55% −10%17–22 May 2023Roy Morgan 2,09552.5%47.5% +5%46.5% 53.5% −7% 8 Dec 2022 John Pesutto becomes Liberal leader and leader of the opposition

Sub-state results Inner Melbourne

Date Polling firm Client Samplesize Primary vote2PP vote ALP L/NP GRN ONP IND Others ALP L/NP DemosAU/Premier National 23%28% 23% 15% 11% 24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent Australian Financial Review 30%41% 14% 7% 8% 50% 50% 21–27 Oct 2025 DemosAU/Premier National 27%31% 25% 17% 57% 43% 2–9 Sep 2025 DemosAU/Premier National 27%36% 19% 18% 52% 48% 6–20 Nov 2024 RedBridge/Accent Herald Sun 28%41% 17% 14% 49% 51%

Outer Melbourne