2029 Norwegian parliamentary election

Parliamentary elections will be held in September 2029 to elect representatives to Norway's parliament, the Storting, for the period of 2029–2033.

Electoral system

Norwegian parliamentary elections are held using party-list proportional representation in 19 multi-member constituencies based on the pre-2018 counties of Norway. To determine the apportionment of the 169 seats amongst the 19 counties, a two-tier formula is used, based on population and geographic size. Each inhabitant counts one point, while each square kilometer counts 1.8 points. Each constituency is guaranteed 4 seats.

150 of the seats (all but one in each constituency) are constituency seats. These are awarded based on the election results in each constituency, and are unaffected by results in other counties. Nineteen of the seats (one for each constituency) are levelling seats, awarded to parties above 4% of the national vote. A modification of the Sainte-Lague method, where the first quotient for each party is calculated using a divisor of 1.4 instead of 1, is used to allocate both the constituency and leveling seats. A party must cross the electoral threshold of 4% of the national vote in order to win levelling seats but may still win constituency seats even if it fails to reach this threshold. If a party wins more constituency seats than it is entitled to seats overall based on its national vote share, those additional seats are kept, with the number of seats won by other parties being reduced. The system for apportioning seats to constituencies is biased in favour of rural areas since the area of the county is a factor, but the system of compensation seats reduces the effect this has on the number of seats won by each party.

Political parties

Parliamentary parties The table below lists political parties elected to the Storting in the 2025 parliamentary election. Name Ideology Position Leader 2025 result Votes (%) Seats Ap Labour Party Social democracy Centre-leftJonas Gahr Støre28.0% FrP Progress Party Right-wing populism Right-wing to far-rightSylvi Listhaug23.8% H Conservative Party Centre-rightIne Eriksen Søreide14.6% SV Socialist Left Party Socialism Left-wingKirsti Bergstø5.6% Sp Centre Party Agrarianism CentreTrygve Slagsvold Vedum5.6% R Red Party Marxism Left-wing to far-leftMarie Sneve Martinussen5.3% MDG Green Party Green politics Centre-leftArild Hermstad4.7% KrF Christian Democratic Party Christian democracy Centre-rightDag-Inge Ulstein4.2% V Liberal Party Liberalism Centre to centre-rightGuri Melby3.7%

Opinion polls This section includes national voter intention polls listed on the Poll of Polls website. The projected seat distribution for each poll, as listed on the website, is shown below the percentages. 85 seats are needed for a majority.

2026

Polling executionPartiesBlocsPolling firmFieldwork dateSamplesizeOthersLeadLeadRSVMDGApSpVKrFHFrPVerian9856.65.34.325.64.63.03.515.229.2 2.73.6 46.450.94.5Norstat1,00179.17.64.44.722.06.02.83.915.730.2 2.88.2 44.752.67.9InFact7.15.94.822.05.14.04.313.731.4 1.69.4 44.953.48.5Norfakta1,00382.06.94.84.224.04.43.43.613.233.4 2.19.4 44.353.69.3Opinion1,0007.84.34.722.84.63.43.514.931.0 2.98.2 44.252.88.6Opinion1,00080.27.95.25.420.55.72.84.015.329.1 4.18.6 44.751.26.5Respons Analyse1,0008.14.44.422.55.83.43.716.229.6 1.97.1 45.252.97.7Norstat1,0017.94.33.922.55.23.94.214.730.6 2.78.1 43.853.49.6Verian9886.48.03.522.85.53.12.615.129.7 3.46.9 46.250.54.3Norfakta1,00480.06.45.63.825.24.34.03.415.828.9 2.63.7 45.352.16.8Opinion1,00180.08.84.74.021.74.93.53.114.831.2 3.29.5 44.152.68.5InFact1,1327.83.44.324.55.02.74.513.432.0 2.47.5 45.052.67.6Norfakta1,0038.15.24.122.45.53.84.215.728.4 2.66.0 45.352.16.8Verian9876.45.15.223.94.73.53.714.329.8 3.45.9 45.351.36.0InFact1,1726.55.15.321.64.65.14.014.331.5 2.19.9 43.154.911.8Norstat1,0057.45.24.122.45.74.32.913.830.2 4.07.8 44.851.26.4Opinion1,00079.78.04.04.719.65.83.13.316.831.9 2.712.3 42.155.113.0Respons Analyse1,00380.07.05.83.821.84.42.63.816.831.5 2.79.7 42.854.711.9Norfakta1,0007.35.13.921.65.33.03.717.728.9 3.57.3 43.253.310.1InFact1,1457.54.05.022.44.54.64.212.533.3 2.010.9 43.454.611.2Verian9917.35.23.222.55.52.34.018.130.0 1.97.5 43.754.410.7Opinion 1,0017.45.13.322.44.92.74.316.829.9 3.37.5 43.153.710.6Norstat 1,0007.14.74.421.15.22.73.816.131.4 3.610.3 42.554.011.5Respons Analyse1,0016.45.63.922.75.83.94.218.327.1 2.24.4 44.453.59.1Opinion1,00080.06.34.75.022.15.03.03.215.931.0 3.88.9 43.153.110.0Norfakta1,00183.07.24.93.722.94.93.74.417.128.7 2.75.8 43.653.910.3Verian5946.84.13.224.85.23.74.216.828.1 3.23.3 44.152.88.7InFact1,1246.94.44.023.26.53.34.414.630.8 1.97.6 45.053.18.1Opinion 1,00180.06.25.74.619.55.93.63.019.0 29.1 3.49.6 41.954.712.8Norstat 1,0007.35.13.821.05.34.23.717.7 29.2 2.78.2 42.554.812.3Respons Analyse 1,0017.04.73.923.45.84.23.618.0 26.5 2.83.2 44.852.37.5Opinion 1,0009.04.33.520.84.83.53.218.1 29.9 3.05.7 42.454.712.3Verian 9876.06.14.723.35.43.73.516.6 28.6 2.25.3 45.552.46.9Norfakta 1,0027.55.73.221.95.23.93.518.3 27.6 3.15.7 43.553.39.8InFact 1,1177.44.43.720.45.43.73.717.8 30.9 2.410.5 41.356.114.8Opinion1,00080.06.95.64.121.34.64.14.417.7 27.2 4.15.9 42.553.410.5Norstat1,0008.04.55.021.93.72.92.419.6 28.1 3.96.2 43.153.09.9Opinion1,00079.57.26.15.322.54.43.33.616.2 26.7 4.74.2 45.549.84.3Respons Analyse1,0007.34.53.924.35.04.73.818.8 25.9 2.0 1.6 4553.28.2Norfakta 1,00082.06.44.54.122.34.94.04.617.4 28.8 3.16.5 42.254.812.6InFact 1,0779.14.54.022.34.32.73.516.8 30.2 2.77.9 44.253.29.0Opinion79.08.73.73.823.15.82.43.419.2 25.5 4.52.4 45.150.55.4Verian9847.44.44.325.75.43.94.418.8 23.02.62.7 47.250.12.9Norstat1,00379.97.75.14.521.85.32.34.020.0 26.6 2.84.8 44.452.98.5Opinion1,00081.07.24.24.523.16.43.03.715.7 28.0 4.14.9 45.450.45.0Respons Analyse1,0027.84.53.424.95.23.93.518.0 26.1 2.61.2 45.851.55.7Norfakta1,0016.45.23.225.14.53.24.019.0 26.3 2.91.2 44.452.58.1InFact1,1217.54.34.222.35.94.23.816.3 28.2 3.25.9 44.252.58.3Opinion1,00082.97.14.13.1 27.2 5.94.43.617.3 23.74.52.5 47.449.01.6Verian9906.94.53.6 27.2 5.73.43.416.5 25.13.92.1 47.948.40.5Norstat1,0007.04.13.7 26.8 6.82.74.716.0 25.23.01.4 48.448.60.2Opinion1,00079.06.35.74.823.25.32.53.118.0 27.2 3.94.0 45.350.85.5Respons Analyse1,00183.86.45.54.025.24.83.23.517.4 27.92.22.745.952.06.1Verian9846.06.14.225.24.63.94.218.323.24.32.046.149.63.5Norfakta1,0056.45.24.624.94.84.14.217.525.82.50.945.951.65.7InFact1,0186.05.04.721.35.63.04.015.031.93.510.642.653.911.32025 election4,059,21880.15.35.64.728.05.63.74.214.623.84.34.249.246.32.9

2025

Polling executionPartiesBlocsPolling firmFieldwork dateSamplesizeOthersLeadLeadRSVMDGApSpVKrFHFrPOpinion1,00082.07.64.53.725.15.83.22.918.125.23.80.146.749.43.0Norstat1,0006.45.24.524.14.44.03.017.227.33.93.244.651.56.9Respons Analyse1,0007.05.74.222.86.04.13.117.527.72.04.945.752.46.7Norfakta1,0006.45.05.025.56.12.83.017.626.12.50.648.049.51.5Opinion1,20181.06.95.13.722.26.04.74.017.826.72.94.542.653.210.6InFact1,0967.25.34.921.65.73.24.017.427.92.86.344.752.57.8Verian5.55.05.823.26.83.64.217.125.63.32.446.350.54.2Norstat9997.55.24.224.85.62.64.316.525.73.80.947.349.11.8Opinion1,00081.06.86.83.822.66.43.33.019.725.02.52.446.451.04.6Respons Analyse1,0006.45.54.522.06.23.84.318.725.73.03.744.652.57.9InFact7.44.93.722.35.93.74.316.927.13.84.444.252.07.8Norfakta1,0036.24.75.124.35.43.23.716.627.33.43.045.750.85.1Opinion1,00183.06.15.14.923.96.12.53.417.026.84.22.946.149.73.6Verian1,1946.35.84.125.05.54.65.715.923.33.91.746.749.52.8Norstat6.75.44.826.25.53.93.516.623.53.92.748.647.51.1Opinion1,00083.06.97.03.824.85.44.34.816.223.23.71.647.948.50.6Respons Analyse1,0025.76.04.128.45.14.23.614.925.03.13.449.347.71.6Norfakta1,00690.05.94.94.529.04.53.44.415.125.54.93.548.848.40.4InFact1,0945.65.55.528.84.82.84.613.925.33.13.550.246.63.6Verian9926.25.84.429.45.94.24.115.021.63.47.851.744.96.82025 election4,059,21880.15.35.64.728.05.63.74.214.623.84.34.249.246.32.9

Notes

References