General elections are scheduled to be held in the Netherlands on 15 May 2030 to elect the members of the House of Representatives, but may be held at an earlier date if a snap election is called.

Background

The 2025 Dutch general election resulted in losses for all parties in the Schoof cabinet. Democrats 66 (D66) became the largest party in the House of Representatives for the first time, winning 26 seats, the same number as the Party for Freedom (PVV), but receiving 29,668 more votes. GroenLinks (GL) and the Labour Party (PvdA) merged in 2026 to form Progressief Nederland (PRO).

Electoral system

Eligible voters are Dutch nationals who are at least 18 years old on nomination day and have not been deprived of their right to vote following a criminal conviction. Electoral procedures are governed by the Dutch Electoral Act.

Elections for the House of Representatives are normally held every four years, unless a snap election is called. Regular general elections in the Netherlands are held in March. However, due to municipal elections already taking place in March 2030, general elections would instead be held in May 2030.

The 150 members of the House of Representatives are elected by semi-open list proportional representation. The number of seats per list is determined using the D'Hondt method. A list must receive a number of votes equal to or exceeding the Hare quota (1 full seat) in order to qualify for seat distribution, meaning there is an electoral threshold of 0.67%.

Voters have the option to cast a preferential vote. The seats won by a list are first allocated to the candidates who, in preferential votes, have received at least 25% of the Hare quota (effectively ¼ of a seat or 0.17% of the total votes), regardless of their placement on the electoral list. If multiple candidates from a list pass this threshold, their ordering is determined based on the number of votes received. Any remaining seats are allocated to candidates according to their position on the electoral list.

Opinion polls

Seats There are 150 seats in total, 76 seats are needed for a majority. Parties are denoted with a dash if no indication is given of their level in the polls.

Polling firm Fieldwork date SamplesizeD66PVVVVDPROCDAJA21FvDBBBDenkSGPPvdDCUSP50+Volt Others Lead Ref Peil.nl – 18 19 12 29 12 20 13 2 3 3 4 3 4 5 3 0 9 Verian 1,255 17 20 18 28 14 15 10 1 3 4 4 4 4 5 3 0 8 Peil.nl – 18 16 16 27 12 16 17 2 3 3 4 3 5 4 4 0 9 Ipsos I&O 1,649 20 17 20 26 14 14 12 2 2 4 5 3 5 4 2 0 6 Peil.nl – 18 18 16 26 13 17 17 1 3 3 4 3 4 4 3 0 8 Verian 1,251 17 16 19 26 15 14 13 2 3 4 4 4 5 5 3 0 7 Peil.nl – 18 18 16 24 13 18 18 1 3 3 4 3 4 4 3 0 6 Ipsos I&O 1,682 23 17 20 24 14 15 12 1 3 3 5 3 3 5 2 0 1 Verian 1,251 17 20 20 26 15 12 12 2 2 3 5 4 4 5 3 0 6 Peil.nl – 19 17 17 25 13 18 17 1 3 3 4 3 3 4 3 0 6 Ipsos I&O 1,529 20 16 20 26 14 14 13 2 3 3 5 3 5 4 2 0 6 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Esther Ouwehand hands over leadership of the PvdD to Christine Teunissen Verian 1,232 17 21 23 25 15 11 10 2 4 4 5 3 4 4 2 0 2 Peil.nl – 19 18 17 23 15 18 16 1 3 3 4 2 3 4 3 1 4 Ipsos I&O 1,560 20 19 21 24 15 13 11 1 4 3 5 4 4 4 2 0 3 Verian 1,241 17 20 20 24 16 13 12 2 4 3 4 4 4 4 3 0 4 Peil.nl – 22 17 16 22 16 17 15 1 3 3 4 2 3 4 2 3 Tie Peil.nl – 20 19 17 23 16 17 16 1 3 3 4 2 3 4 2 0 3 style="border-right-style:hidden;" The Markuszower Group becomes a political party, founding De Nederlandse Alliantie Ipsos I&O 1,680 19 18 20 26 14 13 13 2 2 4 5 4 4 4 2 0 6 Verian 1,282201819 2417151213344442 0 4 Peil.nl – 22 17 17 22 18 16 16 1 3 3 4 2 3 4 2 0 Tie style="border-right-style:hidden;" 2026 Dutch municipal elections Peil.nl – 25 17 18 23 15 14 14 1 3 3 4 3 4 4 2 0 2 Ipsos I&O 1,802 24 19 21 25 15 14 10 1 2 3 4 4 4 3 1 0 1 Peil.nl – 27 15 18 21 17 13 15 1 3 3 4 3 4 4 2 0 6 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Mona Keijzer leaves the BBB and continues as an independent MP style="border-right-style:hidden;" The Jetten cabinet is sworn inVerian1,3192221 232214121033343532 0 1 Peil.nl – 27 16 17 21 17 14 14 2 3 3 4 3 4 3 20 6 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Caroline van der Plas hands over leadership of the BBB to Henk Vermeer Ipsos I&O 1,802 25 20 20 22 15 13 9 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 2 0 3 Peil.nl – 27 16 18 21 17 14 13 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 2 0 6 Ipsos I&O2,614 26192021151410323434420 5 Verian 1,269 26 18 23 21 17 12 10 1 4 3 3 3 3 4 2 0 3 Peil.nl – 27 17 20 20 18 11 14 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 10 7 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Seven MPs leave the PVV to form the Markuszower Group Ipsos I&O 2,260 28 23 20 19 16 11 8 2 3 3 5 4 3 3 2 0 5 Peil.nl – 28 17 21 20 18 11 14 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 10 7 Peil.nl – 28 20 22 20 17 10 12 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 1 0 6 Ipsos I&O 1,958 28 24 21 21 17 10 7 2 2 4 3 3 3 3 2 0 4 Peil.nl – 28 23 22 19 17 9 10 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 1 0 5 Verian 1,550 31 22 20 16 20 9 10 3 3 4 3 2 3 3 1 0 9 Peil.nl – 28 23 23 18 17 9 10 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 10 5 Peil.nl –2824221818109333333210 4 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Jesse Klaver succeeds Frans Timmermans as leader of GL–PvdA2025 election –262622201897433333210Tie

Vote share Polling firm Fieldwork date SamplesizeD66PVVVVDPROCDAJA21FvDBBBDenkSGPPvdDCUSP50+Volt Others Lead Ref Verian 1,255 11.3% 12.8% 11.5% 17.8% 9.2% 9.6% 6.9% 1.3% 2.3% 2.6% 2.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.7% 2.3% – 5.0% Ipsos I&O 1,649 13.2% 11.1% 12.7% 16.6% 9.2% 9.4% 7.9% 1.5% 1.5% 2.6% 3.6% 2.5% 3.6% 2.8% 1.6% 0.2% 3.4% Verian 1,284 11.3% 10.8% 12.5% 16.6% 10.0% 9.1% 8.8% 1.4% 1.9% 2.7% 3.0% 2.7% 3.3% 3.4% 2.5% – 4.1% Ipsos I&O 1,628 14.9% 11.3% 12.7% 15.4% 8.8% 9.8% 7.9% 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 3.4% 2.3% 2.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.5% Verian 1,251 10.9% 12.9% 13.1% 17.1% 10.1% 8.4% 8.2% 1.3% 1.9% 2.1% 3.3% 2.7% 2.7% 3.3% 2.0% – 4.0% Ipsos I&O 1,529 13.0% 10.2% 13.3% 16.5% 9.3% 9.4% 8.5% 1.3% 2.1% 2.5% 3.6% 2.3% 3.5% 2.9% 1.6% – 3.2% Verian 1,232 11.1% 13.5% 14.8% 16.3% 10.3% 7.7% 6.5% 1.3% 2.7% 2.7% 3.3% 2.1% 2.9% 2.9% 1.9% – 1.5% Ipsos I&O 1,560 12.9% 12.6% 13.5% 15.4% 9.8% 8.5% 7.2% 0.8% 2.6% 2.4% 3.7% 2.7% 3.1% 3.0% 1.6% – 1.9% Verian 1,241 11.2% 13.0% 12.9% 15.9% 10.5% 8.3% 7.9% 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 2.9% 3.0% 3.0% 3.1% 2.0% – 2.9% Ipsos I&O 1,680 12.6% 12.1% 13.2% 16.7% 9.1% 8.5% 8.5% 1.4% 1.6% 2.7% 2.9% 2.6% 3.4% 3.1% 1.7% – 3.5% Verian 1,282 13.0% 11.5% 12.0% 15.3% 11.3% 9.8% 8.1% 1.2% 2.1% 2.4% 3.0% 3.1% 2.7% 2.6% 1.6% – 2.3% Ipsos I&O 1,802 15.2% 12.1% 13.6% 15.9% 9.9% 9.5% 6.8% 0.9% 1.8% 2.5% 2.6% 2.6% 3.0% 2.4% 1.1% – 0.7% Verian 1,319 13.8% 13.6% 14.6% 14.5% 8.9% 8.1% 6.8% 2.1% 2.2% 2.3% 2.8% 2.4% 3.5% 2.9% 1.5% – 0.1% Verian 1,269 17.0% 11.7% 14.7% 13.7% 11.0% 7.8% 6.9% 1.2% 2.6% 1.9% 2.3% 2.5% 2.3% 3.1% 1.4% – 2.3% Verian 1,550 20.3% 14.3% 12.8% 10.5% 13.3% 6.0% 6.7% 2.0% 2.3% 2.6% 2.0% 1.9% 2.3% 2.0% 0.9% – 6.0% 2025 election – 16.94% 16.66% 14.24% 12.79% 11.79% 5.95% 4.54% 2.65% 2.37% 2.25% 2.08% 1.90% 1.89% 1.43% 1.10% 1.41% 0.28%

Notes

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