Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election

In the lead-up to the next Australian federal election, a number of polling companies have conducted opinion polls, often for various news organisations. These polls collect data on parties' primary vote, leaders' favourability, and contain estimations of the two-party-preferred vote.

Graphical summary

Voting intention 2026 Date Polling firm Client Interviewmode Samplesize Primary vote2PP vote ALP L/NP GRN ONP List of political parties in Australia#Federal parliamentary partiesOthers ALP L/NP ONP LIB NAT 29 Sept–6 Oct YouGov News24 Online 1,500 25% 21% 15% 28% 11% 52% 48% 53% 47%28 Sept–2 OctRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline1,00028%21%11% 29%11%46% 54% 52% 48% 28–30 Sept Larissa Waters resigns as leader of the Greens, David Shoebridge is elected leader 23–28 Sept EssentialThe GuardianOnline1,02229%22%12%25%12%48%46%14–27 SeptRoy Morgan rowspan="2" Online2,56926%20%2.5%14.5%25.5%11%52.5%47.5%53.5%46.5% 15–21 Sept YouGov News24 Online 1,500 26% 21% 14% 27% 12% 52% 48% 55% 45% 14–20 Sept Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,561 25% 21.5% 15.5%25.5% 12.5% 53% 47% 54% 46% 14–17 Sept Newspoll The Australian Online 1,244 27% 19% 13% 30% 11% 10–14 SeptDemosAUCapital BriefOnline1,583 28%20%13%26%13% 7–13 Sept Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,58325% 19% 2.5% 16%25% 12.5% 55% 45% 54.5% 45.5%6–12 SeptResolve Sydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone& Online2,25628%24%11%27%9% 1–8 Sept YouGov News24 Online 1,500 26% 18% 12% 30% 14% 52% 48% 53% 47% 31 Aug – 6 Sept Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,54127% 17% 4.5% 14.5% 26.5% 10.5% 53% 47% 53.5% 46.5% 26–31 Aug Essential The Guardian Online 1,050 26% 26% 13% 23% 11%45% 50% 24–30 Aug Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,58529.5% 18% 2.5% 13.5% 23.5% 13% 56% 44% 55.5% 44.5% 24–28 Aug Newspoll The Australian Online 1,243 29% 19% 13% 30% 9% 24–28 AugRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline1,00629%22%12%28%9%48% 52% 52% 48% 18–24 Aug YouGov News24 Online 1,510 29% 21% 12% 26% 12% 53% 47% 56% 44% 17–23 Aug Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,508 27% 18.5% 2.5% 14% 27% 11% 52% 48% 53% 47%18–20 AugDemosAU Capital BriefOnline1,562 26%25%12%24%13% 11–16 Aug Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,576 28.5% 21% 2.5% 12.5% 25% 10.5% 52% 48% 53% 47%9–15 AugResolve Sydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone& Online2,25628%23%12%26%11% 4–10 Aug YouGov News24 Online 1,500 28% 22% 12% 24% 14% 52% 48% 56% 44% 3–9 Aug Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,647 25.5% 18.5% 3.5% 15.5% 26% 11% 53% 47% 53% 47% 3–7 Aug Newspoll The Australian Online 1,242 29% 18% 14% 29%10% 27 Jul–2 Aug Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,531 27.5% 20% 3.5% 15% 24% 10% 52% 48% 54% 46% Late July Agenda C Synesis Combat Antisemitism Movement Online 1,232 32% 19% 12% 26% 14% 27–30 Jul RedBridge/Accent Australian Financial Review Online 1,001 29% 22% 10% 31% 8% 48% 52% 53% 47% 21–28 Jul YouGov News24 Online 1,500 28% 22% 13% 25% 12% 53% 47% 56% 44% 22–27 Jul Essential The Guardian Online 1,06031% 22% 12% 25% 10% 48% 47% 20–26 Jul Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,643 27.5% 18.5% 3.5% 14% 25.5% 11% 54% 46% 53.5% 46.5% 11–23 Jul Spectre Strategy rowspan="2" Online 1,434 28% 23% 12% 26% 11% 51% 49% 54% 46% 13–19 Jul Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,679 27.5% 20.5% 2.5% 14% 22.5% 13% 56% 44% 55% 45% 13–16 Jul Newspoll The Australian Online 1,238 30% 19% 12% 30%9% 7–14 Jul YouGov Sky News Australia Online 1,500 28% 20% 12% 26% 14% 53% 47% 56% 44% 6–12 Jul Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,612 27.5% 17.5% 2.5% 12.5% 28% 12% 54% 46% 52.5% 47.5%6–11 JulResolve Sydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone& Online2,25228%23%12%26%11%3–8 JulDemosAU Capital BriefOnline2,69426%21%14%29%10% 28 Jun – 5 Jul Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,584 28% 19% 2.5% 14% 22.5% 14% 55% 45% 56% 44% 23–30 Jun YouGov Sky News Australia Online 1,502 29% 17% 13% 30% 11% 54% 46% 54% 46% 24–29 Jun Essentialhttps://www.pollbludger.net/2026/07/01/federal-polls-yougov-and-essential-research-open-thread/ The Guardian Online 1,01730% 23% 10% 26% 10% 46% 48% 22–28 Jun Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,639 28% 19% 2.5% 13% 26% 11.5% 53.5% 46.5% 53% 47%22–26 JunRedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial ReviewOnline1,00630%18%14%29%9% 54%46% 56%44% 22–25 Jun Newspoll The Australian Online 1,23533% 17% 13% 29%8% 15–21 Jun Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,575 27% 15% 2.5% 13.5% 31.5% 10.5% 54% 46% 51% 49% 16–18 Jun DemosAU Capital Brief Online 1,497 27% 18% 13% 30% 12% 9–16 Jun YouGov Sky News Australia Online 1,500 26% 21% 13% 28% 12% 52% 48% 52% 48% 8–14 Jun Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,583 28% 15% 2% 14% 29.5% 11.5% 54.5% 45.5% 53% 47%8–13 JunResolve Sydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone& Online1,80128%20%12%29%12% 1–7 Jun Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,631 26% 14.5% 3% 15.5% 29.5% 11.5% 56% 44% 53.5% 46.5% 1–4 Jun Newspoll The Australian Online 1,240 30% 18% 11% 31%10% 26 May – 2 Jun YouGov Sky News Australia Online 1,471 26% 20% 13% 29% 12% 51.5% 48.5% 52.5% 47.5% 25–31 May Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,542 27% 17.5% 2.5% 13.5% 27% 12.5% 55.5% 44.5% 53.5% 46.5% 25–28 May RedBridge/AccentAustralian Financial Review Online 1,005 28% 20% 12% 31% 9% 51% 49% 51% 49% 25–26 May Fox& Hedgehog The Daily Telegraph Online 1,700 29% 25% 10% 27% 9% 49% 51% 54% 46% 58% 42% 22–26 May Agenda C Synesis Fair Go Australia Online 1,232 29% 18% 10% 24% 19% 20–25 May Essential The Guardian Online 1,027 29% 23% 11% 28% 9% 48% 47% 18–24 May Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,613 27.5% 21% 2% 13.5% 25.5% 10.5% 53% 47% 53.5% 46.5% 15–20 May DemosAU Capital Brief Online 1,502 26% 23% 13%28% 10% 12–19 May YouGov Sky News Australia Online 1,500 28% 23% 13% 25% 11% 52% 48% 53% 47% 14–17 May Newspoll The Australian Online 1,252 31% 20% 12% 27% 10% 11–17 May Roy Morgan rowspan="2" Online 1,668 29.5% 21% 3% 11.5% 24.5% 10.5% 54% 46% 54% 46%13–16 MayResolve Sydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone& Online1,80029%23%12%24%12% 13–15 MayFreshwater The Chronicle Online 1,384 29% 25% 11% 26% 9% 13–14 May Roy Morgan rowspan=3 SMS 2,348 28.5% 16.5% 11.5% 32% 11.5% 55% 45% 51% 49% 49% 51% RedBridge/Accent (MRP) Australian Financial Review Online 6,01531% 21% 11% 28% 9% 13 May Wolf & Smith Amplify Online 1,00230% 24% 11% 22% 13% 12 May The 2026 federal budget is presented by Treasurer Jim Chalmers 4–10 May Roy Morgan Online 1,60530.5% 21% 4% 11.5% 22% 11% 53.5% 46.5% 9 May One Nation gains Farrer from the Liberals at the Farrer by-election 28 Apr–5 May YouGov Sky News Australia Online 1,50030% 21% 14% 24% 11% 54% 46% 57% 43% 27 Apr–3 May Roy Morgan Online 1,68129.5% 21% 3% 13% 21.5% 12% 54.5% 45.5% 24–30 Apr RedBridge/Accent Australian Financial Review Online 1,014 31% 22% 13% 27% 7% 54% 46% 55% 45% 28–30 AprFreshwater The Courier Mail Online 1,04632% 23% 12% 25% 8% 53% 47% 22–27 Apr Essential The Guardian Online 1,00230% 24% 11% 25% 10% 47% 49% 20–26 Apr Roy Morgan Online 1,58730% 19% 3.5% 14% 22.5% 11% 54.5% 45.5% 14–21 Apr YouGov Sky News Australia Online 1,500 27% 20% 14% 27% 12% 53% 47% 52% 48% 13–19 Apr Roy Morgan Online 1,620 30.5% 19.5% 3.5% 13.5% 21.5% 11.5% 55.5% 44.5% 13–16 Apr Newspoll The Australian Online 1,23531% 21% 13% 24% 11% 13–18 AprResolve Sydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone& Online1,80732%23%12%22%11% 55% 45% 9–14 Apr DemosAU Capital Brief Online 1,43926% 23% 13% 26% 12% 6–12 Apr Roy Morgan Online 1,51230% 19.5% 3% 12.5% 24.5% 10.5% 56% 44% 2–8 Apr Spectre Strategy rowspan="2"; Online 1,002 28% 24% 12% 26% 10% 51% 49% 52% 48% 31 Mar – 7 Apr YouGov Sky News Australia Online 1,500 30% 20% 13% 25% 13% 55% 45% 55% 45%30 Mar–5 AprRoy Morgan Online1,41130.5%20%4%12%21.5%12% 56%44% 27–29 MarFreshwater News Australia Online 1,050 32% 23% 12% 25% 8% 51% 49% 55% 45% 23–29 Mar Roy Morgan Online 1,562 30% 19.5% 3% 13.5% 23.5% 10.5% 56.5% 43.5% 23–27 Mar RedBridge/Accent Australian Financial Review Online 1,003 32% 17% 13% 29% 9% 53% 47% 53% 47% 23–26 Mar Newspoll The Australian Online 1,23231% 21% 12% 26% 10% 24–25 Mar Fox& Hedgehog rowspan="3" Online 1,810 30% 23% 13% 23% 11% 51% 49% 56% 44% — 60% 40% 17–24 Mar YouGov Sky News Australia Online 1,500 29% 19% 13% 27% 12% 54% 46% 53% 47% 18–23 Mar Essential Online 1,00831% 24% 10% 24% 12% 46% 47% 16–22 Mar Roy Morgan Online 1,664 27% 21.5% 4% 13.5% 23.5% 10.5% 52.5% 47.5% 12–19 Mar YouGov The Australia Institute Online 1,502 28% 21% 13% 26% 11% 9–15 Mar Roy Morgan Online 1,64928.5% 20.5% 3.5% 12.5% 22.5% 12.5% 54% 46% 9–14 MarResolve Sydney Morning Herald/The AgeTelephone& Online1,80329%22%12%24%13% 11 Mar Matt Canavan is elected leader of the National Party, replacing David Littleproud 3–10 Mar YouGov Sky News Australia Online 1,500 30% 19% 13% 26% 12% 55% 45% 55% 45% 2–8 Mar Roy Morgan Online 1,532 26.5% 22.5% 14.5% 23.5% 13% 54.5% 45.5% 2 Mar The Strait of Hormuz is closed as part of the Iran war, triggering a fuel crisis in Australia DemosAU (MRP) Online8,42429%21%12%27%11% 23 Feb – 1 Mar Roy Morgan Online 1,55430.5% 23.5% 11.5% 22% 12.5% 56% 44% 23–27 Feb RedBridge/Accent Australian Financial Review Online 1,006 32% 13% 2% 12% 28% 9% 54% 46% 54% 46%23–26 Feb Newspoll The Australian Online 1,237 32% 20% 11% 27% 10% 17–24 Feb YouGov Sky News Australia Online 1,500 29% 15% 2% 13% 24% 12% 53% 47% 56% 44% 18–23 Feb Essential The Guardian Online 1,00230% 26% 11% 22% 11% 49.5% 50.5% 16–22 FebRoy Morgan Online 1,64931%24% 12.5% 20.5% 12% 54% 46% 16–20 Feb DemosAU Capital Brief Online 1,55129%21% 12% 28% 10% 17–19 Feb Fox& Hedgehog The Daily Telegraph Online 1,625 30% 24% 12% 25% 9% 51% 49% 53% 47% 57% 43% 13–16 Feb Roy Morgan Online 52632% 23.5% 12.5% 21.5% 10.5% 55% 45% 8–14 Feb Resolve Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone& Online 1,71732% 23% 11% 23% 12% 55% 45% 13 Feb Angus Taylor replaces Sussan Ley as Leader of the Liberal Party and Leader of the Opposition 9–13 Feb Roy Morgan Online 1,21630.5% 20% 13% 25% 11.5% 58.5% 41.5% 8–12 Feb Resolve Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone& Online 1,71731% 20% 12% 25% 13% 55% 45% 6–12 Feb RedBridge/Accent The Australia Institute Online 2,01034% 17% 11% 28% 10% 3–10 Feb YouGov Sky News Australia Online 1,561 30% 14% 1% 12% 28% 11% 54% 46% 55% 45% 8 Feb The LiberalNational Coalition is reunited 5–8 Feb Newspoll The Australian Online 1,23433% 15% 3% 12% 27% 10% 2–8 Feb Roy Morgan Online 1,58428.5% 22.5% 13.5% 24.5% 11% 53.5% 46.5% 26 Jan – 1 FebRoy Morgan Online 1,40130.5% 18% 2.5% 12.5% 25% 11.5% 56% 44% 22–29 JanRedBridge/Accent Australian Financial ReviewOnline1,00334%13%2%11%26%10%56%44% 20–27 Jan YouGov Sky News Australia Online 1,50031% 14% 2% 12% 25% 12% 55% 45% 57% 43% 19–25 Jan Roy Morgan Online 1,93330.5% 20% 2.5% 13% 22.5% 11.5% 56.5% 43.5% 20–23 Jan Essential The Guardian Online 1,02231% 25% 9% 22% 13% › 22 Jan The second dissolution of the LiberalNational Coalition 13–21 Jan DemosAU Capital Brief Online 1,93330%21% 13% 24% 12% 16–18 Jan Freshwater Herald Sun Online 1,050 33% 28% 11% 19% 9% 53% 47% 57% 43% 12–18 Jan Roy Morgan Online 1,630 28.5% 22% 2% 13.5% 21% 13% 53.5% 46.5% 12–16 Jan Resolve Sydney Morning Herald/The Age Telephone& Online 1,80030% 28% 10% 18% 14% 52% 48% 12–16 Jan Newspoll The Australian Online 1,22432%21% 12% 22% 13% 55% 45% 5–11 Jan Roy Morgan Online 1,676 30% 28% 2.5% 13.5% 15% 11% 52% 48% 5–6 Jan Fox& Hedgehog The Daily Telegraph Online 1,608 29% 25% 14% 21% 11% 53% 47% 56% 44% 63% 37% 5–6 Jan DemosAU Capital Brief Online 1,027 29% 23% 12% 23% 13% 52% 48% 50% 50% 3 May 2025 Election 34.6% 31.8% 12.2% 6.4% 15%55.2%44.8% —

2025