The next Hessian state parliament election is set to take place no later than 2028, It will elect the 22st Landtag of Hesse for a five-year term.
The incumbent government is the Second Rhein cabinet, headed by the Christian Democratic Union with support from the Social Democratic Party.
Background
Election date Article 79 of the Constitution of Hesse stipulates that the state parliament is elected for a five years term, with a new election being called no later than the end of that period. According to Section 1 of the Hessian state election law, the election must take place on a Sunday or public holiday. The day of the election is determined by the state government by ordinance.
Since the 20th state parliament was constituted on January 18, 2019, Sunday, January 14, 2024, is the latest possible date for the election to the 21st Hessian state parliament.
Electoral system The Hessian Parliament sits a minimum of 110 deputies elected via Mixed-member proportional representation, those being 55 from the constituencies and 55 from the party lists. The running parties must however receive at least 5.0% of the valid votes in order to receive seats. The calculations for the distribution follows the Hare-Niemeyer method. Despite the number of 110 seats, overhang mandates and compensatory mandates often gives the diet a higher number of parliamentarians, the latest being 133 in total.
Parties in the Landtag
Following the previous election, five parties were elected to the Landtag. Since then, the Alternative for Germany has been the only party to have suffered changes in the number of seats, as three of its members have been withdrawn from the party and the parliamentary group.
The distribution of seats in the parliament following 2023 election and its current configuration are as follows: NameIdeologyLeader(s)SeatsStatusVotes (%)At first sittingCurrentlyCDUChristian Democratic Union of GermanyChristian democracyBoris Rhein34.6% AfD Alternative for Germany German nationalismRight-wing populismRobert Lambrou 18.4% SPDSocial Democratic Party of GermanySocial democracyNancy Faeser15.1%GrüneAlliance 90/The GreensGreen politicsTarek Al-Wazir14.8%FDPFree Democratic PartyClassical liberalismStefan Naas5.0%Ungrouped
Opinion polling
Graphical summary
Party polling Polling firm Fieldwork date Samplesize CDU AfD SPD Grüne FDP FW LinkeBSW Others LeadINSA 1,000 30 22 15 13 3 4 7 – 6 8INSA 1,001 31 21 15 13 4 3 6 3 4 10Infratest dimap 1,148 32 20 16 14 3 – 6 – 9 12INSA 1,000 32 20 15 12 4 3 7 3 4 12Infratest dimap 1,150 36 18 13 14 4 – 6 3 6 18INSA 1,000 31 19 14 12 3 – 9 5 3 12Federal election 23 Feb 20253,580,98328.917.818.412.65.01.38.74.44.210.5Forsa 1,003 38 16 15 14 3 – 3 3 8 22INSA 1,000 32 18 13 13 5 4 2 8 5 142024 EP election 09 Jun 20242,553,1533013.616.412.96.322.54.411.913.6Infratest dimap 1,159 37 16 15 15 5 – – 3 9 21INSA 1,000 33 18 14 12 4 4 3 6 6 152023 state election – 34.6 18.4 15.1 14.8 5.0 3.5 3.1 – 5.5 16.2
References