In the run up to the 2008 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in autonomous communities and constituencies in Spain during the term of the 8th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 14 March 2004, to the day the next election was held, on 9 March 2008.

Voting intention estimates refer mainly to a hypothetical Congress of Deputies election. Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections are displayed below the percentages in a smaller font.

Autonomous communities Andalusia Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout IULV Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 72.8 51.9 38.2 5.1 1.5 13.7 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 50.0–51.0 39.0–40.0 – – 11.0 Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008???? – –? Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 1,816? 51.0–52.0 36.0–37.0 6.0–7.0 – 15.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007????? –? Opina/El País 13–15 Feb 2006 1,500? 48.5 35.0 – – 13.5 Opina/El País 28 Feb 2005 1,500? 54.0 34.0 – – 20.0 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 40.9 54.4 36.1 5.0 2.6 18.3 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 74.8 52.9 33.7 6.4 4.0 19.2

Aragon Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 75.9 46.4 37.0 5.0 5.2 2.8 9.4 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 47.0–48.0 36.0–37.0 – – – 11.0 Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008????? – –? Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 1,816? 45.0–46.0 38.0–40.0 5.0–6.0 5.0–6.0 3.0–4.0 6.0–7.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007???? – – –? 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 47.3 45.8 40.0 6.1 2.9 3.1 5.8 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 77.0 41.3 36.5 12.1 4.7 2.8 4.8

Asturias Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 71.3 41.6 46.9 7.2 5.3 Ipsos/La Nueva España 29 Feb–2 Mar 2008 400? 39.3 46.4 9.3 7.1 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 45.0–46.0 43.0–44.0 – 2.0 Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008???? – Tie Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 1,816? 42.0–43.0 45.0–46.0 9.0–10.0 3.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007???? – Tie 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 44.9 44.4 46.4 6.3 2.0 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 71.7 43.8 43.4 8.4 0.4

Balearic Islands Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PIB UM UIB Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 67.6 44.0 44.2 – – 2.8 5.4 0.2 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 45.0–46.0 43.0–44.0 – – – – 2.0 Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008???? – – – –? Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 764? 42.0–43.0 43.0–44.0 – – 3.0–4.0 7.0–8.0 1.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007???? – – – – Tie 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 37.6 46.6 38.8 – 3.1 2.4 6.5 7.8 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 68.8 45.9 39.5 8.6 2.2 – 6.4

Basque Country Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 64.0 27.1 38.1 18.5 4.5 4.5 2.7 0.9 11.0 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 30.0–31.0 32.0–33.0 18.0–19.0 – 6.0–7.0 – – 2.0 Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008????? –? – – Tie Ikertalde/GPS 15–29 Jan 2008 2,864 69 32.6 27.6 19.2 7.3 6.2 3.5 1.3 6.0 Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 845? 29.0–30.0 36.0–37.0 17.0–18.0 5.0–6.0 5.0–6.0 3.0–4.0 – 7.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007????? – – – – Tie 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 44.6 35.3 28.2 21.0 4.2 7.8 1.3 – 7.1 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 75.0 33.7 27.2 18.9 8.2 6.5 3.1 – 6.5

Canary Islands Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 65.9 35.0 39.6 17.5 1.2 3.8 4.6 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 36.0–37.0 41.0–42.0 15.0–16.0 – – 5.0 Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008????? – –? Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 449? 35.0–36.0 37.0–38.0 18.0–19.0 1.0–2.0 5.0–6.0 2.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007????? – –? 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 36.5 40.0 38.5 16.9 1.8 – 1.5 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 66.7 35.4 34.5 24.3 1.9 – 0.9

Cantabria Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 76.4 50.0 43.6 2.3 6.4 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 52.0–53.0 41.0–42.0 – 11.0 Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008???? –? Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 182? 51.0–52.0 42.0–43.0 3.0–4.0 9.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007???? –? 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 51.8 52.5 42.3 2.5 10.2 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 77.2 51.9 40.9 3.3 11.0

Castile and León Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 77.7 50.0 42.8 2.5 7.2 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 49.0–50.0 43.0–44.0 – 6.0 Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008???? –? Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 1,285? 51.0–52.0 41.0–42.0 3.0–4.0 10.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007???? –? 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 52.3 53.1 41.6 2.4 11.5 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 77.8 50.3 41.9 2.8 8.4

Castilla–La Mancha Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 80.0 49.4 44.5 2.9 4.9 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 46.0–47.0 46.0–47.0 – Tie Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008???? –? Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 764? 49.0–50.0 45.0–46.0 2.0–3.0 4.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007???? –? 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 51.5 49.7 45.8 2.7 3.9 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 79.9 47.4 46.5 3.4 0.9

Catalonia

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 70.3 45.4 20.9 7.8 16.4 4.9 24.5 Ipsos/RTVE–FORTA 9 Mar 2008?? 45.7 20.9 8.4 16.3 3.9 24.8 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 42.0–43.0 19.0–20.0 11.0–12.0 16.0–17.0 5.0–6.0 23.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 18 Feb–1 Mar 2008???????? Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008???????? Noxa/La Vanguardia 8–14 Feb 2008 800? 42.7 20.0 10.2 17.6 6.6 22.7 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 7 Jan–12 Feb 2008???????? Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 1,156? 44.0–45.0 20.0–21.0 13.0–14.0 16.0–17.0 5.0–6.0 24.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007???????? Noxa/La Vanguardia 22–25 Oct 2007 800? 43.3 19.8 11.8 15.3 6.8 23.5 GESOP/El Periódico 14 Oct 2007?? 38.7 18.3 14.2 17.3? 20.4 GESOP/El Periódico 25–27 Jun 2007?? 41.5 20.6 11.8 16.1 6.0 20.9 GESOP/El Periódico 15–17 Apr 2007 800? 42.2 20.0 11.8 15.7 6.1 22.2 Noxa/La Vanguardia 30 Jan–2 Feb 2006 400? 44.0 20.0 13.5 14.5? 24.0 Noxa/La Vanguardia 7–11 Nov 2005 400? 43.5 20.0 12.5?? 23.5 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 39.8 42.9 17.4 11.8 17.8 7.2 25.1 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 76.0 39.5 20.8 15.9 15.6 5.8 18.7

Extremadura Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 78.5 52.3 41.8 2.9 10.5 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 49.0–50.0 44.0–45.0 – 5.0 Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008???? – Tie Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 351? 50.0–51.0 42.0–43.0 3.0–4.0 8.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007???? – Tie Opina/PSOE 25–29 Nov 2006 1,200? 49.5 43.2 – 6.3 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 49.5 52.2 43.2 2.6 9.0 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 79.3 51.2 42.4 3.5 8.8

Galicia Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout BNG Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 70.5 43.9 40.6 11.5 1.4 3.3 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 45.0–46.0 38.0–39.0 9.0–10.0 – 7.0 Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008????? –? Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 934? 45.0–46.0 39.0–40.0 13.0–14.0 1.0–2.0 6.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007????? –? 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 44.3 47.7 36.2 12.3 1.5 11.5 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 71.0 47.1 37.2 11.4 1.7 9.9

La Rioja Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 79.3 49.5 43.6 1.9 5.9 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 48.0–49.0 43.0–44.0 – 5.0 Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008???? – Tie Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 142? 51.0–52.0 42.0–43.0 3.0–4.0 9.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007???? – Tie 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 53.9 51.3 43.8 2.1 7.5 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 79.5 49.9 44.0 2.8 5.9

Madrid Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 79.1 49.2 39.7 4.7 3.7 9.5 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 47.0–48.0 42.0–43.0 6.0–7.0 2.0–3.0 5.0 Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008??????? Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 509? 47.0–48.0 41.0–42.0 5.0–6.0? 6.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007????? –? Synovate/PSOE 15 May 2005 1,012? 43.9 48.1 6.7 – 4.2 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 49.2 49.5 42.9 5.1 – 6.6 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 78.9 45.0 44.1 6.4 – 0.9

Murcia Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 79.6 61.2 32.9 2.9 28.3 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 55.0–56.0 38.0–39.0 – 17.0 Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008???? –? Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 257? 59.0–60.0 33.0–34.0 4.0–5.0 26.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007???? –? 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 49.1 58.9 36.4 2.8 22.5 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 77.1 57.4 35.0 4.3 22.4

Navarre Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 72.1 39.2 34.8 18.4 3.3 4.4 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 37.0–38.0 31.0–32.0 20.0–21.0 – 6.0 Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008????? – Tie Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 229? 37.0–38.0 33.0–34.0 20.0–21.0 5.0–6.0 4.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007????? – Tie 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 46.2 45.2 34.9 – 4.3 4.8 4.4 2.1 10.3 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 76.2 37.6 33.6 18.0 5.9 4.0

Valencian Community Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2008 general election 9 Mar 2008 78.8 51.6 41.0 2.7 1.1 10.6 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 20 Feb–1 Mar 2008?? 49.0–50.0 43.0–44.0 3.0–4.0 – 6.0 Metroscopia/El País 8–27 Feb 2008????? –? Celeste-Tel/Terra 22–28 Jan 2008 764? 49.0–50.0 41.0–42.0 3.0–4.0 – 8.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007????? – Tie Opina/El País 2–3 Oct 2006 1,200? 47.0 41.5 5.3 1.7 5.5 Opina/El País 9 Oct 2005?? 46.8 42.4 4.8 0.9 4.4 2004 EP election 13 Jun 2004 50.5 49.7 42.2 3.3 1.1 7.5 2004 general election 14 Mar 2004 77.7 46.8 42.4 4.7 1.5 4.4

Notes

References