2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election

The next parliamentary elections in Lithuania are expected to be held on 8 October 2028, with a second round two weeks thereafter. A by-election in Nalšios Šiaurinė single-member district after an MP (Jevgenijus Šuklinas) died. The 2026 Northern Nalšia district by-election will happen on november 8th.

Electoral system

The Seimas has 141 members, elected to a four-year term in parallel voting, with 71 members elected in single-seat constituencies using the two-round system and 70 members elected by proportional representation. The voting in the elections is open to all citizens of Lithuania who are at least 18 years old.

Parliament members in the 71 single-seat constituencies are elected in a majority vote, with a run-off held within 15 days, if necessary. The remaining 70 seats are allocated to the participating political parties using the largest remainder method. Parties normally need to receive at least 5% (7% for multi-party electoral lists) of the votes to be eligible for a seat. Candidates take the seats allocated to their parties based on the preference lists submitted before the election and adjusted by preference votes given by the voters.

Political parties

The table below lists the political parties currently represented in the Seimas following the 2024 parliamentary election.

Name Ideology Position Leader 2024 result Current Votes (%) Seats LSDP Social Democratic Party of Lithuania Social democracy Centre-left 19.70% TS–LKD Homeland Union – Lithuanian Christian Democrats Centre-right 18.35% NA Dawn of Nemunas Right-wing 15.26% DSVL Union of Democrats "For Lithuania" Centre tocentre-left 9.40% LS Liberals' Movement Classical liberalism Centre tocentre-right 7.85% LVŽS Lithuanian Farmers and Greens Union Centre-leftto left-wing 7.16% LLRA–KŠS Electoral Action of Poles in Lithuania – Christian Families Alliance Centre-right 3.96% NS National Alliance Lithuanian nationalism Far-right 2.93% TTS People and Justice Union (Centrists, Nationalists) Far-right 1.41% Independents colspan="4"

Opinion polls

Update the LOESS Curve

Parliamentary election poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "Lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Undecided voters have been excluded and the polls reweighted accordingly.

2026

Polling firmFieldwork datesSamplesizeLSDPTS–LKDNADSVLLSLVŽS LPLLRA−KŠSNSDPLRPLŽPTTSCDSLVOthers Lead Spinter tyrimai 16−26 Sep 1,020 13.4 24.5 12.7 5.0 11.6 10.5 3.5 6.1 12.711.1 Baltijos tyrimai 20−31 Aug 1,002 17.0 17.4 12.4 7.3 9.0 14.3 3.0 4.1 7.2 4.1 2.2 1.9 0.10.4 Baltijos tyrimai 21−31 Jul 1,002 15.2 19.3 15.3 7.2 10.3 11.6 3.4 3.7 3.6 4.7 2.1 2.2 1.4 0.14.0 Spinter tyrimai 18−28 Jul 1,022 14.3 22.9 12.0 6.5 11.5 7.9 5.2 6.1 13.58.6 style="border-right-style:hidden;" The Sinkevičius Cabinet is sworn in Baltijos tyrimai 19−30 Jun 1,010 16.1 16.7 14.0 8.0 9.2 13.6 3.7 2.9 5.3 5.7 2.7 1.9 0.10.6 Spinter tyrimai 18−28 Jun 1,022 16.9 24.4 8.4 5.0 12.6 8.1 3.3 5.6 15.77.5 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Mindaugas Sinkevičius nominated for Prime Minister style="border-right-style:hidden;" LSDP decides to remove NA from the coalition, replace them with DSVL Baltijos tyrimai 21−31 May 1,01117.9 16.9 12.4 5.2 10.4 14.4 4.1 4.0 2.3 6.6 3.0 2.5 0.31.0 Spinter tyrimai 18–30 May 1,022 13.3 23.2 9.4 2.9 11.3 8.5 4.4 5.8 21.29.9 Baltijos tyrimai 23 Apr−7 May 1,00018.1 16.7 16.5 5.1 11.4 14.3 2.9 2.9 2.8 5.0 3.1 1.2 2.81.4 Spinter tyrimai 18–28 Apr 1,021 11.9 24.8 10.3 5.2 12.1 13.3 3.4 5.6 13.311.5 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Virginijus Sinkevičius elected leader of DSVL style="border-right-style:hidden;" Saulius Skvernelis resigns as leader of DSVL after bribery allegations Baltijos tyrimai 19−30 Mar 1,009 17.418.3 12.6 12.3 7.8 12.8 2.7 3.7 3.9 4.9 2.6 0.50.9 Spinter tyrimai 18–28 Mar 1,013 13.6 23.3 9.1 7.4 13.6 8.5 5.4 4.8 14.49.7 Baltijos tyrimai 19 Feb−2 Mar 1,014 17.7 15.9 13.1 12.2 8.3 13.2 3.2 4.1 5.3 7.01.8 Spinter tyrimai 18–28 Feb 1,015 11.4 21.9 11.6 6.8 13.3 9.6 4.0 5.1 16.210.3 Spinter tyrimai 19–29 Jan 1,017 11.220.4 11.5 10.9 11.2 11.6 6.6 3.2 3.3 9.88.8 Baltijos tyrimai 8–24 Jan 1,063 17.7 16.4 13.5 14.0 9.4 14.6 2.8 3.1 3.7 4.71.3

2025 Polling firmFieldwork datesSamplesizeLSDPTS–LKDNADSVLLSLVŽS LPLLRA−KŠSNSDPLRPLŽPTTSCDSOthers Lead Baltijos tyrimai 11–29 Dec 1,015 17.8 14.9 14.2 17.7 7.8 13.5 2.7 4.3 2.7 4.40.1 Vilmorus 12–30 Dec 1,000 19.121.6 16.8 13.7 11.1 12.1 5.62.5 Spinter tyrimai 13–22 Dec 1,000 13.824.6 9.2 9.5 10.9 9.2 7.4 3.7 1.6 10.110.8 Dec LRT Law Amendments Filibuster Spinter tyrimai 17–28 Nov 1,015 14.321.7 8.6 13.0 9.0 11.1 6.3 4.0 11.97.4 Baltijos tyrimai 11–29 Nov 1,019 16.9 16.7 12.1 15.8 7.7 13.6 3.4 4.4 4.2 5.00.2 Vilmorus 6–16 Nov 1,000 20.122.9 16.7 15.6 8.9 12.43.52.8 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Robertas Kaunas replaces Dovilė Šakalienė as Minister of National Defence Baltijos tyrimai 16–28 Oct 1,019 16.2 15.2 11.6 14.4 9.6 14.4 3.2 4.2 4.3 6.91.0 Spinter tyrimai 17–27 Oct 1,015 19.122.0 8.5 13.5 8.5 9.7 6.0 3.1 9.12.9 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Ignotas Adomavičius resigns as Minister of Culture Baltijos tyrimai 24 Sep−9 Oct 1,004 20.0 18.6 12.3 14.4 7.6 12.7 2.8 3.6 3.3 4.61.4 Spinter tyrimai 17–27 Sep 1,017 15.721.7 12.7 10.6 9.7 10.3 5.3 2.9 3.1 7.66.0 style="border-right-style:hidden;" The Ruginienė Cabinet is sworn in style="border-right-style:hidden;" Ignotas Adomavičius nominated for Minister of CultureCultural community protests begin Vilmorus 4–13 Sep 1,000 24.3 20.7 17.6 13.7 8.7 11.63.43.6 Baltijos tyrimai 21 Aug−2 Sep 1,006 21.9 15.3 11.7 12.2 9.5 12.8 4.5 4.0 1.0 3.7 2.90.56.6 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Inga Ruginienė nominated for Prime Minister style="border-right-style:hidden;" Gintautas Paluckas resigns as Prime Minister and leader of LSDP after corruption scandal Spinter tyrimai 18–25 Jul 1,009 15.519.7 5.2 14.1 10.5 9.3 6.2 3.815.74.2 Spinter tyrimai 19–29 Jun 1,019 17.017.7 7.3 10.8 13.8 7.9 5.6 4.715.20.7 Vilmorus 11–22 Jun 1,000 23.8 17.0 15.1 17.1 11.7 12.13.26.7 Spinter tyrimai 26 Apr − 18 May 1,015 19.6 18.1 8.0 10.8 9.1 7.8 2.8 3.020.81.5 Vilmorus 2−12 May 1,000 25.3 16.4 12.9 20.0 11.0 10.53.95.3 Spinter tyrimai 18−29 Apr 1,019 20.7 18.1 9.3 13.3 8.9 10.0 3.9 2.912.92.6 Vilmorus 17−28 Apr 1,000 24.7 17.7 18.7 16.1 8.1 10.14.66.0 Baltijos tyrimai 5−19 Apr 1,015 20.0 13.8 13.8 16.6 6.9 12.1 2.6 4.4 1.4 4.5 3.20.73.4 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Gintautas Paluckas elected leader of LSDP Spinter tyrimai 18−28 Mar 1,012 18.7 18.4 10.4 11.3 9.8 10.3 5.3 3.212.60.3 Baltijos tyrimai 8−24 Mar 1,020 22.0 15.3 13.2 15.0 7.3 8.3 2.2 3.0 4.8 2.1 2.74.16.7 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Aurelijus Veryga elected leader of LVŽS Norstat LT 10–28 Feb 1,500 15.627.1 12.7 10.6 11.2 5.9 5.911.011.5 Vilmorus 14–23 Feb 1,000 22.1 14.4 21.7 16.2 9.0 11.45.20.4 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Laurynas Kasčiūnas elected leader of TS-LKD Baltijos tyrimai 25 Jan–8 Feb 1,019 22.6 11.7 17.4 17.9 5.4 10.6 2.1 2.0 1.4 4.4 2.1 1.8 2.02.94.7 Spinter tyrimai 18–29 Jan 1,009 16.3 15.9 13.0 12.3 11.8 9.1 4.2 3.314.10.4

2024 Polling firmFieldwork datesSamplesizeLSDPTS–LKDNADSVLLSLVŽS LPLLRA−KŠSNSDPLRPLŽPTTSCDSOthers Lead Spinter tyrimai 13–20 Dec 1,016 18.4 17.3 17.9 11.1 11.5 9.2 3.311.30.5 style="border-right-style:hidden;" The Paluckas Cabinet is sworn in Baltijos tyrimai 12 Nov–1 Dec 1,018 22.9 13.7 17.1 14.8 4.8 8.5 2.1 3.5 1.0 3.3 3.4 1.2 0.3 2.90.55.8 Vilmorus 7–16 Nov 1,000 24.3 11.8 20.7 10.8 13.5 9.6 2.2 3.1 1.92.13.6 Baltijos tyrimai 30 Oct–12 Nov 1,019 18.8 13.4 20.3 14.1 6.9 10.2 3.0 2.7 1.1 3.4 2.4 1.5 0.3 1.9 0.11.5 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Vilija Blinkevičiūtė refuses to become Prime MinisterGintautas Paluckas nominated for Prime Minister2024 election 13 Oct 1,220,570 19.70 18.35 15.26 9.4 7.85 7.16 4.62 3.96 2.93 2.24 1.93 1.72 1.41 0.77 2.71.35

See also Elections in Lithuania

Notes

References