Since the 2022 Brazilian general election, polling companies have published surveys tracking national voting intention for the 2026 Brazilian general election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order, and include candidates who frequently polled above 3% and are registered in a party, as well as eligible by the Superior Electoral Court of Brazil. They also include candidates from parties that passed the electoral threshold in 2022, and therefore have access to public campaign funding, free radio and television advertising time, and the right to participate in debates.

First round

Graphical summary Aggregate data of voting intention from opinion polling for the presidential election. Each line represents a local regression. Only prospective candidates and individuals who frequently appear in polls are included. The "Undecided", "Blank/Null" and "Absent" groups were calculated out.

Polling aggregation AggregatorLast updateOthersBlankNull Undec.Margin oferrorLeadLinkLulaF. BolsonaroCaiadoZemaSantosCuryUOL4 October 202640.637.33.63.44.93.3BBC/PollingData4 October 202641.840.1 3.1 0.6 2.9 3.3 1.7 8.9±3 pp1.7Poll+Trend (Final)4 October 202645.4544.512.310.663.353.160.560.96Plano Político3 October 202644.442.83.51.13.64.1±2.5 pp1.6ABC Dados3 October 202646.442.82.80.83.63.33.6The Economist3 October 202640373145103

2026

Aug–Oct (Campaign period)

PollsterPollingperiodOthersBlankNull Undec.Margin oferrorSamplesizeLeadLinkLulaF. BolsonaroCaiadoZemaSantosCuryResults4 Oct45.1647.032.180.272.242.890.23Valid votes1.8743.0044.782.070.252.132.750.224.77Total votes1.78Datafolha3 Oct4240403307±2 pp4,0062Quaest2–3 Oct40383033013±2 pp3,7022Futura2–3 Oct40.542.53.70.82.63.912.6±2.2 pp2,0002Palver30 Sep–3 Oct4347107100±2.4 pp5,0004PoderData30 Sep–2 Oct4241213316±1.5 pp4,0001MDA29 Sep–2 Oct43.13830.81.53.20.59.7±2.2 pp2,0075.1AtlasIntel27 Sep–2 Oct46.743.81.40.34.62.10.60.6±1 pp4,9452.91 OctLast day of free electoral broadcast time on TV and Radio.Vox Brasil29 Sep–1 Oct40.441.23.31.32.21.20.210.2±2.15 pp2,1000.8Datafolha28–30 Sep4238313427±2 pp2,5064Real Time26–30 Sep4339314316±2 pp2,0004Indexa27–29 Sep39344134011±2.2 pp2,0005Futura25–29 Sep39.442.241.63.23.80.85±2.2 pp2,0002.8Vox Brasil26–28 Sep41.437.83.81.82.72.20.310.3±2.15 pp2,1003.6Ideia25–28 Sep39.438.44.43.54.56.71.42.2±2.2 pp2,0001AtlasIntel23–28 Sep45.342.21.80.95.22.00.52.1±1 pp5,0053.1Nexus25–27 Sep4237514515±2 pp2,0005Quaest24–27 Sep39344134015±2 pp2,0045Palver24–27 Sep4444118102±2.4 pp5,000TieDatafolha22–24 Sep4036413517±2 pp2,0024Futura18–24 Sep38.440.45.70.92.45.61.25.3±2.4 pp2,0002PoderData20–23 Sep4139213636±1.8 pp3,0002Palver20–23 Sep4343118212±3 pp5,000TieReal Time19–23 Sep4137216616±2 pp2,0004AtlasIntel17–22 Sep45.843.41.30.94.52.10.81.2±1 pp5,0152.4Nexus18–20 Sep4037513616±2 pp2,0063Quaest17–20 Sep37334136115±2 pp2,0044Palver15–20 Sep41421111211±3 pp5,0001Datafolha15–16 Sep3936423629±2 pp2,0023PoderData13–16 Sep3736313866±1.8 pp3,0001AtlasIntel11–16 Sep44.141.71.71.15.13.50.72.1±1 pp5,0182.4Futura11–15 Sep38.337.74.513.46.52.46.1±2.2 pp2,0000.6Nexus11–13 Sep4237512616±2 pp2,0035Quaest10–13 Sep36314147017±2 pp2,0045Indexa10–13 Sep38344136014±2.2 pp2,0004MDA9–13 Sep40.530.4312.762.913.5±2.2 pp2,00210.1Datafolha8–10 Sep39354236410±2 pp2,0024Futura4–10 Sep39.233.64.40.74.36.438.3±2.2 pp2,0005.6PoderData6–9 Sep38362131054±1.8 pp3,0002AtlasIntel4–9 Sep4337.41.12.16.56.62.31±1 pp5,0005.6Palver4–7 Sep40391111412±3 pp5,0001Ideia4–7 Sep38.437.341.546.63.15.3±2.5 pp1,5001.1Nexus4–7 Sep3935414925±2 pp2,0024Quaest3–6 Sep36293238118±2 pp2,0047Datafolha1–2 Sep3833423839±2 pp2,0025PoderData30 Aug – 2 Sep37342131087±1.8 pp3,00031 SepBeginning of the institutional crisis at the Supreme Federal Court.Quaest30 Aug – 1 Sep372911310118±2 pp2,0048Futura27 Aug – 1 Sep38.733.63.51.62.89.93.86.1±2.2 pp2,0005.1Real Time27–31 Aug38304271126±2 pp2,0008Nexus28–30 Aug39335131116±2 pp2,0056AtlasIntel25–30 Aug43.433.73.31.07.67.84.00.3±1 pp5,0149.728 AugBeginning of free electoral broadcast time on TV and Radio.Vox Brasil25–27 Aug37.134.852.83.32.64.110.3±2.15 pp2,1002.3PoderData23–26 Aug3835424477±2 pp2,400323 AugFirst televised presidential debate. Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro, and Zema did not attend.Nexus21–23 Aug4137533218±2 pp2,0064Indexa20–23 Aug39345141016±2.2 pp2,0005Datafolha18–20 Aug39335342410±2 pp2,0586Nexus14–16 Aug4136544117±2 pp2,003516 AugBeginning of the election campaign.15 AugDeadline for the registration of candidacies.

Apr–Aug PollsterPollingperiodOthersBlankNullUndec.Margin oferrorSamplesizeLeadLinkLulaF. BolsonaroCaiadoZemaSantosCuryQuaest10–13 Aug38314242118±2 pp2,0047PoderData9–12 Aug4135434336±2 pp2,4006Nexus7–9 Aug4035534138±2 pp2,0015MDA5–9 Aug42.428.743.32.81.23.414±2.2 pp2,00213.7Futura3–7 Aug38.834.15.93.63.61.2211±2.2 pp2,0004.736.332.77.74.43.81.61.212.23.6Palver3–7 Aug44402110011±3 pp5,000445402110153 AugAvante's National Convention officially nominated Augusto Cury for president.Quaest31 Jul – 3 Aug39304241218±2 pp2,0049Ideia31 Jul – 3 Aug43355.72.64.71.71.36±2.5 pp1,50082 AugThe Workers' Party's National Convention formally nominated Lula, with Geraldo Alckmin (PSB) as his running mate.Nexus31 Jul – 2 Aug4137534127±2 pp2,0024PoderData26–29 Jul413553439±2 pp2,4006Vox Brasil26–28 Jul40.531.25.53.231.13.611.9±2.15 pp2,1009.327 JulNew Party's National Convention officially nominated Romeu Zema for president.AtlasIntel22–27 Jul44.935.83.12.87.81.62.31.6±1 pp5,0219.147.4373.32.97.81.610.426 JulSocial Democratic Party's National Convention officially nominated Ronaldo Caiado, with Gilberto Kassab as his running mate.Nexus24–26 Jul4233635218±2 pp2,004925 JulLiberal Party's National Convention officially nominated Flávio Bolsonaro for president.Datafolha22–23 Jul40324332311±2 pp2,004820 JulThe Mission Party's National Convention officially nominated Renan Santos, with Aroldo Medina as his running mate.Beginning of the period for party conventions.Real Time18–20 Jul4033729126±2 pp2,0007Indexa16–19 Jul41306331115±2.2 pp2,00011PoderData12–15 Jul4034446310±2 pp2,4006Quaest10–13 Jul40284231319±2 pp2,00412Nexus10–12 Jul4034544239±2 pp2,0036Futura7–11 Jul40.136.853.72.61.12.18.7±2.2 pp2,0003.337.835.77.953.410.22.142.116.514621.425.642.638.66.23.98.748 JulAécio Neves (PSDB) rules out a presidential bid.Ideia3–6 Jul40.43242.521.5413.6±2.5 pp1,5008.4AtlasIntel26–30 Jun46.336.62.927.80.52.71.2±1 pp4,9999.747.236.33.137.81.21.310.9Nexus26–28 Jun4234534138±2 pp2,00984235535287Vox Brasil23–25 Jun38.332.25.12.82.50.73.114.3±2.15 pp2,1006.1PoderData21–24 Jun4036434338±2 pp2,4004Indexa18–20 Jun42315331114±2.2 pp2,00011Datafolha17–18 Jun41313232711±2 pp2,00410Nexus12–14 Jun4233424248±2 pp2,01794334435389MDA10–14 Jun41.828.242.821.84.214.9±2.2 pp2,00213.6Futura8–12 Jun41.634.14.53.52.30.93.210±2.2 pp2,0007.539.832.88.55.33.510.1742.716.513.36.121.526.2Quaest5–8 Jun39293231419±2 pp2,00410Vox Brasil1–3 Jun42.133.66.95.13.10.53.55.2±2.15 pp2,1008.5Real Time29–30 May3831646177±2 pp2,0007PoderData25–28 May4035343339±2 pp2,4005Ideia23–27 May38.531.55.52.42.14.415.6±2.5 pp1,5007Indexa22–24 May39305320318±2.2 pp2,0009Nexus22–24 May4035543139±2 pp2,04554135544386Datafolha20–22 May40314332612±2 pp2,0049Futura15–20 May42.735.63.33.91.70.91.410.6±2.2 pp2,0007.13913.113.33.12.64.524.425.7Vox Brasil17–19 May41.532.15.94.11.50.30.314.3±2.15 pp2,1009.4AtlasIntel13–18 May4734.32.75.26.90.40.23.3±1 pp5,03212.746.713.81781.21.811.429.713 MayLeaked audio recordings linked Flávio Bolsonaro to Daniel Vorcaro, a central figure in the Banco Master scandal.Datafolha12–13 May38353322412±2 pp2,0043Vox Brasil9–12 May35.137.84.34.51.80.80.715±2.15 pp2,1002.711 MayCiro Gomes (PSDB) confirms that he will run for Governor of Ceará, ending speculation about a presidential bid.Quaest8–11 May39334421215±2 pp2,0046Futura4–8 May38.137.45.72.31.52.112.9±2.2 pp2,0000.738.336.14.43.61.51.45.19.62.2Ideia1–5 May40365.631.41.53.49.1±2.5 pp1,5004Real Time2–4 May40345431211±2 pp2,0006383344316115AtlasIntel22–27 Apr46.639.73.33.15.31.10.30.6±1 pp5,0086.944.239.333.55.10.43.90.44.9Nexus24–26 Apr4136343228±2 pp2,02854136454195413864193Quaest9–13 Apr37326322216±2 pp2,0045MDA8–12 Apr39.230.24.63.31.81.519.3±2 pp2,0029Futura7–11 Apr39.837.34.82.91.41.30.811.6±2.2 pp2,0002.538.438.2621.91.911.50.2Datafolha7–9 Apr3935542214±2 pp2,0044Ideia3–7 Apr40.4376.5330.69.5±2.5 pp1,5003.45 AprAvante announced the candidacy of writer Augusto Cury.4 AprElectoral resignation deadline.

Jan–Mar PollsterPolling periodOthersBlankNullUndec.Margin oferrorSamplesizeLeadLinkLulaF. BolsonaroFreitasCaiadoRatinhoLeiteZema30 MarPSD selects Ronaldo Caiado as its presidential candidate.Nexus27–29 Mar413844210±2 pp2,000339394549Tie42396483Paraná Pesquisas25–28 Mar41.337.83.632.312±2.2 pp2,0803.5Gerp20–25 Mar383634389±2.2 pp2,0002AtlasIntel18–23 Mar45.940.13.73.152.2±1 pp5,0285.845.542.41.23.75.41.93.145.633.34.26.25.25.612.345.735.87.92.81.64.81.49.923 MarRatinho Júnior withdraws his candidacy.Ideia6–10 Mar40.3355.552.411.9±2.5 pp1,5005.34034.794.52.29.55.339.636.34.45.81.9123.340.335.95.11.916.84.4Quaest6–9 Mar393242221±2 pp2,004737307322173633334213363444222363374203363534221373434223Futura2–6 Mar35.141.95.74.110.1±2.2 pp2,0006.83737.69.12.72.87.30.635.241.24.67.29.4636.824.44.85.77.615.912.4Datafolha3–5 Mar393345515±2 pp2,004638327451463921115519183934345155Real Time28 Feb – 2 Mar403353415±2 pp2,000739329241474034434156Paraná Pesquisas22–25 Feb40.536.63.74.31.913±2.2 pp2,0803.939.635.37.63.8211.74.3AtlasIntel19–24 Feb47.133.17.44.11.54.72.1±1 pp4,9861443.336.25.18.53.43.57.145.139.53.83.94.33.45.64537.94.93.944.37.145.339.11.65.74.93.56.2Quaest5–9 Feb383044222±2 pp2,00483932432273529842226373174216Real Time6–7 Feb3930103315±2 pp2,00094032643158Futura3–7 Feb36.734.29.84510.2±2.2 pp2,0002.535.335.76.66.53.212.70.235.937.26.14.93.112.81.3Gerp28 Jan – 2 Feb3935252411±2.2 pp2,0004Ideia30 Jan – 2 Feb39.5328.831.215.5±2.5 pp1,5007.539.5335.161.215.16.540356.51.517527 JanRonaldo Caiado joins the PSD.Paraná Pesquisas25–28 Jan39.833.13.76.52.82.611.5±2.2 pp2,0806.740.727.56.64.43.417.413.2AtlasIntel15–20 Jan48.428112.91.71.73.92.4±1 pp5,41820.448.8354.32.82.84.41.913.848.528.453.93.94.36.120.148.815.29.411.44.910.333.6Futura15–19 Jan3733.310.532.61.711.9±2.2 pp2,0003.735.434.33.79.14.42.44.41.1Ideia8–12 Jan39.726.54.273.60.618.5±2.2 pp2,00013.240.232.75.55.50.915.47.5Quaest8–11 Jan36239372218±2 pp2,00413352649332093927572212402314419173728114209

2025

Jun–Dec