The 2024 Ligurian regional election took place in Liguria, Italy on 27–28 October 2024.Elezioni regionali 2024. Regione Liguria The snap election was called after the resignation of incumbent president, Giovanni Toti, following an investigation into corruption, particularly regarding favors to local businessmen in Genoa in exchange for financial support in local elections in 2021 and 2022.
Bucci won the electoral competition by outperforming his opponent in Ventimiglia, Sanremo, Rapallo among other centers where his coalition reached 50 and 60% of the votes, while Orlando performed strongly in Genova, despite Bucci being the city mayor there, and his home town of La Spezia, while also winning in Savona as well.
The race brought significant attention as it was considered a test for the national government but also for the center-right coalition in the region.
Electoral system The Regional Council of Liguria is composed of 30 members, plus the president elect. The president elect is the candidate winning a plurality of votes at the election. Within the council, 24 seats are elected in provincial constituencies by proportional representation. The remaining 6 councillors are assigned as a majority bonus if the winning candidate has less than 18 seats, otherwise they are distributed among the losing coalitions.
A single list must get at least 3% of the votes in a province in order to access the proportional distribution of seats, unless the list is connected to a coalition with more than 5% of the vote.
Parties and candidates Political party or allianceConstituent listsPrevious resultCandidate%Seats Centre-right coalition Bucci for President Liguria Wins (incl. NM) https://noimoderati.it/elezioni-liguria-sostieni-marco-bucci-e-la-nostra-lista-civica-vince-liguria-bucci-presidente/ 22.67 League17.16 Brothers of Italy10.93 Forza Italia5.31 Union of the Centre0.70 Popular Alternative Ligurian Pride Centre-left coalition Democratic Party 19.96 Five Star Movement 7.8 2 Greens and Left Alliance (incl. SI, EV, Pos) 3.9 1 Civic Reformist Pact (incl. A, PRI, PER, MRE) Head-on Ligurians (incl. PSI) Andrea Orlando List For the Alternative (incl. PRC, PCI, PaP) Northern People’s Party United for the Constitution Workers' Communist Party Sovereign Popular Democracy Independence! Force of the People
Opinion polls Candidates Date Polling firm/Client Sample size Bucci Orlando Morra Others Undecided Lead 28 Oct 2024 Opinio (exit poll) – 47.0–51.0 45.5–49.5 0.0–2.0 – – 1.5 28 Oct 2024 SWG (exit poll) – 46.0–50.0 45.0–49.0 – 4.0–6.0 – 1.0 24 Sep–3 Oct 2024 BiDiMedia 1,000 47.5 47.0 2.0 3.5 23.00.5 1 Oct 2024 Noto – 46.0 46.0 – 6.0 – 10.0 31.0 Tie18 Sep 2024Tecnè– 47.0 50.0 3.0 0.0 46.03.0 47.0 53.0 – 0.0 48.06.0
Hypothetical polls Date Polling firm/Client Sample size Centre-right Orlando Others Lead Sep 2024 Tecnè – 46.0 54.0 – 8.0 47.0 53.0 – 6.0 48.0 52.0 – 4.0 45.0 55.0 – 10.0 45.0 55.0 – 10.0 47.0 53.0 – 6.0 45.0 55.0 – 10.0 5–7 Aug 2024 Euromedia – 51.3 48.7 – 2.6 52.3 47.7 – 4.6 50.4 49.6 – 0.8 52.1 47.9 – 4.2 50.9 49.1 – 1.8
Parties Date Polling firm Sample sizeCentre-rightCentre-left Others LeadFdIFILegaNMPDM5SAVSIVPCR+E 24 Sep–3 Oct 2024 BiDiMedia 1,000 20.2 5.7 8.0 10.4 2.2 1.0 25.9 7.0 4.0 7.1 2.2 1.0 1.8 3.5 5.7 Sep 2024 Tecnè – 25.0 9.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 27.0 8.0 8.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 2.0
Results + CandidatesVotes%SeatsPartiesVotes%SeatsMarco Bucci291,09348.771 Brothers of Italy84,81615.085 Bucci for President Liguria Wins53,2089.463 League47,6528.473 Forza Italia44,8497.983 Ligurian Pride32,0615.703 Union of the Centre7,2941.30– Popular Alternative1,9290.34–Total271,80948.3417Andrea Orlando282,66947.361 Democratic Party160,06328.478 Greens and Left Alliance34,7166.172 Andrea Orlando List29,8085.301 Five Star Movement25,6594.561 Civic Reformist Pact9,8131.75– Head-on Ligurians9,1271.62–Total269,18647.8712 Nicola Morra5,2230.88– United for the Constitution 4,9220.88– Nicola Rollando5,0790.85– For the Alternative4,9200.87– Francesco Toscano5,0710.85– Sovereign Popular Democracy4,7090.84– Marco Ferrando2,0990.35– Workers' Communist Party 1,8130.32– Maria Antonietta Cella2,0760.35– Northern People’s Party 1,6740.30– Davide Felice1,8550.31– Force of the People1,6960.30– Alessandro Rosson1,6680.28– Independence!1,5700.28– Total candidates596,833100.002Total parties562,299100.0029 Blank and invalid votes15,9152.58 Registered voters/turnout1,341,69345.97 Source: Ministry of the Interior – Election in Liguria
Results by province and capital city Whilst the province of Imperia voted for Bucci by 24 points, in all the other provinces the end result came within five points: Bucci won the province of Savona by 3 points, whilst Orlando won by 2 points in the metropolitan City of Genoa and by 4 points in the province of La Spezia.
In the major cities, despite being the incumbent mayor of Genoa, Bucci lost in his hometown to Orlando by 8 points but won Sanremo by 25.5 points and Imperia by 9 points; whilst Savona voted for Orlando by 20 points and La Spezia by 5 points. Overall, Orlando's strongest areas were the three largest cities of the region (Genoa, La Spezia, Savona) and their surrounding municipalities, whilst Bucci was the strongest west of Savona and in the Tigullio area east of Genova. Orlando's strength in Savona can be attributed to opposition to a regasification plant in nearby Vado Ligure that former president Toti had proposed to build in a protected sea area.
Province Andrea Orlando Marco Bucci Others Genoa 168,556 49.13% 161,463 47.06% 13,086 3.61% La Spezia 42,918 50.31% 39,360 46.14% 3,023 3.55% Savona 47,564 46.38% 50,678 49.41% 4,315 4.21% Imperia 23,633 35.88% 39,588 60.10% 2,648 4.02%
City Andrea Orlando Marco Bucci Others Genoa 121,821 52.27% 103,219 44.29% 8,007 3.44% La Spezia 17,610 51.11% 15,770 45.77% 1,073 3.12% Savona 12,932 57.96% 8,373 37.53% 1,006 4.51% Imperia 6,279 43.29% 7,623 52.55% 604 4.16%
See also 2024 Italian regional elections
References