This article covers opinion polling for the 2025 Philippine Senate election.
Leading up to the 2025 Philippine Senate election, the polling companies Social Weather Stations (SWS), Pulse Asia, OCTA Research, and others are conducting opinion polls. These polls collect data on the way that people are intending to vote in the election.
Those who win outright are in bold. Those that are within the margin of error are in italics.
Polling for Senate elections Pollsters usually do face-to-face interviews with respondents. They sometimes present respondents with a mock ballot on which the respondent will mark their choices for the Senate. The Senate of the Philippines is elected via multiple non-transferable vote on an at-large basis, where a voter has 12 votes, cannot transfer any of the votes to a candidate, and can vote for up to twelve candidates. If the mock ballot has 13 or more preferences, the pollster classifies it as "invalid."
Aside from publishing preferences per candidate, pollsters also include other data such as averages on how many candidates the respondents included in their preferences.
Calendar
Filing of candidacies: October 1 to 8, 2024 Deadline in substituting a candidate for it to appear on the ballot: October 8, 2024 Campaign period for nationally elected positions: February 11 to May 10, 2025 Campaign period for locally elected positions: March 28 to May 10, 2025 Election day: May 12, 2025
Survey details Date/s administered Pollster Sample size Margin of errorIssues when poll was administeredMay 6–9, 2025 Pulse Asia 1,200 ±2.8% May 2–6, 2025 SWS 1,800 ±2.31% May 1, 2025 Publicus Asia 3,000 ±2.0% Apr 28–May 3, 2025 The Center 1,800 ±3.0% Apr 26–May 1, 2025 Arkipelago Analytics 1,400 ±3.0% Apr 23–30, 2025 WR Numero 2,413 ±2.0% Apr 20–24, 2025 OCTA 1,200 ±2.0% Apr 20–24, 2025 Pulse Asia 2,400 ±2.0% Apr 12–14, 2025 DZRH 7,508 ±1.13% Apr 11–15, 2025 The Center 1,200 ±3.5% Apr 11–15, 2025 SWS 1,800 ±2.31% Apr 10–16, 2025 OCTA 1,200 ±3.0% Apr 7–12, 2025 Arkipelago Analytics 670 ±3.79% Mar 31–Apr 7, 2025 WR Numero 1,834 ±2.0% Mar 23–29, 2025 Pulse Asia 2,400 ±2.0% Mar 22–29, 2025 The Center 1,800 ±3.0% Mar 18–24, 2025 OCTA 1,200 ±3.0% Mar 15–21, 2025 Arkipelago Analytics 670 ±3.79% Arrest of Rodrigo DuterteMar 15–20, 2025 Publicus Asia 1,500 ±3.0% Mar 15–20, 2025 SWS 1,800 ±2.31% Mar 8–10, 2025 DZRH 7,516 ±1.13% Feb 22–28, 2025 OCTA 1,200 ±3.0% Feb 20–26, 2025 Pulse Asia 2,400 ±2.0% Feb 17–22, 2025 The Center 1,200 ±3.0% Feb 15–19, 2025 SWS 1,800 ±2.31% Impeachment of Sara DuterteFeb 10–18, 2025 WR Numero 1,814 ±2.0% Jan 25–31, 2025 OCTA 1,200 ±3.0% Jan 18–25, 2025 Pulse Asia 2,400 ±2.0% Jan 17–20, 2025 SWS 1,800 ±2.31% Dec 16–22, 2024 RMN–Oculum 1,200 ±3.0% Dec 12–18, 2024 SWS 2,097 ±2.1% Dec 7–9, 2024 DZRH 7,510 ±1.13% Nov 29–Dec 3, 2024 Publicus Asia 1,500 ±3.0% Nov 26–Dec 3, 2024 Pulse Asia 2,400 ±2.0% Nov 25–Dec 1, 2024 The Center 1,200 ±3.0% Nov 10–16, 2024 OCTA 1,200 ±3.0% Oct 29–31, 2024 Peers Agency 1,800 ±2.5% Oct 16–17, 2024 Publicus Asia 1,500 ±3.0% Sep 14–23, 2024 SWS 1,500 ±2.5% Sep 15–19, 2024 Publicus Asia 1,500 ±3.0% Sep 6–13, 2024 Pulse Asia 2,400 ±2.0% Aug 28–Sep 2, 2024 OCTA 1,200 ±3.0% Jun 26–Jul 1, 2024 OCTA 1,200 ±3.0% Jun 17–24, 2024 Pulse Asia 2,400 ±2.0% Mar 14–19, 2024 Publicus Asia 1,500 ±3.0% Mar 11–14, 2024 OCTA 1,200 ±3.0% Mar 6–10, 2024 Pulse Asia 1,200 ±2.8% Feb 21–29, 2024 Oculum 3,000 ±2.0% Dec 10–14, 2023 OCTA 1,200 ±3.0% Sep 30–Oct 4, 2023 OCTA 1,200 ±3.0% Jul 17–31, 2023 Oculum 1,200 ±3.0% Apr 15–18, 2023 SWS 1,200 ±3.0%
Per candidate
By voter preferences
Until election day
CandidatePartyMar 31–Apr 7, 2025WR NumeroApr 7–12, 2025Arkipelago AnalyticsApr 10–16, 2025OCTAApr 11–15, 2025SWSApr 11–15, 2025The CenterApr 12–14, 2025DZRHApr 20–24, 2025OCTAApr 20–24, 2025Pulse AsiaApr 23–30, 2025WR NumeroApr 26–May 1, 2025Arkipelago AnalyticsApr 28–May 3, 2025The CenterMay 1, 2025Publicus AsiaMay 2–6, 2025SWS Benhur Abalos ABP (PFP)18.2%22%28.8%18%23%25.8%28.5%22.9%20.7%21%23%15%24% Jerome Adonis Makabayan1.3%––2%–1.5%0.7%0.4%–––2%1% Wilson Amad Independent2.7%––2%–1.1%–1.3%–––1%1% Jocelyn Andamo Makabayan1.0%––2%–1.0%–0.5%–––2%1% Bam Aquino KiBam (KANP)26.4%30.5%32.3%21%20%31.1%31.4%25.4%28.5%33.5%20.7%41%23% Ronnel Arambulo Makabayan2.5%––2%–1.6%0.7%0.5%–––5%2% Ernesto Arellano Katipunan2.4%–1.0%3%–2.5%1.3%1.0%–––3%2% Roberto Ballon Independent0.9%––2%–1.2%–0.2%–––3%2% Abby Binay ABP (NPC)31.8%37%35.7%29%40.7%33.9%37.6%30.2%31.7%32%43%18%31% Jimmy Bondoc DuterTen (PDP)15.1%30%13.2%9%21%23.9%19.7%16.6%14.7%29%31%17%11% Ramon Bong Revilla ABP (Lakas)27.4%40.5%38.7%31%25%34.3%38.1%35.6%29.5%39%27%11%29% Bonifacio Bosita Independent15.5%17%11.5%11%19%18.5%11.7%14.3%15.8%17%20%11%16% Arlene Brosas Makabayan1.6%–1.1%2%–2.4%0.7%0.8%–––6%2% Roy Cabonegro DPP0.8%––1%–1.2%–0.2%–––1%1% Allen Capuyan PPP1.3%––1%–1.4%0.6%1.5%–––2%2% Teddy Casiño Makabayan3.6%–3.3%3%7%4.4%1.7%1.5%––9%11%3% France Castro Makabayan3.8%–3.2%4%7%3.4%1.0%2.4%––8%9%3% Pia Cayetano ABP (NP)34.7%43%39.5%33%44.5%36.3%39.1%29.9%36.6%41%45.7%28%30% Angelo de Alban Independent1.9%––2%–2.0%–1.4%–––4%2% David D'Angelo Bunyog1.3%––1%–1.3%–0.6%–––2%1% Leody de Guzman PLM4.2%–3.3%3%6%4.0%1.6%1.9%––7%12%3% Bato dela Rosa DuterTen (PDP)38.7%49%40.4%32%46%50.7%40.8%41.0%36.8%47%49.3%32%31% Mimi Doringo Makabayan0.6%––2%–1.1%–0.8%–––2%2% Arnel Escobal Maharlika1.8%––2%–1.6%2.3%0.7%–––1%2% Luke Espiritu PLM4.4%–3.8%3%9%5.2%1.4%3.1%––10%15%3% Mody Floranda Makabayan1.5%––2%–1.1%–0.3%–––2%2% Marc Gamboa Independent1.9%––2%–1.9%4.0%0.7%–––2%1% Bong Go DuterTen (PDP)41.9%64%64.2%45%57%63.2%56.8%62.2%45.3%63%59%42%43% Norberto Gonzales PDSP3.4%––2%–2.6%2.2%1.0%–––4%2% Jesus Hinlo Jr. DuterTen (PDP)8.7%16%8.3%6%9%15.4%14.0%11.8%–16%12%10%6% Gregorio Honasan Reform PH15.2%27%14.8%13%29.6%19.8%21.2%12.9%16.1%27%34%15%14% Relly Jose Jr. KBL1.9%––1%–1.0%–0.5%–––2%1% Panfilo Lacson ABP (ind)34.1%38%39.7%26%36%42.9%34.3%33.8%33.8%32%38%32%32% Raul Lambino DuterTen (PDP)9.0%20%10.0%8%12%20.0%14.8%13.4%–20%15%10%8% Lito Lapid ABP (NPC)34.1%41%36.9%34%32%38.9%35.6%32.2%34.8%38.7%30%14%34% Amirah Lidasan Makabayan1.3%12%–1%–1.7%–0.8%–12%–2%1% Rodante Marcoleta DuterTen (Independent)17.7%32.7%19.3%13%30.5%30.0%27.8%23.0%20.4%34%35%23%17% Imee Marcos Nacionalista19.5%33%27.9%24%35.8%31.7%28.9%24.7%26.4%33%39.9%23%29% Norman Marquez Independent2.3%–1.1%2%–2.0%–0.8%–––5%2% Eric Martinez Independent2.6%–1.2%3%–1.4%–0.9%–5%–3%3% Richard Mata DuterTen (Independent)5.1%16.5%4.2%3%14%6.6%4.4%5.9%–16.5%15%10%4% Sonny Matula WPP1.7%–1.1%2%–2.5%0.6%0.5%––12%7%2% Liza Maza Makabayan0.9%––2%–1.7%–0.9%–––6%1% Heidi Mendoza Independent5.3%–9.2%6%18%5.9%2.8%4.1%––20%20%4% Jose Montemayor Jr. Independent2.4%––2%–1.8%–0.3%–––3%1% Subair Mustapha WPP0.4%––1%–1.7%–1.4%–––1%1% Jose Jessie Olivar Independent0.5%––1%–1.1%–0.2%–––2%1% Manny Pacquiao ABP (PFP)24.2%35%30.3%25%23%30.2%29.1%28.3%26.1%32%23.4%22%24% Kiko Pangilinan KiBam (LP)25.2%29%30.3%21%16%26.1%26.3%19.8%24.5%29%17%36%21% Ariel Querubin Nacionalista7.2%–3.6%5%12%7.7%5.5%4.4%––13%8%5% Apollo Quiboloy DuterTen (Independent)11.0%–8.2%6%12%13.9%7.9%10.3%–10.5%15%8%8% Danilo Ramos Makabayan3.5%–1.3%2%–2.7%0.6%1.1%–––6%2% Willie Revillame Independent19.2%39%29.0%24%27%25.7%30.4%28.6%22.6%38%33.5%14%24% Vic Rodriguez DuterTen (Independent)12.8%20%12.5%7%17%15.0%10.7%11.5%–20%18%17%8% Nur-Ana Sahidulla Independent0.6%11%–1%–1.7%1.8%1.7%–11%–2%1% Phillip Salvador DuterTen (PDP)20.4%31%24.4%18%22%27.9%25.3%23.7%17.2%32%23%14%16% Tito Sotto ABP (NPC)29.8%44%43.3%33%54.3%41.8%42.3%41.1%37%42%54%28%37% Michael Tapado Maharlika1.0%––2%–0.9%–0.6%–––1%2% Francis Tolentino ABP (PFP)9.7%21%27.7%12%37.5%18.7%25.2%15.7%14.2%20.5%42.7%21%15% Ben Tulfo Independent32.1%42%45.4%31%39% 40.1%40.2%33.5%35.2%42%39%23%34% Erwin Tulfo ABP (Lakas)43.4%55%61.2%43%44%50.4%52.7%42.4%48.7%55%47.6%28%45% Mar Valbuena Jr. Independent1.3%––1%–1.5%–1.3%–––2%1% Leandro Verceles Jr. Independent0.4%––0.4%–0.8%–0.9%–––2%0.3% Camille Villar ABP (NP)26.7%38.5%30.4%28%37.9%39.5%31.9%28.3%29.8%40.5%40%17%30%Stray votes16.5%15%14.7%8.0%17.9%15%Undecided1%1%Refused7.2%None1.8%6%
Until campaigning for locally-elected positions