Opinion polling for the 2026 Maltese general election

In the run up to the 2026 Maltese general election, on 30 May 2026, various organizations have carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Malta. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

In the most recent general election, in 2022, the Labour Party won their third consecutive election, and have been in power since 2013.

Graphical summary

Party polling Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a poll result is a tie, the figures with the highest percentages are both shaded and displayed in bold.

It is not uncommon for the third largest party, AD+PD and other smaller parties to be grouped together in polls, or totally excluded.

Expressing a Preference The values in the table below are derived by removing non-party responses (i.e. non-voters, "don't know", and "no reply"); as the margin is also recalculated, there may be slight differences in exact lead margins due to rounding. Dates Conducted Polling firm Samplesize PL PN AD+PD M Others Lead Notvoting Don'tknow Noreply 30 May 2026 2026 general election – 51.8 44.7 1.3 1.5 0.77.1 12.6 – – 13 – 24 May 2026 Malta Today 1,382 50.6 44.25.2 6.4 20.8 – – 18 – 23 May 2026 Esprimi/Times of Malta 600 53.5 42.93.6 10.6 – – – 14 – 20 May 2026 Sagalytics 1,500 54.3 42.23.5 12.1 – 9.6 – 7 – 13 May 2026 Sagalytics 1,200 52.9 42.94.2 10.0 – 10.7 – 29 April – 13 May 2026 Malta Today 1,408 50.1 43.86.1 6.3 22.7 – – 6 – 13 May 2026 Esprimi/Times of Malta 600 52.9 44.03.1 8.9 – – – 30 Apr – 6 May 2026 Sagalytics 1,200 53.1 42.6 2.32.0 10.5 – – – 23-29 Apr 2026 Sagalytics 1,200 53.2 43.13.7 10.1 – 12.6 – 9–16 Apr 2026 Esprimi 60051.3 45.03.7 5.3 16.0–– 23 Feb – 6 Mar 2026 Malta Today 784 48.2 45.6 3.7 2.1 0.4 2.6 19.3 – – 13–19 Feb 2026 Independent 1200 52.8 42.6 4.6 10.2 – 11.8 – 5–16 Jan 2026 Malta Today 813 48.9 45.7 2.3 2.3 0.8 3.2 – – – 13–20 Nov 2025 Sagalytics 1200 52.3 43.5 1.7 – 2.0 8.8 – 12.7 – 5–13 Nov 2025 MaltaToday 79948.7 46.1 4.1 1.2 0.02.6––– 24 Sept – 2 Oct 2025 MaltaToday 74148.8 45.9 2.4 2.0 1.02.9 18.4–– 28 May – 6 Jun 2025 MaltaToday 64753.3 39.7 1.6 3.1 2.213.3 6.7–– 28 Mar–8 Apr 2025 MaltaToday 65151.6 42.8 1.5 2.2 1.98.8 22.5–– 29 Jan–13 Feb 2025 MaltaToday 67248.2 43.9 3.4 4.0 0.54.3 24.5–– 30 Jan – 12 Feb 2025 Times of Malta 60051.5 45.0 3.56.519.7–– 5–13 Nov 2024 MaltaToday 707 45.346.3 4.1– 4.21.0 29.4–– 11–19 Sep 2024 MaltaToday 712 43.848.2 4.5– 3.54.4 24.3–– 8 June 2024 2024 EP Election – 45.3 42.0 1.2– 11.23.3 27.0 – – Senior Government Ministers, former Ministers, and civil servants are charged in court following the conclusion of the Magisterial Inquiry into the Vitals Scandal. 28 Nov – 6 Dec 2023 MaltaToday 650 47.3 43.1 9.64.2 30.2–– 1–9 Nov 2023 MaltaToday 637 49.0 45.4 5.63.6 31.0–– 14–26 Oct 2023 Esprimi/Times of Malta 600 50.0 44.85.25.0 27.8–– 25 Sep – 4 Oct 2023 MaltaToday 657 43.8 45.8 10.42.0 31–– 9–16 Mar 2023 Esprimi/Times of Malta 600 51.6 42.9 5.58.7 27.4––Court annuls contentious 2015 transfer - approved by former PL Prime Minister Joseph Muscat - of three hospitals to international control. 26 March 2022 2022 general election – 45.8 34.7 1.3– 1.311.1 14.4 – –

Complete Data

Dates Conducted Polling firm Samplesize PL PN AD+PD M Others Lead Notvoting Don'tknow Noreply 30 May 2026 2026 general election – 51.8 44.7 1.3 1.5 0.77.1 12.6 – – 1–8 Sep 2023 Independent 1600 34.9 35.3 4.9– 4.60.4 15.9 4.4– 10–20 Jul 2023 MaltaToday 749 29.6 30.2 1.2– 1.20.6 22.6 13.9– 10–19 May 2023 MaltaToday 574 33.1 28.7 0.4– 0.74.4 20.8 14.7– 3–10 Mar 2023 MaltaToday 574 30.8 28.4 2.1– 2.62.4 24.8 10.0–Court annuls contentious 2015 transfer - approved by former PL Prime Minister Joseph Muscat - of three hospitals to international control. 24 Jan – 1 Feb 2023 MaltaToday 646 38.7 22.8 0.7– 2.015.9 23.9 10.5– 22 Nov – 1 Dec 2022 MaltaToday 650 36.4 24.2 2.3– 0.812.2 22.2 13.2– 13–30 Sep 2022 MaltaToday 647 39.4 19.9 3.2– 0.919.5 22.5 14.9– 6–14 Jul 2022 MaltaToday 656 42.0 25.8 2.0– 0.916.2 14.5 14.1– 16–25 May 2022 MaltaToday 656 43.9 28.8 2.8– 0.615.1 11.2 11.4– 26 March 2022 2022 general election – 45.8 34.7 1.3 – 1.311.1 14.4 – 2.5 21 Feb – 24 Mar 2022 Malta Today 2,995 46.5 38.7 1.77.8 13.0–– 18 Mar – 23 Mar 2022 Vincent Marmarà 1,800 49.2 37.7 1.111.5 12.0––

Leader trust +Fieldwork datePolling firmSamplesizeAbelaBorgGrech GauciCassolaNeitherLeadDon'tknow14 - 20 May 2026Sagalytics1,50047.833.3 -2.47 14.59.57 - 13 May 2026Sagalytics1,20046.932.7 - - -8.6 14.28.929 Apr - 13 May 2026Malta Today1,40843.536.4 - - - - 7.1 - 30 Apr – 6 May 2026 Sagalytics 1,200 46.232.2 – 4 8 14.0 9.6 23-29 Apr 2026 Sagalytics 1,200 45.6 32 – – – 8 13.610.7 23 Feb – 6 Mar 2026 Malta Today 784 44.1 37.7 – – – 18.2 6.4 – 18–27 Oct 2025 Times of Malta 600 45.6 38.8 – – – 15.6 6.8 – 29 Jan – 13 Feb 2025 MaltaToday 672 46.8 – 24.7–– 28.518.3– 7–21 Mar 2024 MaltaToday 657 45.9 – 21.7–– 32.413.5– 26 Jan – 5 Feb 2024 MaltaToday 647 41.1 – 16.7–– 42.2 1.1– 28 Nov – 6 Dec 2023 MaltaToday 650 37.5 – 21.1–– 41.3 3.8– 1–9 Nov 2023 MaltaToday 637 38.0 – 23.6–– 38.4 0.4– 14 – 26 Oct 2023 Esprimi/Times of Malta 600 45.7 – 36.9–– –8.8– 25 Sep – 4 Oct 2023 MaltaToday 657 39.2 – 20–– 40.9 1.7– 1–8 Sep 2023 Independent 1600 36 – 27.1 7.8– 29.16.9– 10–20 Jul 2023 MaltaToday 749 36 – 26.8 –– 33.35.9 0.7

Prediction Markets

Betting on elections in Malta is illegal, as no license can be issued to for-profit election gambling.Directive 1 of 2021; Gaming Act, Cap. 583, Third Schedule; S.L. 583.05 (Malta). However, significant black market betting behind closed doors is commonplace. The 2026 Maltese general election is the first one for which a legal form of betting can take place, through online prediction markets. Polymarket, a US-based prediction market platform, opened markets on the 2nd of May 2026 about which party will win the general election, the next leader of Malta, the party that will place third and the voter turnout. Predictions on these markets are crowdsourced and constantly changing.

See also Opinion polling for the 2024 European Parliament election in Malta

Notes

References