Opinion polling for the 2024 Slovak presidential election

This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2024 Slovak presidential election. Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading candidate's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. Poll results use the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication; however, if such date is unknown, the date of publication will be given instead.

Opinion polls for the first round Diagram

Since nominations were closed DateAgency Ivan Korčok Peter Pellegrini Štefan Harabin Krisztián Forró Igor Matovič Ján Kubiš Patrik Dubovský Marian Kotleba Milan Náhlik Andrej Danko Róbert Švec23 March 2024First round election42.52% 37.03% 11.74% 2.91% 2.18% 2.04% 0.71% 0.57% 0.14%0.08%0.08%23 March 2024 (Exit Poll)RTVS + Median34.9% 34.3% 15.0% 3.0% 4.5% 4.3% 0.5% 2.8% 0.5% — —20 March 2024Róbert Švec drops out and endorses Štefan Harabin (remains on ballot) 16–19 March 2024 Ipsos 36.3%37.5% 13.1% 4.3% 3.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.9% 0.1% — 0.8%18 March 2024Andrej Danko drops out and endorses Štefan Harabin (remains on ballot) 13–18 March 2024 NMS36.0% 34.2% 16.0% 2.7% 4.0% 2.8% 0.9% 2.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 11–17 March 2024 Sanep 33.1%35.6% 12.0% 2.6% 5.2% 3.6% 1.9% 2.7% 0.5% 2.0% 0.8% 12–16 March 2024 Ipsos 36.6%37.4% 11.3% 2.8% 4.3% 2.4% — 1.8% 1.1% 0.9% — 7–13 March 2024 Median35.7% 34.2% 11.4% 2.7% 3.2% 3.2% 1.8% 2.3% 1.0% 2.3% 2.2% 7–11 March 2024 Focus 33.1%34.4% 12.7% 3.2% 4.7% 4.5% 1.5% 1.8% 0.4% 3.1% 0.6% 26–29 February 2024 Sanep 32.7%38.3% 10.2% 2.8% 5.8% 4.1% 1.3% 1.9% 0.6% 2.0% 0.3% 23–27 February 2024 Median36.0% 32.7% 11.2% 2.7% 4.9% 3.2% 2.0% 2.1% 1.1% 2.2% 1.9% 16–21 February 2024 Ipsos 36.3%40.2% 8.5% 3.0% 4.3% 3.4% 1.3% 1.7% — 1.1% — 14–21 February 2024 Focus 34.0%35.2% 11% 3.1% 5.0% 4.3% 1.3% 2.4% 0.5% 3.2% — 14–18 February 2024NMS 34.6%35.8% 10% 2.2% 6.6% 4.8% 1.1% 2% 1.5% 1.3% — 5–12 February 2024AKO 37.2%39.0% 8.1% 2.4% 4.8% 3.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.6% 2.1% —

Before nominations were closed DateAgency Peter Pellegrini Ivan Korčok Maroš Žilinka Štefan Harabin Peter Weiss Robert Mistrík Marian Kotleba Ján Kubiš Miriam Lexmann Robert Fico Ján Drgonec Andrej Danko Krisztián Forró Ľudovít Ódor Jozef Banáš Milan Uhrík Boris KollárOthers 28 January 2024 Focus38.1% 35.6% — 10.9% — — — 4.9% — — — 3.3% 2.3% — — — — — 22–25 January 2024Ipsos40.7% 38.2% — 8.0% — — 1.6% 2.1% — — — 1.7% 3.3% — — — — 3.3% 11–16 January 2024 AKO40.6% 37.7% — 8.0% — — — 3.1% — — 2.2% — 2.4% — — — — — 16 January 2024 NMS 32.4%33.0% — 11.0% — — — 4.3% — — 2.2% 1.8% 1.9% — — — — 4.1% 2 January 2024 SANEP43.9% 32.3% — 9.8% — — — 9.9% — — — 3.5% 0.6% — — — — — 13–18 December 2023 Ipsos25% 16%—7%———2%2%———2% — — — — — 13 November-17 December 2023 Median SK30.3% 23.3%2.1%——3.2%——2.5%15.2%———4.9%5.5%4.2%3.7%5.1% 7–14 November 2023 AKO40.0% 30.4% — 8.9% — 3.6%— 5.8% 1.9% — — — — — — — —9.5% 10 November 2023 Ipsos19% 14% 8% 8% — 3% — 2% — — — — — — — — — — July 2023 Ipsos 12%11% 8% 7% — 3% — 3% 3%13% — — 4% — — — — — 21–28 June 2023 Focus13% 10% 8% 4% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% — — — — — — — — —

Polls with Čaputová DateAgency Zuzana Čaputová Peter Pellegrini Robert Fico Štefan Harabin Milan Uhrík Maroš Žilinka Marian Kotleba Maroš Šefčovič Mikuláš Dzurinda Iveta Radičová Jozef Banáš Eduard Chmelár Andrej Kiska Boris Kollár Ivan Korčok Miroslav Lajčák Peter Weiss Robert MistríkOthers 26-29 February 2024 Sanep 14% 20% 4.0% — — — — — — — — — — — 9.0% — — — 22.0% 14 March 2023 Ipsos30.0% — — 7.0% — 7.0% 3.0% — — — — — — — 6.0% — 3.0% 2.0% — 1–8 February 2023 Focus18.3% 6.0% 5.4% 2.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% — — 52.7%

Opinion polls for the second round Diagram

Pellegrini vs Korčok DateAgency Peter Pellegrini Ivan Korčok 6 April 2024Second round election53.1 46.9 6 April 2024 (Exit poll) Median SKhttps://twitter.com/ForeignpolicyWB/status/177670560667127423548.951.1 30 March–2 April 2024 Ipsos49.950.1 28 March–2 April 2024 NMS48.3 51.7 28 March–2 April 2024 Focus 50.849.2 28–31 March 2024 Median SK 51.148.9 25–2 April 2024 SCIO45.01 54.99 23 March 2024 1st round of election 16–19 March 2024 Ipsos54.5 45.5 13–18 March 2024 NMS50.9 49.1 11–17 March 2024 Sanep54.9 45.1 12–16 March 2024 Ipsos53.4 46.6 7–13 March 2024 Median52.9 47.1 7–11 March 2024 Focus 56 44 26-29 February 2024 Sanep 54.1 45.9 23–27 February 2024 Median 51.7 48.3 16–21 February 2024 Ipsos 53.8 46.2 14–21 February 2024 Focus 54.9 45.1 14–18 February 2024NMS 52.3 47.7 5–12 February 2024AKO 53.7 46.3 28 January 2024 Focus 54.2 45.8 22–25 January 2024Ipsos 54.7 45.3 16 January 2024 NMS 51.5 48.5 2 January 2024 Sanep 58.1 41.9 15–22 November 2023 Focus 6040 13–18 December 2023 Ipsos 4827 10 November 2023 Ipsos 40 26 6–13 September 2023 Focus 58 42

Hypothetical polling The polls listed below include candidates who decided not to run, withdrawn from election or failed to advance to second round.

Pellegrini vs Harabin DateAgency Peter Pellegrini Štefan Harabin 7–11 March 2024 Focus 72.9 27.1 14–21 February 2024 Focus 76.1 23.9 14–18 February 2024NMS 71.0 29.0 5–12 February 2024AKO 68.6 31.4 15–22 November 2023 Focus84 16 10 November 2023 Ipsos45 13

Korčok vs Harabin DateAgency Ivan Korčok Štefan Harabin 7–11 March 2024 Focus 56.1 43.9 14–21 February 2024 Focus 62.8 37.2 14–18 February 2024NMS 59.8 40.2 5–12 February 2024AKO 63.1 36.9 15–22 November 2023 Focus67 33 6–13 September 2023 Focus63 37

Pellegrini vs Kubiš DateAgency Peter Pellegrini Ján Kubiš 14–21 February 2024 Focus 71.2 28.8 15–22 November 2023 Focus74 26 10 November 2023 Ipsos49 19

Korčok vs Kubiš DateAgency Ivan Korčok Ján Kubiš 5–12 February 2024 AKO 64.3 35.7 15–22 November 2023 Focus62 38 6–13 September 2023 Focus 58 42

Kubiš vs Harabin DateAgency Ján Kubiš Štefan Harabin 15–22 November 2023 Focus67 33 6–13 September 2023 Focus 66 34

Pellegrini vs Matovič DateAgency Peter Pellegrini Igor Matovič 16–21 February 2024 Ipsos 80.6 19.4

Pellegrini vs Danko DateAgency Peter Pellegrini Andrej Danko 16–21 February 2024 Ipsos 83.6 16.4

Pellegrini vs Kotleba DateAgency Peter Pellegrini Marian Kotleba 16–21 February 2024 Ipsos 88.5 11.5

Korčok vs Matovič DateAgency Ivan Korčok Igor Matovič 16–21 February 2024 Ipsos 86.5 13.5

Korčok vs Danko DateAgency Ivan Korčok Andrej Danko 16–21 February 2024 Ipsos 66.9 33.1

Korčok vs Kotleba DateAgency Ivan Korčok Marian Kotleba 16–21 February 2024 Ipsos 79.9 20.1

Pellegrini vs Fico DateAgency Peter Pellegrini Robert Fico 6–13 September 2023 Focus 65 35

Pellegrini vs Mistrík DateAgency Peter Pellegrini Robert Mistrík 10 November 2023 Ipsos42 18 6–13 September 2023 Focus 68 32

Pellegrini vs Žilinka DateAgency Peter Pellegrini Maroš Žilinka 10 November 2023 Ipsos51 18

Korčok vs Fico DateAgency Ivan Korčok Robert Fico 6–13 September 2023 Focus 50 50

Čaputová vs Fico DateAgency Zuzana Čaputová Robert Fico 20 April 2023 Ipsos41 27

Čaputová vs Harabin DateAgency Zuzana Čaputová Štefan Harabin 20 April 2023 Ipsos42 21

Čaputová vs Mistrík DateAgency Zuzana Čaputová Robert Mistrík 20 April 2023 Ipsos36 13

Čaputová vs Pellegrini DateAgency Zuzana Čaputová Peter Pellegrini 20 April 2023 Ipsos37 28

Čaputová vs Weiss DateAgency Zuzana Čaputová Peter Weiss 20 April 2023 Ipsos39 16

Čaputová vs Žilinka DateAgency Zuzana Čaputová Maroš Žilinka 20 April 2023 Ipsos39 21

Other polls

+PollingfirmFieldworkdateSamplesizeQuestionAnswerLeadCertainlyyesMaybeCertainlynoDon't knowFocus25–31May 20221,008Would you vote for Zuzana Čaputováin the presidential election? 15%31% 46%8% 15%

+PollingfirmFieldworkdateSamplesizeQuestionAnswerLeadCertainlyyesProbablyyesProbablynoCertainlynoAKO20–23Nov 20211,000Would you vote for Zuzana Čaputováin the presidential election? 44.9%15.9%8.4%30.8% 14.1%

References