Various polling organizations have conducted opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2025 Canadian federal election on April 28, 2025. The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.
Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election. The constituencies polled are not necessarily representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system the true marginal seats, by definition, will be decisive as to the outcome of the election.
Constituency polls British Columbia
Burnaby Central
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Cardinal Research 37 34 17 2 1 9 ±3 pp 952 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 26 37 17 0 0 19 ±3 pp 1000 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 32 28 16 2 0 22 ±4.6 pp 453 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Burnaby North—Seymour
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Cardinal Research 52 30 6 2 2 8 ±4 pp 737 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 44 32 6 1 0 17 ±3 pp 1000 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 38 27 7 2 1 25 ±3.6 pp 745 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Cloverdale—Langley City
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Cardinal Research 36 46 6 1 1 10 ±3 pp 990 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 36 34 7 1 0 20 ±4 pp 480 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 35 33 6 1 1 23 ±2.7 pp 1,362 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Cardinal Research 41 39 8 1 1 10 ±3 pp 984 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 38 32 8 3 0 18 ±3 pp 808 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 49 25 12 3 1 10 ±4.1 pp 558 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Research Co. 19 36 29 5 11 ±4.9 pp 401 Telephone/Online
Nanaimo—Ladysmith
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Oracle Poll 22 35 14 28 1 ±3.5 pp 800 IVR Oracle Poll 27 34 9 29 2 ±4.0 pp 600 IVR Oracle Poll 6 41 22 28 3 ±4.0 pp 600 IVR
New Westminster—Burnaby—Maillardville
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal NDP Cons. Green Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method 2025 election 35 32 31 1 1 – – 56,034 Cardinal Research 37 22 19 3 0 19 ±4.8 pp 407 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
North Island—Powell River
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Ind. UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Research Co. 13 45 23 2 2 1 15 ±4.9 pp 402 Telephone/Online
North Vancouver—Capilano
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Cardinal Research 56 32 6 3 1 2 ±3 pp 783 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 51 32 4 1 0 11 ±3 pp 1000 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 42 29 9 2 1 17 ±3.5 pp 779 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Saanich—Gulf Islands
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Oracle Poll 27 31 6 35 ±4.0 pp 600 IVR Oracle Poll 22 28 8 41 1 ±4.0 pp 600 IVR
Surrey Centre
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Cardinal Research 40 40 7 1 1 11 ±3 pp 934 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 29 29 13 2 0 29 ±2.4 pp 1,638 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Vancouver Fraserview—South Burnaby
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Cardinal Research 27 29 21 5 3 15 ±5.5 pp 313 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Vancouver Granville
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling MethodCardinal Research 58 29 8 1 1 3 ±4 pp 533 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 48 29 7 1 0 15 ±3 pp 1000 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 51 19 8 2 0 20 ±4.1 pp 577 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Vancouver Quadra
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling MethodCardinal Research 57 25 5 3 0 10 ±3 pp 922 Telephone/IVR/door-to-doorCardinal Research 45 29 5 1 0 20 ±3 pp 1000 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 53 26 6 2 1 12 ±3.6 pp 729 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Manitoba
Portage—Lisgar
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research 14 37 8 3 24 2 12 ±5.2 pp 555 IVR
Winnipeg South Centre
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research 46 28 14 2 2 1 7 ±4.7 pp 430 IVR
Ontario
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling MethodCardinal Research 40 42 1 1 0 16 ±4 pp 562 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 43 41 4 2 1 9 ±4.6 pp 443 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Carleton
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research 38.0 41.7 9.5 2.0 0.8 1.5 5.8 ±4.2 pp 555 IVR
Eglinton—Lawrence
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling MethodCardinal Research 54 32 4 2 2 6 ±3 pp 980 Telephone/IVR/door-to-doorCardinal Research 56 27 3 0 0 13 ±4 pp 678 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 49 31 5 2 2 11 ±3.2 pp 945 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Etobicoke—Lakeshore
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling MethodCardinal Research 62 28 6 2 0 2 ±4 pp 587 Telephone/IVR/door-to-doorCardinal Research 53 26 2 0 0 19 ±5 pp 747 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 49 28 7 3 2 11 ±3.5 pp 845 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Mississauga—Erin Mills
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling MethodCardinal Research 54 34 2 1 1 8 ±4 pp 714 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 44 29 7 4 0 16 ±4.4 pp 506 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Mississauga—Lakeshore
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling MethodCardinal Research 53 36 2 1 2 6 ±3 pp 848 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 54 25 4 7 1 14 ±3.1 pp 1,006 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Mainstreet Research 47.5 38.8 6.0 4.6 3.1 2 1.5 ±5.9 pp 279 IVR Mainstreet Research 43.5 40.8 6.9 5.7 1.2 1.9 N/A ±4.3 pp 521 IVR
Mississauga—Streetsville
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling MethodCardinal Research 52 36 2 2 1 7 ±4 pp 822 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 43 39 6 2 1 18 ±3.6 pp 722 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Oakville East
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling MethodCardinal Research 54 36 3 2 1 4 ±4 pp 646 Telephone/IVR/door-to-doorCardinal Research 48 37 1 1 0 13 ±4 pp 497 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 43 38 5 1 2 11 ±4 pp 616 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Oakville West
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling MethodCardinal Research 57 33 3 2 1 4 ±4 pp 616 Telephone/IVR/door-to-doorCardinal Research 53 29 2 1 0 14 ±4 pp 898 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 48 32 7 2 2 9 ±3.3 pp 898 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Oxford
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research 3636 7 4 5 7 5 ±4.5 pp 473 IVR
Richmond Hill South
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling MethodCardinal Research 46 38 2 1 0 12 ±4 pp 493 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 45 35 3 2 1 14 ±4 pp 583 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Toronto—St. Paul's
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research 35 36 9.9 4 2.5 1.5 11 N/A 257 IVR
York Centre
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling MethodCardinal Research 38 44 5 2 2 9 ±4 pp 759 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door Cardinal Research 35 34 10 3 2 16 ±4.4 pp 505 Telephone/IVR/door-to-door
Quebec
LaSalle—Émard—Verdun
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. BQ NDP Green PPC OthersMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research 24.1 7.3 29.6 23.0 ±4.7 pp 443 IVR Mainstreet Research 23.3 8.1 30.7 19.4 IVR Mainstreet Research 29 14 26 25 3 1 ±5.4 pp 329 IVR
Saskatchewan Regina—Wascana
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Spadina Strategies 43 44 5 1 1 6 ±5.6 pp 303 IVR
Saskatoon—University
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Spadina Strategies 42 40 13 1 1 3 ±4.50 pp 472 IVR Spadina Strategies 35 41 16 1 1 6 ±5.41 pp 386 IVR
Saskatoon South
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Spadina Strategies 39 41 14 1 2 4 ±4.67 pp 438 IVR
Saskatoon West
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Spadina Strategies 26 43 25 1 2 4 ±4.83 pp 410 IVR
See also Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election
Notes Notes In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the latter is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls—because of their opt-in method of recruiting panellists which results in a non-random sample—cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.American Association for Public Opinion Research (undated), Best Practices for Survey and Public Opinion Research , retrieved October 17, 2012 Refers to the total sample size, including undecided and non-voters. "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which respondents are initially recruited by telephone and then asked to complete an online survey. Poll was conducted using the riding boundaries that existed before the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution was implemented.
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