Leadership opinion polling for the 2008 Spanish general election

In the run up to the 2008 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 14 March 2004, to the day the next election was held, on 9 March 2008.

Preferred prime minister The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become prime minister.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None/Notcare Lead Opina/Cadena SER 2 Mar 2008? 49.0 34.0 17.0 15.0 Opina/Cadena SER 29 Feb 2008? 49.0 34.0 17.0 15.0 Noxa/La Vanguardia 26–29 Feb 2008 1,200 57.0 37.0 – 6.0 20.0 Opina/Cadena SER 28 Feb 2008? 48.0 34.0 18.0 14.0 Opina/Cadena SER 26 Feb 2008? 48.0 34.0 18.0 14.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 23–26 Feb 2008? 49.0 27.5 23.5 21.5 Opina/Cadena SER 25 Feb 2008? 48.0 34.0 18.0 14.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 22–25 Feb 2008 1,796 48.8 27.0 24.2 21.8 Opina/Cadena SER 24 Feb 2008? 48.0 34.0 18.0 14.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 21–23 Feb 2008? 47.0 27.4 25.6 19.6 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20–22 Feb 2008 1,812 44.7 27.6 27.7 17.1 Opina/Cadena SER 21 Feb 2008? 47.0 35.0 18.0 12.0 GESOP/El Periódico 11–17 Feb 2008 1,500 53.3 30.8 15.9 22.5 Noxa/La Vanguardia 8–14 Feb 2008 1,800 54.0 36.0 – 10.0 18.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 7 Jan–12 Feb 2008 12,000 46.1 29.0 24.9 17.1 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 28 Jan–8 Feb 2008 4,008 46.0 27.6 20.7 5.7 18.4 CIS 21 Jan–4 Feb 2008 18,221 50.4 26.2 17.5 5.9 24.2 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 21–31 Jan 2008 4,009 46.3 27.1 26.6 19.2 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 14–24 Jan 2008 4,007 47.4 29.0 23.6 18.4 Opina/Cadena SER 23 Jan 2008 1,000 50.7 31.4 10.0 7.9 19.3 Noxa/La Vanguardia 11–16 Jan 2008 1,000 53.0 37.0 – 10.0 16.0 Opina/Cadena SER 9 Jan 2008 1,000 47.4 33.9 8.4 10.3 13.5 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007 9,100 47.7 25.7 26.6 22.0 Noxa/La Vanguardia 28 Nov–12 Dec 2007 2,000 54.0 35.0 – 11.0 19.0 Opina/Cadena SER 4 Dec 2007 1,000 50.1 30.8 9.0 10.1 19.3 Opina/Cadena SER 21 Nov 2007 1,000 49.6 30.7 8.4 11.3 18.9 GESOP/El Periódico 12–17 Nov 2007 1,500 53.1 26.8 20.1 26.3 Opina/Cadena SER 6 Nov 2007 1,000 49.6 30.4 10.2 9.8 19.2 Opina/Cadena SER 23 Oct 2007 1,000 50.3 31.2 7.1 11.4 19.1 Opina/Cadena SER 9 Oct 2007 1,000 51.4 30.6 8.9 9.1 20.8 Noxa/La Vanguardia 28 Sep–3 Oct 2007 1,000 51.0 36.0 – 13.0 15.0 Opina/Cadena SER 26 Sep 2007 1,000 48.1 31.6 10.5 9.8 16.5 Opina/Cadena SER 13 Sep 2007 1,000 49.7 32.0 9.4 8.9 17.7 Opina/Cadena SER 29 Aug 2007 1,000 49.9 30.7 10.0 9.4 19.2 GESOP/El Periódico 13–15 Jun 2007 800 51.5 30.0 18.5 21.5 Opina/El País 21–22 Mar 2007 1,000 47.9 31.8 20.3 16.1 GESOP/El Periódico 11–15 Mar 2007 1,500 48.7 31.2 20.1 17.5 Opina/Cadena SER 7 Mar 2007 1,000 47.6 36.4 7.5 8.5 11.2 Opina/Cadena SER 23 Feb 2007 1,000 50.4 30.8 7.5 11.3 19.6 Opina/Cadena SER 7 Feb 2007? 48.6 32.5 9.6 9.3 16.1 Opina/Cadena SER 17 Jan 2007? 51.0 31.4 7.5 10.1 19.6 Opina/Cadena SER 4 Jan 2007 1,000 48.0 34.2 6.1 11.7 13.8 Opina/Cadena SER 12 Dec 2006? 49.5 29.1 7.4 14.0 20.4 Opina/El País 14 Jul 2006 800 46.9 31.5 21.6 15.4 GESOP/El Periódico 30 Jun–4 Jul 2006 1,000 52.0 28.3 19.7 23.7 GESOP/El Periódico 19–22 Apr 2006 1,002 53.6 31.6 14.8 22.0 Opina/Cadena SER 30 Mar 2006 1,000 48.0 31.4 6.9 13.7 16.6 Opina/Cadena SER 23 Mar 2006? 49.8 30.9 6.6 12.7 18.9 Opina/Cadena SER 15–16 Mar 2006 1,000 46.2 32.9 9.8 11.1 13.3 Opina/Cadena SER 2 Mar 2006 1,000 47.6 33.2 7.6 11.6 14.4 Opina/Cadena SER 16 Feb 2006 1,000 47.1 33.5 8.1 11.3 13.6 Opina/Cadena SER 2 Feb 2006 1,000 46.7 34.5 8.8 10.0 12.2 GESOP/El Periódico 30 Jan–2 Feb 2006 1,000 49.3 31.4 19.3 17.9 Opina/Cadena SER 21 Jan 2006? 47.6 33.2 7.5 11.7 12.2 Opina/Cadena SER 3 Jan 2006 1,000 46.6 32.8 8.2 12.4 13.8 Opina/Cadena SER 7 Dec 2005? 45.8 34.8 7.4 12.0 11.0 Opina/Cadena SER 17 Nov 2005 1,000 45.4 35.1 7.8 11.7 10.3 Opina/Cadena SER 3 Nov 2005 1,000 44.3 34.5 7.6 13.6 9.7 Opina/Cadena SER 14 Oct 2005 1,000 48.8 33.9 9.0 8.3 14.9 GESOP/El Periódico 9–11 Oct 2005 1,000 49.9 32.5 17.6 17.4 Opina/Cadena SER 1 Oct 2005 1,000 47.0 31.3 9.0 12.7 15.7 Opina/Cadena SER 15 Sep 2005 1,000 48.0 31.5 9.4 11.1 16.5 Opina/Cadena SER 1 Sep 2005? 51.7 29.1 6.0 13.2 22.6 Opina/Cadena SER 29 Jun 2005 1,000 51.2 29.1 5.4 14.3 22.1 Opina/Cadena SER 19 May 2005? 51.9 29.9 5.7 12.5 22.0 Opina/Cadena SER 12 May 2005 1,000 51.8 30.8 5.1 12.3 21.0 Opina/Cadena SER 21 Apr 2005 1,000 49.2 31.5 6.6 12.7 17.7 Opina/Cadena SER 9 Mar 2005 1,000 51.1 30.9 5.6 12.4 20.2 Opina/Cadena SER 23 Feb 2005 1,000 48.1 32.1 5.2 14.6 16.0 Opina/Cadena SER 2 Feb 2005 1,000 49.4 30.5 6.0 14.1 18.9

Predicted prime minister The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become prime minister.

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None/Notcare Lead Opina/Cadena SER 2 Mar 2008? 67.0 13.0 – – 54.0 Opina/Cadena SER 1 Mar 2008 3,000 70.0 12.0 – – 58.0 Opina/Cadena SER 29 Feb 2008? 66.0? – –? Infortécnica 1–29 Feb 2008 1,945 66.5 21.0 12.6 – 45.5 Opina/Cadena SER 28 Feb 2008? 64.0 14.0 – – 50.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 26–28 Feb 2008 1,810 60.4 10.8 – – 49.6 Opina/Cadena SER 26 Feb 2008? 61.0 16.0 – – 45.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 23–26 Feb 2008? 55.5 11.1 – – 44.4 Opina/Cadena SER 25 Feb 2008? 61.0 16.0 – – 45.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 22–25 Feb 2008 1,796 53.9? – –? Opina/Cadena SER 24 Feb 2008? 60.0 15.0 – – 45.0 Opina/Cadena SER 23 Feb 2008? 60.0? – –? Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20–22 Feb 2008 1,812 54.4 11.7 1.2 32.7 42.7 Opina/Cadena SER 21 Feb 2008? 60.0 16.0 – – 44.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 18–20 Feb 2008 1,812 51.9 12.8 2.2 33.1 39.1 GESOP/El Periódico 11–17 Feb 2008 1,500 63.3 12.9 – – 50.4 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 7 Jan–12 Feb 2008 12,000 53.9 16.2 – – 37.7 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 28 Jan–8 Feb 2008 4,008 55.5 14.9 – – 40.6 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 21–31 Jan 2008 4,009 53.9 14.8 – – 39.1 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 14–24 Jan 2008 4,007 53.1 16.2 – – 36.9 Opina/Cadena SER 23 Jan 2008 1,000 60.6 19.9 0.7 18.8 40.7 Opina/Cadena SER 9 Jan 2008 1,000 57.5 21.6 0.5 20.4 35.9 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 20 Nov–21 Dec 2007 9,100 52.4 16.2 2.3 29.1 36.2 Opina/Cadena SER 4 Dec 2007 1,000 59.3 18.3 0.5 21.9 41.0 Opina/Cadena SER 21 Nov 2007 1,000 58.7 18.6 0.6 22.1 40.1 GESOP/El Periódico 12–17 Nov 2007 1,500 63.5 14.6 – – 48.9 Opina/Cadena SER 6 Nov 2007 1,000 57.0 21.7 1.5 19.8 35.3 Opina/Cadena SER 23 Oct 2007 1,000 55.0 23.3 1.0 20.7 31.7 Opina/Cadena SER 9 Oct 2007 1,000 55.0 23.5 1.1 20.4 31.5 Noxa/La Vanguardia 28 Sep–3 Oct 2007 1,000 58.0 29.0 – 13.0 29.0 Opina/Cadena SER 26 Sep 2007 1,000 53.2 23.8 1.2 21.8 29.4 Opina/Cadena SER 13 Sep 2007 1,000 55.0 23.2 1.3 20.5 31.8 Opina/Cadena SER 29 Aug 2007 1,000 57.2 22.6 1.2 19.0 34.6 GESOP/El Periódico 13–15 Jun 2007 800 43.8 34.0 – – 9.8 Opina/El País 21–22 Mar 2007 1,000 51.6 27.9 – – 23.7 GESOP/El Periódico 11–15 Mar 2007 1,500 48.7 27.0 – – 21.7 Opina/Cadena SER 7 Mar 2007 1,000 46.0 30.4 2.0 21.6 15.6 Opina/Cadena SER 23 Feb 2007 1,000 53.6 22.0 1.5 22.9 31.6 Opina/Cadena SER 7 Feb 2007? 51.9 24.6 1.7 21.8 27.3 Opina/Cadena SER 17 Jan 2007? 52.6 24.0 0.8 22.6 28.6 Opina/Cadena SER 4 Jan 2007 1,000 47.7 28.3 0.9 23.1 19.4 Opina/Cadena SER 12 Dec 2006? 57.1 19.4 1.2 22.3 37.7 Opina/El País 14 Jul 2006 800 54.0 20.6 – – 33.4 GESOP/El Periódico 30 Jun–4 Jul 2006 1,000 61.6 19.0 – – 42.6 GESOP/El Periódico 19–22 Apr 2006 1,002 62.2 18.5 – – 43.7 Opina/Cadena SER 30 Mar 2006 1,000 55.4 20.8 1.7 22.1 34.6 Opina/Cadena SER 23 Mar 2006? 56.3 18.4 1.2 24.1 37.9 Opina/Cadena SER 15–16 Mar 2006 1,000 52.5 25.5 1.6 20.4 27.0 Opina/Cadena SER 2 Mar 2006 1,000 50.6 28.3 1.3 19.8 22.3 Opina/Cadena SER 16 Feb 2006 1,000 49.1 29.3 1.5 20.1 19.7 Opina/Cadena SER 2 Feb 2006 1,000 46.3 28.4 0.9 24.4 17.9 GESOP/El Periódico 30 Jan–2 Feb 2006 1,000 48.5 31.3 – – 17.2 Opina/Cadena SER 21 Jan 2006? 47.9 30.7 1.3 20.1 17.2 Opina/Cadena SER 3 Jan 2006 1,000 48.4 28.8 1.4 21.4 19.6 Opina/Cadena SER 7 Dec 2005? 44.8 33.5 1.0 20.7 11.3 Opina/Cadena SER 17 Nov 2005 1,000 44.4 34.1 1.2 20.3 10.3 Opina/Cadena SER 3 Nov 2005 1,000 48.3 30.1 1.7 19.9 18.2 Opina/Cadena SER 14 Oct 2005 1,000 47.7 31.1 2.1 19.1 16.6 Opina/Cadena SER 1 Oct 2005 1,000 59.5 19.2 1.6 19.7 40.3 Opina/Cadena SER 15 Sep 2005 1,000 62.7 17.2 1.8 18.3 45.5 Opina/Cadena SER 1 Sep 2005? 61.9 18.3 0.3 19.5 43.6 Opina/Cadena SER 29 Jun 2005 1,000 60.2 17.3 0.7 21.8 42.9 Opina/Cadena SER 19 May 2005? 66.0 15.6 0.3 18.1 50.4 Opina/Cadena SER 12 May 2005 1,000 60.3 18.6 0.6 20.5 41.7 Opina/Cadena SER 21 Apr 2005 1,000 59.5 18.7 1.1 20.7 40.8 Opina/Cadena SER 9 Mar 2005 1,000 61.7 17.9 0.3 20.1 43.8 Opina/Cadena SER 23 Feb 2005 1,000 58.1 21.0 0.8 20.1 37.1 Opina/Cadena SER 2 Feb 2005 1,000 57.4 22.4 1.9 18.3 35.0

Leader ratings The table below lists opinion polling on leader ratings, on a 0–10 scale: 0 would stand for a "terrible" rating, whereas 10 would stand for "excellent".

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size ASEP 11–17 Feb 2008 1,200 5.0 3.6 3.7 CIS 21 Jan–4 Feb 2008 18,221 5.36 3.95 3.54 ASEP 14–20 Jan 2008 1,201 4.9 3.7 3.6 ASEP 10–16 Dec 2007 1,199 4.8 3.4 3.6 ASEP 12–18 Nov 2007 1,203 5.4 3.4 3.9 CIS 22–29 Oct 2007 2,493 4.92 3.75 4.15 ASEP 15–21 Oct 2007 1,202 4.8 3.5 3.7 ASEP 17–23 Sep 2007 1,213 4.7 3.1 3.8 CIS 6–18 Jul 2007 2,483 5.01 3.81 4.24 ASEP 11–16 Jul 2007 1,200 4.8 3.3 3.8 ASEP 11–16 Jun 2007 1,202 4.7 3.5 3.7 ASEP 14–19 May 2007 1,213 4.9 3.6 3.9 CIS 23–29 Apr 2007 2,455 5.12 4.05 4.38 ASEP 16–21 Apr 2007 1,212 5.0 3.4 3.8 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 30 Mar–2 Apr 2007 800 5.44 4.75 4.01 ASEP 12–17 Mar 2007 1,203 4.9 3.3 3.8 ASEP 12–17 Feb 2007 1,208 4.8 3.7 3.7 CIS 22–31 Jan 2007 2,472 4.93 3.69 4.32 ASEP 15–20 Jan 2007 1,201 4.8 3.4 3.7 ASEP 10–17 Dec 2006 1,191 4.7 3.6 3.7 ASEP 12–16 Nov 2006 1,206 5.0 3.5 3.7 CIS 18–25 Oct 2006 2,481 4.76 3.71 3.78 ASEP 15–22 Oct 2006 1,200 4.7 3.6 3.5 ASEP 17–24 Sep 2006 1,202 4.7 3.7 3.8 CIS 10–16 Jul 2006 2,482 4.94 3.77 4.01 ASEP 3–9 Jul 2006 1,213 5.0 3.4 3.7 ASEP 5–11 Jun 2006 1,205 5.1 3.6 4.0 ASEP 8–14 May 2006 1,201 5.4 3.7 4.1 CIS 24–30 Apr 2006 2,481 5.39 3.97 3.91 ASEP 3–9 Apr 2006 1,206 5.1 3.9 3.7 ASEP 6–12 Mar 2006 1,200 5.1 3.7 3.8 ASEP 6–12 Feb 2006 1,209 4.8 3.8 3.7 CIS 23–29 Jan 2006 2,484 5.01 3.91 4.10 ASEP 9–15 Jan 2006 1,207 4.9 3.9 3.9 ASEP 12–18 Dec 2005 1,207 4.8 3.6 3.6 ASEP 14–20 Nov 2005 1,205 5.2 3.8 3.9 CIS 21–28 Oct 2005 2,489 4.86 4.10 3.82 ASEP 17–23 Oct 2005 1,204 5.1 3.8 3.8 ASEP 19–25 Sep 2005 1,216 5.2 3.7 3.6 CIS 13–21 Jul 2005 2,425 5.48 4.36 3.92 ASEP 4–10 Jul 2005 1,216 5.2 3.9 3.7 ASEP 6–12 Jun 2005 1,222 5.2 3.7 3.7 ASEP 9–15 May 2005 1,200 5.5 4.0 3.7 CIS 27 Apr–4 May 2005 2,477 5.32 4.30 3.73 ASEP 11–17 Apr 2005 1,212 5.2 4.0 3.7 ASEP 14–19 Mar 2005 1,203 5.4 3.8 3.7 ASEP 14–19 Feb 2005 1,203 5.6 4.3 3.8 CIS 19–24 Jan 2005 2,495 5.74 4.55 3.85 ASEP 17–22 Jan 2005 1,212 5.6 4.1 3.7 ASEP 15 Dec 2004 1,212 5.3 3.6 3.8 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 1–2 Dec 2004 1,000 5.81 5.12 3.99 ASEP 15–20 Nov 2004 1,206 5.6 3.8 3.9 CIS 21–26 Oct 2004 2,494 5.82 4.39 3.92 ASEP 15 Oct 2004 1,212 5.4 3.8 3.7 ASEP 15 Sep 2004 1,212 5.6 3.9 4.0 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 25 Jul 2004 1,000 6.25 5.23 4.12 CIS 9–16 Jul 2004 2,487 5.92 4.28 3.82 ASEP 15 Jul 2004 1,212 5.7 3.9 3.8 Opina/Cadena SER 17 Jun 2004 1,000 6.18 5.09 3.92 ASEP 15 Jun 2004 1,212 5.7 4.1 4.0 ASEP 15 May 2004 1,212 6.1 4.1 4.1 Opina/Cadena SER 13 May 2004 1,000 6.49 5.20 4.05 CIS 22–27 Apr 2004 2,493 6.61 4.83 4.31 ASEP 15 Apr 2004 1,212 5.6 4.1 3.8 Opina/El País 30 Mar 2004 1,000 5.94 5.13 4.00 ASEP 15–20 Mar 2004 1,212 5.8 4.2 4.0 Opina/Cadena SER 18 Mar 2004? 6.17 5.17 3.85

Approval ratings The tables below list the public approval ratings of the leaders and leading candidates of the main political parties in Spain.

José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero