The 2023 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections took place on 22 October 2023. It determined two seats for Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol out of 21 in the Conference of Regions and Autonomous Provinces.
Background
Since the 2018 Italian general election, many changes started to occur in the Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol political landscape. For the first time since the 1996 Italian general election, the centre-right coalition managed to defeat the centre-left coalition in Trentino in a general election. Shortly thereafter, the Trentino Tyrolean Autonomist Party (PATT) decided to run separately (German: Blockfrei), leading to the first victory of the Maurizio Fugatti-led centre-right coalition in a provincial election in Trentino since the start of the Second Italian Republic with the 1994 Italian general election.
In South Tyrol, the traditionally dominant-party system led by the South Tyrolean People's Party (SVP) lost its majority in the 2013 Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol provincial elections. In the 2018 general election, the SVP and the Democratic Party of the centre-left coalition lost their majority, forcing SVP to form a coalition with Lega Alto Adige Südtirol due to the system (Italian: proporzionale etnica). In the 2019 European Parliament election in Trentino-Alto Adige/Südtirol, the SVP broke their traditional alliance with the PD and joined forces with the centre-right Forza Italia. Similarly in the 2022 general election SVP and PATT decided to run separated from the centre-left and joined forced with some centre-right autonomist parties like Trentino Project.
After Brothers of Italy became largest party in Trentino in the 2022 general election, FdI proposed Francesca Gerosa as the new centre-right candidate. This led to a conflict with PATT, which joined the centre-right coalition in an election for the first time since 2001, which strongly spoke against her.
Trentino In Trentino, the president is elected directly by the people; the candidate who gains the most votes is elected president.
Parties and candidates Political party or allianceConstituent listsPrevious resultCandidateVotes (%)Seats Centre-right coalition Trentino League (LT)27.113 Trentino Tyrolean Autonomist Party–Popular Autonomists (PATT–AP) (incl. PT)17.86 La Civica (LC)4.62 Forza Italia (FI)2.81 Union of the Centre (UDC)2.10 Brothers of Italy (FdI)1.40 Fassa Association (Fassa)1.01 Fugatti for President Democratic Alliance for Trentino Democratic Party (PD) (incl. Futura)13.94 Campobase (CB)4.01 Greens and Left Alliance (AVS)1.40 Action (Az) Italia Viva (IV) Fascegn Autonomy House (CA)Five Star Movement (M5S)7.21 People's WavePeople's Union0.80 WaveMy Valley Alliance for Trentino Us with Divina for President (NcD)Popular Alternative (AP)Youth for Divina Sovereign Popular Democracy (DSP) Alternative
Opinion polling Candidates +DatePolling firmSample sizeFugattiValdugaMariniDegasperiDivinaRizzoDardoOthersLead2–3 October 2023BiDiMedia1,00042.7 35.9 4.2 4.5 9.0 3.2 0.5 6.812–17 September 2023TermometroPolitico 1,000 3536 5 2 13 6 31
Political parties +DatePolling firmSample size Centre-right Centre-left M5S Onda Popolare Alliance for Trentino DSP Alt. Lead Trentino League PATT–PT–AP LC FI UdC FdI Fassa NM Fugatti PD Futura CB AVS Az IV Fascegn UP Onda AP 2–3 October 2023BiDiMedia1,00010.66.75.31.30.813.61.15.616.36.83.72.01.34.80.73.91.02.50.83.53.21.32.70.52.711–14 July 2023Winpoll8501011 431 2021813 6 3227421 2
Results + Candidates Votes % Seats Parties Votes % Seats +/− Maurizio Fugatti129,75851.821 Trentino League30,34713.055–8 Brothers of Italy28,71412.355+4 Fugatti for President24,95310.734New Trentino Tyrolean Autonomist Party19,0118.183–3 La Civica11,2854.852±0 Forza Italia4,7082.020–1 Fassa Association2,0180.871±0 Union of the Centre1,3620.590±0Total122,39852.6420–4 Francesco Valduga93,888 37.501 Democratic Party38,68916.647+3 Campobase19,5538.413+2 Autonomy House9,9684.291New Greens and Left Alliance7,5653.251+1 Fascegn3,6341.560±0 Italia Viva3,3991.460New Action3,3021.420NewTotal86,11037.0312+5 Filippo Degasperi9,533 3.811 Wave5,8642.520NewMy Valley1,2040.520New People's Union1,0880.470±0Total8,1563.510— Marco Rizzo5,6512.260 Sovereign Popular Democracy5,4572.350New Sergio Divina5,5582.220Popular Alternative2,2610.970New Us with Divina for President1,8450.790NewYouth for Divina6420.280NewTotal4,7482.040— Alex Marini4,796 1.920 Five Star Movement4,5231.950–1 Elena Dardo1,2050.480 Alternative1,1210.480New Total candidates250,3891003Total parties232,51310032±0 Source: Autonomous Province of Trento
South Tyrol Parties Name Ideology Leadingcandidate(s) 2018 result Current seats SeatsSVP South Tyrolean People's Party Christian democracyRegionalism Arno Kompatscher 41.9% TK Team K LiberalismRegionalism Paul KöllenspergerMaria Elisabeth Rieder 15.2% Lega League – United for Alto Adige Right-wing populismRegionalism Christian Bianchi 11.4% V–G–V Greens (incl. SI) Eco-socialismRegionalism Brigitte Foppa 6.8% dF Die Freiheitlichen National conservatismSeparatism Sabine Zoderer 6.2% STF South Tyrolean Freedom National conservatismSeparatism Sven Knoll 6.2% PD Democratic Party (incl. PSI) Social democracy Sandro Repetto 3.8% M5S Five Star Movement Populism Diego Nicolini 2.4% FdI Brothers of Italy National conservatism Marco Galateo 1.7% FI Forza Italia (incl. UdC) Liberal conservatism Carlo Vettori 1.0% FSmW For South Tyrol with Widmann Christian democracyRegionalism Thomas Widmann Enzian Enzian COVID-19 scepticismRegionalism Josef Unterholzner Vita Vita COVID-19 scepticismAnti-establishment Renate Holzeisen JWA JWA List SeparatismRight-wing populism Jürgen Wirth Anderlan CD Centre-Right Conservatism Filippo Maturi LC La Civica (incl. Az, IV) Liberalism Emanuela Albieri
Opinion polling
+DatePolling firmSample sizeSVPTKLegaV-G-VdFSTFPDM5SFdIFIEnzianFSmWJWAVitaOthersLead Sep 2023 Insa 1,00035 11 4 12 6 5 3 2 7 2 5 2 2 423 Aug–Sep 2023 Apollis 1,00232 14 5 11 6 6 4 7 2 5 3 2 318 Jul 2023 Insa 1,00037 8 7 12 9 7 3 1 7 4 1 425 Apr 2023 Demox –36.5 12.5 5.5 10.5 6.5 6.5 3.5 2.5 7.5 1.5 424 Feb–Mar 2023 Apollis –40 13 3 14 7 6 4 2 6 1 426 Early 2023 Komma (leak, incomplete) –36.5 5 5 8 1.5 –N/A Aug 2022 Apollis –37 11 5 17 8 4 4 2 6 3 320 Jan 2022 Apollis –42 8 8 14 6 7 4 1 4 1 528 Jul 2021 Apollis 1,00143 9 10 13 4 7 6 2 2 0 43021 Oct 2018 2018 provincial election284,36141.9 15.2 11.4 6.8 6.2 6.0 3.8 2.4 1.7 1.0 4.026.7
Results
References