In the run-up to the 2023 Dutch provincial elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in the Netherlands. In addition to national pollsters such as I&O Research and Ipsos, some local and smaller polling organisations have polled for voting intentions in specific provinces or even cities. The first opinion polls for these elections were conducted in January 2023, with final polls often being released close to the election. The elections were held on 15 March 2023.
National Vote share Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeFvDVVDCDAGLPvdAD66PVVSPCUPvdD50+SGPDENKVoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLead 2023 elections 15 Mar 2023– 3.1% 11.2% 6.6% 9.0% 8.1% 6.3% 5.8% 4.2% 3.7% 4.8% 2.3% 2.5% 0.6% 3.0% 4.4%19.2% 1.0% 4.2% 8.0% Ipsoshttps://www.ipsos.com/nl-nl/slotpeiling-eerste-kamer-2023 2,0022.4%14.2%6.1%9.4%7.1%5.8%10.2%6.9%2.6%5.1%1.9%1.7%1.1%2.2%4.1%16.4%–2.7%2.2% I&O Researchhttps://www.ioresearch.nl/actueel/driestrijd-tussen-bbb-vvd-en-pvda-groenlinks-bij-ps-en-ek-verkiezingen/ 8,1963%11%5%10%8%7%9%5%4%6%1%3%1%4%6%14%1%3%3% Ipsoshttps://www.ipsos.com/nl-nl/peiling-eerste-kamer-vvd-aan-kop-electoraat-groenlinks-pvda-groeit 5,2913.2%18.6%7.1%9.5%6.4%7.5%11.2%6.7%2.9%5.1%1.2%2.3%0.9%1.7%4.0%10.7%0.1%0.9%7.4% Ipsoshttps://www.ipsos.com/nl-nl/peiling-eerste-kamer-geen-meerderheid-voor-coalitiepartijen-groenlinks-en-pvda-met-gezamenlijke 1,9613.2%17.7%6.5%8.2%6.4%8.7%11.5%5.9%3.1%5.3%0.9%2.5%1.2%2.1%4.1%9.5%0.6%2.6%6.2% I&O Researchhttps://www.ioresearch.nl/actueel/provinciale-staten-gezamenlijke-fractie-pvda-gl-kan-grootste-worden-in-senaat/ 2,4893.3%13.3%4.8%10.1%8.1%6.3%10.7%5.2%3.6%6.7%1.0%2.5%1.2%1.9%6.0%11.5%0.4%3.4%1.8% I&O Researchhttps://www.ioresearch.nl/actueel/provinciale-staten-gezamenlijke-fractie-pvda-gl-kan-grootste-worden-in-senaat/ 2,4892.5%14.3%5.3%9.0%6.5%7.5%11.0%6.0%3.4%5.4%0.6%3.5%1.4%2.7%7.0%9.4%0.7%3.6%3.3%2019 elections –14.5%14.0%11.1%10.8%8.5%7.8%6.9%5.9%4.9%4.4%3.6%2.5%1.7% did not contest3.4%0.5%
Drenthe
Seats Due to an increase of population to more than 500,000 in September 2022, the amount of seats in the Provincial Council of Drenthe was set to be expanded from 41 to 43.
Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizePvdAFvDVVDCDAGLPVVCUSPD66SLD50+PvdDSGPVoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLead I&O Researchhttps://www.ioresearch.nl/actueel/driestrijd-tussen-bbb-vvd-en-pvda-groenlinks-bij-ps-en-ek-verkiezingen/ 688514125222101011150010 Ipsoshttps://www.ipsos.com/nl-nl/peilingen-12-provincies-bbb-wint-oosten-en-noorden-vvd-doet-het-goed-westen-en-zuiden/ 30942522724210200190022019 election –6665433321110 did not contest0Tie
Vote share Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizePvdAFvDVVDCDAGLPVVCUSPD66SLD50+PvdDSGPVoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLead I&O Researchhttps://www.ioresearch.nl/actueel/driestrijd-tussen-bbb-vvd-en-pvda-groenlinks-bij-ps-en-ek-verkiezingen/ 68810.4%2.4%8.3%3.7%5.6%10.7%4.5%5.6%4.3%3.2%1.4%3.4%0.4%2.9%2.4%30.2%0.7%0.0%19.5% Ipsoshttps://www.ipsos.com/nl-nl/peilingen-12-provincies-bbb-wint-oosten-en-noorden-vvd-doet-het-goed-westen-en-zuiden/ 3099.2%4.4%11.1%5.6%5.3%13.4%4.8%7.5%5.6%2.0%1.7%4.5%0.9%1.6%2.2%18.7%1.4%0.1%5.3%2019 election –14.1%13.5%13.0%10.5%8.3%7.1%6.8%6.5%5.7%4.1%3.7%3.4%0.8% did not contest2.6%0.6%
Flevoland
Seats Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeFvDVVDPVVGLCDAPvdACUSP50+D66PvdDSGPJA21BBBBVNLKF OthersLead I&O Researchhttps://www.ioresearch.nl/actueel/driestrijd-tussen-bbb-vvd-en-pvda-groenlinks-bij-ps-en-ek-verkiezingen/ 566264523220221370001 Ipsoshttps://www.ipsos.com/nl-nl/peilingen-12-provincies-bbb-wint-oosten-en-noorden-vvd-doet-het-goed-westen-en-zuiden/ 3082765222303311301012019 election –864433322221 did not contest12
Vote share Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeFvDVVDPVVGLCDAPvdACUSP50+D66PvdDSGPJA21BBBBVNLKF OthersLead I&O Researchhttps://www.ioresearch.nl/actueel/driestrijd-tussen-bbb-vvd-en-pvda-groenlinks-bij-ps-en-ek-verkiezingen/ 5664.8%13.5%8.5%10.8%4.5%6.7%5.2%5.3%1.4%5.7%5.1%3.3%6.8%14.1%2.0%1.7%0.5%0.6% Ipsoshttps://www.ipsos.com/nl-nl/peilingen-12-provincies-bbb-wint-oosten-en-noorden-vvd-doet-het-goed-westen-en-zuiden/ 3085.2%15.8%12.9%10.0%4.4%5.3%4.4%6.5%1.4%6.7%7.7%3.7%2.4%6.6%–2.3%4.7%2.9%2019 election –17.8%13.2%9.3%8.5%8.3%8.2%7.0%5.8%4.9%4.9%4.4%3.8% did not contest3.8%5.6%
Friesland
Seats Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeCDAFvDPvdAVVDFNPGLCUPVVSPD66PvdD50+PBF JA21BBBBVNLOthersLead I&O Researchhttps://www.ioresearch.nl/actueel/driestrijd-tussen-bbb-vvd-en-pvda-groenlinks-bij-ps-en-ek-verkiezingen/ 6363264222322201210004 Ipsoshttps://www.ipsos.com/nl-nl/peilingen-12-provincies-bbb-wint-oosten-en-noorden-vvd-doet-het-goed-westen-en-zuiden/ 4595254232522201170022019 election –8664433322110 did not contest02
Vote share Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeCDAFvDPvdAVVDFNPGLCUPVVSPD66PvdD50+PBF JA21BBBBVNLOthersLead I&O Researchhttps://www.ioresearch.nl/actueel/driestrijd-tussen-bbb-vvd-en-pvda-groenlinks-bij-ps-en-ek-verkiezingen/ 6367.5%5.4%11.7%9.2%5.1%5.5%4.3%6.8%5.5%4.7%5.4%0.2%2.7%4.4%20.2%0.8%0.6%8.5% Ipsoshttps://www.ipsos.com/nl-nl/peilingen-12-provincies-bbb-wint-oosten-en-noorden-vvd-doet-het-goed-westen-en-zuiden/ 45910.2%5.3%10.1%9.2%4.9%6.0%4.8%11.0%5.5%4.6%3.9%0.3%3.6%3.7%14.6%1.4%0.9%4.4%2019 election –16.7%13.4%13.4%9.4%7.9%7.7%6.6%5.8%5.2%4.1%3.2%2.5%1.8% did not contest2.3%3.3%
Gelderland
Seats Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeVVDFvDCDAGLPvdAD66CUPVVSPSGPPvdD50+LPG VoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 64960263334333111412006Ipsos 507913643343220213900Tie2019 election –8876544333220 did not contest0Tie
Vote share Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeVVDFvDCDAGLPvdAD66CUPVVSPSGPPvdD50+LPG VoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 6499.5%1.5%3.7%10.4%5.3%5.9%5.9%7.1%5.5%6.0%5.6%1.6%1.8%3.1%6.7%19.9%0.4%0.0%9.5%Ipsos 50715.5%2.7%5.4%9.4%6.6%4.8%6.1%7.7%5.2%3.3%4.1%1.2%3.9%2.7%4.7%15.4%–1.2%0.1%2019 election –14.0%13.4%11.6%10.8%8.3%7.2%6.8%6.1%5.8%5.3%4.5%3.8%1.2% did not contest1.3%0.6%
Groningen
Seats Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeGLPvdAFvDCUSPVVDCDAGBD66PVVPvhNPvdD50+SGPVoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 558551243212212012010005Ipsos 404451254213422000080032019 election –6554443332211 did not contest01
Vote share Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeGLPvdAFvDCUSPVVDCDAGBD66PVVPvhNPvdD50+SGPVoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 55810.9%9.9%3.8%5.7%8.1%7.7%4.4%3.3%4.1%5.0%3.3%5.4%0.5%2.1%4.0%1.2%19.4%1.0%0.0%8.5%Ipsos 4047.7%10.5%3.5%4.0%9.9%9.1%5.8%3.2%6.5%8.7%5.1%4.8%––1.8%1.2%16.9%–1.2%6.4%2019 election –12.5%12.0%10.2%9.4%8.7%8.5%8.1%7.3%6.6%6.0%4.1%4.1%2.2% did not contest0.4%0.5%
Limburg
Seats Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeCDAFvDPVVVVDSPGLPvdAD66LL PvdD50+CUJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 743321054533020037003Ipsos 511429753442100240022019 election –977544332210 did not contest02
Vote share Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeCDAFvDPVVVVDSPGLPvdAD66LL PvdD50+CUJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 7436.0%5.2%18.7%9.8%8.7%10.1%5.8%6.4%1.6%3.9%1.5%0.6%5.4%12.4%1.2%2.4%6.3%Ipsos 5118.6%4.6%16.8%12.8%9.6%6.1%7.7%8.4%4.4%2.9%1.4%1.1%5.3%7.5%0.3%2.5%4.0%2019 election –18.7%14.6%13.5%10.2%8.7%8.4%6.5%5.8%4.1%3.8%3.8%1.1% did not contest0.9%4.1%
North Brabant
Seats Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeVVDFvDCDASPD66GLPVVPvdA50+PvdDLBCU–SGPVoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 650823435641421237001Ipsos 50613156348213003060052019 election –1098555432211 did not contest01
Vote share Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeVVDFvDCDASPD66GLPVVPvdA50+PvdDLBCU–SGPVoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 65012.5%3.7%6.2%6.6%5.9%9.0%9.9%7.7%1.9%6.8%3.2%2.7%3.6%5.5%12.4%1.1%1.3%0.1%Ipsos 50620.9%1.6%8.8%10.0%5.3%7.7%12.5%4.1%2.5%5.3%1.3%1.3%5.3%–9.9%–3.6%8.4%2019 election –16.2%14.5%13.3%9.2%8.8%8.7%7.6%6.4%4.1%3.7%2.5%1.9% did not contest3.1%1.7%
North Holland
Seats Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeFvDGLVVDD66PvdACDAPvdDPVVSPCU50+DENKVoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 796368461632102346002Ipsos 51226116434441111340052019 election –999664333111 did not contest0Tie
Vote share Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeFvDGLVVDD66PvdACDAPvdDPVVSPCU50+DENKVoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 7966.1%10.1%12.5%7.3%9.4%2.6%9.2%5.8%3.9%2.3%1.1%3.3%5.6%7.6%10.5%0.3%2.7%2.0%Ipsos 5123.7%11.0%18.5%10.1%6.4%6.2%6.5%7.2%7.0%1.9%2.0%2.3%1.9%5.7%7.1%0.8%1.8%7.5%2019 election –15.33%15.26%14.5%9.9%9.8%6.8%6.1%5.6%5.0%3.1%2.8%2.4% did not contest3.4%0.07%
Amsterdam Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeGLD66PvdAVVDPvdDFvDDENKSPPVVCDACU50+VoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadO&S 1,24618.3%11.3%17.5%9.5%10.7%1.5%3.5%5.7%2.0%1.0%2.1%–2.9%3.2%4.7%–6.2%0.8%2019 election –23.8%13.6%11.4%10.9%8.7%8.7%6.0%5.0%3.4%2.3%2.1%1.9% did not contest2.2%10.2%
Overijssel
Seats Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeCDAFvDVVDGLPvdACUPVVSPD66SGP50+PvdDVoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 7244254333221022212005Ipsos 5136174224332011191022019 election –966544333211 did not contest03
Vote share Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeCDAFvDVVDGLPvdACUPVVSPD66SGP50+PvdDVoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 7247.9%3.7%9.6%8.3%6.7%5.6%6.7%3.8%5.5%3.5%0.1%4.0%4.3%5.2%23.1%0.9%1.1%13.5%Ipsos 51311.0%2.5%13.8%7.9%5.1%4.6%7.7%5.8%6.4%3.6%0.2%3.0%2.2%3.5%18.0%2.4%2.4%4.2%2019 election –17.1%13.3%12.9%9.5%8.5%8.3%7.2%5.9%5.8%3.9%3.4%3.0% did not contest1.2%3.8%
South Holland
Seats Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeFvDVVDGLD66PvdACDAPVVCU50+PvdDSPSGPDENKVoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 8151755436214221246001Ipsos 50031154337213231034004Motivaction 800+184543821342113500Tie2019 election –111055444322221 did not contest01
Vote share Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeFvDVVDGLD66PvdACDAPVVCU50+PvdDSPSGPDENKVoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 8152.1%11.6%9.4%8.2%8.0%4.8%10.2%3.6%1.9%6.4%4.7%3.8%2.0%4.8%6.8%10.7%0.6%0.4%0.9%Ipsos 5004.7%17.8%8.5%6.6%6.0%4.8%11.5%4.5%2.4%5.6%3.5%5.6%1.9%1.5%6.0%7.6%0.6%0.8%6.3%Motivaction 800+2.5%12.0%7.5%7.8%6.8%5.1%12.7%3.4%1.6%5.4%6.5%3.5%2.3%2.8%5.8%8.9%–5.5%0.7%2019 election –17.4%15.7%9.1%8.5%7.8%7.7%7.0%5.6%4.4%4.4%4.1%3.9%2.7% did not contest1.6%1.7%
Utrecht
Seats Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeGLVVDFvDCDAD66PvdACUPVVPvdDSPSGP50+DENKVoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 7608602633331200255002Ipsos 50379035325321111330022019 election –8865544222111 did not contest0Tie
Vote share Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeGLVVDFvDCDAD66PvdACUPVVPvdDSPSGP50+DENKVoltJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 76014.3%11.0%1.6%5.2%11.1%6.4%5.7%6.8%6.4%2.7%3.9%1.0%0.4%4.3%9.1%8.7%0.4%0.7%3.2%Ipsos 50313.4%16.3%0.4%5.6%9.6%6.6%5.0%9.8%5.7%3.5%3.1%2.0%1.7%3.3%5.6%5.2%1.5%1.6%2.9%2019 election –16.1%15.3%11.6%9.9%9.4%7.3%7.3%4.9%4.7%3.9%3.5%2.9%2.1% did not contest1.1%0.8%
Zeeland
Seats Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeCDASGPFvDVVDPvdAGLPVVPvZCU50+SPD66PvdDJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 6112615531202222600TieIpsos 2597417532102211300Tie2019 election –7554422222211 did not contest02
Vote share Polling firmReleasedateSamplesizeCDASGPFvDVVDPvdAGLPVVPvZCU50+SPD66PvdDJA21BBBBVNLOthersLeadI&O Research 6116.0%13.0%2.1%11.8%12.2%7.4%4.0%5.8%1.6%5.2%5.4%5.3%5.0%12.6%2.00.4%0.4%Ipsos 25915.3%10.0%2.5%15.3%12.2%7.7%5.7%3.3%1.8%4.6%6.3%3.5%3.1%7.6%–1.1%Tie2019 election –16.3%12.1%11.8%10.3%8.4%5.8%6.2%6.2%5.2%5.1%4.8%3.7%3.5% did not contest0.5%4.2%
Notes
References