Opinion polling for the 2023 Spanish general election (hypothetical scenarios)

In the run up to the 2023 Spanish general election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Spain for a number of hypothetical scenarios during the term of the 14th Cortes Generales. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 10 November 2019, to the present day.

Sumar (Yolanda Díaz's platform) Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PNV PRC Lead SocioMétrica/El Español 30 Jan–3 Feb 2023 900? 20.9 31.0 15.2 18.2 1.5 2.7 1.9 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.6 10.1 Metroscopia 12–15 Dec 2022? 65 24.8 31.1 16.8 2.4 9.4 0.8 – 1.8 – – – – – – – – – 6.3 40dB/Prisa 23–26 Nov 2022 2,000? 25.0 27.3 14.1 9.1 5.9 2.4 2.5? 1.9????????? 2.3? 24.8 27.6 14.8 18.7 2.3? ????????? 2.8 EM-Analytics/Electomanía 12–19 Nov 2021 1,564? 18.3 25.7 18.2 26.5 2.8 2.4 1.7 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.8? 21.2 25.7 18.2 19.1 2.9 3.0 1.9 2.1 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 4.5

Macarena Olona's party Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PNV PRC MO Lead EM-Analytics/Electomanía 20 Sep–2 Oct 2022 1,987? 23.4 27.9 12.6 11.5 1.6 2.6 2.0 2.2 1.7 1.4 0.9 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 11.1 3.5

Ayuso and Álvarez de Toledo Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PNV PRC TE A&C Lead EM-Analytics/Electomanía 3–10 Dec 2021 2,177 68 24.4 16.1 15.6 10.7 18.4 3.5 2.5 2.4 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 6.0 68 24.8 20.6 23.0 10.6 3.4 3.4 2.6 2.3 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 1.8 72 24.7 13.9 11.7 10.8 2.6 3.2 3.3 2.4 0.9 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.1 21.5 3.2

Empty Spain Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PNV PRC Lead SocioMétrica/El Español 5–8 Nov 2021 1,200? 25.5 24.9 16.8 12.2 3.9 3.2 3.3 1.8 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.6 EM-Analytics/Electomanía 22–29 Oct 2021 1,228? 24.8 27.2 17.1 10.6 2.8 3.3 2.9 2.3 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.3 1.8 2.4

PP candidates Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PNV PRC TE Lead EM-Analytics/Electomanía 4–6 May 2021 1,825? 26.4 28.5 15.0 11.1 3.0 3.4 2.1 2.4 1.6 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 2.1

PP+Cs Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout PNV PRC TE Lead SocioMétrica/El Español 28 Dec–5 Jan 2021 1,206? 26.7 29.6 16.7 10.5 3.4 2.5 2.7 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 2.9 ElectoPanel/Electomanía 3–5 Feb 2020 1,490? 28.3 26.8 15.7 12.8 3.6 1.7 2.7 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.5

Notes

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