Leadership opinion polling for the 2011 Spanish general election

In the run up to the 2011 Spanish general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge the opinions that voters hold towards political leaders. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 9 March 2008, to the day the next election was held, on 20 November 2011.

Preferred prime minister The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become prime minister.

Rubalcaba vs. Rajoy Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None/Notcare Lead GESOP/El Periódico 7–12 Nov 2011 2,070 33.7 44.7 21.6 11.0 Opinión 2000/Cadena SER 9–10 Nov 2011 1,000 30.8 41.1 17.1 11.0 10.3 Noxa/La Vanguardia 7–10 Nov 2011 1,275 31.0 44.0 22.0 3.0 13.0 TNS Demoscopia/CEMOP 2–7 Nov 2011 1,505 42.2 44.5 10.2 3.2 2.3 CIS 6–23 Oct 2011 17,236 36.9 38.8 18.7 5.5 1.9 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 17–20 Oct 2011 1,800 34.3 36.7 22.9 6.0 2.4 Metroscopia/El País 11–13 Oct 2011 1,500 36.0 43.0 – 21.0 7.0 Noxa/La Vanguardia 28 Sep–4 Oct 2011 1,272 37.0 44.0 17.0 2.0 7.0 GESOP/El Periódico 19–22 Sep 2011 1,000 33.7 42.5 23.8 8.8 Opinión 2000/Cadena SER 7–8 Sep 2011 1,000 34.1 39.1 13.6 13.2 5.0 Metroscopia/El País 7–8 Sep 2011 1,002 40.0 35.0 – 25.0 5.0 Metroscopia/El País 27–28 Jul 2011 1,203 45.0 37.0 – 18.0 8.0 CIS 4–11 Jul 2011 2,475 39.9 31.9 19.4 8.8 8.0 Metroscopia/El País 29–30 Jun 2011 1,001 44.0 36.0 – 20.0 8.0 Opinión 2000/Cadena SER 20–21 Jun 2011 1,000 35.1 39.3 12.9 12.7 4.2 Metroscopia/El País 1–2 Jun 2011 1,001 42.0 36.0 – 22.0 6.0 GESOP/El Periódico 30 May–1 Jun 2011 1,000 40.8 35.4 23.8 5.4 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 11–19 Apr 2011 2,005 47.3 31.0 21.7 16.3 Opinión 2000/Cadena SER 6–7 Apr 2011 1,000 44.7 39.1 12.8 3.4 5.6 InvyMark/laSexta 2 Apr 2011? 57.1 31.6 – 11.3 25.5 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 21–24 Mar 2011 1,201 44.3 34.1 21.6 10.2

Chacón vs. Rajoy Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None/Notcare Lead Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 11–19 Apr 2011 2,005 46.9 30.5 22.6 16.4 Opinión 2000/Cadena SER 6–7 Apr 2011 1,000 45.8 39.8 10.8 3.7 6.0 InvyMark/laSexta 2 Apr 2011? 56.9 31.9 – 11.2 25.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 21–24 Mar 2011 1,201 39.3 33.7 27.0 5.6

Zapatero vs. Rajoy Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None/Notcare Lead Opina/Cadena SER 1–2 Feb 2011 1,000 32.7 40.4 17.2 9.7 7.7 Opina/Cadena SER 12–13 Jan 2011 1,000 33.2 36.9 20.6 10.3 3.7 GESOP/El Periódico 15–17 Dec 2010 1,000 28.2 39.5 32.3 11.3 Opina/Cadena SER 28–29 Oct 2010 1,000 37.1 39.1 15.0 8.8 2.0 Opina/Cadena SER 7–8 Oct 2010 1,000 31.1 38.5 18.8 11.6 7.4 Opina/Cadena SER 30–31 Aug 2010 1,000 33.4 36.8 19.3 10.6 3.4 Metroscopia/El País 2 Jun 2010 506 37.0 38.0 23.0 3.0 1.0 GESOP/El Periódico 17–21 May 2010 1,500 31.3 34.3 34.4 3.0 GESOP/El Periódico 14–17 Dec 2009 1,500 38.1 32.4 29.5 5.7 GESOP/El Periódico 11–15 May 2009 1,500 45.3 34.3 20.4 11.0 GESOP/El Periódico 12–13 Feb 2009 800 48.6 26.3 25.1 22.3 GESOP/El Periódico 20–24 Oct 2008 1,500 46.5 29.5 24.0 17.0 Opina/Cadena SER 26 Jun 2008 1,000 40.8 33.9 12.6 12.7 6.9 Opina/Cadena SER 12 Jun 2008 1,000 44.3 31.0 17.0 7.7 13.3 GESOP/El Periódico 26–30 May 2008 1,500 52.6 24.7 22.7 27.9

Predicted prime minister The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become prime minister.

Rubalcaba vs. Rajoy Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None/Notcare Lead Opinión 2000/Cadena SER 9–10 Nov 2011 1,000 5.1 86.1 0.9 7.9 81.0 Obradoiro de Socioloxía/Público 17–20 Oct 2011 1,800 4.7 85.0 0.4 9.8 80.3 Celeste-Tel/Terra 3–8 Oct 2011 1,357 12.7 75.2 12.1 62.5 Opinión 2000/Cadena SER 7–8 Sep 2011 1,000 8.4 79.0 0.6 12.0 70.6 Opinión 2000/Cadena SER 20–21 Jun 2011 1,000 11.6 76.1 1.6 10.7 64.5 Metroscopia/El País 7 Jan 2010 504 36.0 39.0 5.0 20.0 3.0

Chacón vs. Rajoy Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None/Notcare Lead Metroscopia/El País 7 Jan 2010 504 34.0 48.0 2.0 16.0 12.0

Zapatero vs. Rajoy Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None/Notcare Lead Opina/Cadena SER 1–2 Feb 2011 1,000 15.2 66.6 4.4 13.8 51.4 Opina/Cadena SER 12–13 Jan 2011 1,000 17.5 66.1 3.8 12.6 48.6 Opina/Cadena SER 28–29 Oct 2010 1,000 25.5 59.9 1.7 12.9 34.4 Opina/Cadena SER 7–8 Oct 2010 1,000 18.6 65.6 2.0 13.8 47.0 Opina/Cadena SER 30–31 Aug 2010 1,000 23.4 57.9 3.1 15.6 34.5 Metroscopia/El País 28–29 Oct 2009 501 38.0 44.0 18.0 6.0 Opina/Cadena SER 26 Jun 2008 1,000 51.5 29.4 2.0 17.1 22.1 Opina/Cadena SER 12 Jun 2008 1,000 61.6 19.7 1.9 16.8 41.9

Rubalcaba vs. Gallardón Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None/Notcare Lead Metroscopia/El País 3–4 Feb 2010 500 24.0 54.0 4.0 18.0 30.0

Zapatero vs. Gallardón Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None/Notcare Lead Metroscopia/El País 28–29 Oct 2009 501 28.0 56.0 16.0 28.0

Zapatero vs. Aguirre Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Other/None/Notcare Lead Metroscopia/El País 28–29 Oct 2009 501 53.0 33.0 14.0 20.0

Leader ratings The table below lists opinion polling on leader ratings, on a 0–10 scale: 0 would stand for a "terrible" rating, whereas 10 would stand for "excellent".