The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary was held on January 23, 2024, as part of the Republican Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election.
22 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention were allocated on a proportional basis, as long as the candidate received at least 10% of the statewide vote. Any leftover delegates were to be added to the candidate that receives the most votes in the primary. The New Hampshire primary was the second contest in the nation, held after the Iowa caucuses. The primary was won by former President Donald Trump, defeating former U.N. Ambassador and South Carolina governor Nikki Haley.
After most polls closed at 8:00 PM EST, media outlets began projecting a win for Trump. Trump's eleven-point lead wound up equating to an edge just under 36,000 votes. Despite calls to drop out, Haley declined to withdraw from the race after the primary. Haley swept the resort town of Dixville Notch which was the first place in the nation to vote in the 2024 primaries, winning all six votes. Trump became the first non-incumbent Republican candidate in American history to win both the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary in the same election cycle. Trump also broke the record of number of votes received for any candidate in New Hampshire primary history.
Background Donald Trump won the 2016 New Hampshire Republican primary with 35.2% of the vote, with closest opponent John Kasich coming in second with 15.7% of the vote. Exit polling by Edison Research concluded that Trump's 2016 primary victory could be credited to support among white voters without a college degree, as well as support from moderate voters.
Procedure Delegates are proportionally allocated to candidates who received at least 10% of the statewide vote.
Candidates The following candidates officially filed by the end of the filing deadline on October 27, 2023:
Scott Alan Ayers Ryan L. Binkley Robert S Carney Jr. John Anthony Castro Nikki Haley Peter Jedick Donald Kjornes Mary Maxwell Glenn J. McPeters Scott Peterson Merrell Darius L. Mitchell Sam Sloan David Stuckenberg Rachel Swift Donald Trump Perry Johnson (withdrew October 20) Mike Pence (withdrew October 28) Tim Scott (withdrew November 12) Hirsh V. Singh (withdrew October 31) Doug Burgum (withdrew December 4) Chris Christie (withdrew January 10) Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrew January 15) Asa Hutchinson (withdrew January 16) Ron DeSantis (withdrew January 21)
Campaign
In January 2023, Trump selected outgoing New Hampshire Republican Party chair Stephen Stepanek to oversee his campaign's operations in the state.
Nikki Haley's campaign purchased $10 million worth of ads to run in New Hampshire and Iowa beginning in December 2023.
New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu, who considered a presidential candidacy, established a "Live Free or Die committee", though he announced on June 5 that he would not be running for the Republican nomination.
Endorsements
Withdrawn candidates
Polling
Aggregate polls Source of pollaggregationDatesadministeredDatesupdated NikkiHaley DonaldTrump Other/Undecided Margin270 to Win270 to Win January 22–23, 2024 January 23, 2024 35.7%56.5% 7.8%Trump +20.8FiveThirtyEight Through January 22, 2024 January 23, 2024 36.3%53.9% 9.8%Trump +17.6RealClearPolling January 16–22, 2024 January 23, 2024 36.5%55.8% 7.7%Trump +19.3Average 36.2%55.4% 8.4%Trump +19.2 Poll sourceDate(s)administeredSamplesizeMarginof errorDougBurgumChrisChristieRonDeSantisNikkiHaleyAsaHutchinsonMikePenceVivekRamaswamyTimScottDonaldTrumpOtherUndecidedSuffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTSSuffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS Jan 21–22, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%–––38%––––60%1%1%Insider AdvantageInsider AdvantageJanuary 21, 2024850 (LV)±4.32%–––35%––––62%–3%Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTSSuffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS Jan 20–21, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%–––38%––––57%2%2%Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTSSuffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS Jan 19–20, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%––6%36%––––55%0.6%2.4%American Research GroupAmerican Research GroupJan 18–20, 2024600 (LV)±4.0%––6%44%––––46% – –Emerson College/WHDHEmerson College/WHDHJan 18–20, 2024673 (RV)±3.7%––8%35%50%7%CNN/University of New HampshireJanuary 16–19, 20241,242 (LV)± 2.8%––6%39%––––50%3%2%Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTSSuffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS Jan 17–18, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%––6%35%––––52%–4%Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTSSuffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS Jan 16–17, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%––6%36%––––50%1%4%Saint Anselm CollegeSaint Anselm College January 16, 20241,398 (LV)± 2.6%––6%38%––––52%–4%Suffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTSSuffolk University/Boston Globe/WBTS Jan 15–16, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%––5%34%––––50%–11%American Research GroupJan 12–15, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%––4%40%1%–4%–40%2%9%Saint Anselm CollegeSaint Anselm CollegeJan 8–9, 20241,194 (LV)± 2.8%–9%6%31%––6%–45%–3%University of New Hampshire Survey/CNNJan 4–8, 2024919 (LV)± 3.2%–12%5%32%0%–8%–39%0%5%American Research GroupDecember 27, 2023 – January 4, 2024600 (LV)± 4.0%–10%5%33%1%–4%–37%1%9%American Research GroupDec 14–20, 2023600 (LV)± 4.0%–13%6%29%1%–5%–33%1%12%Saint Anselm CollegeSaint Anselm CollegeDec 18–19, 20231,072 (LV)± 3.0%–12%6%30%0%–5%–44%–3%University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGovDec 7–18, 2023450 (LV)± 5.4%–6%10%22%1%–4%–52%0%5%CBS News/YouGovCBS News/YouGovDec 8–15, 2023855 (LV)± 4.1%–10%11%29%1%–5%–44%––Trafalgar GroupTrafalgar GroupDec 9–11, 20231,098 (LV)± 2.9%–14%11%18%0%–10%–45%–1%Americans for ProsperityAmericans for ProsperityNov 19–21, 2023800 (LV)–––9%25%––––40%26%–University of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNNUniversity of New Hampshire Survey Center/CNNNov 10–14, 2023994 (LV)± 3.1%2%14%9%20%0%–8%–42%3%2%Washington Post/Monmouth UniversityWashington Post/Monmouth UniversityNov 9–14, 2023606 (LV)± 4.5%2%11%7%18%1%–8%3%46%0%4%Emerson College/WHDHEmerson College/WHDHNov 10–13, 2023465 (RV)± 3.3%1.5%8.8%7.2%17.6%0.3%–4.6%2.2%48.5%–9.3%USA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk UniversityUSA TODAY/Boston Globe/Suffolk UniversitySep 28 – October 2, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%1%6%10%19%–1%4%4%49%––CBS News/YouGovCBS News/YouGovSep 15–24, 2023502 (LV)± 5.4%2%8%13%11%1%2%8%5%50%0%–Saint Anselm CollegeSaint Anselm CollegeSep 19–20, 2023931 (LV)± 3.2%1%10%11%15%1%1%6%3%45%0%6%Insider AdvantageInsider AdvantageSeptember 20, 2023850 (LV)± 3.36%4%10%8%14%1%1%5%5%42%1%9%University of New HampshireUniversity of New HampshireSep 14–18, 20231,006 (LV)± 3.4%1%11%10%12%0%2%13%6%39%1%6%NMB ResearchNMB ResearchAug 25–31, 2023800 (LV)–1%8%10%10%1%4%8%5%47%<3%4%Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesFabrizio, Lee & AssociatesAug 25–28, 2023500 (LV)–2%5%11%9%<1%1%9%5%48%<3%9%Echelon InsightsAug 15–17, 2023800 (LV)± 4.0%2%14%9%3%1%3%11%7%34%3%12%Emerson CollegeEmerson CollegeAug 9–11, 2023498 (RV)± 4.9%4%9%8%4%–1%3%6%49%3%13%co/efficientco/efficientAug 5–7, 2023862 (LV)± 3.3%4%9%9%7%1%3%5%5%43%3%13%Manhattan InstituteManhattan InstituteJuly 2023603 (LV)–3%11%13%7%1%4%8%7%34%3%8%National ResearchNational ResearchJul 25–26, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%5%8%11%3%1%2%6%8%41%–15%University of New HampshireUniversity of New HampshireJul 13–17, 2023898 (LV)± 3.3%6%6%23%5%0%1%5%8%37%1%8%National ResearchNational ResearchJul 10–12, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%3%7%15%5%1%1%4%6%39% –17%American PulseAmerican PulseJul 5–11, 2023895± 3.2%3%10%11%3%–5%5%7%48% –8%Saint Anselm CollegeSaint Anselm CollegeJun 21–23, 2023494 (LV)± 4.4%2%6%19%5%2%2%2%4%47%0%10%New Hampshire Journal/co-efficientNew Hampshire Journal/co-efficient Jun 14–16, 2023 904 (LV) ± 3.3%–9%13%3%–5%3%3%47%5%10%––23%–––––49%–28%National ResearchNational ResearchJun 12–14, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%–7%12%5%2%3%3%7%44%18%–National ResearchNational ResearchMay 15–17, 2023500 (LV)± 4.4%––18%3%1%1%6%1%39%32%–University of New HampshireUniversity of New HampshireApr 13–17, 2023818 (LV)± 3.4%–1%22%3%0%3%3%2%42%20%4%J.L PartnersJ.L PartnersApr 2–11, 2023623 (LV)± 3.9%–2%18%4%–2%1%1%51%19%6%––33%–––––53%–13%Saint Anselm CollegeSaint Anselm CollegeMar 28–30, 20231,320 (RV)± 4.0%–1%29%4%–1%3%1%42%19%–Emerson CollegeEmerson CollegeMar 3–5, 2023384 (RV)± 5.0%––17%6%–4%–1%58%14%–co/efficientco/efficient Jan 25–26, 2023 506 (LV) ± 4.35% – – – – – – – – 43% 42% 15% – – 26% 4% – 3% – – 37% 13% 18%University of New HampshireUniversity of New HampshireJan 19–23, 2023349 (LV)± 5.2%––42%8%–1%–0%30%16%3%Neighborhood Research and MediaNeighborhood Research and MediaDec 5–13, 2022434 (LV)± 4.7%––33%––3%––32%13%19%WPA IntelligenceWPA IntelligenceNov 11–13, 2022401 (LV)± 4.9%––52%–––––37%–11% November 8, 2022 2022 midterm electionsSaint Anselm CollegeSaint Anselm CollegeAug 9–11, 2022820 (RV)± 3.4%––29%3%–3%–1%50%4%8%WPA IntelligenceAug 7–10, 2022401 (LV)± 4.9%––45%–––––45%–10%Neighborhood Research and MediaNeighborhood Research and MediaJul 5–8, 2022475 (RV)± 4.5%––22%1%–1%––41%3%32%University of New HampshireUniversity of New HampshireJun 16–20, 2022318 (LV)± 5.5%––39%6%–9%–0%37%6%3%University of New HampshireUniversity of New HampshireOct 14–18, 2021441 (LV)± 4.7%––18%6%–4%––43%14%10%University of New HampshireUniversity of New HampshireJul 15–19, 2021770 (LV)± 3.5%––19%6%–5%––43%13%10%Saint Anselm CollegeMay 7–10, 2021635 (RV)± 3.9%––20%7%–4%–0%52%7%10%Victory InsightsMar 5–11, 2021400 (RV)–––5%3%–6%––52%14%–––21%7%–18%–––29%– January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe BidenPraecones AnalyticaPraecones AnalyticaNov 30 – December 2, 2020624 (RV)± 4.0%–––7%–6%–2%57%19%10%–––12%–25%–3%–46%14%
Results
County/MunicipalityDonald TrumpNikki HaleyOthersMarginTotal