In the run up to the next Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous parliamentary election, held on 30 September 2023.

Electoral polling Graphical summary

Voting intention estimates Voting intention estimates made by polling firms that are members of the European Society for Opinion and Marketing Research (ESOMAR) and the Slovak Association of Research Agencies (SAVA). They are conducted in the form of telephone and personal interviews with selected persons, who form a representative sample reflecting the demographic parameters of the population of Slovakia. Respondents are asked: "Imagine that a parliamentary election would be held in Slovakia next Saturday. Would you vote in them and if so, which party would you vote for?" Respondents are read a list of currently active political parties.

Results are published that include only the answers of respondents who would vote for a particular party. The table shows political parties that have exceeded the electoral threshold in the last parliamentary election or oscillate above 4% in the polls. The electoral threshold is 5% for a single party, 7% for two- or three-party alliances, and 10% for party alliances of four or more parties. 76 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National Council.

Polling firmDateSamplesizeSmerPSHlasOĽaNO and FriendsKDHSaSSNSRepublikaHungarianAllianceDemocratsWe AreFamilyĽSNSOthersLeadSlovakiaZĽKÚIpsos18–22 Sep 20261,03016.919.06.610.7––7.08.42.212.83.95.52.0–5.12.1AKO10–21 Sep 20262,00017.118.98.68.1––6.98.14.89.73.34.43.2–6.91.8NMS2–7 Sep 20261,00416.221.66.49.01.60.55.86.81.915.63.14.83.01.02.65.4Focus1–7 Sep 20261,01217.317.38.48.91.60.46.47.54.012.43.85.03.2–3.8TieIpsos18–23 Aug 20261,06117.918.18.28.41.8–7.38.23.010.93.44.72.8–5.20.2AKO6–14 Aug 20261,00017.721.08.87.7–0.37.88.84.79.82.94.32.70.23.53.3NMS5–10 Aug 20261,00116.519.25.98.92.20.35.97.42.913.34.04.63.70.84.22.7AKO8–14 Jul 20261,00017.320.88.58.0––7.78.84.89.72.85.82.20.23.43.5NMS1–7 Jul 20261,00215.418.87.79.11.90.65.88.02.712.84.25.13.50.93.03.4Focus22–29 Jun 20261,02717.718.18.09.0––6.77.04.211.63.94.82.8–2.70.4Ipsos17–23 Jun 20261,03519.020.26.87.3––6.58.83.410.04.75.12.8–2.31.2AKO10–18 Jun 20261,00018.620.08.67.3––8.08.44.99.53.26.22.5–2.81.4NMS3–8 Jun 20261,00216.419.77.28.32.90.34.87.42.412.94.55.53.11.03.23.3AKO14–21 May 20261,00018.919.78.98.2––7.98.64.89.14.05.12.2–2.60.8Ipsos15–20 May 20261,00919.119.78.37.82.5–5.98.22.711.23.24.73.1––0.6NMS6–10 May 20261,00217.019.87.18.22.30.45.57.52.711.83.95.93.51.12.82.8Focus5–11 May 20261,01718.118.38.49.40.90.47.57.24.59.73.85.23.1–2.00.2Ipsos17–22 Apr 20261,04617.419.26.89.41.3–7.18.33.211.14.06.02.8–1.41.8AKO8–17 Apr 20261,00017.820.88.97.7––7.68.24.98.04.76.02.80.42.23.0NMS8–13 Apr 20261,00117.320.27.07.12.20.65.37.32.813.64.25.83.80.81.82.9Focus20–27 Mar 20261,03817.119.18.28.5––6.47.14.410.63.95.43.6––2.0Ipsos16–19 Mar 20261,00820.020.68.27.9––6.37.22.411.34.36.02.2––0.6AKO10–18 Mar 20261,00017.120.18.78.60.30.27.27.74.88.64.15.83.9–2.83.0NMS4–9 Mar 20261,00516.721.47.67.11.60.94.87.62.313.54.25.13.61.12.94.7Ipsos16–20 Feb 20261,03718.418.87.48.8––6.08.42.811.74.76.22.5–1.30.4AKO10–19 Feb 20261,00016.420.68.89.3––7.47.94.88.74.66.22.9–2.44.2NMS4–8 Feb 20261,00317.619.16.27.52.30.84.97.43.013.44.05.73.51.72.91.5Focus3–9 Feb 20261,01417.719.38.19.7––6.97.64.19.94.75.62.3–1.91.6Ipsos15–20 Jan 20261,03417.620.57.38.3––6.88.42.412.33.55.22.4––2.9AKO13–20 Jan 20261,00016.923.29.28.0––7.07.54.77.24.36.32.30.23.26.3NMS8–11 Jan 20261,00317.820.86.57.22.00.66.46.02.812.94.65.53.21.61.73.0AKO9–16 Dec 20251,00017.023.69.68.9––6.67.44.77.03.95.42.20.23.56.6Focus1–9 Dec 20251,05017.421.78.88.4––7.26.74.39.34.05.52.3–2.24.3NMS28 Nov–2 Dec 20251,00618.322.66.57.61.50.65.36.32.211.93.75.93.91.11.94.3Ipsos24–28 Nov 20251,01817.823.67.89.51.0–5.56.72.210.73.75.12.8–3.75.8Focus11–18 Nov 20251,01516.522.19.18.9––6.36.54.210.04.65.22.1–2.05.6AKO11–18 Nov 20251,00017.123.310.48.2––6.57.54.66.93.45.33.0–2.56.2NMS5–9 Nov 20251,00216.323.17.58.31.60.65.46.32.412.14.05.33.61.61.96.8Ipsos15–20 Oct 20251,02018.521.69.17.8––6.57.33.610.03.45.43.4––3.1Focus13–21 Oct 20251,02817.023.19.48.3––6.76.34.39.84.05.23.8––6.1AKO7–18 Oct 20251,00017.922.810.87.5––6.87.14.58.63.85.13.5–1.64.9NMS1–5 Oct 20251,00217.924.88.36.41.41.45.45.92.011.84.45.23.21.20.36.9AKO8–22 Sep 20251,00017.423.111.08.70.2–7.27.44.68.22.94.93.5–0.95.7Ipsos17–21 Sep 20251,05318.422.88.37.3––6.87.73.510.93.54.43.6––4.4Focus10–17 Sep 20251,08618.222.09.78.5––6.16.14.39.74.35.13.0––3.8NMS3–7 Sep 20251,00220.122.19.57.11.70.45.76.12.010.24.15.53.20.80.22.0Ipsos15–19 Aug 20251,07220.022.59.87.50.9–6.07.12.710.33.65.22.01.00.72.5Focus6–19 Aug 20253,10018.721.210.18.2––6.76.34.49.94.64.8–––2.5AKO5–11 Aug 20251,00018.222.111.37.6–0.57.17.94.57.44.04.83.6–1.03.9NMS6–10 Aug 20251,00017.423.99.28.21.80.66.06.22.710.43.74.53.41.30.26.5AKO8–15 Jul 20251,00019.422.112.48.3––6.67.54.28.03.54.12.60.40.92.7Focus7–13 Jul 20251,03219.620.711.77.5––6.36.83.89.84.04.62.5––1.1NMS2–7 Jul 20251,00918.120.99.77.12.80.46.26.72.910.33.95.23.81.50.22.8AKO11–19 Jun 20251,00019.322.512.18.0––6.97.34.18.13.44.82.7–0.83.2Ipsos16–19 Jun 20251,00419.721.710.37.3––6.36.12.59.94.34.53.1––2.0Focus2–9 Jun 20251,03418.820.210.58.5––7.56.13.79.74.84.83.4––1.4NMS4–8 Jun 20251,00319.823.09.07.13.00.66.45.72.59.43.24.93.11.50.13.2AKO19–26 May 20251,00019.021.512.18.8––7.87.24.27.33.54.53.0–1.12.5Focus12–19 May 20251,00019.120.910.67.8––7.36.83.97.94.64.63.2––1.8Ipsos12–16 May 20251,01319.621.98.47.31.3–7.56.63.09.34.84.73.61.10.92.3NMS30 Apr–4 May 20251,00720.622.88.97.71.50.86.46.12.38.84.04.83.51.30.22.2AKO10–17 Apr 20251,00020.522.512.08.70.10.27.37.14.17.04.04.21.5–0.82.0Focus1–8 Apr 20251,02019.321.010.97.3––8.46.63.98.24.74.3–––1.7NMS2–6 Apr 20251,00519.923.48.56.82.30.66.96.51.99.23.84.83.71.20.23.5AKO11–19 Mar 20251,00021.221.712.37.3––7.86.64.07.34.44.02.40.21.10.5Ipsos10–14 Mar 20251,03222.121.412.55.9––7.86.32.07.43.95.02.5––0.7NMS5–9 Mar 20251,00121.423.88.86.82.20.86.06.22.08.13.84.14.10.81.12.4Focus7–12 Feb 20251,01021.722.111.85.60.60.47.86.23.77.84.64.62.6–0.40.4AKO5–12 Feb 20251,00022.124.112.56.0––6.96.44.15.73.14.62.90.31.32.0NMS5–9 Feb 20251,00122.524.610.55.82.10.96.66.11.57.43.23.04.10.80.12.1AKO14–24 Jan 20251,00022.524.613.05.40.3–6.77.14.25.13.44.62.20.80.12.1Ipsos11–17 Jan 20251,03122.223.011.15.61.9–7.36.32.07.73.74.02.81.11.20.8NMS9–13 Jan 20251,00118.423.911.56.32.30.85.96.72.18.93.44.03.61.40.25.5AKO16–19 Dec 20241,00020.322.813.96.20.2–7.36.64.65.43.24.33.80.31.12.5NMS4–9 Dec 20241,00019.124.810.76.52.90.75.54.82.99.53.23.93.41.40.45.7Focus2–8 Dec 20241,02220.821.513.85.2––6.96.13.78.15.64.02.2––0.7AKO12–20 Nov 20241,00020.721.214.76.6–0.16.76.94.75.93.74.13.60.40.70.5Focus6–13 Nov 20241,01821.922.613.33.6––6.26.73.68.64.84.63.3–0.80.7NMS7–11 Nov 20241,00019.125.110.84.71.00.36.46.03.38.73.74.44.31.00.56.0Ipsos27 Oct–1 Nov 20241,00321.922.612.83.61.60.86.96.22.47.74.04.43.01.20.60.7AKO8–17 Oct 20241,00021.321.315.05.96.26.54.86.83.44.72.60.60.9TieNMS2–7 Oct 20241,00020.524.412.05.20.26.96.22.97.43.65.13.91.30.73.9Focus17–26 Sep 20241,01723.322.112.84.16.05.64.77.95.25.03.2–0.11.2AKO10–16 Sep 20241,00022.822.415.13.96.86.44.95.43.74.92.6–0.90.4Ipsos6–10 Sep 20241,02525.521.611.94.96.07.03.46.34.95.12.0––3.9NMS5–9 Sep 20241,00123.924.512.63.90.66.26.13.56.03.43.33.91.2–0.6NMS8–12 Aug 20241,01422.423.114.34.40.86.25.83.27.03.24.53.21.1–0.7AKO6–12 Aug 20241,00023.622.015.93.66.96.24.95.23.44.52.70.20.91.6Focus9–14 Jul 20241,01325.721.311.34.47.37.23.46.54.54.72.7–1.04.4AKO9–15 Jul 20241,00023.521.715.53.57.45.65.05.64.34.42.30.50.71.8NMS4–8 Jul 20241,02022.522.613.14.21.26.05.14.17.03.44.63.71.51.20.1Ipsos26 Jun–1 Jul 20241,01725.222.313.54.16.36.13.16.84.34.71.80.90.82.9AKO11–18 Jun 20241,00023.822.815.24.76.85.35.16.03.44.12.1–0.81.0Focus5–12 Jun 20241,02524.221.614.54.16.66.14.77.35.23.61.8––2.6European election8 Jun 20241,476,96824.7727.827.181.990.637.154.921.9012.533.804.69–0.482.063.05NMS30 May–3 Jun 20241,02022.423.715.83.40.95.65.64.57.43.52.93.00.8–1.3Ipsos14–21 May 202474325.021.014.04.97.18.03.55.14.13.42.9––4.0AKO7–14 May 20241,00021.820.817.24.77.36.75.25.13.93.63.1–0.61.0NMS9–13 May 20241,02020.923.114.95.50.75.46.63.77.93.53.43.20.6–2.2Focus17–24 Apr 20241,01721.119.718.05.26.97.05.35.54.53.52.30.90.11.4AKO9–16 Apr 20241,00021.220.116.55.27.96.55.14.94.93.32.30.81.31.1Focus28 Mar–4 Apr 20241,01521.620.117.96.46.35.45.14.65.03.71.81.9–1.5Ipsos16–19 Mar 20241,00921.620.216.35.86.26.74.15.04.63.83.0––1.4AKO11–18 Mar 20241,00022.121.015.95.68.16.75.13.94.63.22.01.30.51.1Ipsos12–16 Mar 20241,03823.420.817.15.66.26.35.34.23.62.63.1––2.6Ipsos16–21 Feb 20241,02822.721.316.55.86.76.44.25.23.42.43.21.60.51.4Focus14–21 Feb 20241,02521.118.917.25.96.16.25.84.25.43.52.62.70.42.2NMS14–18 Feb 20241,02221.022.016.96.07.25.74.25.83.32.53.61.60.21.0AKO5–12 Feb 20241,00024.022.614.56.08.26.25.33.74.61.52.80.20.41.4Ipsos22–25 Jan 20241,02224.520.615.45.36.66.64.35.14.03.02.41.60.53.9Focus16–23 Jan 20241,01521.619.417.96.56.25.55.74.84.63.52.41.70.22.2AKO11–16 Jan 20241,04822.119.914.37.08.76.05.45.34.33.22.41.00.42.2NMS10–14 Jan 20241,03022.321.114.76.06.96.94.56.53.43.13.30.50.71.2Ipsos13–18 Dec 20231,04824.119.415.75.96.47.14.85.24.03.62.70.80.54.7AKO11–13 Dec 20231,00024.221.414.66.87.36.45.35.43.62.02.30.2–2.8Focus15–22 Nov 20231,01523.817.914.66.47.56.45.85.35.02.92.81.20.45.9AKO7–14 Nov 20231,00024.020.115.46.66.95.95.44.94.42.32.70.30.13.9Ipsos2–7 Nov 20231,02124.019.115.17.05.86.35.15.84.43.12.31.11.04.92023 election30 Sep 20232,967,89622.9517.9614.708.906.826.325.634.754.392.932.210.841.604.99

Scenario Polls In addition to the regular opinion polls, several polls based on potential political scenarios have been published. These polls are listed below. For better comparison, the corresponding baseline polls from the above table – if such exist – are shown in the rows with light yellow background.

Joint List Scenarios

Polling firmDateSamplesizeSmerHlasSNSRepublikaPSDemocratsKDHSaSOĽaNO and FriendsHungarianAllianceWe Are FamilyĽSNSOthersLeadSlovakiaZĽKÚFocus5–11 May 20261,01722.68.74.011.837.23.0–4.14.3––14.620.78.73.710.423.17.67.09.1––3.32.3––2.418.18.44.59.718.35.27.57.29.40.90.43.83.1–2.00.2Focus3–9 Feb 20261,01431.920.95.48.87.912.2––4.92.8–2.211.025.610.519.45.37.98.511.2––4.62.5––6.217.78.14.19.919.35.66.97.69.7––4.72.3–1.91.6

Scenarios involving Ivan Korčok The Focus polling agency conducted a poll containing two scenarios asking about a potential involvement of former Minister of Foreign and European Affairs and 2024 presidential candidate Ivan Korčok in party politics. The poll was commissioned by Korčok himself. One of those scenarios did materialize in 2024 when Korčok decided to join the liberal Progressive Slovakia party.

Polling firmDateSamplesizeScenarioSmerPSHlasOĽaNO and FriendsKDHSaSDemocratsKorčokPartySNSRepublikaHungarianAllianceWe Are FamilyĽSNSOthersLeadSlovakiaZĽKÚFocus9–14 Jul 20241,01325.215.610.72.96.74.53.014.43.36.94.02.1––9.624.727.611.03.56.55.05.1–2.16.94.42.3––3.225.016.012.03.56.814.14.1–3.56.64.43.0––9.026.117.910.43.26.94.213.1–3.56.84.42.7––8.226.117.712.04.27.414.5–2.77.54.32.5––8.4–25.721.311.34.47.37.24.7–3.46.54.52.7–1.04.4

Seat projections 76 seats are required for an absolute majority in the National Council.