Opinion polling for the 2023 Serbian parliamentary election

In the run-up to the 2023 Serbian parliamentary election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in Serbia. The results of such polls are displayed in this list. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous election, held on 3 April 2022, to the 2023 election, which was held on 17 December 2023.

Graphical summary

Poll results 2023 Polling firm Date of publication Sample size SNS–ledcoalition SPS–JS SPN NADA NO Narodna Others Lead SSP PSG DS Together SRCE NDB/ZLF EU NPS NDSS POKS Dveri SSZ 2023 election 17 December – 48.0 6.7 24.3 5.2 2.8 0.9 11.9 23.8 Ipsos 14 December 3,712 44.6 8.7 23.6 4.9 3.2 1.2 10.8 21.0 OFID 14 December 1,200 38.7 8.9 27.1 5.3 6.1 1.3 12.6 11.6 NSPM 12 December 1,000 39.8 8.9 25.6 5.9 6.5 2.8 10.5 14.2 NSPM 15 November 1,000 39.2 8.1 25.8 4.4 5.1 3.2 14.2 13.4 NSPM 22 October 1,000 38.5 9.6 6.2 3.1 – 3.8 2.7 3.6 3.1 4.2 5.6 3.3 16.3 28.9 Faktor Plus 13 October 1,20044.5 10.8 8.1 1.1 1.5 1.2 2.0 2.4 2.3 5.9 4.0 11.0 1.7 3.5 34.5 Stata 13 October 1,54636.6 7.0 8.6 – – – 4.3 3.8 3.5 7.7 3.1 – 3.9 3.4 – 18.1 28.0 NSPM 28 September 1,000 37.3 9.5 4.2 – 2.4 1.3 3.2 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.6 – 3.1 3.0 2.8 21.9 27.7 Stata 1,580 36.3 7.3 9.8 1.9 1.2 0.6 4.4 4.0 3.1 5.5 3.0 – 2.6 3.4 0.5 18.8 26.5 Stata 28 July 1,558 37.8 8.0 9.6 – – 6.0 4.7 3.7 – – 3.6 – 2.6 3.1 2.1 18.8 28.2 NSPM 23 July 1,100 37.2 9.4 4.0 – 2.1 1.3 3.5 2.3 3.4 – 4.2 – 3.9 3.6 3.4 21.7 27.8 NSPM 2 June 1,000 36.2 8.4 3.8 – 2.6 1.6 3.0 1.8 4.3 – 4.6 1.3 4.0 3.6 3.5 21.3 27.8 NSPM 27 April 1,000 38.0 9.4 4.2 – 2.8 1.4 3.9 – 3.8 – 4.4 1.0 4.0 3.4 3.2 20.5 28.6 11 April ? 45.5 10.7 6.9 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.0 3.0 – – 4.5 4.0 4.5 2.5 11.0 34.8 ŠSM 5 April 1,329 42.8 8.5 4.5 2.2 1.9 3.9 2.9 3.2 – – 5.2 1.7 4.5 3.1 2.6 13.0 31.9 ŠSM 22 February ? 44.5 8.9 4.5 2.1 2.2 3.9 4.3 2.3 – – 3.1 2.4 3.8 4.0 2.2 11.8 35.6 NSPM 14 February 1,050 39.1 10.0 4.7 – 2.2 – 5.2 1.6 3.7 – 5.4 – 3.8 3.6 3.1 17.6 29.1 13 February 1,100 46.0 10.8 7.1 1.1 2.0 2.2 2.2 3.3 – – 4.7 3.3 4.3 2.7 10.3 35.2

2022 Polling firm Date of publication Sample size SNS–ledcoalition SSP Narodna DS PSG SPS–JS NADA NDB Together Dveri SSZ SRCE Others Lead NDSS POKS Faktor Plus 12 December ? 46.8 7.0 2.8 1.8 1.0 10.9 4.5 3.7 1.6 3.0 3.9 2.0 11.0 32.7 NSPM 1 November 1,050 42.5 4.6 2.5 1.5 – 9.8 5.5 – 1.2 3.4 3.9 3.9 4.5 15.8 32.7 Faktor Plus 25 October ? 46.3 6.8 2.8 2.2 1.2 10.8 5.7 4.3 2.5 3.4 4.0 – 8.9 32.0 NSPM 27 July 1,000 42.6 5.3 1.5 1.7 1.4 9.4 6.1 – – 4.8 3.1 3.8 5.9 14.3 33.2 Demostat 29 June 1,203 48.0 10.0 – 3.0 – 9.0 6.0 – 4.0 4.0 3.0 – 13.0 38.0 2022 election 3 April – 44.2 14.0 11.7 5.5 4.8 3.9 3.8 – 11.7 30.2

Scenario polls Three alliances In July 2023, Stata conducted a scenario opinion poll. It showed that a potential coalition of SNS, SPS, JS, Social Democratic Party of Serbia, Party of United Pensioners of Serbia, and Movement of Socialists would win 44 percent of the popular vote, while a hypothetical alliance of those who organised the Serbia Against Violence protests, which includes SSP, Narodna, DS, PSG, ZLF, and Together, would win 41 percent of the popular vote. Stata conducted another scenario polls in September and October 2023, this time with Narodna being in the "state-building opposition" bloc. CRTA, however, only polled Dveri, SSZ, NDSS, and POKS as part of the "patriotic bloc".

Polling firm Date of publication Sample size SNS–ledcoalition Others Lead CRTA 16 October 1,544 49.0 41.0 10.0 0.0 8.0 Stata 13 October 1,546 43.0 39.0 12.0 6.0 4.0 Stata 19 September 1,580 44.0 38.0 11.0 7.0 6.0 Stata 28 July 1,558 44.0 41.0 10.0 5.0 3.0

Six alliances Nova srpska politička misao (NSPM) conducted an opinion poll in October 2023 in which they polled 6 alliances of parties.

Polling firm Date of publication Sample size PZS PE–ZLF NADA Others Lead NSPM 22 October 1,000 48.4 10.1 9.4 8.5 7.8 4.2 11.6 38.3

Notes

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