2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana

The 2024 United States House of Representatives elections in Montana were held on November 5, 2024, to elect the two U.S. representatives from the state of Montana, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with the U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary elections took place on June 4, 2024.

Overview Statewide Party Candi-dates Votes Seats % +/– % Republican Party 2 350,361 58.50% 2 100% Democratic Party 2 237,496 39.65% 0 0% Libertarian Party 1 9,954 1.66% 0 0% Write-ins 2 1,107 0.18% 0 0%Total 5 598,918 100% 2 100%

District DistrictRepublicanDemocraticOthersTotalResult Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % 168,529 52.29% 143,783 44.62% 9,954 3.09% 322,266 100.00% Republican hold 181,832 65.73% 93,713 33.87% 1,107 0.40% 276,652 100.00% Republican holdTotal 350,361 58.50% 237,496 39.65% 11,061 1.85% 598,918 100.00%

County CountyRepublicanDemocraticOthersMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Beaverhead3,98768.65%1,64228.27%1793.08%2,34540.38%5,808Big Horn2,11547.83%2,30552.13%20.05%-190-4.30%4,422Blaine1,49149.92%1,41447.34%822.75%772.58%2,987Broadwater3,83381.14%88618.76%50.11%2,94762.38%4,724Carbon4,91967.86%2,31431.92%160.22%2,60535.94%7,249Carter77492.25%657.75%00.00%70984.51%839Cascade23,12262.53%13,72537.12%1310.35%9,39725.41%36,978Chouteau1,96368.33%90931.64%10.03%1,05436.69%2,873Custer4,29375.34%1,37424.11%310.54%2,91951.23%5,698Daniels78083.87%15016.13%00.00%63067.74%930Dawson3,62880.09%86018.98%420.93%2,76861.10%4,530Deer Lodge2,09242.88%2,59053.08%1974.04%-498-10.21%4,879Fallon1,29989.03%15610.69%40.27%1,14378.34%1,459Fergus5,13277.37%1,48222.34%190.29%3,65055.03%6,633Flathead40,68164.32%20,80132.89%1,7642.79%19,88031.43%63,246Gallatin31,67345.35%36,17851.81%1,9832.84%-4,505-6.45%69,834Garfield73795.59%334.28%10.13%70491.31%771Glacier1,77934.91%3,13161.44%1863.65%-1,352-26.53%5,096Golden Valley44886.49%7013.51%00.00%37872.97%518Granite1,46367.17%63028.93%853.90%83338.25%2,178Hill3,90458.57%2,71940.79%430.65%1,18517.78%6,666Jefferson5,68569.19%2,50630.50%260.32%3,17938.69%8,217Judith Basin1,09181.12%24818.44%60.45%84362.68%1,345Lake9,52056.18%6,90940.77%5173.05%2,61115.41%16,946Lewis and Clark22,25653.81%18,84545.56%2580.62%3,4118.25%41,359Liberty76778.67%20721.23%10.10%56057.44%975Lincoln8,53472.63%2,75623.46%4603.91%5,77849.17%11,750Madison4,50869.74%1,75127.09%2053.17%2,75742.65%6,464McCone92887.14%13212.39%50.47%79674.74%1,065Meagher92279.41%23920.59%00.00%68358.83%1,161Mineral1,95068.81%74826.39%1364.80%1,20242.41%2,834Missoula26,19535.95%44,61161.22%2,0662.84%-18,416-25.27%72,872Musselshell2,57486.90%38813.10%00.00%2,18673.80%2,962Park6,23054.07%5,25545.60%380.33%9758.46%11,523Petroleum28988.92%3611.08%00.00%25377.85%325Phillips1,79783.04%36416.82%30.14%1,43366.22%2,164Pondera1,99671.16%78027.81%291.03%1,21643.35%2,805Powder River95988.31%12711.69%00.00%83276.61%1,086Powell2,37172.35%75723.10%1494.55%1,61449.25%3,277Prairie56083.21%11316.79%00.00%44766.42%673Ravalli19,97266.78%9,06230.30%8732.92%10,91036.48%29,907Richland4,37284.76%78215.16%40.08%3,59069.60%5,158Roosevelt1,98051.48%1,86448.47%20.05%1163.02%3,846Rosebud2,48467.96%1,16331.82%80.22%1,32136.14%3,655Sanders5,88673.04%1,85423.01%3193.96%4,03250.03%8,059Sheridan1,34073.34%48126.33%60.33%85947.02%1,827Silver Bow7,39540.50%10,05755.08%8064.41%-2,662-14.58%18,258Stillwater4,80482.18%1,04217.82%00.00%3,76264.35%5,846Sweet Grass1,83377.80%52122.11%20.08%1,31255.69%2,356Teton2,59273.51%92326.18%110.31%1,66947.33%3,526Toole1,60179.65%40620.20%30.15%1,19559.45%2,010Treasure38186.59%5913.41%00.00%32273.18%440Valley3,03075.92%95123.83%100.25%2,07952.09%3,991Wheatland87381.21%19618.23%60.56%67762.98%1,075Wibaux45986.28%7013.16%30.56%38973.12%532Yellowstone52,11464.89%27,85934.69%3380.42%24,25530.20%80,311Totals350,36158.50%237,49639.65%11,0611.85%112,86518.84%598,918

District 1

The 1st district is based in mountainous Western Montana, including the cities of Missoula, Kalispell, Bozeman and Butte. The incumbent was Republican Ryan Zinke, who was elected with 49.7% of the vote in 2022. He initially had expressed interest in running for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester, but chose not to do so.

Republican primary Nominee Ryan Zinke, incumbent U.S. representative

Eliminated in primary Mary Todd, innkeeper and candidate for this district in 2022

Endorsements

Fundraising Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024CandidateRaisedSpentCash on handMary Todd (R)$87,253$67,177$20,075Ryan Zinke (R)$5,752,008$3,341,562$2,520,494Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

Democratic primary Nominee Monica Tranel, lawyer, former Olympic rower, and nominee for this district in 2022

Endorsements

Fundraising Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024CandidateRaisedSpentCash on handMonica Tranel (D)$2,340,724$826,277$1,524,332Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

Libertarian primary Nominee Dennis Hayes, remodeling contractor

Eliminated in primary Ernie Noble, construction worker

Results

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report October 4, 2024 Inside Elections September 15, 2023 Sabato's Crystal Ball February 23, 2023 Elections Daily September 7, 2023 CNalysis November 16, 2023

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error RyanZinke (R) MonicaTranel (D) DennisHayes (L) UndecidedImpact Research (D)Impact Research (D)October 14–17, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%46%45%4%5%Guidance Polling and StrategyGuidance Polling and StrategyOctober 13–16, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%52%44%–4%Montana State UniversityMontana State UniversitySeptember 30 – October 16, 2024(A)–44%37%4%15%Noble Predictive InsightsNoble Predictive InsightsSeptember 11–14, 2024432 (LV)± 4.7%49%44%–7%47%43%3%7%DCCC (D)DCCC (D)September 11–13, 2024864 (LV)± 3.3%46%45%–9%Impact Research (D)Impact Research (D)August 26–29, 2024500 (LV)± 4.4%46%44%4%5%Fabrizio Ward (R)/David Binder Research (D)Fabrizio Ward (R)/David Binder Research (D)August 25–29, 2024310 (LV)–49%43%–8%Impact Research (D)May 2024––46%42%6%6%Impact Research (D)February 2024––52%43%0%5%

Results

By county CountyRyan ZinkeRepublicanMonica TranelDemocraticDennis HayesLibertarianMarginTotal#%#%#%#%Beaverhead3,98768.65%1,64228.27%1793.08%2,34540.38%5,808Deer Lodge2,09242.88%2,59053.08%1974.04%-498-10.21%4,879Flathead40,68164.32%20,80132.89%1,7642.79%19,88031.43%63,246Gallatin31,67345.35%36,17851.81%1,9832.84%-4,505-6.45%69,834Glacier1,77934.91%3,13161.44%1863.65%-1,352-26.53%5,096Granite1,46367.17%63028.93%853.90%83338.25%2,178Lake9,52056.18%6,90940.77%5173.05%2,61115.41%16,946Lincoln8,53472.63%2,75623.46%4603.91%5,77849.17%11,750Madison4,50869.74%1,75127.09%2053.17%2,75742.65%6,464Mineral1,95068.81%74826.39%1364.80%1,20242.41%2,834Missoula26,19535.95%44,61161.22%2,0662.84%-18,416-25.27%72,872Pondera (part)52360.96%30635.66%293.38%21725.29%858Powell2,37172.35%75723.10%1494.55%1,61449.25%3,277Ravalli19,97266.78%9,06230.30%8732.92%10,91036.48%29,907Sanders5,88673.04%1,85423.01%3193.96%4,03250.03%8,059Silver Bow7,39540.50%10,05755.08%8064.41%-2,662-14.58%18,258Totals168,52952.29%143,78344.62%9,9543.09%24,7467.68%322,266

District 2

The 2nd district encompasses much of the state east of the Continental Divide, including the cities of Billings, Great Falls and Helena. The incumbent was Republican Matt Rosendale, who was re-elected with 56.6% of the vote in 2022. He announced in February 2024 that he would run for U.S. Senate against incumbent Jon Tester, but dropped out of the race one week later. On March 8, 2024, Rosendale announced that he would not be seeking any office in 2024.

Republican primary Nominee Troy Downing, Montana State Auditor (2021–2025) and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018

Eliminated in primary Elsie Arntzen, Montana Superintendent of Public Instruction (2017–2025) and candidate for the in 2014 Kyle Austin, pharmacist and candidate for this district in 2022 Kenneth Bogner, president pro tempore of the Montana Senate (2023–present) from the 19th district (2019–present) and candidate for lieutenant governor in 2020 Ric Holden, former state senator from the 1st district (1995–2003) Joel Krautter, former state representative from the 35th district (2019–2021) Denny Rehberg, former U.S. representative from the (2001–2013), former Lieutenant Governor of Montana (1991–1997), and nominee for U.S. Senate in 1996 and 2012 Stacy Zinn, retired DEA agent

Withdrawn Matt Rosendale, incumbent U.S. representative Ed Walker, former state senator from the 29th district (2011–2015) and candidate for the in 2017 (remained on ballot)

Endorsements

Fundraising Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024CandidateRaisedSpentCash on handElsie Arntzen (R)$871,444$805,097$66,347Kenneth Bogner (R)$54,359$43,425$10,933Troy Downing (R)$1,818,816$1,383,494$435,322Ric Holden (R)$49,248$46,540$2,708Joel Krautter (R)$76,533$67,136$9,397Denny Rehberg (R)$601,991$453,928$148,063Stacy Zinn (R)$41,460$3,091$38,369Source: Federal Election Commission

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error ElsieArntzen KennethBogner TroyDowning RicHolden DennyRehberg StacyZinn Other UndecidedCygnal (R)Cygnal (R)May 8–9, 2024410 (LV)± 4.8%5%4%28%2%12%8%3%40%Guidant Polling & StrategyGuidant Polling & StrategyApril 14–17, 2024400 (LV)± 4.9%10%–38%–26%––27%Cygnal (R)Cygnal (R)April 15–16, 2024415 (LV)± 4.8%7%4%21%1%11%3%3%51%Moore InformationMoore InformationFebruary 1, 2024500 (LV)–5%3%16%2%26%2%9%37%

Results

Democratic primary Nominee John Driscoll, former Public Service Commissioner and nominee for in 2008

Eliminated in primary Ming Cabrera, salesman Kevin Hamm, IT consultant Steve Held, actor and rancher

Fundraising Campaign finance reports as of May 15, 2024CandidateRaisedSpentCash on handMing Cabrera (D)$60,007$41,424$18,582Kevin Hamm (D)$62,689$57,628$5,061Steve Held (D)$86,570$67,945$18,624Source: Federal Election Commission

Results

General election Predictions SourceRankingAs of The Cook Political Report February 2, 2023 Inside Elections September 15, 2023 Sabato's Crystal Ball February 23, 2023 Elections Daily September 7, 2023 CNalysis November 16, 2023

Polling Poll source Date(s)administered Samplesize Marginof error TroyDowning (R) JohnDriscoll (D) Other /UndecidedMontana State UniversitySeptember 30 – October 16, 2024(A)–43%26%31%Fabrizio Ward (R)/David Binder Research (D)August 25–29, 2024290 (LV)–52%31%17%

Results

By county