In the run-up to the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election which was held on 12 April 2026, various organizations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Hungary. The results of such polls are displayed in this article.

Pollster bias Pollsters The following table displays the pollsters in alphabetical order which have alleged funding and/or links to political parties:

PollsterAlleged bias or conflict of interestSource(s)21 KutatóközpontIts founder and director previously worked for Momentum, as advisor to opposition mayors László Botka or Gergely Karácsony, and the pollster is close to the opposition newspaper 24.hu.Strong links to Fidesz, its director is Mária Schmidt, a former advisor of Viktor Orbán, and its board includes former MEP József Szájer.Strong links to Fidesz, and received government funding.Forrás TársadalomkutatóIts founders were members of the campaign staff for EM in 2022.IDEA InstituteOne of the key staff members is an advisor to DK.Receives funding from Jobbik, and the party is reportedly the company's only client.Magyar TársadalomkutatóStrong links to Fidesz.McLaughlin & AssociatesThe company has been described as "Donald Trump's pollster" and is close to the government ally newspaper Index.hu.MediánThe company's owner was formerly an SZDSZ member, and is close to the opposition newspaper HVG.Strong links to Fidesz, and received government funding.Close relationship with MSZP, and the pollster is close to the leftist newspaper Népszava.Real-PR 93Strong links to Fidesz.Identifies as a liberal pollster, and its founder is a former SZDSZ politician.SoDiSo ResearchThe company is the pollster of UDMR/RMDSZ and is close to the government ally newspaper Magyar Nemzet.SzázadvégStrong links to Fidesz, and received at least 65 billion forints (€180 million) of government funding through classified decisions.Závecz ResearchUnproven association with DK.

Allegations and attacks against pollsters In the run-up to the election, pro-Fidesz figures accused pollsters of undermining the government by publishing fake numbers. In August 2025, , head of the , claimed that some pollsters (21 Kutatóközpont, IDEA, Medián, Publicus, and Republikon) that were showing leads for Tisza Party were "abusing" public opinion research and carrying out "foreign assignments". To evidence his claims, he pointed to an investigation conducted by the SZH, which has been criticised as "politically charged", as well as untrue.

Differences in polling figures Significant differences have been noted by the Hungarian media in the numbers produced by different polling companies. In January 2026, political scientist Gábor Török observed that the large differences between government- and non-government-affiliated pollsters was a new phenomenon in Hungarian politics. He suggested that the differences as they stood a few months out from the election were "unexplainable on research grounds".

Generally, pro-government pollsters were inaccurate in predicting the election result, while pro-opposition / independent pollsters were accurate.

Graphical summary

Total The graph displays the results of the polls. Those who responded "don't know" are removed, where relevant. The following graph displays a local regression of all polls.

By affiliation The following two graphs present the polls that are government-aligned, or independent/opposition-aligned, respectively as per the table above.

Polling The following table outlines the results of polls where voters where asked how they would vote in the upcoming election. The numbers correspond to the percentage of party voters saying they will vote for a particular party; as such, undecided responses are removed. Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. Any party which was not polled is displayed with an en-dash (–). Other parties in bold are expected to pass the threshold (5% for one party, 10% for a joint list of two parties, and 15% for a joint list of three or more parties) to be represented in the National Assembly. As polling is only done among Hungarian residents, but the threshold is calculated based on all list votes, (opposition) parties were expected to need about 5.25% of the domestic vote share when considering diaspora voters, who previously have voted in large margins for Fidesz.

2026

Fieldwork datePolling firmAffiliationSamplesizeMHOthersLead12 Apr 2026National Election6,404,40336.3355.761.165.900.85019.439–11 Apr 2026Alapjogokért KözpontGovernment1,00044.542.04.07.02.5–2.58–11 Apr 202621 KutatóközpontIndependent/opposition1,5003855151–177–11 Apr 2026MediánIndependent/opposition2,28637.955.51.43.91.3–17.67–10 Apr 2026MinervaIndependent/opposition3,33241.150.81.74.22.3–9.75–10 Apr 2026AtlasIntelIndependent/opposition1,58739.352.11.55.11.40.612.87–9 Apr 2026Závecz ResearchIndependent/opposition1,0004054141–147–9 Apr 2026PublicusIndependent/opposition1,0043952252–137 Apr 2026McLaughlin & AssociatesGovernment1,00045.439.74.67.52.20.65.731 Mar–4 Apr 2026Iránytű InstituteIndependent/opposition1,000405114401129 Mar–4 Apr 2026IDEAIndependent/opposition1,500375045221327–30 Mar 2026PublicusIndependent/opposition1,0024049363–928–29 Mar 2026Alapjogokért KözpontGovernment1,0005042251–824–28 Mar 2026Závecz ResearchIndependent/opposition1,0003851353–1323–28 Mar 202621 KutatóközpontIndependent/opposition1,5003756151–1926–27 Mar 2026XXI. SzázadGovernment1,0004641562–523–26 Mar 2026RepublikonIndependent/opposition1,0004049254–923–24 Mar 2026NézőpontGovernment1,0004640383–617–20 Mar 2026MediánIndependent/opposition1,0003558142–2316–17 Mar 2026NézőpontGovernment1,0004640383–610–11 Mar 2026MinervaIndependent/opposition1,00040.151.31.45.51.7–11.27–9 Mar 2026XXI. SzázadGovernment1,2004641463–52–6 Mar 202621 KutatóközpontIndependent/opposition1,2003953251–1428 Feb–6 Mar 2026IDEAIndependent/opposition1,500374956211225 Feb–2 Mar 2026McLaughlin & AssociatesGovernment1,0004337553–622–28 Feb 2026Závecz ResearchIndependent/opposition1,0003850372–1224–27 Feb 2026PublicusIndependent/opposition1,0013947464–823–25 Feb 2026NézőpontGovernment1,0004540384–520–25 Feb 2026MinervaIndependent/opposition1,20041.550.02.84.11.7–8.518–23 Feb 2026MediánIndependent/opposition1,0003555262–2020 Feb 2026Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) announces it will not run in the next election.12–17 Feb 2026RepublikonIndependent/opposition1,0003947365–89–12 Feb 2026PublicusIndependent/opposition1,0003948554–99–11 Feb 2026NézőpontGovernment1,0004640473062–10 Feb 2026Iránytű InstituteIndependent/opposition1,00037502650137 Feb 2026Dialogue – The Greens' Party (Párbeszéd) announces it will not run in the next election.31 Jan–6 Feb 2026IDEAIndependent/opposition1,50038485531102–5 Feb 2026Alapjogokért KözpontGovernment1,00049422520728 Jan–2 Feb 202621 KutatóközpontIndependent/opposition1,0003753352–1627–30 Jan 2026McLaughlin & AssociatesGovernment1,00043375542621–24 Jan 2026PublicusIndependent/opposition1,00140484530819–24 Jan 2026Závecz ResearchIndependent/opposition1,000394945321022–23 Jan 2026Magyar TársadalomkutatóGovernment1,000514115201019–22 Jan 2026MinervaIndependent/opposition1,11536.754.32.54.42.10.017.615–20 Jan 2026RepublikonIndependent/opposition1,0003847465–917 Jan 2026LMP – Hungary's Green Party (LMP) announces it will not run in the next election.17 Jan 2026 Second Reform Era Party (2RK) announces it will not run in the next election.15 Jan 2026 Solution Movement (MEMO) announces it will not run in the next election.13 Jan 2026 Election date set for 12 April 2026 12–14 Jan 2026XXI. SzázadGovernment1,0004540375–57–13 Jan 2026MediánIndependent/opposition1,00039511531125–8 Jan 2026Alapjogokért KözpontGovernment1,0004941262085–7 Jan 2026NézőpontGovernment1,00047403640731 Dec 2025–6 Jan 2026IDEAIndependent/opposition1,50038485432103 Apr 2022National Election5,651,05752.45–36.156.153.421.8316.3

2025

Fieldwork datePolling firmSamplesizeMHOthersLead16–20 Dec 2025Publicus1,00140485––––53–818–19 Dec 2025Magyar Társadalomkutató1,00051382––––5311315–18 Dec 2025Alapjogokért Központ1,00049402––––63–915–16 Dec 2025Nézőpont1,00046393––––651712–16 Dec 202521 Kutatóközpont1,00036533––––5211710–15 Dec 2025Republikon1,000364841––0650128–12 Dec 2025Minerva1,00042.550.02.0––––2.42.70.47.527 Nov–4 Dec 2025IDEA1,50039475000143181–3 Dec 2025Real-PR 931,00049383––––7301129 Nov–1 Dec 2025XXI. Század1,00045403––––84–51 Sep–30 Nov 2025Iránytű5,00037492––––6411223–30 Nov 2025Závecz Research1,00038474––––542926–28 Nov 2025McLaughlin & Associates1,00044383––––546624–28 Nov 2025Republikon1,0003345410–08621221–28 Nov 202521 Kutatóközpont1,50037504––––6301324–26 Nov 2025Nézőpont1,00047403––––730720–25 Nov 2025Medián1,00040502––––5211010–18 Nov 2025Publicus1,002394860000430910–17 Nov 2025Minerva1,00043.447.9–––––––8.74.513–14 Nov 2025Magyar Társadalomkutató1,00050402––––5311010–13 Nov 2025 Alapjogokért Központ1,00048412––––54–725 Sep–9 Nov 2025Závecz Research4,00039455––––524631 Oct–7 Nov 2025IDEA 1,500404750000431724–31 Oct 2025Závecz Research1,00037485––1–5401116–22 Oct 2025Republikon1,0003444500007631013–16 Oct 2025Alapjogokért Központ1,00047422––––63–513–14 Oct 2025Real-PR 931,00049402––––53096–13 Oct 2025Publicus1,000384571–––54174–13 Oct 2025Forrás Társadalomkutató1,00037.245.34.63.5––0.05.83.50.08.13–10 Oct 202521 Kutatóközpont1,00035533––––621186–7 Oct 2025XXI. Század1,00044413––––75–330 Sep–7 Oct 2025IDEA 1,5003849500104211129 Sep–1 Oct 2025Magyar Társadalomkutató1,00047392––––642825 Sep–1 Oct 2025Republikon1,000354350110852823–25 Sep 2025Minerva1,0003852–––––––101410–14 Sep 2025McLaughlin & Associates1,00043375––––65468–12 Sep 2025Publicus1,00037467000064–98–10 Sep 2025Real-PR 931,00047404––––531731 Aug–6 Sep 2025IDEA1,500394850000422928 Aug–4 Sep 2025Medián1,00038512––––4321329 Aug–3 Sep 2025Závecz Research1,000364651–1–6411027–31 Aug 202521 Kutatóközpont1,00036522––––5411621–27 Aug 2025Republikon1,000354171011852618–19 Aug 2025Nézőpont1,00046384––––651831 Jul–7 Aug 2025IDEA1,50039465001043271–6 Aug 2025Publicus1,0003646810006311023–29 Jul 2025Republikon1,000344361010653915–22 Jul 2025Minerva1,0003452–––––––14181–8 Jul 2025Republikon1,0003343611218411030 Jun–2 Jul 2025Magyar Társadalomkutató1,00049413––––3–4830 Jun–1 Jul 2025Real-PR 931,00047424––––331524–27 Jun 202521 Kutatóközpont1,00034525––––6211819–27 Jun 2025Závecz Research1,500354651–1–7411123–25 Jun 2025Publicus1,001374491–1–512716–17 Jun 2025Nézőpont1,00044393––––74353–7 Jun 2025Medián1,00036513–––1531157 Jun 2025Momentum Movement (Momentum) announces it will not run in the next election.28 May–3 Jun 2025Republikon1,000344361011762931 May 2025Everybody's Hungary People's Party (MMN) announces it will not run in the next election.15–23 May 2025IDEA1,500374460010541712–16 May 2025Publicus1,00036439100053379–18 Apr 2025Republikon1,50035397123183143–9 Apr 2025Publicus1,00037419201153141–7 Apr 202521 Kutatóközpont1,00037513––––4321426 Mar–1 Apr 2025Republikon1,000334071140652716–25 Mar 2025Závecz Research1,000354072140622510–12 Mar 2025Nézőpont1,00045354 – –1 –933105–11 Mar 2025Publicus1,000394192–––5222 27 Feb–8 Mar 2025Medián1,00037463––––64491 Dec 2024–28 Feb 2025Iránytű6,60039444––––644522–26 Feb 2025Republikon1,000363871111862220–29 Jan 2025Publicus3,060374292010531514–22 Jan 2025Republikon1,000323982132752731 Dec 2024–10 Jan 2025IDEA1,50036455001073393 Apr 2022National Election5,651,05752.45–36.156.153.421.8316.3

2024