In the run-up to the 2023 Dutch general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions in the Netherlands. Results of such polls are displayed in this list.
The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2021 Dutch general election, held on 15–17 March, to election day. The next election was scheduled for March 2025, but, due to the fall of the fourth Rutte cabinet, took place on 22 November 2023. Four main pollsters performed opinion polls on voting intentions in the Netherlands, these being: I&O Research, Ipsos, Kantar and Peil.nl. Peil.nl does not give percentages, only showing seats while the other pollsters do include percentages.
Projections Graphical summary The averages in the graphs below were constructed using polls listed below conducted by the four major Dutch pollsters. The trendlines show local regressions representing seat totals (not vote percentages).
Seats There are 150 seats in total, 76 seats are needed for a majority. Parties are denoted with a dash if no indication is given of their level in the polls. Polling firm Fieldwork date SamplesizeVVDD66PVVCDASPFvDPvdDCUVoltJA21SGPDENK50+BBBBIJ1BVNLNSC Lead PvdAGL 2023 election 22 Nov 2023 24 9 37 5 5 25 3 3 3 2 1 3 3 0 7 0 0 20 12 Ipsos – 24 10 35 5 525 3 3 3 2 1 3 3 1 7 0 0 20 10 Ipsos – 23 10 35 5 526 3 4 3 2 1 3 2 1 7 0 0 209 Peil.nl 6,000+26829652844331240611191 I&O Research 2,47327928462745331330501211 Ipsos 2,260291127452435441340610192 I&O Research 2,4732782646274543233060121Tie Peil.nl 7,000-2682665235534124071123Tie I&O Research 2,32327720472346351441801252 Ipsos 2,05228917452347532340910262Peil.nl 3,000+27721542454341240911281 I&O Research 2,19026818462455351340801293 Peil.nl 4,200+26719442555342230911304Ipsos 1,924288174522474323401210262Peil.nl 4,200+26719542454442230901315 I&O Research 2,225266194525473523301100271 Peil.nl 3,000+267205424544422301101282Ipsos 1013287184620474323401210271Peil.nl 3,000+267206424544412201201282 I&O Research 2,293276185526563423301100261 Peil.nl 3,000+257196424554412201301283 I&O Research 2,288275185529464314201200252 Ipsos1,020279184521375333301310252 Peil.nl 3,000+247176424564422211401273 I&O Research 2,412256144527474414211400281 Peil.nl 3,000+267156423573322201601282 Ipsos1,0312610155320395333301500271 Peil.nl 3,000+257156423573312201801283Peil.nl 3,000+257155524573332201401294 I&O Research 2,398227133528384334301300313 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Frans Timmermans elected leader of GL/PvdA for the 2023 general election by members of both parties style="border-right-style:hidden;" Pieter Omtzigt launches a new party for the 2023 general election, New Social Contract Peil.nl 18–19 Aug 20233,000+288198826594433212101–2 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Henri Bontenbal appointed CDA leader for the 2023 general election style="border-right-style:hidden;" Dilan Yeşilgöz-Zegerius appointed VVD leader for the 2023 general election style="border-right-style:hidden;" Rob Jetten elected D66 leader for the 2023 general election by its members Ipsos1,0042810196627475443302400–1 I&O Research 2,736259155728495864202111–3 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Members of the PvdA and GL vote in favour of running on a joint list at the 2023 general election Peil.nl 15–16 Jul 20233,000+259157725584663212511–Tie 258157628574663212511–3 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Sigrid Kaag announces that she will not serve as D66 leader for the 2023 general election style="border-right-style:hidden;" Mark Rutte announces that he will not serve as VVD leader for the 2023 general election style="border-right-style:hidden;" Wopke Hoekstra announces that he will not serve as CDA leader for the 2023 general election style="border-right-style:hidden;" The Fourth Rutte cabinet falls over a disagreement on asylum policy Peil.nl 3,000+2010146811145104673212711–7 Ipsos1,022281215879113105563312310–5 Peil.nl 3,000+2010136711145104763212911–9 I&O Research 2,364221012681112485784212811–6 style="border-right-style:hidden;" 2023 Dutch Senate election Ipsos1,019291114669134105463312510–4 Peil.nl 3,000+181010771114594763213411–16 I&O Research 1,872249135711123125674222701–3 Peil.nl 3,000+181010771114594663213511–17 Ipsos1,0022610116810124115553303010–4 Peil.nl 3,000+17109771215594663113611–19 I&O Research 2,197191013771213394783213110–12 Peil.nl 3,000+18109671215594563123611–18 Ipsos 1,005271212771211484463312810–1 Peil.nl 3,000+1999771215595573123311–14 style="border-right-style:hidden;" 2023 Dutch provincial elections Ipsos 5,291291516981010495493311410–13 Peil.nl 3,000+2113177711135854104311911–2 Peil.nl 3,000+2312187711135854104311711–5 I&O Research 2,48924121879131251053104301410–6 Peil.nl 3.000+2212187711135964114311511–4 Ipsos 1,00229151811810105944103301010–11 I&O Research 2,4892413196109134855125301211–5 Peil.nl 3.000+2012196810125965134311511–1 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Gert-Jan Segers steps down as Leader of the Christian Union and is replaced by Mirjam Bikker Ipsos 1,005271418981112385594301310–9 Peil.nl 3.000+2012205810125865144311511–Tie I&O Research 2,14221111879111341065135111320–3 Peil.nl 3.000+2111205810125865154311411–1 Ipsos 1,040271719891012294493301220–8 Peil.nl 3.000+2012215810125865154311311–1 I&O Research 2,0692212187911145864124211311–4 Peil.nl 3.000+2012215810125865154311311–1 Ipsos 1,0212716218811103104493301210–6 Peil.nl 3.000+2112206811125865144311211–1 I&O Research 2,20521121979111251055105211411–2 Peil.nl 3.000+2112186812125865124311511–3 Ipsos 1,0032516209712113104383301510–5 Peil.nl 3.000+2111166714125865114311811–3 I&O Research 1,7892315166811126755124211511–7 Ipsos 1,00727181897811495293301610–9 Peil.nl 3,000+201217671213596594311911–1 Peil.nl 3,000+211315671313487584311921–2 Ipsos 1,00929171898910495363401510–11 I&O Research 1,9532214166910124105594311811–4 Peil.nl 3,000+211315671213487584312021–1 Ipsos 1,028311616991011585463401210–15 Peil.nl 3,000+211215771213587584311822–3 Peil.nl 3,000+2211177712135875104311422–5 I&O Research 2,15124141581011124965105301220–9 Peil.nl 3,000+2312177712125875104311322–6 Ipsos 1,039331417118111059656331710–16 Peil.nl 3,000+2513167712125874114311122–9 Kantar 1,078301316961312486654411210–14 I&O Research 2,356281316881114586510431811–12 Peil.nl 3,000+2513167712125874114311122–9 Ipsos 1,013341414971111510558441710–20 Peil.nl 3,000+2714157712124874114311022–12 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Lilianne Ploumen steps down as Leader of the PvdA I&O Research 2,403291813771113486410432812–11 Peil.nl 3,000+2618148711124874114311011–8 Peil.nl 3,000+251814971112487412431911–7 Ipsos 1,04833191597111049548441610–14 Peil.nl 3,000+251814971112487412431911–7 Peil.nl 3,000+251814971112487412431911–7 style="border-right-style:hidden;" 2022 Dutch municipal elections Peil.nl 3,000+27201488109596412431811–7 Lokale partijen profiteren maurice.nl Kantar 1,197332013810111147648222810–13 Peil.nl 3,000+2720148999596412431811–7 Stemming maurice.nl Ipsos 1,02532201710710949558341510–12 Peil.nl 3,000+2520147999696513431811–5 Oorlog Oekraine /maurice.nl Peil.nl 3,000+2320156999795713431811–3 Volt zakt drie zetels weg /maurice.nl I&O Research 2,31127191767101148699421811–8 style="border-right-style:hidden;" Nilüfer Gündoğan is suspended by Volt and opts to continue as an independent Peil.nl 3,000+22191568997951013431811–3 Het gepolariseerde electoraat maurice.nl Peil.nl 3,000+22191568997951013431811–3 Opmaat naar de gemeenteraadscerkiezingen maurice.nl Kantar 1,00232201611810865569222710–12 Peil.nl 3,000+22191568997951013431811–3 Stemming maurice.nl Ipsos 1,02430191797101069576331710–11 Peil.nl 3,000+23181768997961011431711–5 na regeringsverklaring verliezen regeringspartijen nog eens 4 zetels maurice.nl I&O Research 2,230261715889115861010421811–9 Peil.nl 3,000+251918789979689331711–6 Stemming maurice.nl style="border-right-style:hidden;" Prime Minister Mark Rutte and his Fourth cabinet are inaugurated Peil.nl 3,000+271819789969679330811–8 Peilingen maurice.nl Kantar 1,004321618101110848877311510–14 Ipsos 1,0143121188810869558330610–10 Peil.nl 3,000+271819789969679330811–8 Peilingen maurice.nl Peil.nl 3,000+3017196810969677330811–11 Peilingen maurice.nl I&O Research 2,0532918169899485108311921–11 Peil.nl 3,000+3216205810969667330811–12 Peilingen maurice.nl Ipsos 1,0083420201098848555430610–14 Peil.nl 3,000+3216205810969667330811–12 Pas op de plaats maurice.nl Peil.nl 3,000+3216205810969667330811–12 Toenemende polarisatie onder electoraat maurice.nl I&O Research 2,0213315178891067886420621–16 Kantar 985332018989867575332610–13 Peil.nl 3,000+3418205810959665330711–16 Vertrouwenscijfers maurice.nl Peil.nl 3,000+3418205810959665330711–16 Stemming maurice.nl Ipsos 1,02635191991097310566330510–16 Peil.nl 3,000+3417195911968665330711–16 Maanden na maurice.nl I&O Research 2,052341516710111258687410510–18 Peil.nl 3,000+3417185911978764330711–16 Wil Rutte als premier nieuwe kabinet maurice.nl Peil.nl 3,000+3617175911967765330711–16 Stemming maurice.nl Ipsos 994371918889949566330510–18 Peil.nl 3,000+3519175911967764330711–16 De Stemming maurice.nl Kantar 1,0373320207791146666331710–13 Peil.nl 3,000+3520167811957755330711–15 De Stemming maurice.nl I&O Research 1,99033191679121158765310620–14 Peil.nl 3,000+3719166911858655330711–18 De Stemming maurice.nl Peil.nl 3,000+3718167911858655330711–19 De Stemming maurice.nl Ipsos 1,00839211710710947655330310–18 Peil.nl 3,000+3619176911758665330711–17 Peilingen maurice.nl style="border-right-style:hidden;" The Van Haga Group officially launches a new party, BVNL Ipsos 1,004372216999838657330410–15 Peil.nl 3,000+3522176910758665330611–13 De Stemming maurice.nl I&O Research 1,9393522176911947566320521–13 Ipsos 1,01139231798975854533041––16 Peil.nl 3,000+352218691075866533052––13 De Stemming maurice.nl Peil.nl 3,000+352218691075866533052––13 De Stemming maurice.nl Peil.nl 3,000+352218891075756633042––13 De Stemming maurice.nl style="border-right-style:hidden;" Pieter Omtzigt leaves the CDA and continues as an independent I&O Research 1,8243621141271095856633032––15 Peil.nl 3,000+3522171191074756633032––13 De Stemming maurice.nl Peil.nl 3,000+342318119974756633032––11 De Stemming maurice.nl Ipsos 1,0103625171381063945632021––11 Peil.nl 3,000+342318119974756633032––11 De Stemming maurice.nl Peil.nl 3,000+342318119974756633032––11 De Stemming maurice.nl style="border-right-style:hidden;" Wybren van Haga, Hans Smolders and Olaf Ephraim split from Forum for Democracy, forming the Van Haga Group Peil.nl 3,000+342317119978755633021––10 De Stemming maurice.nl style="border-right-style:hidden;" 50+ loses parliamentary representation when Liane den Haan leaves the party and continues as an independent I&O Research 1,91434231510101077756633121––11 Peil.nl 3,000+322218129979755633021––10 Peil.nl 3,000+322218129979755633021––10 De Stemming maurice.nl Ipsos 1,014352618127977845432111––9 Peil.nl 3,000+322417149979654533021––8 De Stemming maurice.nl 1,7383426151410867654633111––8 Peil.nl 3,000+312416149979754533121––7 De Stemming maurice.nl Peil.nl 3,000+282516159989754533121––3 De Stemming maurice.nl Peil.nl 3,000+332416149979654533111––9 De Stemming maurice.nl2021 election –342417159988653333111––10
Vote share