In preparation for the 2024 Romanian parliamentary election, which took on 1 December 2024, various polling companies and organisations from Romania have already (more specifically since December 2020 onwards) been carrying out a series of opinion polling to gauge and keep track of the voting intention among the overall electorate.

Polls

2024

+DatePoll sourceSample sizePSD–PNLUnited RightAURUDMRPROPUSLAERREPERSOSPOTOthersLeadPSDPNLUSRPMPFDPERPV1 December 20242024 Chamber election21.9613.2012.402.0518.016.330.371.247.366.4610.623.952024 Senate election22.3014.2812.261.8818.306.380.421.377.766.398.66426–28 Nov 2024AtlasIntel2,11621.413.417.52.522.45.51.54.64.66.619–13 Nov 2024Newsweek1,0403120122165152187–12 Nov 2024INSCOP1,10031.116.212.7 1.120.74.51.22.65.9410.430 Oct–5 Nov 2024CURS1,067322012 3155671224–28 Oct 2024Newsweek1,1503120.516.5 3.117.56.50.92.61.210.511–18 Oct 2024INSCOP1,10630.213.212.7 3.1183738.811–16 Oct 2024CURS1,0063120151.40.621.43.72.12.58.14.1117–9 Oct 2024Verified for USR1,00928.212.619.51.01.722.74.20.70.20.52.45.31.08.711–16 Sep 2024INSCOP1,10230.114.317.10.80.914.75.01.40.30.71.98.93.91324–30 Aug 2024The Center for International Research and Analyses1,09931.022.013.01.01.014.05.01.010.02.09 Aug 2024Verified for USR29.317.813.11.61.516.62.92.50.41.42.58.71.711.519–27 June 2024INSCOP Research1,10029.418.912.214.74.61.11.52.21.93.66.13.811.5 9 June 20242024 European election48.558.7114.936.481.483.745.0311.0833.629 June 20242024 Local Election32.5226.1311.549.615.420.341.470.680.801.3910.106.3914 Feb–4 Mar 2024INSCOP2,00032.819.710.616.53.92.511.416.24.413.119–20 Feb 2024AvangardeNA31201518528 1113–8 Jan 2024Snap Market Research99832121013611181619 6 December 20202020 Chamber election28.9025.1815.374.829.085.744.091.191.120.356.823.722020 Senate election29.3225.5815.864.939.175.894.131.011.330.405.123.74

2023

Date Poll source Sample size PSD PNL USR AUR UDMR PMP PRO PUSL PER PV REPER FD S.O.S. RSB Others Lead16–28 Dec 2023ARA Public Opinion1.00230.616.214.69.65.03.51.04.02.72.82.47.514.425–30 Nov 2023Snap Market Research98329138166521115851320–27 Nov 2023INSCOP1.10030.220.111.919.54.91.32.00.71.90.30.65.21.310.130 Oct–6 Nov 2023 Mercury Research1,227291715204301244923 Oct–2 Nov 2023INSCOP1,10029.518.414.120.23.81.72.62.60.51.04.31.49.320–29 Oct 2023AtlasIntel2,00021.412.917.716.06.08.21.20.23.94.66.81.03.711–25 Sep 2023LARICS1,00332.023.914.714.32.94.00.94.77.38.115–22 Sep 2023INSCOP1,55029.120.41122.44.61.71.52.50.713.14.96.712–22 Sep 2023CURS1,00831191118442457128–19 Sep 2023Sociopol1,004291515235333464–10 Sep 2023PNL1,032302014205411351024–31 Aug 2023CURS1,0673219121954243138–20 July 2023CURS3118122044244511June 2023INSCOP28.718.012.720.120.58.6May–June 2023Geeks for Democracy80631.019.011.018.05.016.012.027 May–11 June 2023The Center28.018.013.022.06.03.02.02.06.06.019–27 May 2023CURS1,08231.020.011.017.05.05.04.07.012.012–17 May 2023CURS1,06732.020.010.017.05.05.03.08.012.010–20 March 2023CURS1,10533.021.09.016.05.05.04.07.012.05–19 Feb 2023INSCOP3,00031.722.311.218.24.62.92.41.45.49.41–13 Feb 2023INSCOP1,00030.421.610.919.14.33.02.91.62.70.10.7 2.78.827–30 Jan 2023Atlas Intel2,00024.817.212.417.96.45.94.01.92.92.86.910–20 Jan 2023CURS1,06736.022.08.014.05.04.04.04.03.014.0 6 December 20202020 Chamber election28.9025.1815.379.085.744.824.091.191.120.356.823.722020 Senate election29.3225.5815.869.175.894.934.131.011.330.405.123.74

2022

Date Poll source Sample size PSD PNL USR PLUS/USR AUR UDMR PMP PRO ALDE PUSL PER ApPREPER FD Others LeadDec 2022INSCOP31.520.210.918.119.311.38–22 Nov 2022CURS1,06734249125448.010.0Oct 2022Sociopol361911144221030413.017.08–22 Sep 2022CURS1,01535228155448.013.0Aug 2022Sociopol32151125611.07.05–17 Aug 2022CURS322310134243322.09.022–31 Jul 2022Avangarde 900372391154132122.014.022–30 Jun 2022Avangarde903352091255242222.015.017–30 Jun 2022IPSOS1,07237.825.412.710.13344.012.419–26 May 2022CURS1,0673523910564224.012.012–20 Apr 2022Avangarde90636191114516.017.028 Mar–11 Apr 2022CURS2,750352311125532112.012.022–29 Mar 2022Avangarde9003516121522.019.02–11 Mar 2022CURS1,17236208145424223.016.02–7 Mar 2022INSCOP1,0773219.910.818.918.413.69–19 Feb 2022Sociopol1,00135161322612200210.018.020–31 Jan 2022Avangarde9033516121819.017.022–29 Jan 2022CURS1,00335171016542443232.018.010–18 Jan 2022INSCOP1,16234.316.612.520.64.22.12.91.31.01.71.513.7 6 December 2020 2020 Chamber election 28.90 25.18 15.37 9.08 5.74 4.82 4.09 1.19 1.12 6.82 3.72 2020 Senate election 29.32 25.58 15.86 9.17 5.89 4.93 4.13 1.01 1.33 5.12 3.74

2021

Date Poll source Sample size PSD PNL FD USR PLUS AUR UDMR PMP PRO ALDE PUSL PER ApP Others Lead15–23 Dec 2021Avangarde90739.018.010.017.05.03.02.04.01.01.0 21.017–22 Dec 2021 Sociopol1,001 33.015.03.012.023.05.02.02.01.01.01.02.0 10.0 13–17 Dec 2021 CURS 1,100 38.019.011.013.05.05.04.05.0 19.0 25 Nov 2021The Ciucă Cabinet, supported by a grand coalition consisting of the PNL, PSD, and UDMR/RMDSZ is voted and invested16–24 Nov 2021Avangarde906 40.017.011.015.05.04.01.01.04.02.0 23.017–22 Nov 2021CURS1,100 38.018.011.014.05.04.03.01.03.03.0 20.09–12 Nov 2021PPU1,023 30.5 3.07.523.012.05.06.55.51.02.52.51.0 7.5before 3 Nov 2021FL1,217 34.08.020.012.05.06.55.52.01.02.04.0 14.025–30 Oct 2021 CURS1,100 39.019.011.012.05.05.03.0 4.0 2.0 20.017–26 Oct 2021Avangarde900 40.017.013.014.05.04.02.01.04.0 0.0 23.015–25 Oct 2021INSCOP1,100 35.521.912.414.25.02.93.20.51.72.8 13.612–20 Oct 2021 CURS1,202 39.021.011.013.05.011.0 18.012–17 Oct 2021APP1,122 30.03.011.517.517.04.06.05.01.5 3.51.0 12.512–17 Oct 2021 INSCOP1,100 36.719.816.415.33.02.13.03.8 16.911–15 Oct 2021 Sociopol1,002 32.020.013.021.06.08.0 11.0 26–29 Sep 2021 Gazeta Civică 1,202 28.017.0 18.0 17.5 5.0 5.5 4.0 1.0 3.0 2.0 10.0 28 Sep 2021 INSOMAR 1,030 31.625.9 15.0 17.0 4.6 2.5 2.3 1.2 0.0 5.7 15–27 Sep 2021 INSCOP 1,204 35.421.9 9.8 17.1 2.9 4.4 8.5 13.5 14–21 Sep 2021 Avangarde 900 37.020.0 13.0 14.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 17.0 8–10 Sep 2021 CURS 86136.019.0 11.0 14.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 1.0 17.0 3–5 Sep 2021 CURS 853 35.020.0 11.0 12.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 15.0 1 Sep 2021The 2021 Romanian political crisis begins, leading to the break-up of the centre-right governmental coalition and a PNL splinter 20–24 Aug 2021 Avangarde 900 35.021.0 14.0 15.0 5.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 14.0 12–20 Aug 2021 CURS 1,067 34.020.0 12.0 11.0 5.0 5.0 3.0 3.0 4.0 3.0 14.0 15–19 Aug 2021 IRES 1,006 35.027.0 14.0 14.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 8.0 26 Jul 2021 INSOMAR 38.115.1 11.1 15.0 5.1 15.8 23.0 9–19 Jul 2021 Avangarde 903 34.023.0 13.0 15.0 5.0 10.0 11.0 1–15 Jul 2021 Sociopol 1,100 31.027.0 15.0 10.0 7.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 24 Jun 2021 INSOMAR 1,030 22.9 25.0 15.0 18.0 5.1 2.0 2.9 7.2 2.1 11–18 Jun 2021 CURS 1,067 34.022.0 14.0 12.0 4.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 12.0 1–15 Jun 2021 INSCOP 1,100 30.2 26.6 13.2 14.2 2.8 4.3 8.7 3.6 18 May 2021 Sociopol 1,100 36 22 15 11 6 2 5 0 1 1 1.0 14.0 18 May 2021 IRES 1,10036.028.0 11.0 14.0 3.0 3.0 1.0 8.0 8.0 1–8 May 2021 Avangarde 900 36.023.0 14.0 15.0 5.0 2.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 13.0 7 May 2021 INSOMAR 1,030 22.1 23.5 13.6 15.5 8.6 4.6 4.1 8.4 1.4 14–17 Apr 2021 CURS 1,107 33.021.0 16.0 12.0 4.0 5.0 3.0 4.0 2.0 12.0 30 Mar–11 Apr 2021 BCS 1,420 28.922.3 22.5 10.0 4.0 4.2 2.9 5.1 6.4 12–28 Mar 2021 Sociopol 35.0 26.0 17.0 12.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 1.0 9.0 22–26 Feb 2021 CURS 1,100 34.025.0 16.0 9.0 4.0 3.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 10.0 10–14 Feb 2021 PER 1,055 33.025.0 20.0 8.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 8.0 9–11 Feb 2021 INSOMAR 1,030 28.027.0 14.0 16.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 4.0 1.0 15–17 Jan 2021 Avangarde 710 34.024.0 16.0 14.0 5.0 3.0 1.0 3.0 10.0 11–15 Jan 2021 CURS 1,100 34.026.0 16.0 12.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 2.0 8.0 17–21 Dec 2020 CURS 1,100 35.026.0 14.0 15.0 4.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 9.0 10–20 Dec 2020 Avangarde 900 35.026.0 15.0 14.0 5.0 2.0 1.0 2.0 9.0 6 December 2020 2020 Chamber election 28.9025.18 15.37 9.08 5.74 4.82 4.09 1.19 1.12 6.82 3.72 2020 Senate election 29.3225.58 15.86 9.17 5.89 4.93 4.13 1.01 1.33 5.12 3.74

Probable projection of seats in the next parliament

166 seats are needed for a chamber majority. Date Poll source PSD PNL USR PLUS/USR AUR UDMR PMP PRO ApP FD Nat. min. Lead19–26 May 2022CURS 133883438190000184512–20 Apr 2022Avangarde 132704052180000186217–22 Dec 2021Sociopol 117534282180000183517–26 Oct 2021Avangarde 14059464918000018 8112–17 Oct 2021INSCOP 12568565211000018 5712–17 Oct 2021APP 109426362142100018 46 26–29 Sep 2021 Gazeta Civică 95 57 61 59 17 18 0 00 18 3428 Sep 2021INSOMAR 10485495615000018 199–19 Jul 2021Avangarde 11880455217000018 3811–15 Jan 2021CURS 11388534018000018 25 6 December 2020 2020 Chamber election 11093Subsequently, several deputies decided to leave the PNL and follow former PNL president and former Prime Minister Ludovic Orban in his new political project, Force of the Right (or FD for short), shortly after PNL decided to form a new cabinet with PSD; therefore at one point in time during this legislature of the Romanian parliament, PNL had 81 deputies whereas FD had 16. Currently, PNL has even fewer deputies, namely 79 (more specifically as of late October 2023). 55 33 21 0 0 PNLAt that time, more specifically in late 2020, 13 deputies previously seating with FD as of late 2021 were part of the PNL parliamentary group in the Chamber of Deputies. Currently, there are 16 deputies seating with FD, 3 more than initially, through party switching from AUR. 18 17

Approval ratings +DatePoll sourceSample size CiolacuPSD IohannisPNL OrbanPNL/FD CîțuPNL CiucăPNL CioloșUSR PLUS BarnaUSR PLUS DraguUSR PLUS SimionAUR KelemenUDMR BăsescuPMP DiaconescuPMP31 Jan 22CURS 27.018.010.011.027.013.021.013.011.015.017–26 Oct 21Avangarde900 25.014.09.07.013.09.020.014–21 Sep 21Avangarde900 33.030.014.016.012.012.014.012–20 Aug 21CURS1,10027.0 32.018.014.016.014.011.015.012.011.017.011–18 Jun 21CURS1,06726.0 33.019.015.018.014.014.018.011.014.017.06 May 21INSOMAR1,03020.1 21.9 8.212.0 14.1 8.314–17 Apr 21CURS1,107 26.0 20.024.0 16.015.0 21.013.0 11 Apr 21BCS1,42014.0 17.5 21.6 18.616.8 12.26.516.611.822–26 Feb 21CURS1,10025.0 37.017.014.020.018.014.020.018.0

2021 political crisis poll

Polling firm Date Question Iohannis PNL USR Cîțu PSD N/ADon't know/No opinion Avangarde Oct 2021 Who is the main culprit (i.e. guilty) for the current political crisis? 18% 14% 11% 8% 1% 48%

Approval ratings of Florin Cîțu as prime minister

+Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeFlorin Cîțu PNL NetCURS25–30 Oct 20211,10010.0 81.09.0 −71.0Avangarde17–26 Oct 20219007.0 74.019.0 −67.0Avangarde14–21 Sep 202190014.0 61.025.0 −47.0CURS12–20 Aug 20211,10018.0 77.05.0 −59.0CURS11–18 Jun 20211,06719.0 75.06.0 −56.0CURS14–17 Apr 20211,10724.0 69.07.0 −45.0BCS11 Apr 20211,42021.6 68.59.8 −46.9

National approval rating +Polling firmFieldwork dateSample sizeIs Romania going on a good path/direction? NetApprovedDisapprovalAvangarde17–26 Oct 20219008.0 80.012.0 −72.0

Notes

References