Opinion polling for the 2023 Spanish local elections (Canary Islands)

In the run up to the 2023 Spanish local elections, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in local entities in Spain. Results of such polls for municipalities and island cabildos in the Canary Islands are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous local elections, held on 26 May 2019, to the day the next elections were held, on 28 May 2023.

Polls are listed in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" columns on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a given poll.

Municipalities Adeje Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 41.6 54.0 22.6 6.3 7.6 – 6.7 31.4 EM-Analytics/GMG 1 Sep–13 Mar 2023 471? 53.4 21.7 6.3 12.4 2.7 1.9 31.7 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 53.4 60.2 17.4 8.3 7.6 4.3 – 42.8

Antigua Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout ALxAN CSD AMF Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 60.4 36.3 17.8 15.5 5.4 – – – 5.8 13.4 13.0 Perfiles/Radio Insular 24 Oct–3 Nov 2022 600? 31.0–32.0 18.0–19.0 12.0–13.0 15.0–16.0 6.0–7.0 – 3.0–4.0 – 13.0 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 57.3 26.0 20.2 13.7 12.3 9.4 7.3 5.5 1.3 5.8

Arona Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout CxA +PA Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 38.8 29.3 16.4 16.8 – 2.1 – 8.6 5.2 15.3 12.5 EM-Analytics/GMG 19 May–14 Aug 2022 702? 46.8 15.9 14.7 7.2 5.5 2.8 2.4 – – 30.9 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 37.9 47.8 15.1 13.3 6.8 6.6 5.2 – – – 32.7

Arrecife Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout ASL LAVA Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 42.0 23.0 24.2 28.1 4.2 4.7 – – 7.6 3.9 EM-Analytics/GMG 10 May–18 Sep 2022?? 29.7 19.0 15.6 9.4 7.0 1.4 3.0 2.9 5.4 10.7 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 44.7 28.5 17.2 17.2 9.1 6.2 4.6 3.9 2.6 2.5 11.3

La Oliva Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout EM Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 49.8 29.3 10.2 23.1 – 5.7 – 23.0 3.8 6.2 Perfiles/Radio Insular 24 Oct–3 Nov 2022 600? 28.0–29.0 14.0–15.0 13.0–14.0 6.0–7.0 4.0–5.0 3.0–4.0 11.0–12.0 3.0–4.0 14.0 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 51.0 24.6 16.9 16.2 12.7 6.3 6.1 6.0 – 7.7

Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 50.8 33.1 27.2 5.4 0.4 6.1 5.2 11.3 3.3 1.9 5.9 Sigma Dos/RTVE–FORTA 28 May 2023?? 32.0 25.5 6.8 – 9.1 7.1 5.0 6.1 – 6.5 TSA/Canarias7 1–18 May 2023?? 33.1 25.9 10.1 – 11.2 5.1 4.9 5.0 – 7.2 Perfiles/La Provincia 12–17 May 2023?? 27.0–28.0 23.0–24.0 6.0–7.0 3.0–4.0 9.0–10.0 11.0–12.0 5.0–6.0 4.0–5.0 – 4.0 Ágora Integral/Canarias Ahora 1–14 May 2023 800? 33.0 29.6 6.9 0.6 9.7 4.3 5.0 7.6 1.4 3.4 EM-Analytics/GMG 5 Apr–13 May 2023 415? 32.1 28.0 8.2 1.3 11.3 5.3 5.5 5.8 2.2 4.1 Sigma Dos/Antena 3 27 Apr 2023?? 33.8 31.1 6.4 –?? 5.8 – – 2.7 Ágora Integral/Canarias Ahora 5–23 Apr 2023 1,000? 32.8 29.2 6.9 1.3 9.9 4.6 5.0 6.4 – 3.6 TSA/Canarias7 3–19 Apr 2023?? 33.2 27.5 8.6 2.2 12.1 4.5 – 6.5 – 5.7 GAD3/Tiempo de Canarias 30 Mar–18 Apr 2023 611? 32.7 30.5 5.9 0.8 6.5 6.1 6.0 5.0 1.4 2.2 EM-Analytics/GMG 6 Jan–4 Apr 2023 1,283? 32.7 27.9 8.1 1.1 11.9 4.8 5.1 5.3 2.4 4.8 22Grados/Tiempo de Canarias 15–31 Mar 2023?? 37.2 28.4 4.8 0.4 7.4 6.1 4.5 5.0 – 8.8 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 13–19 Jan 2023 300? 33.8 27.5 5.7 1.2 9.1 10.6 4.8 2.0 – 6.3 EM-Analytics/GMG 18 Sep–5 Jan 2023 876? 32.5 27.2 8.6 0.9 13.4 4.6 5.7 5.1 – 5.3 Ágora Integral/Canarias Ahora 25 Nov–10 Dec 2022 1,000? 32.3 27.9 7.9 – 10.6 4.8 5.1 5.2 – 4.4 EM-Analytics/GMG 10 May–18 Sep 2022 751? 34.5 27.5 9.5 0.9 13.8 6.5 5.1 – – 7.0 TSA/Canarias7 21 Feb–23 Mar 2022?? 33.5 19.8 8.4? 13.7? 5.3 5.2 – 13.7 EM-Analytics/Electomanía 13 May–1 Oct 2021 358? 31.9 26.1 8.1 3.6 10.9 8.2 6.0 – 5.8 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 50.7 31.7 22.2 10.4 9.5 9.5 8.4 3.2 – 9.5

Los Realejos Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 69.9 61.3 22.5 6.0 0.6 2.4 4.0 38.8 SyM Consulting 17–20 Sep 2021 582 69.4 44.4 32.2 7.9 3.5 2.5 0.5 5.0 – 12.2 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 71.7 64.0 20.3 5.7 4.6 2.3 1.8 – – 43.7

Pájara Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout AMF Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 51.3 35.2 27.1 14.1 8.0 – 11.1 2.0 8.1 Perfiles/Radio Insular 24 Oct–3 Nov 2022 600? 33.0–34.0 25.0–26.0 13.0–14.0 8.0–9.0 3.0–4.0 3.0–4.0 8.0 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 52.6 34.8 27.9 13.7 8.8 6.0 – 6.9

Puerto de la Cruz Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout ACP Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 60.5 45.7 29.1 11.5 8.4 – 16.6 SyM Consulting 21–23 Sep 2021 517 64.0 33.6 35.3 12.0 15.1 0.5 1.7 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 61.1 37.4 33.4 13.4 9.1 3.7 4.0

Puerto del Rosario Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout AEPR AMF FA Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 54.1 14.2 25.1 16.6 3.6 – – – 7.1 17.1 2.2 8.0 Perfiles/Radio Insular 24 Oct–3 Nov 2022 600? 17.0–18.0 26.0–27.0 20.0–21.0 4.0–5.0 4.0–5.0 4.0–5.0 3.0–4.0 13.0–14.0 – 6.0 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 52.7 19.9 17.4 13.5 9.8 7.9 7.9 7.6 5.0 – – 2.5

San Bartolomé de Tirajana Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 57.7 26.4 19.9 16.7 23.8 – 1.2 4.2 1.5 2.6 Ágora Integral/Canarias Ahora 5–23 Apr 2023 500? 39.0 23.3 12.3 12.0 – 5.9 2.2 3.0 15.7 GCEMOP 29 Mar–5 Apr 2023 300? 26.0–27.0 17.0–18.0 13.0–14.0 25.0–26.0 2.0–3.0 2.0–3.0 3.0–4.0 3.0–4.0 – 1.0 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 56.2 26.8 24.5 16.4 12.4 5.7 4.7 3.9 2.0 – 2.3

San Cristóbal de La Laguna Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Avante Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 56.6 27.4 32.6 7.3 12.3 0.7 7.5 2.1 6.2 5.0 TSA/Canarias7 1–18 May 2023?? 25.2 34.5 11.4 9.8 – – – 7.2 9.3 Perfiles/La Provincia 12–17 May 2023?? 23.0–24.0 35.0–36.0 11.0–12.0 7.0–8.0 2.0–3.0 4.0–5.0 – 5.0–6.0 12.0 Ágora Integral/Canarias Ahora 5–23 Apr 2023 500? 27.1 33.4 12.0 15.6 – 3.3 – 5.0 6.3 TSA/Canarias7 3–19 Apr 2023?? 26.3 33.2 11.6 11.5 2.1 2.2 4.3 6.1 6.9 EM-Analytics/GMG 15 Jun–4 Feb 2023 975? 29.1 32.8 13.7 13.2 1.8 4.2 2.8 – 3.7 Ágora Integral/Canarias Ahora 19–22 Jan 2023 500? 27.9 34.4 13.9 15.9 1.1 2.2 2.8 – 6.5 EM-Analytics/GMG 2 May–15 Jun 2022 654? 28.8 24.3 16.1 6.9 9.1 4.6 7.3 2.3 – 4.5 TSA/Canarias7 21 Feb–23 Mar 2022???????? 4.8 – –? SyM Consulting 21–23 Sep 2021 639 53.9 29.8 20.7 13.7 6.6 12.9 3.0 7.6 – – 9.2 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 55.6 27.7 23.9 17.0 8.8 7.8 7.1 2.3 2.3 – 3.8

Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 54.3 28.9 30.2 4.5 16.1 1.2 8.8 1.6 3.6 1.3 Sigma Dos/RTVE–FORTA 28 May 2023?? 30.2 30.8 5.9 15.2 – 8.3 – – 0.6 TSA/Canarias7 1–18 May 2023?? 29.7 29.5 8.3 10.2 5.2 – – 5.0 0.2 Perfiles/La Provincia 12–17 May 2023?? 30.0–31.0 29.0–30.0 6.0–7.0 15.0–16.0 3.0–4.0 7.0–8.0 – 4.0–5.0 1.0 Ágora Integral/Canarias Ahora 1–14 May 2023?? 31.3 31.2 6.8 15.7 – 4.5 1.7 5.0 0.1 EM-Analytics/GMG 1 Apr–12 May 2023 401? 31.0 26.8 10.9 12.9 2.9 6.5 1.8 4.6 4.2 Ágora Integral/Canarias Ahora 5–23 Apr 2023 1,000? 32.8 30.0 6.9 15.7 – 4.3 – 5.0 2.8 TSA/Canarias7 3–19 Apr 2023?? 31.9 29.8 6.9 13.6 – – – 5.1 2.1 GAD3/Tiempo de Canarias 30 Mar–18 Apr 2023 587? 33.8 29.7 6.7 15.9 1.1 4.7 0.3 2.0 4.1 22Grados/Tiempo de Canarias 15–31 Mar 2023?? 29.7 27.1 11.1 13.7 3.4 5.2 1.6 – 2.6 Sigma Dos/El Mundo 13–19 Jan 2023 300? 30.0 29.5 9.3 15.2 2.2 5.3 1.5 – 0.5 Ágora Integral/Canarias Ahora 26 Dec–2 Jan 2022 500? 32.4 28.7 7.3 16.3 1.4 4.7 – – 3.7 EM-Analytics/GMG 23 Oct–22 Nov 2022 345? 30.6 28.0 12.1 12.7 2.9 6.7 1.7 – 2.6 EM-Analytics/GMG 20 May–22 Oct 2022 980? 30.9 27.3 11.8 12.7 3.9 6.4 1.7 – 3.6 EM-Analytics/GMG 2–19 May 2022 695? 30.0 26.8 11.8 12.3 4.4 7.4 1.7 – 3.2 TSA/Canarias7 21 Feb–23 Mar 2022??????? 5.2 – –? SyM Consulting 21–23 Sep 2021 768 55.0 27.8 25.6 7.1 23.6 2.4 7.9 – – 2.2 ElectoPanel/Electomanía 1 Apr–15 Jun 2020?? 32.4 21.5 9.3 12.2 – 9.6 – – 10.9 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 53.4 30.8 26.4 10.6 9.7 8.4 3.1 1.7 – 4.4

Santiago del Teide Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 54.9 68.4 20.7 7.2 47.7 SyM Consulting 17 Sep–1 Oct 2021 591 60.8 56.8 28.0 14.2 28.8 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 55.4 63.5 24.1 11.6 39.4

Telde Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout CIUCA +xT GCC Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 54.6 14.2 15.1 9.6 22.2 13.5 5.9 2.1 – – 6.3 2.5 1.6 7.1 TSA/Canarias7 1–18 May 2023?? 29.2 20.0 7.1 6.8 11.8 5.8 5.7 – – – 4.5 – 9.2 Perfiles/La Provincia 12–17 May 2023?? 23.0–24.0 18.0–19.0 11.0–12.0 11.0–12.0 9.0–10.0 6.0–7.0 3.0–4.0 – – 4.0–5.0 3.0–4.0 – 5.0 Ágora Integral/Canarias Ahora 5–23 Apr 2023 500? 26.7 19.1 11.5 9.7 15.9 6.4 5.0 – – 1.9 1.2 1.9 7.6 TSA/Canarias7 3–19 Apr 2023?? 28.9 19.8 9.8 7.5 12.2 6.2 5.8 1.8 – 2.5 3.9 – 9.1 EM-Analytics/GMG 10 May–18 Sep 2022 450? 21.8 22.5 11.1 9.9 9.2 7.6 6.4 1.1 3.0 5.2 – – 0.7 TSA/Canarias7 21 Feb–23 Mar 2022?? 30.2 18.6 5.0 8.9? 9.6? – – 5.1 – – 11.6 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 54.2 24.3 20.2 12.2 10.4 7.2 7.1 6.8 4.1 3.3 2.0 – 4.1

Tuineje Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout AMF Lead 2023 municipal election 28 May 2023 58.0 31.2 34.0 9.8 14.6 6.1 2.8 Perfiles/Radio Insular 24 Oct–3 Nov 2022 600? 27.0–28.0 29.0–30.0 11.0–12.0 20.0–21.0 3.0–4.0 2.0 2019 municipal election 26 May 2019 61.6 25.1 21.6 19.9 19.7 4.9 3.5

Island Cabildos El Hierro

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout AH Lead 2023 island council election 28 May 2023 70.3 26.0 20.9 26.4 14.5 8.0 – 0.4 Sigma Dos/RTVE–FORTA 28 May 2023?? 25.4 13.1 31.5 16.2 6.2 – 6.1 Perfiles/La Provincia 12–17 May 2023?? 15.0–16.0 25.0–26.0 33.0–34.0 13.0–14.0 – – 8.0 Ágora Integral/Canarias Ahora 5–23 Apr 2023 200? 27.1 24.3 24.2 14.3 6.8 – 2.8 TSA/Canarias7 3–19 Apr 2023?? 28.7 22.4 25.2?? – 3.5 22Grados/Tiempo de Canarias 15–31 Mar 2023?? 35.6 21.6 24.7 12.3 4.7 – 10.9 2019 island council election 26 May 2019 75.3 26.9 24.0 20.9 10.2 7.5 2.8 2.9

Fuerteventura

Polling firm/Commissioner Fieldwork date Sample size Turnout AMF Lead 2023 island council election 28 May 2023 56.0 27.8 17.6 18.7 12.7 – – 5.0 9.4 2.0 3.1 9.1 Sigma Dos/RTVE–FORTA 28 May 2023?? 27.2 22.1 20.7 6.2 – – 6.8 – 5.6 – 5.1 Ágora Integral/Canarias Ahora 14–17 May 2023 800? 23.2 24.9 21.1 7.8 – – – 11.8 4.9 – 1.7 Perfiles/La Provincia 12–17 May 2023?? 28.0–29.0 19.0–20.0 16.0–17.0 8.0–9.0 – – – 5.0–6.0 5.0–6.0 – 9.0 Ágora Integral/Canarias Ahora 5–23 Apr 2023 350? 24.2 23.6 22.9 9.0 – – 2.9 7.5 6.0 1.2 0.6 TSA/Canarias7 3–19 Apr 2023?? 27.5 24.5 17.6 9.9 – – – – 6.3 – 3.0 22Grados/Tiempo de Canarias 15–31 Mar 2023?? 29.3 24.2 18.3 4.3 1.4 2.3 – 7.1 4.8 – 5.1 Perfiles/Radio Insular 24 Oct–3 Nov 2022 600? 26.0–27.0 21.0–22.0 17.0–18.0 3.0–4.0 3.0–4.0 – – – 5.0–6.0 – – 5.0 TSA/Canarias7 21 Feb–23 Mar 2022?? 21.2 31.1 13.8? 5.1 2.0 3.8 3.4 – – 9.9 2019 island council election 26 May 2019 56.7 25.4 23.1 14.2 10.8 7.0 4.8 4.7 2.8 – – 2.3

Gran Canaria