Opinion polling for the 2025 Canadian federal election

This table provides a list of scientific, nationwide public opinion polls conducted from the 2021 Canadian federal election leading up to the 2025 Canadian federal election.

National polls Campaign period The campaign period for the April 28, 2025 election started after the election was called on March 23, 2025.

Polling firm Last dateof polling Link CPC LPC NDPBQPPC GPC Others Marginof error Samplesize Polling method Lead 2025 election 41.3 43.8 6.3 6.3 0.7 1.2 0.4 19,597,674 2.5 Liaison Strategies 41 43 7 6 1 1 1 ±3.09 pp 1,000 IVR 2 Forum Research 39 43 8 6 1 2 1 ±4.0 pp 1,153 4 Nanos Research 39.9 42.6 7.8 6.4 1.1 1.9 ±3.4 pp 863 telephone 2.7 Research Co. 39 44 7 6 1 2 1 ±3.1 pp 1,019 online 5 Mainstreet Research 41 44 6 6 1 1 1 ±2.2 pp 2,000 (1/3) IVR (rolling)3 Abacus Data 39 41 10 6 3 1 0 ±2.0 pp 2,500 online 2 Ekos 37.5 43.6 9.2 4.4 2 2 1 ±2.3 pp 1,805 (0.01/1) telephone/online 6.1 Pallas Data 38.8 43.2 7.3 6.4 0.9 2.3 1.0 ±2.7 pp 1,294 IVR 4.4 Liaison Strategies 41 44 6 6 1 1 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3 Nanos Research 38.9 43.0 8.0 6.1 1.1 2.8 0.1 ±2.4 pp 1,698 (1/2) telephone (rolling) 4.1 Mainstreet Research 43 44 5 5 1 1 1 ±2.4 pp 1,669 (1/3) IVR (rolling)1 Innovative Research 37 41 11 6 2 3 0 1,587 online 4 MQO Research 38 43 10 5 1 3 0 ±2.1 pp 2,236 5 Angus Reid 40 44 6 7 1 1 ±2 pp 2,820 4 Ekos 38.1 43.5 8.5 4.6 1.8 2.1 1.4 ±2.2 pp 1,918 IVR 5.4 Ipsos 38 42 9 6 1 2 1 ±2.4 pp 2,500 telephone/online 4 Liaison Strategies 40 44 7 6 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4 Mainstreet Research 40 45 7 6 1 1 1 ±2.6 pp 1,405 (1/3) 5 Nanos Research 38.6 41.9 9.4 6.0 1.3 2.9 0.0 ±2.7 pp 1,291 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.3 Leger 39 43 8 6 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,502 (4/5) online 4 YouGov (MRP) 39 42 10 5 2 2 1 5,964 (3/20) 3 Pollara 38 41 10 6 2 2 1 ±2.0 pp 2,382 telephone/online 3 Liaison Strategies 39 44 8 6 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5 Nanos Research 38.4 42.7 8.3 5.9 1.4 3.2 0.0 ±2.7 pp 1,302 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.3 Mainstreet Research 41 43 7 6 1 1 1 ±2.7 pp 1,365 (1/3) IVR (rolling)2 Liaison Strategies 38 43 8 6 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) 5 Nanos Research 39.3 42.9 7.2 6.0 1.4 3.0 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,307 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 3.6 Mainstreet Research 40 43 9 5 1 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,425 (1/3) IVR (rolling)3 Innovative Research 38 38 12 7 3 2 1,584 online 0 Focaldata 37.5 40.5 10.7 6.5 2.4 2.1 0.2 2,826 online 3.0 Cardinal Research 39 44 7 7 2 1 ±2 pp 4,057 IVR 5 Liaison Strategies 39 42 8 6 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3 Nanos Research 38.5 44.1 7.7 5.4 0.9 3.4 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,313 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 5.6 Mainstreet Research 41 42 6 6 2 2 2 ±2.6 pp 1,410 (1/3) IVR (rolling)1 YouGov (MRP) 38 42 10 6 2 2 1 6,077 4 Pallas Data 37.9 42.5 8.5 5.5 2.1 2.5 1.0 ±2.7 pp 1,306 IVR 4.6 Liaison Strategies 37 43 9 6 2 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6 Nanos Research 37.1 42.6 10.4 5.9 0.8 3.1 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,308 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 5.5 Mainstreet Research 40 40 7 6 2 2 1 ±2.5 pp 1,485 (1/3) IVR (rolling)0 Abacus Data 37 40 11 7 2 2 0 ±2.3 pp 2,000 online 3 Leger 39 43 8 6 2 2 1 ±2.45 pp 1,603 4 Innovative Research 41 36 11 7 3 3 1,305 (0.3/1) 5 Angus Reid 39 44 7 7 2 1 ±1.5 pp 2,459 5 Research Co. 38 43 8 6 1 2 1 ±3.1 pp 1,006 5 Liaison Strategies 37 43 9 6 2 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6 Mainstreet Research 41 41 6 6 2 2 2 ±2.7 pp 1,295 (1/3) 0 Nanos Research 36.3 43.7 10.7 5.6 0.8 2.9 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,289 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 7.4 Ekos 40.7 43.4 6.8 4.2 1.3 2.2 1.3 ±2.5 pp 1,672 (4/5) IVR (rolling) 2.7 Innovative Research 38 39 11 7 3 3 2,311 online 1 Kolosowski Strategies 42 42 6 6 1 2 1 ±3 pp 1,237 0 Ipsos 38 41 12 5 2 2 0 ±3.8 pp 1,001 3 MQO Research 36 44 10 5 3 3 0 ±2 pp 2,383 8 Liaison Strategies 38 43 8 6 2 1 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5 Mainstreet Research 43 39 6 6 3 2 1 ±2.7 pp 1,307 (1/3) 4 Nanos Research 37.0 43.2 10.5 5.8 0.8 2.7 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,293 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 6.2 Pollara 36 44 8 7 2 2 1 ±2.1 pp 2,195 telephone/online 8 Liaison Strategies 39 44 7 6 1 1 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5 Mainstreet Research 43 41 5 5 3 2 1 ±2.9 pp 1,124 (1/3) 2 Leaders' Debates Commission English debate Liaison Strategies 39 44 7 6 2 1 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5 Nanos Research 37.1 45.4 8.3 5.6 0.7 2.9 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,316 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 8.3 Mainstreet Research 41 42 7 6 2 2 1 ±2.7 pp 1,332 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1 Leaders' Debates Commission French debate Ekos 34.8 44.5 10.1 4.5 2.4 3.4 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,210 (0.01/1) telephone/online 9.7 JL Partners 37 39 10 7 3 2 0 ±3.4 pp 1,000 online 2 Liaison Strategies 41 44 6 6 2 1 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3 Nanos Research 38.8 43.5 8.7 5.6 0.9 2.3 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,351 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.7 Mainstreet Research 40 44 7 5 2 2 1 ±2.7 pp 1,326 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4 Ekos 36.3 45.7 8.8 4.3 1.3 2.8 0.9 ±2.3 pp 1,782 IVR 9.4 Abacus Data 38 40 11 7 2 2 0 ±2.9 pp 1,200 online 2 Liaison Strategies 39 46 5 5 2 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7 Nanos Research 37.3 44.7 8.3 6.2 1.1 2.2 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,359 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 7.4 Mainstreet Research 42 44 6 4 1 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,376 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 2 Liaison Strategies 39 44 6 5 2 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) 5 Nanos Research 38.8 44.1 8.8 5.5 1.5 1.3 0.1 ±2.7 pp 1,367 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 5.3 Mainstreet Research 43 44 5 4 1 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,378 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 1 Leger 38 43 8 6 2 3 1 ±1.79 pp 3,005 online 5 Innovative Research 35 40 12 6 4 3 1,455 5 Liaison Strategies 38 44 7 6 2 3 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6 Nanos Research 37.8 44.8 8.8 5.5 1.1 1.9 0.2 ±2.7 pp 1,345 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 7.0 Mainstreet Research 44 42 6 4 1 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,388 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 2 Angus Reid 39 45 7 7 1 1 1 ±2 pp 2,216 online 6 Pollara 36 44 9 5 3 2 1 ±2.1 pp 2,166 telephone/online 8 Pallas Data 36.8 45.1 8.8 5.7 1.7 1.1 0.8 ±2.7 pp 1,282 IVR 8.3 MQO Research 35 44 12 4 1 4 0 ±2.3 pp 2,445 online 9 Liaison Strategies 37 45 7 6 2 3 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8 Nanos Research 38.644.3 8.5 5.2 1.1 2.0 0.3 ±2.7 pp 1,300 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 5.7 Mainstreet Research 43 44 6 4 2 1 0 ±2.6 pp 1,370 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 1 Liaison Strategies 39 46 6 5 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7 Nanos Research 37.143.3 9.5 5.8 1.1 2.8 0.5 ±2.8 pp 1,250 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 6.2 Mainstreet Research 40 45 7 4 2 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,445 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 5 Ipsos 36 42 11 6 1 2 1 ±3.8 pp 1,000 online 6 Liaison Strategies 39 44 8 5 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5 Nanos Research 37.843.6 8.7 5.6 1.7 2.4 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,233 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 5.8 Mainstreet Research 40 45 6 5 2 2 1 ±2.5 pp 1,548 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 5 Abacus Data 38 42 9 6 2 2 1 ±2.31 pp 1,800 (1/2) online 4 Ekos 36.3 49.3 6.7 3.8 0.9 2.0 1.1 ±2.2 pp 1,995 IVR 13.0 Deltapoll 37 41 9 7 2 3 0 1,005 online 4 Liaison Strategies 40 43 8 5 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 3 Nanos Research 38.143.0 8.9 5.7 1.5 2.6 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,238 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.9 Mainstreet Research 39 46 6 4 2 1 2 ±2.5 pp 1,500 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 7 Liaison Strategies 38 45 8 5 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7 Nanos Research 38.642.8 8.5 6.2 1.3 2.3 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,239 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.2 Mainstreet Research 41 44 6 4 2 1 2 ±2.7 pp 1,289 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3 Abacus Data 36 42 11 5 3 2 0 ±2.1 pp 1,900 online 6 Liaison Strategies 39 45 7 4 1 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6 Nanos Research 38.142.7 8.1 6.6 1.4 2.8 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,256 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 4.6 Mainstreet Research 40 45 8 2 1 1 2 ±2.9 pp 1,148 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 5 Angus Reid 36 46 7 7 1 2 1 ±2 pp 2,184 online 10 Innovative Research 35 41 12 6 3 3 1,341 6 Empirical Intelligence 36 44 12 5 3 1 ±3.4 pp 1,001 8 Research Co. 36 44 8 5 2 3 1 ±3.1 pp 1,007 8 Leger 37 44 8 5 1 3 1 ±2.43 pp 1,631 7 Liaison Strategies 39 45 7 4 2 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6 Nanos Research 37.7 42.8 7.9 6.7 1.6 2.8 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,264 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 5.1 Mainstreet Research 40 44 8 3 3 2 1 ±2.8 pp 1,240 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 4 MQO Research 34 44 11 5 2 4 0 ±2.5 pp 1,859 online 10 Pollara 36 44 9 6 2 2 1 ±2.1 pp 2,132 telephone/online 8 Pallas Data 37.8 44.4 8.0 5.9 1.1 1.7 1.0 ±2.7 pp 1,320 IVR 6.6 Liaison Strategies 39 44 7 4 2 2 2 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5 Nanos Research 37.0 43.4 8.2 6.0 1.9 3.3 0.2 ±2.8 pp 1,270 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 6.4 Mainstreet Research 40 42 8 4 2 2 1 ±2.6 pp 1,388 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 2 Kolosowski Strategies 41 39 11 6 1 2 0 ±3 pp 1,448 online2 Liaison Strategies 38 46 6 4 2 2 2 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8 Nanos Research 34.9 45.9 9.2 5.2 1.4 2.9 0.5 ±2.8 pp 1,248 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 11.0 Mainstreet Research 40 43 6 6 2 1 1 ±2.4 pp 1,625 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3 Ipsos 34 46 10 6 1 3 0 ±3.8 pp 1,000 online 12 Liaison Strategies 38 46 6 4 3 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8 Nanos Research 35.9 45.5 9.4 5.2 1.4 2.2 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,241 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 9.6 Mainstreet Research 40 43 7 6 2 1 1 ±2.4 pp 1,665 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3 Abacus Data 39 39 11 6 2 3 0 ±2.3 pp 1,800 online 0 Ekos 34.4 49.0 7.0 4.5 1.2 2.8 1.2 ±2.45 pp 1,685 (4/5) IVR (rolling) 14.6 Liaison Strategies 37 45 6 5 3 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) 8 Nanos Research 36.7 45.8 8.8 5.5 1.1 1.7 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,248 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 9.1 Mainstreet Research 40 44 7 6 2 1 0 ±2.3 pp 1,756 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 4 Ekos 32.7 47.1 10.2 4.4 2.8 2.1 0.7 ±2.59 pp 1,513 (0.01/1) telephone/online 14.4 Liaison Strategies 39 44 6 5 3 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5 Nanos Research 37.2 45.1 9.2 5.3 1.1 1.6 0.4 ±2.8 pp 1,256 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 7.9 Mainstreet Research 40 43 9 5 2 1 0 ±2.4 pp 1,651 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3 Pallas Data 35.7 44.6 8.5 5.6 2.2 2.8 0.6 ±2.8 pp 1,267 IVR 8.9 Liaison Strategies 38 44 6 5 3 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 6 Nanos Research 36.6 44.7 10.1 5.6 1.3 1.6 0.3 ±2.8 pp 1,262 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 8.1 Mainstreet Research 41 44 7 5 2 1 0 ±2.4 pp 1,628 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3 Angus Reid 38 46 7 7 1 1 1 ±2 pp 2,131 online 8 Innovative Research 38 37 12 6 2 3 1 1,742 1 Leger 38 44 7 5 2 3 1 ±1.79 pp 3,002 6 Liaison Strategies 38 43 7 5 3 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5 Nanos Research 36.1 43.6 10.5 5.3 1.9 2.4 0.2 ±2.8 pp 1,264 (1/3) telephone (rolling) 7.5 Mainstreet Research 40 43 6 5 3 2 1 ±2.5 pp 1,589 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3 Ekos 35.6 47.5 6.3 4.8 2.1 2.4 1.3 ±2.5 pp 1,517 IVR 11.9 Pollara 35 44 10 5 2 3 1 1,734 telephone/online 9 Liaison Strategies 38 42 7 6 3 3 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4 Nanos Research 37.0 41.9 10.6 5.3 1.9 2.6 0.7 ±2.7 pp 1,285 telephone 4.9 Mainstreet Research 40 42 7 5 3 2 1 ±2.4 pp 1,704 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 2 MQO Research 34 45 11 4 2 4 1 ±2.4 pp 1,938 online 11 Liaison Strategies 36 44 8 6 2 3 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 8 Mainstreet Research 40 43 6 5 2 2 1 ±2.4 pp 1,621 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3 Liaison Strategies 38 43 7 6 2 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5 Mainstreet Research 41 44 7 5 1 2 1 ±2.4 pp 1,657 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 3 Abacus Data 39 39 11 5 3 3 0 ±2.3 pp 1,800 (1/2) online 0 Ipsos 38 44 9 5 1 2 1 ±3.1 pp 1,500 telephone/online 6 Liaison Strategies 37 44 6 6 3 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 7 Mainstreet Research 41 45 6 5 1 1 1 ±2.6 pp 1,380 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 4 Liaison Strategies 38 42 7 6 3 2 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 4 Mainstreet Research 40 44 7 5 1 2 1 ±2.8 pp 1,230 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 4 Ekos 34.6 49.6 7.2 3.9 1.5 1.6 1.6 ±2.4 pp 1,621 IVR 15.0 Abacus Data 37 38 11 6 3 4 1 ±2.2 pp 2,000 online 1 Research Co. 37 41 9 7 2 3 1 ±3.1 pp 1,003 4 Liaison Strategies 37 42 7 6 4 3 1 ±2.53 pp 1,500 (1/3) IVR (rolling) 5 Mainstreet Research 39 44 7 6 2 2 1 ±2.3 pp 1,745 (1/3) text/online (rolling) 5 Angus Reid 38 46 7 6 1 1 0 ±2 pp 2,400 online 8

Pre-campaign period