Opinion polling for the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election

In the run up to the 2025 Norwegian parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Norway. The date range for these opinion polls are from the 2021 Norwegian parliamentary election, held on 13 September, to the present day. Unlike most nations, Norway's constitution does not allow early elections before the expiration of the four-year term.

Pollster reliability The political polling industry in Norway can be generally considered reliable. The Absolute Total Raw Error 2021 ranged between 3.7 and 12.5, representing a relatively low error rate compared to the European average of 13.0. Pollster watchdog Europe Elects reviewed reports about Verian, Ipsos, Respons Analyse, InFact, Norstat, Sentio, Norfakta, and Opinion and found no documented conflict of interest.

National poll results This section includes national voter intention polls listed on the Poll of Polls website. The projected seat distribution for each poll, as listed on the website, is shown below the percentages. 85 seats are needed for a majority.

Averages The following is the average of all polls published in September 2025. Parties Vote share Seats Labour Party 27.1% 52 Progress Party 21.0% 42 Conservative Party 14.4% 26 Green Party 6.2% 9 Red Party 6.0% 9 Socialist Left Party 6.0% 9 Centre Party 5.9% 9 Christian Democratic Party 4.7% 7 Liberal Party 4.3% 6 Others 4.4% 0Blocs 51.2% 88 44.4% 81

Graphical summary Local regression trend line of poll results from 13 September 2021 to the present day. Each line corresponds to a political party.

2025

Polling executionPartiesBlocsPolling firmFieldwork dateSamplesizeRSVMDGApSpVKrFHFrPINP Others Lead 2025 election79.15.35.64.728.05.63.74.214.623.90.63.84.349.246.4Verian3,500–5.35.76.427.36.03.94.714.921.30.54.26.050.744.8Respons Analyse1,001–6.45.85.629.56.24.55.114.918.9–3.110.653.543.4Verian2,843–5.35.85.927.75.83.94.215.021.00.54.36.751.044.1Norstat2,000–6.96.07.226.46.24.34.214.320.40.73.46.052.743.2Verian2,350–5.15.85.928.55.74.23.914.721.00.44.77.551.043.8Verian2,301–5.55.66.427.45.84.24.214.621.60.24.55.850.744.6Opinion1,00084.86.68.06.327.55.44.26.113.319.6–3.27.953.843.0InFact1,109–7.35.44.626.56.35.15.213.621.80.63.74.750.145.7Norfakta1,00485.05.65.36.027.07.04.15.813.520.8–4.96.250.944.2Verian2,171–5.76.36.226.26.04.04.315.221.30.24.74.950.444.8Respons Analyse1,00286.06.66.27.126.64.84.64.614.820.30.73.86.351.344.3Verian1,670–5.66.55.825.65.34.04.515.622.30.14.73.348.846.4Opinion1,000–6.75.27.026.76.54.63.713.422.40.53.54.352.144.1Verian1,577–5.56.36.028.15.93.94.514.520.50.24.47.651.843.4Verian1,579–5.96.15.629.36.43.24.615.719.20.33.810.153.342.7Respons Analyse1,00483.05.86.65.028.06.84.54.516.818.50.53.19.552.244.3Verian1,583–6.85.64.727.06.33.75.415.821.00.63.26.050.445.9Verian1,189–7.35.84.826.76.03.25.214.922.80.43.03.950.646.1Norstat15,200–6.46.84.627.65.64.44.714.621.20.63.56.451.044.9Respons Analyse1,00581.46.46.34.424.87.05.34.314.521.90.74.52.948.946.0Opinion1,00081.05.65.53.624.86.83.94.517.921.51.25.83.346.347.8Norstat1,00484.06.37.14.728.25.33.84.814.620.50.9 3.67.751.643.7InFact1,142–5.75.53.726.95.65.15.613.223.90.84.23.047.447.8Respons Analyse1,00079.05.87.12.828.07.05.14.615.220.70.73.17.350.745.6Verian1,193–6.36.23.528.84.94.44.616.220.70.73.78.149.745.9Norfakta1,008–6.36.24.226.86.75.63.814.420.91.53.75.950.244.7Opinion1,00078.05.86.73.226.76.23.33.115.823.61.14.63.148.645.8Norfakta1,00479.06.68.94.426.95.85.03.715.719.2–3.67.752.643.6InFact1,115–6.17.92.825.27.24.43.214.823.90.83.81.349.246.3Verian986–5.17.83.330.96.04.82.614.021.51.32.89.453.142.9Opinion1,00072.07.37.02.326.85.45.13.314.222.80.8 5.04.048.845.4Norstat1,007–5.68.02.130.05.34.23.315.821.30.7 3.98.751.044.6Norfakta1,00079.06.35.53.727.35.94.63.518.221.5–3.45.848.747.8InFact1076–6.18.72.226.75.54.64.017.021.0–4.25.749.246.6Opinion1,00278.05.75.53.830.94.65.34.613.919.6–6.111.350.543.4Verian982–6.65.03.831.66.32.73.917.519.1–3.512.553.343.2Opinion1,00075.04.37.22.727.56.24.23.417.521.0–5.66.547.946.5Norstat15,200–5.46.53.129.45.54.03.518.420.60.73.08.849.946.5Respons Analyse1,002–4.96.92.629.35.24.84.318.621.10.61.68.246.348.8Norfakta1,00578.06.07.02.528.46.14.24.220.717.5–3.47.750.046.6InFact1,073–5.57.32.829.05.83.03.018.621.2–3.77.850.445.8Norstat996–5.57.13.128.45.34.02.319.120.30.34.68.149.445.7Opinion1,00077.05.06.52.526.05.44.63.618.522.9–3.93.145.449.6Verian990–5.47.42.530.05.84.24.618.119.0–3.111.051.145.9Opinion1,00074.04.66.63.730.47.03.53.117.420.1–3.710.352.344.1Respons Analyse1,001–4.76.43.830.15.93.93.020.418.60.92.39.750.945.9Norstat994–3.76.33.327.97.23.83.218.921.01.63.16.948.446.9Norfakta1,00079.04.06.73.024.08.45.33.521.619.21.13.32.446.149.6InFact1,081–5.45.83.129.56.63.13.318.121.30.93.08.250.445.8Verian987–6.16.42.529.46.54.13.819.519.0–2.79.950.946.4Opinion1,00076.05.36.22.525.15.33.83.122.521.11.13.92.644.450.5Opinion1,00079.06.09.22.825.84.74.53.719.519.71.32.86.148.547.4Respons Analyse1,001–5.07.11.927.44.65.43.920.221.50.62.45.946.051.0Norstat983–4.56.42.530.15.04.42.618.123.00.82.67.148.548.1Norfakta1,00181.05.07.12.526.54.84.12.619.724.30.92.52.245.950.7InFact1,082–4.06.63.029.55.44.33.316.424.10.72.75.448.548.1Opinion1,00377.04.26.33.728.25.43.22.618.524.81.12.03.447.849.1Verian1,004–3.57.92.629.54.64.13.219.321.71.12.57.848.148.3Opinion1,00080.05.57.22.126.66.03.93.519.122.40.53.24.247.448.9Norstat98975.05.37.42.728.76.03.12.116.225.30.82.43.450.146.7Respons Analyse1,000–4.96.81.626.76.84.93.019.123.61.11.53.146.850.6InFact1,062–5.56.52.330.76.03.43.015.624.30.82.06.451.046.3Norfakta1,00377.05.77.62.724.76.14.63.018.224.7 –2.8 Tie46.850.5Verian1,00076.03.76.82.425.76.93.23.218.426.91.21.61.245.551.7Respons Analyse1,000–5.98.01.918.37.56.53.722.024.2 –1.92.241.656.4Opinion1,00272.06.18.13.822.05.24.23.018.225.01.53.03.045.250.4Verian1,380–5.68.41.819.88.64.22.518.925.11.53.45.344.250.7InFact1,171–4.59.13.418.48.24.73.018.326.12.51.87.743.652.1Opinion1,00077.05.08.33.118.85.52.83.521.826.20.84.34.440.754.3Norstat992 –5.98.73.320.24.95.83.919.823.7 –3.83.543.053.2Respons Analyse1,000 –5.27.73.816.76.15.93.124.024.5 –3.00.539.557.5Verian994 –5.46.93.621.05.63.43.923.824.30.81.30.542.555.4Norfakta1,002 –6.08.13.218.46.64.33.223.221.1 –5.92.142.351.8InFact1,140 –5.77.53.020.66.54.53.221.024.21.52.33.243.352.9Opinion1,005 –5.78.72.818.16.34.73.221.625.01.52.43.441.654.52021 election77.14.77.63.926.313.54.63.820.411.60.33.35.956.140.4

2024

Polling firmFieldwork dateSamplesizeRSVMDGApSpVKrFHFrPINP Others LeadNorstat1,000 –6.86.93.916.84.74.84.220.727.7–3.77.0Respons Analyse1,002 –6.49.42.318.95.36.13.520.323.9–3.33.6Opinion1,000 –5.79.43.117.74.95.84.020.525.3–3.44.8Norstat1,000 –5.511.03.514.23.84.74.321.527.4–4.05.9Norfakta1,00180.05.38.72.918.15.44.64.222.923.70.43.90.8InFact1,080 –5.09.03.618.16.74.63.919.326.31.42.17.0Opinion99975.06.110.72.917.65.35.93.321.024.41.21.73.4Verian995 –5.59.92.416.56.16.13.823.024.1 –2.61.1Norstat1,000–5.39.33.517.55.44.42.921.025.32.03.44.3Respons Analyse1,003–5.69.43.019.06.86.33.720.922.4–2.91.5Opinion1,00071.06.09.13.118.76.75.63.122.421.3–2.91.1Norfakta1,00078.04.89.33.320.97.44.42.622.421.30.72.91.1Opinion1,00069.07.18.53.519.45.83.83.124.120.11.53.24.0InFact1,124–7.08.44.317.76.25.13.520.324.21.51.93.9Verian999–5.79.13.417.77.76.12.825.719.71.01.26.0Norstat992–6.29.03.519.34.96.02.422.722.01.42.70.7Respons Analyse1,000–4.78.33.520.75.36.33.525.719.21.41.45.0Opinion1,00071.05.610.62.818.04.95.54.323.122.52.70.6Verian1,0005.88.73.722.25.74.63.124.517.90.53.32.3InFact1,0516.46.73.720.26.95.03.620.123.32.11.93.1Norfakta1,0015.310.23.720.36.95.42.524.016.61.63.53.6Opinion1,00070.07.08.13.518.55.96.03.623.620.31.61.93.3Norstat9935.08.44.020.25.14.82.525.519.54.95.3Respons Analyse1,0005.110.62.621.95.05.02.923.619.81.71.81.7Opinion1,00074.05.88.62.620.26.05.62.023.720.22.82.43.5Norfakta1,00076.05.49.53.220.87.54.83.425.117.20.92.2 4.3InFact1,1685.58.23.921.46.14.23.721.021.92.34.1 0.5 Opinion1,00074.06.78.83.221.15.95.62.525.416.81.22.54.3Verian1,0006.08.63.318.66.25.43.627.616.92.04.19.0Respons Analyse1,0005.710.02.322.05.45.33.324.517.51.22.82.5Opinion1,00070.06.410.23.319.86.04.14.027.114.74.47.3Norstat9926.17.93.920.06.45.83.624.518.01.02.94.5Norstat9875.88.63.220.67.64.94.325.216.01.52.34.6Verian1,0003.810.34.521.15.95.04.724.416.31.72.33.3InFact1,1106.17.64.122.06.04.63.322.218.52.92.60.2Norfakta1,00177.05.611.34.218.56.34.83.326.415.41.43.17.9Opinion1,00076.05.97.03.121.25.86.94.626.915.01.42.25.7InFact1,064–5.48.43.720.45.15.94.222.420.71.72.11.7Norfakta1,00277.06.09.03.720.64.64.94.127.413.01.25.56.8Verian998–4.911.03.822.44.55.93.524.815.71.52.02.4Norstat993–6.18.64.722.04.56.52.825.016.8–3.03.0Respons Analyse1,00073.05.58.53.019.97.65.93.726.217.50.61.66.3Opinion1,00075.05.110.83.619.97.26.53.319.819.3–3.60.1Norfakta1,00280.08.09.93.418.97.55.83.523.415.71.42.54.5InFact1,096–6.08.83.018.95.75.83.925.417.82.52.26.5Verian998–8.911.52.718.65.44.83.725.515.90.82.06.9Norstat––3.89.63.320.36.66.44.223.417.31.04.23.1Norstat992–5.79.33.819.65.26.54.823.618.5–3.14.0Norfakta1,00178.04.910.53.317.86.66.63.426.515.41.42.18.7Respons Analyse1,000–5.88.73.620.37.55.34.025.915.11.62.25.6Opinion1,000–4.69.73.517.35.95.84.428.017.81.51.510.2Verian1,049–5.010.23.121.35.26.83.824.916.52.31.03.6InFact1,070–5.18.94.420.06.14.44.423.518.82.62.03.5Opinion1,00074.05.07.74.222.65.65.53.525.417.02.11.52.8Opinion1,00073.5 5.910.92.819.36.07.33.022.216.82.73.12.9Respons Analyse1,001– 6.98.94.121.25.75.53.328.413.41.61.07.2Norfakta999– 4.910.63.621.05.55.24.428.313.01.12.57.3Norstat991– 5.910.44.017.16.94.64.125.517.61.62.47.9Opinion1,00171.0 4.29.43.419.05.35.23.330.515.32.71.811.5InFact1,130– 5.710.23.418.45.45.74.525.415.33.42.57.0Verian1,003– 5.09.43.620.58.65.32.924.614.91.12.04.1Respons Analyse1,000– 5.610.23.617.96.15.84.428.514.42.21.310.6Norstat997– 6.210.13.518.26.76.14.027.015.21.12.08.8Norfakta1,00180.05.09.44.418.65.96.44.825.714.81.33.77.1InFact1,095– 6.79.24.117.87.25.73.526.015.72.51.68.2Opinion1,00072.05.810.94.918.85.45.82.624.916.31.43.16.1Verian999– 5.69.13.319.56.25.83.026.913.82.93.97.4Opinion985– 5.810.14.516.87.95.54.226.713.32.72.69.9Norstat98574.06.210.64.018.66.44.93.625.116.41.82.46.5Respons Analyse1,001– 4.811.03.719.15.15.84.127.414.72.91.48.3Opinion1,00069.05.210.03.717.87.75.84.229.513.61.31.211.7Norstat1,000– 5.39.53.617.86.86.63.726.514.32.63.38.7Norfakta1,010– 4.39.12.720.56.55.73.527.613.73.03.37.1Opinion1,00071.04.610.04.317.64.65.94.731.211.83.51.913.6Verian997– 5.88.73.122.06.66.14.027.611.62.71.85.6InFact1,023– 5.710.34.018.85.85.94.226.814.62.31.78.0Norstat989– 4.911.43.319.45.76.03.726.812.13.33.37.4Opinion1,00069.06.211.13.619.46.24.83.826.012.83.72.56.6Verian987– 4.810.72.919.26.97.23.527.311.44.51.68.1Respons Analyse1,000– 5.410.73.520.57.65.94.126.213.51.70.95.7Norfakta1,00381.04.310.63.519.06.65.94.125.214.23.43.26.2InFact1,087–5.69.13.618.57.85.34.623.514.56.11.55.02021 election77.14.77.63.926.313.54.63.820.411.60.33.35.9

2023