Various polling organizations have been conducting opinion polling in specific ridings in the lead up to the 2021 Canadian federal election. The results of publicized opinion polling for individual constituencies are detailed in this article.
Given the expense of polling individual constituencies, constituencies are usually only polled if they are of some particular interest, e.g. they are thought to be marginal or facing an impending by-election. The constituencies polled are not necessarily representative of a national average swing. Under the first-past-the-post electoral system the true marginal seats, by definition, will be decisive as to the outcome of the election.
Constituency polls
Alberta
Banff—Airdrie
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Spadina Strategies HTML 12.9 43.7 11.7 1.3 9.8 13.1 6.7 ±5.23 pp 350 IVR
Calgary Skyview
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 37.6 35.4 12.8 2.6 1.3 1.1 9.2 ±5.6 pp 303 IVR2019 Election HTML 28.3 52.5 14.9 1.6 1.2 1.5 N/A ±0.0 pp 50,552 Election
Edmonton Centre
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 40 26 22 2 1 3 6 ±5.6 pp 303 IVR2019 Election HTML 33.0 41.5 20.6 2.6 1.5 0.8 N/A ±0.0 pp 53,092 Election
Edmonton Griesbach
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Other UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 19.0 38.4 28.2 1.7 3.9 3.7 5.1 ±4.6 pp 454 IVR2019 Election HTML 17.3 51.4 25.1 2.5 2.3 1.4 N/A ±0.0 pp 46,963 Election
Edmonton Mill Woods
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 37 35.4 14.4 1.4 6.9 1.6 3.3 ±5 pp 299 IVR2019 Election HTML 33.6 50.3 12.1 1.8 1.8 0.4 N/A ±0.0 pp 53,177 Election
British Columbia
Burnaby North—Seymour
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 28.1 29.6 26 5.2 2.3 0.9 7.9 ±5 pp 379 IVR Mainstreet Research HTML 32.8 22.7 13.2 N/A N/A 6.2 25.1 ±4.1 pp 558 IVR2019 Election HTML 35.5 19.5 32.3 9.6 2.2 1 N/A ±0.0 pp 50,525 Election
Cloverdale—Langley City
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 28 40 17 3 7 3 2 ±5.6 pp 307 IVR
Delta
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 34 36 19 3 3 1 4 ±5.6 pp 304 IVR
Nanaimo—Ladysmith
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Oracle Poll HTML 7.6 21.0 19.0 27.8 1.0 N/A 23.6 ±4.4 pp 500 Telephone2019 Election HTML 13.6 25.9 23.6 34.6 1.5 0.9 N/A ±0.0 pp 53,296 Election
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 26 33 28 3 2 2 6 ±5.6 pp 306 IVR
Port Moody—Coquitlam
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 24.4 29.0 29.5 3.6 8.9 2.0 2.7 ±5.5 pp 320 IVR
Surrey Centre
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 37 22 22 6 5 1 8 ±6.3 pp 285 IVR
Vancouver Granville
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 33 25 15 7 3 2 15 ±5.9 pp 280 IVR2019 Election HTML 26.6 21.9 13.1 5.1 0.8 32.6 N/A ±0.0 pp 53,296 Election
Vancouver South
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 39 17 25 4 6 2 8 ±6.3 pp 242 IVR
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 25.1 42.3 15.1 6.2 5.1 0.7 5.4 ±3.8 pp 662 IVR Mainstreet Research HTML 23.1 27.5 19.4 11.9 N/A 4 14.1 ±3.9 pp 624 IVR2019 Election HTML 34.9 26.7 13.9 22.4 1.6 0.5 N/A ±0.0 pp 64,980 Election
Manitoba Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Other UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 36.2 37.0 10.8 1.8 3.0 1.4 9.8 ± pp 317 IVR2019 Election HTML 35.5 40.7 14.2 4.7 4.3 0.7 N/A ±0.0 pp 46,228 Election
Kildonan—St. Paul
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF33 30 18 5 7 1 7 ±5.5 pp 322 IVR2019 Election HTML 27.9 44.8 21.2 4.0 1.2 0.9 N/A ±0.0 pp 44,298 Election
Winnipeg South
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF43.4 28.1 16.3 2 3.4 0 6.9 ±5 pp 304 IVR2019 Election HTML 42.1 38.7 13.9 4.3 0.9 N/A N/A ±0.0 pp 47,889 Election
Newfoundland and Labrador
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF43.2 30.5 10.5 0.6 3.4 1 10.9 ±5 pp 298 IVR2019 Election HTML 45.7 39.5 12.0 2.9 N/A N/A N/A ±0.0 pp 32,179 Election
St. John’s East
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF45.3 15.2 26.7 1.6 2.2 0 9 ±5.1 pp 363 IVR2019 Election HTML 33.2 18.1 46.9 1.8 N/A N/A N/A ±0.0 pp 42,940 Election
New Brunswick
Fredericton
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF40 31 10 5 3 6 5 ±5.6 pp 307 IVR
Saint John—Rothesay
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF42 30 13 2 4 1 7 ±5.7 pp 300 IVR2019 Election HTML 37.4 34.0 12.2 10.1 3.1 3.2 N/A ±0.0 pp 42,940 Election
Nova Scotia Cape Breton—Canso
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF39.3 37.6 8.2 1.9 3.6 2.3 7.1 ±5 pp 301 IVR2019 Election HTML 38.9 34.5 14.8 7.7 2.2 1.9 N/A ±0.0 pp 42,940 Election
Sydney—Victoria
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF42 29 13 3 3 0 10 ±4.7 pp 442 IVR2019 Election HTML 30.9 27.7 20.1 5.5 N/A 21.3 N/A ±0.0 pp 40,565 Election
West Nova
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF38 34 11 1 11 1 3 ±6 pp 262 IVR2019 Election HTML 36.4 39.3 10.7 12.7 N/A 0.9 N/A ±0.0 pp 46,798 Election
Ontario Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Other UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research 47 34 12 2 4 2 N/A ±5 pp 309 IVR2019 Election HTML 42.4 44.4 7.2 4.1 1.0 1.0 N/A ±0.0 pp 53,109 Election
Davenport
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF46 11 28 6 3 2 5 ±5.6 pp 303 IVR
Elgin—Middlesex—London
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 32 36 14 2 10 1 5 ±5.1 pp 294 IVR
Flamborough—Glanbrook
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 30 33 16 6 7 0 7 ±5.6 pp 303 IVR2019 Election HTML 36.5 39.2 16.5 6.13 1.5 N/A N/A ±0.0 pp 62,920 Election
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF28 25 26 5 2 5 10 ±5.6 pp 305 IVR
Kanata—Carleton
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF36.3 32.8 18.5 4.5 1.5 0.2 6.2 ±5 pp 297 IVR2019 Election HTML 43 36.5 12.5 6.6 1.4 N/A N/A ±0.0 pp 66,772 Election
King—Vaughan
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF48.1 38.6 7.4 1.6 3.7 0.2 0.4 ±5.6 pp 298 IVR2019 Election HTML 45 43.2 6.7 3.9 1.1 N/A N/A ±0.0 pp 64,446 Election
Kitchener Centre
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling MethodMainstreet Research HTML 34 27 13 20 5 0 N/A ±5.9 pp 287IVR Mainstreet Research PDF27.8 23.4 23.6 11.9 1.2 6.7 5.5 ±5.9 pp 280 IVR Mainstreet Research HTML25.8 17.9 11.1 14.3 N/A 4 26.8 ±4 pp 601 IVR2019 Election HTML 36.7 23.8 11.3 26 1.9 0.4 N/A ±0.0 pp 55,374 Election
Niagara Centre
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF35 27 17 2 10 1 8 ±5 pp 301 IVR
Oakville
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF40 39 11 1 3 1 5 ±5.5 pp 314 IVR
Ottawa Centre
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF42 21 28 5 1 1 2 ±5.3 pp 344 IVR
Parkdale—High Park
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research HTML34.5 14.3 16.6 8.8 N/A 2.9 23 ±4 pp 600 IVR2019 Election HTML 47.4 13.2 31.5 6.4 1.1 1.1 N/A ±0.0 pp 60,887 Election
Peterborough—Kawartha
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 25.8 37.5 17.9 8.6 3.4 0.9 5.9 ±5.7 pp 291 IVR2019 Election HTML 39.3 34.9 17.1 7.1 1.3 0.5 N/A ±0.0 pp 69,801 Election
Spadina—Fort York
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF47.5 18.9 12 3.7 3.9 3.9 10.1 ±4.1 pp 574 IVR2019 Election HTML 55.8 17.6 20.1 5.2 1.1 1.1 N/A ±0.0 pp 60,887 Election
St. Catharines
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 30 34 21 2 4 3 7 ±5.9 pp 273 IVR
Toronto Centre
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research HTML39.9 8.6 9.5 15.5 N/A 2.3 24.3 ±4.1 pp 574 IVR2020 By-election HTML 42 5.7 17 32.7 1.1 1.6 N/A ±0.0 pp 25,205 Election2019 Election HTML 57.4 12.1 22.3 7.1 N/A 1.2 N/A ±0.0 pp 54,512 Election
Windsor—Tecumseh
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research PDF 26.8 18.8 28.1 3.5 16.6 0.8 5.5 ±4.9 pp 390 IVR2019 Election HTML 33.427.832.3 3.8 2.2 0.3 N/A ±0.0 pp 56,957 Election
Prince Edward Island Malpeque
Polling FirmLast Dateof PollingLink Liberal Cons. NDP Green PPC Others UndecidedMarginof ErrorSampleSizePolling Method Mainstreet Research HTML36.5 25.3 7 12.1 N/A 0.2 19 ±5.9 pp 280 IVR2019 Election HTML 41.4 25.6 6.5 26.5 N/A 0.4 N/A ±0.0 pp 23,039 Election
Quebec Abitibi—Témiscamingue